Racing Santander vs Sporting Gijón Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain

Campos de Sport de El Sardinero Wed, 1 Apr - 7:30 PM

La Liga 2

Racing Santander RAC

Sporting Gijón SPO

Full Time Wed, 1 Apr 7:30 PM

Round 33 Regular Season

Asier Villalibre - 90+5', 90+1'

Giorgi Guliashvili - 10'

Jonathan Dubasin - 68' (P)

CONTEXT

The match between Racing Santander and Sporting Gijón has finished, with the home side securing a decisive 3-1 full-time victory. Racing Santander went into the half-time break with a 1-0 lead and successfully extended their advantage in the second half to claim the win. Pre-match market expectations favored Racing Santander, who entered the contest with a 50.7% win probability. Sporting Gijón held a 23.8% chance of victory, with the draw set at 25.6%. The final result aligned perfectly with the pre-match market. However, the performance metrics generated a significant deviation in favor of Racing Santander. Despite suffering the defeat, Sporting Gijón actually controlled the ball for long stretches, finishing the match with 56% possession compared to Racing Santander's 44%. Expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this fixture, so it cannot be quantitatively determined if the outcome was consistent with the underlying shot quality. The overall efficiency shift remained strictly in line with standard expectations. Finally, it was a disciplined affair with zero red cards issued to either team, ensuring that disciplinary events did not impact the final outcome.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Racing Santander showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: No major event distortion.
Red card distortion: None.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

D. Palencia Caballero

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

J. Méndez Mateo

1st Assistant

M. Ortuño Sierra

2nd Assistant

R. Ruipérez Marín

4th Official

J. López Menéndez

B. Jiménez Sáez

1.9

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.5

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

11 - 7 - 4

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Racing Santander

50.65%

Draw

25.57%

Sporting Gijón

23.78%

Team Power Ranking

70.25

64.06

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Racing Santander

Sporting Gijón

Power Score

70.25

64.06

League Position

Global Rank

183

336

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Racing Santander — Opponent-weighted form score

Sporting Gijón — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Racing Santander Sporting Gijón

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Racing Santander

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Sporting Gijón

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Racing Santander ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Sporting Gijón

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

27.39

31.88

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

31.88

27.39

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Racing Santander -0.46 Efficiency Index

Sporting Gijón +0.46 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Racing Santander

Sporting Gijón

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Racing Santander ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Sporting Gijón

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Racing Santander Sporting Gijón

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 1.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Racing Santander Sporting Gijón

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

1.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Racing Santander

Sporting Gijón

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.

Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 22 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Racing Santander RAC Home

22 matches

Sporting Gijón SPO Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

-9

Data last updated: 2026-04-02T00:01:16+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

1 J. Ezkieta Mendiburu

5 J. Castro Urdín

4 J. Hernando Riol

16 F. González Molino

3 M. García Alvear

14 M. Gueye

19 G. Puerta Molano

11 A. Martín García

10 I. Vicente Elorduy

20 S. Camara Sanneh

7 G. Guliashvili

1 O. Yáñez Alabart

5 D. Sánchez Pérez

15 P. Vázquez Pérez

23 É. Curbelo de la Fe

20 K. Vázquez Comesaña

14 A. Corredera Alardi

24 J. Smith

7 G. Campos Ansó Fernández

10 C. Gelabert Pina

17 J. Dubasin

19 J. Otero Tovar

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 01, 2026, 07:30 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 33 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Campos de Sport de El Sardinero

Capacity :

22308

Attendance :

22086

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Daniel Palencia Caballero

Joan Méndez Mateo

Miguel Ortuño Sierra

Rubén Ruipérez Marín

Statistics

Possession

RAC

45%

SPO

55%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 1

3 Big Chances Created 2

7 Shots 13

41 Dangerous attacks 57

44 Possession 56

3 Corners 7

12 Free kicks 15

4 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

1 Hit Woodwork 0

3 Assists 0

18 Throwins 24

27 Successful Dribbles Percentage 45

5 Substitutions 4

4 Successful Dribbles 5

15 Dribble Attempts 11

76 Ball Safe 78

1 Injuries 1

5 Goal Kicks 5

0 Penalties 1

8 Goal Attempts 10

Attacking

79 Attacks 123

0 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

366 Passes 458

39 Long Passes 60

17 Successful Long Passes 19

79 Successful Passes Percentage 78

44 Successful Long Passes Percentage 32

290 Successful Passes 359

8 Key Passes 12

Defensive

3 Saves 3

6 Interceptions 6

15 Tackles 16

52 Duels Won 48

Build-up

13 Total Crosses 19

3 Accurate Crosses 7

Discipline

16 Fouls 12

1 Offsides 6

Lineup

Referee : Daniel Palencia Caballero

Manager ▼

J. López Menéndez Coach

Starting XI ▼

Jokin Ezkieta Goalkeeper

Mario García Defender

Jorge Salinas

Defender80'

Manu Hernando Defender

Javi Castro Defender

Facundo González Defender

Pablo Ramón

Defender60'

Iñigo Vicente Midfielder

Andrés Martín Midfielder

Maguette Gueye Midfielder

Damián Rodríguez

Midfielder57'

Gustavo Puerta Midfielder

Suleiman Camara Midfielder

Peio Canales

Midfielder57'

Giorgi Guliashvili Attacker

Asier Villalibre

Attacker80'

Substitutes ▼

Peio Canales

Midfielder57'

Damián Rodríguez

Midfielder57'

Pablo Ramón

Defender60'

Jorge Salinas

Defender80'

Asier Villalibre

Attacker80'

Bench ▼

Simon Eriksson Goalkeeper

Aritz Aldasoro Midfielder

Sergio Martínez Midfielder

Diego Fuentes Midfielder

Marco Sangalli Attacker

Jaime Mata Attacker

Santi Franco Attacker

Referee : Daniel Palencia Caballero