Racing Santander vs Real Valladolid Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Campos de Sport de El Sardinero Sat, 16 May - 4:30 PM
La Liga 2
Racing Santander RAC
4 Winner 1
Real Valladolid REV
Full Time Sat, 16 May 4:30 PM
Round 40 Regular Season
Suleiman Camara - 90+5'
Andrés Martín - 73', 62' (P)
Asier Villalibre - 33'
Goal
|
Goal
Mohamed Jaouab - 42'
|
Red Card Carlos Clerc 59'

CONTEXT

Racing Santander secured a convincing 4-1 victory over Real Valladolid. The game was level at 1-1 when the teams went into the break. Following the interval, the home side capitalized on their opportunities and added three goals while the away team struggled after being reduced to ten men due to a red card. Possession favored Racing Santander slightly at 53 percent to 47 percent. This result aligned closely with the pre-match assessment of Racing Santander as the stronger team. The minimal deviation observed in the outcome highlighted the consistency in performance expectations. Overall, the match demonstrated how a key event like the dismissal altered the dynamics significantly in the second half, enabling the hosts to pull away comfortably and claim all three points.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Racing Santander 4-1 Real Valladolid. Racing Santander showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Team efficiency remained in line with pre-match projections throughout the contest.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable, preventing direct alignment assessment.
  • Market alignment: The final result was consistent with initial assessments of team strength.
  • xG expectations: No specific expected goals metrics were recorded for either side in this match.
  • Event impact: The match saw a significant impact from the away team's red card in the second half.
  • Red card distortion: The red card issued to Real Valladolid distorted the second half balance leading to additional goals for Racing Santander.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

C. Muñiz Muñoz

Spain 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

B. García Valín

2nd Assistant

Spain

A. Ramo Andrés

4th Official

Spain

F. Estela Bravo

1st Assistant

Spain

League averages

La Liga 2 Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 22.86
Yellow cards / match 4.82
Red cards / match 0.27
Penalties / match 0.33
Racing Santander J. López Menéndez
J. López Menéndez
VS
Real Valladolid F. Escriba Segura
F. Escriba Segura
1.96
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.04
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Leganés Rank: 64 W
Huesca Rank: 59 W
Ceuta Rank: 60 D
Real Sociedad II Rank: 60 W
Almería Rank: 70 W
FC Andorra Rank: 67 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Zaragoza Rank: 58 W
Las Palmas Rank: 71 L
Real Sociedad II Rank: 59 W
FC Andorra Rank: 67 L
SD Eibar Rank: 69 D
Cultural Leonesa Rank: 57 L
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 2 - 5
5

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Racing Santander
97.84%
Draw
1.92%
Away Real Valladolid
0.24%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
71.89
56.03
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Racing Santander
Real Valladolid
Power Score
71.89
56.03
League Position
1
16
Global Rank
154
470

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Racing Santander — Opponent-weighted form score
Real Valladolid — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Racing Santander Real Valladolid

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Racing Santander

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Real Valladolid

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Racing Santander ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Real Valladolid
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
24.62
27.34
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
27.34
24.62
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Racing Santander -0.27 Efficiency Index
vs
Real Valladolid +0.27 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Racing Santander
Real Valladolid
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Racing Santander ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Real Valladolid
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Racing Santander Real Valladolid
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Racing Santander Real Valladolid
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Racing Santander
Real Valladolid
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Racing Santander
vs
Real Valladolid
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Racing Santander Real Valladolid
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Racing Santander 0.27
Real Valladolid 0.30
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Racing Santander Real Valladolid
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Racing Santander 0.03
Real Valladolid 0.10
Racing Santander
Real Valladolid
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • REV had peak pressure around 44'.
  • REV started the game with stronger pressure.
RAC Pressure REV Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: REV reached the top pressure at 44' (73.07).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 11 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Racing Santander RAC Home
11 matches
Real Valladolid REV Away
Match Record
4
Wins
5
2
Draws
2
5
Losses
4
Goals
15
Goals Scored
19
19
Goals Conceded
15
-4
Goal Difference
+4

Data last updated: 2026-05-18T08:57:49+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 5-3-2
Pitch
Lars Eriksson
Sweden
13 Lars Eriksson
A. Mantilla Pérez
Spain
2 (C) A. Mantilla Pérez
J. Hernando Riol
Spain
4 J. Hernando Riol
P. Ramón Parra
Spain
21 P. Ramón Parra
J. Salinas Viadero
32 J. Salinas Viadero
M. Gueye
Substitution
Senegal
14 M. Gueye
G. Puerta Molano
Substitution
Colombia
19 G. Puerta Molano
A. Martín García
Substitution
Spain
11 A. Martín García
P. Canales Urtasun
Spain
18 P. Canales Urtasun
I. Vicente Elorduy
Spain
10 I. Vicente Elorduy
G. Guliashvili
Substitution
Georgia
7 G. Guliashvili
Pitch
G. Carvalho Fernandes
Portugal
13 G. Carvalho Fernandes
P. Gonzalez Carmona
Spain
22 P. Gonzalez Carmona
C. Clerc Martínez
Spain
18 C. Clerc Martínez
M. Jaouab
Morocco
23 M. Jaouab
R. Martinez Gil
Substitution
Spain
5 R. Martinez Gil
I. Alejo Peralta
Spain
14 (C) I. Alejo Peralta
Mario Maroto
Substitution
Spain
16 Mario Maroto
J. Ponceau
Substitution
France
21 J. Ponceau
M. Lachuer
France
6 M. Lachuer
J. Latasa Fernandez Layos
Substitution
Spain
9 J. Latasa Fernandez Layos
?. Carvajal García
Substitution
Spain
38 ?. Carvajal García

General Information

Date & Time :
May 16, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 40 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Campos de Sport de El Sardinero
Capacity :
22308
Attendance :
22408
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Brais García Valín
Armando Ramo Andrés
Carlos Muñiz Muñoz
Fernando Estela Bravo

Statistics

Possession
RAC
50%
REV
50%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 1
7 Big Chances Created 2
11 Shots 11
41 Dangerous attacks 37
53 Possession 47
6 Corners 2
10 Free kicks 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

11 Goal Kicks 3
4 Substitutions 5
66 Ball Safe 76
8 Goal Attempts 6
3 Injuries 1
1 Penalties 0
2 Assists 0
41 Successful Dribbles Percentage 63
30 Throwins 16
17 Dribble Attempts 16
7 Successful Dribbles 10

Attacking

3 Big Chances Missed 1
85 Attacks 83

Possession

7 Key Passes 6
84 Successful Passes Percentage 86
350 Successful Passes 315
30 Long Passes 49
11 Successful Long Passes 29
416 Passes 366
37 Successful Long Passes Percentage 59

Defensive

11 Interceptions 5
1 Saves 4
40 Duels Won 50
12 Tackles 22

Build-up

1 Accurate Crosses 5
15 Total Crosses 18

Discipline

2 Offsides 3
13 Fouls 11

Lineup

Referee : Carlos Muñiz Muñoz

Starting XI ▼

13
Simon Eriksson
Simon Eriksson Goalkeeper
6.11
2
Álvaro Mantilla
Álvaro Mantilla (C) Defender
6.88
4
Manu Hernando
Manu Hernando Defender
6.93
21
Pablo Ramón
Pablo Ramón Defender
6.63
32
Jorge Salinas
Jorge Salinas Defender
6.38
10
Iñigo Vicente
Iñigo Vicente Midfielder
7.39
11
Andrés Martín
Andrés Martín Midfielder
2
8.1
—
Andrés Martín
84'
14
Maguette Gueye
Maguette Gueye Midfielder
6.67
23
Damián Rodríguez
Damián Rodríguez
Midfielder73'
7.03
18
Peio Canales
Peio Canales Midfielder
6.45
19
Gustavo Puerta
Gustavo Puerta Midfielder
6.62
20
Suleiman Camara
Suleiman Camara
Attacker84'
7.11
7
Giorgi Guliashvili
Giorgi Guliashvili Attacker
6.7
12
Asier Villalibre
Asier Villalibre
Attacker23'
8.37
Referee : Carlos Muñiz Muñoz

Starting XI ▼

13
Guilherme Fernandes
Guilherme Fernandes Goalkeeper
6.28
5
Ramón Martínez
Ramón Martínez Defender
6.32
—
Ramón Martínez
84'
14
Iván Alejo
Iván Alejo (C) Defender
6.7
18
Carlos Clerc
Carlos Clerc Defender
5.65
22
Peter Federico
Peter Federico Defender
5.93
23
Mohamed Jaouab
Mohamed Jaouab Defender
6.94
6
Mathis Lachuer
Mathis Lachuer Midfielder
6.48
16
Mario Maroto
Mario Maroto Midfielder
6.22
8
Víctor Meseguer
Víctor Meseguer
Midfielder64'
6.9
21
Julien Ponceau
Julien Ponceau Midfielder
6.78
12
Ibrahim Alani
Ibrahim Alani
Midfielder69'
6.64
9
Juanmi Latasa
Juanmi Latasa Attacker
6.83
25
Vegard Erlien
Vegard Erlien
Attacker84'
6.42
38
Angel Carvajal
Angel Carvajal Attacker
6.6
15
Pablo Tomeo
Pablo Tomeo
Defender64'
5.92

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Suleiman Camara
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
90+5'
Event
Álvaro Mantilla
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
86'
Event
→ Andrés Martín
9th Substitution
84'
Event
Suleiman Camara → Gustavo Puerta
6th Substitution
84'
84'
Event
→ Ramón Martínez
8th Substitution
84'
Event
Vegard Erlien → Juanmi Latasa
7th Substitution
Event
Damián Rodríguez → Maguette Gueye
5th Substitution
73'
Event
Andrés Martín
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
73'
69'
Event
Ibrahim Alani → Julien Ponceau
4th Substitution
64'
Event
Víctor Meseguer → Mario Maroto
2nd Substitution
64'
Event
Pablo Tomeo → Angel Carvajal
3rd Substitution
Event
Andrés Martín
Left foot shot / 1st Penalty
62'
59'
Event
Carlos Clerc
Foul / 1st Redcard
1ST-HALF
42'
Event
Mohamed Jaouab
Header / 2nd Goal
Event
Asier Villalibre
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
33'
Event
Asier Villalibre → Giorgi Guliashvili
1st Substitution
23'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Suleiman Camara takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
84
Update Update
Vegard Erlien replaces Juanmi Latasa.
84
Update Update
Suleiman Camara replaces Gustavo Puerta.
84
Update Update
Marco Sangalli Fuentes is on, and Andres Martin Garcia is off.
84
Update Update
Alejandro Galdeano is on, and R. Andres Martin Garcia is off.
82
Attempt Attempt
Gustavo Puerta takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
73
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Andres Martin Garcia scores, making it 3-1.
73
Attempt Attempt
Andres Martin Garcia scores with a left-footed shot.
72
Update Update
Damian Rodriguez Sousa comes on for Maguette Gueye.
72
Attempt Attempt
Victor Meseguer takes a right-footed shot but misses.
71
Attempt Attempt
Mathis Lachuer takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
71
Attempt Attempt
Juanmi Latasa's left-footed shot is blocked.
67
Attempt Attempt
Andres Martin Garcia takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
64
Update Update
Victor Meseguer is on, and Mario Maroto is off.
64
Update Update
Pablo Tomeo replaces Angel Carvajal.
62
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Andres Martin Garcia scores, making it 2-1.
62
Attempt Attempt
Andres Martin Garcia scores with a left-footed shot.
45
Attempt Attempt
Peio Canales takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
45
Attempt Attempt
Asier Villalibre takes a right-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Ivan Alejo takes a left-footed shot but misses.
44
Attempt Attempt
Inigo Vicente takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
42
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Mohamed Jaouab scores, making it 1-1.
42
Attempt Attempt
Shot on goal! Mohamed Jaouab heads it in for a goal.
36
Attempt Attempt
Mathis Lachuer takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
36
Attempt Attempt
Juanmi Latasa attempts a header but misses the shot.
33
Attempt Attempt
Asier Villalibre takes a right-footed shot and scores.
32
Attempt Attempt
Juanmi Latasa takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
23
Attempt Attempt
Juanmi Latasa's left-footed shot is blocked.
23
Update Update
Asier Villalibre comes on for Giorgi Guliashvili.
23
Attempt Attempt
Andres Martin Garcia takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
17
Attempt Attempt
Giorgi Guliashvili takes a right-footed shot but misses.
10
Attempt Attempt
Juanmi Latasa attempted a header but missed the shot.
8
Attempt Attempt
Peter Federico takes a left-footed shot but misses.

CONCLUSION

Racing Santander's 4-1 triumph over Real Valladolid showcased their dominance after the break. Starting from a tied halftime score of 1-1, the introduction of a red card to the visitors shifted the momentum decisively. With an extra player advantage, the home team increased their attacking pressure and converted chances effectively to secure three additional goals. Possession statistics indicated a balanced game overall yet the numerical superiority proved decisive. This performance reinforced Racing Santander's position as the superior side in the fixture. The victory margin highlighted the importance of maintaining composure and exploiting opportunities when they arise in competitive matches. Fans can look forward to continued strong showings from the winners in upcoming fixtures.

Racing Santander vs Real Valladolid preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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