PSV vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands
Eredivisie
NEC Nijmegen NECSTANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Match is finished. PSV 2–3 NEC Nijmegen. The result saw NEC Nijmegen take the points. NEC Nijmegen showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 70%–30%.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: NEC Nijmegen showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
- Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
- xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
- Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
- xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
- Event impact: No major event distortion.
- Red card distortion: None.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
J. Kooij
Other match officials
D. Fikkert
1st Assistant
M. van den Kerkhof
4th Official
M. Ribbink
2nd Assistant


Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
PSV
NEC NijmegenTeam Power Ranking
i
86.19
74.39
PSV
NEC NijmegenForm Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.


Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
PSV
NEC Nijmegen

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
PSV ⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency 
Defensive Efficiency 
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)




Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
PSV
PSV NEC Nijmegen
PSV NEC Nijmegen
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 9 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.


Match Record 
Goals 
Data last updated: 2026-03-16T01:35:24+00:00
STARTING XI
PSV
NEC Nijmegen



















































General Information
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
PSVManager ▼

Starting XI ▼















Substitutes ▼




Bench ▼





NEC NijmegenManager ▼

Starting XI ▼














Substitutes ▼



Bench ▼







Events
CONCLUSION
PSV vs NEC Nijmegen preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
How We Build This Analysis
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Match Commentary