Polissya Zhytomyr vs Oleksandria Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Tsentralnyi Stadion Fri, 8 May - 3:00 PM
Premier League Polissya Zhytomyr Polissya Zhytomyr 
2 
1
1
Oleksandria Oleksandria Full Time Fri, 8 May 3:00 PM
Round 27 · Regular Season
Oleksandr Filippov - 90'
Mykola Gayduchyk - 71'
|
Papa Ndiaga Yade - 82'
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion Promotion Playoffs Relegation
Data last checked: May 15
CONTEXT
Polissya Zhytomyr defeated Oleksandria 2-1 in a closely contested match that saw no goals at halftime, with the scoreline locked at 0-0. The home team asserted dominance throughout, holding 69% possession compared to Oleksandria's 31%, which translated into sustained pressure and eventual breakthroughs in the second half. Despite the visitors' resilience, Polissya's superior control and clinical finishing secured the victory for the stronger side. No red cards disrupted the flow, allowing both teams to maintain their strategies without major interruptions. This result underscores Polissya Zhytomyr's structural edge, as pre-match expectations aligned closely with the outcome, showing only minimal deviation. The game highlighted efficient play from the winners, who capitalized on their territorial advantage without needing significant adjustments.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: Polissya Zhytomyr exhibited minimal structural deviation of 2.6%.
- Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
- xG alignment: xG alignment unassessable due to unavailable data.
- Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with pre-match market expectations.
- xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable due to missing data.
- Event impact: No significant events like second-half adjustments impacted the match.
- Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion to the game flow.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Match referee
D. Panchyshyn
Ukraine • 25 matches in sample Avg. cards 
0.12
0.12 Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0
Other match officials
V. Dumenko
1st Assistant
UkraineY. Povazhnyi
2nd Assistant
UkraineS. Zadyran
4th Official
UkraineLeague averages
Premier League Based on last 100 matches
Fouls / match 16.11
Yellow cards / match 2.89
Red cards / match 0.16
Penalties / match 0.23
R. Rotan
VS
V. Sharan
2.13
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.27
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: 52 W
Obolon'-Brovar Rank: 41 W
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: 74 L
SK Poltava Rank: 34 W
Veres Rank: 48 D
Kudrivka Rank: 41 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kolos Kovalivka Rank: 54 L
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Rank: 46 D
Veres Rank: 47 L
Karpaty Rank: 54 L
SK Poltava Rank: 34 D
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: 66 L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 0 - 3
3
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min) Polissya Zhytomyr97.44%
Draw
1.91%
Oleksandria0.65%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
62.8 42.97 0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Polissya Zhytomyr OleksandriaPower Score
62.8
42.97
League Position
2
15
Global Rank
409
961
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Polissya Zhytomyr — Opponent-weighted form score
Oleksandria — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Polissya Zhytomyr Oleksandria
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Polissya Zhytomyr
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Oleksandria
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Polissya Zhytomyr ⚠ Proxyvs
⚠ Proxy Oleksandria
Attacking Efficiency Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
37.10
26.29
Defensive Efficiency Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
26.29
37.10
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Polissya Zhytomyr +1.11 Efficiency Index
vs
Oleksandria -1.11 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Polissya Zhytomyr
Oleksandria
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Polissya Zhytomyr ⚠ Proxyvs
⚠ Proxy Oleksandria
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Polissya Zhytomyr Oleksandria Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Polissya Zhytomyr Oleksandria Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Polissya Zhytomyr
Oleksandria
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Polissya Zhytomyrvs
Oleksandria
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Polissya Zhytomyr Oleksandria Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Polissya Zhytomyr 0.23
Oleksandria 0.30
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Polissya Zhytomyr Oleksandria Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Polissya Zhytomyr 0.04
Oleksandria 0.02
Polissya Zhytomyr
Oleksandria
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- Polissya Zhytomyr had peak pressure around 26'.
- Polissya Zhytomyr started the game with stronger pressure.
Polissya Zhytomyr Pressure Oleksandria Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Polissya Zhytomyr reached the top pressure at 26' (68.36).
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Polissya Zhytomyr Polissya Zhytomyr Home
5 matches
Oleksandria Oleksandria Away
Match Record 2
Wins
3
0
Draws
0
3
Losses
2
Goals 8
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
8
+3
Goal Difference
-3
Data last updated: 2026-05-09T00:00:55+00:00
STARTING XI
Polissya Zhytomyr Oleksandria Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 5-4-1
23 E. Volynets
M. Kravchenko
#487'
31 G. Maisuradze
16 I. Krasniqi
5 E. Sarapiy
15 B. Mykhaylichenko
O. Fedor
#2765'
18 O. Andrievsky
8 R. Babenko
O. Nazarenko
#769'
14 L. Emërllahu
11 O. Hutsuliak
M. Gayduchyk
#8969'
95 I. Krasnopir
O. Filippov
#987'
45 M. Bragaru
72 N. Makarenko
90
90
50 J. Behiratche
26 M. Ferreira Campos
91 B. Butko
22 D. Skorko
37 P. Yade
D. Shostak
#7188'
10 S. Buletsa
D. Myshnov
#978'
20 D. Vashchenko
H. Touati
#2478'
27 T. Cara
D. Kremchanin
#7777'
99 B. Castillo Rosendo
General Information
📅 Date & Time :
May 08, 2026, 03:00 PM
🏆 Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 27 · Regular Season
🏟️ Stadium :
Tsentralnyi Stadion
👥 Capacity :
5928
🌱 Pitch Surface :
Grass
🌤️ Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
🧑⚖️ Referees :
Dmytro Panchyshyn
Volodymyr Dumenko
Yaroslav Povazhnyi
Sergiy Zadyran
Next Match
Polissya Zhytomyr
vs
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
League: Premier League
Kickoff: Tue, 12 May - 12:30 PM
Venue: Stadion Livyi Bereh
Oleksandria
vs
Zorya Luhansk
League: Premier League
Kickoff: Tue, 12 May - 10:00 AM
Venue: KSK Nika
Statistics
Possession
Polissya Zhytomyr
69%
Oleksandria
31%
Top Statistics
2 Goals 1
9 Shots 3
92 Dangerous attacks 23
69 Possession 31
12 Corners 3
3 Free kicks 4
Match Overview
1 Assists 1
Attacking
99 Attacks 57
Defensive
2 Saves 7
Discipline
4 Fouls 3
Lineup
Polissya Zhytomyr Referee : Dmytro Panchyshyn
Manager ▼
R. Rotan Coach
Starting XI ▼
23 Yevgen Volynets Goalkeeper
5 Eduard Sarapiy Defender
15 Bogdan Mykhaylichenko Defender
16 Ilir Krasniqi Defender
31 Giorgi Maisuradze Defender
4Mykyta Kravchenko
Defender87'
8 Ruslan Babenko Midfielder
11 Oleksiy Gutsulyak Midfielder
14 Lindon Emërllahu Midfielder
7Oleksandr Nazarenko
Midfielder69'
18 Oleksandr Andriyevskyi Midfielder
27Oleg Fedor
Midfielder65'
45 Maksym Bragaru Midfielder
9Oleksandr Filippov
Attacker87'
95 Igor Krasnopir Attacker
89Mykola Gayduchyk
Attacker69'
Substitutes ▼
27Oleg Fedor
Midfielder65'
7Oleksandr Nazarenko
Midfielder69'
89Mykola Gayduchyk
Attacker69'
9Oleksandr Filippov
Attacker87'
4Mykyta Kravchenko
Defender87'
Bench ▼
1
Oleg Kudryk Goalkeeper
21
Georgiy Bushchan Goalkeeper
35 Kiril Koberniuk Defender
19
Volodymyr Shepelev Midfielder
22
Vladyslav Veleten Midfielder
29 Borel Tomandzoto Midfielder
30
Bogdan Lednev Midfielder
Oleksandria Referee : Dmytro Panchyshyn
Manager ▼
V. Sharan Coach
Starting XI ▼
72 Nazar Makarenko Goalkeeper
22 Danil Skorko Defender
26 Miguel Campos Defender
50 Jocelin Behiratche Defender
90 Danyil Vlasiuk Defender
91 Bogdan Butko Defender
10 Sergiy Buletsa Midfielder
71Denys Shostak
Midfielder88'
20 Daniil Vashchenko Midfielder
9Dmytro Myshnyov
Midfielder78'
27 Tedi Cara Midfielder
24Hussayn Touati
Midfielder78'
37 Papa Ndiaga Yade Midfielder
99 Bryan Castillo Attacker
77Dmytrii Kremchanin
Attacker77'
Substitutes ▼
97Nazar Prokopenko
Defender59'
77Dmytrii Kremchanin
Attacker77'
9Dmytro Myshnyov
Midfielder78'
24Hussayn Touati
Midfielder78'
71Denys Shostak
Midfielder88'
Bench ▼
1
Viktor Dolgyi Goalkeeper
17 Artur Andreichyk Defender
11
Artem Shulyanskyi Midfielder
40
Dmytro Chernysh Midfielder
67 Mauro Rodrigues Midfielder
79 Denys Khmeliovskyi Midfielder
Events
2ND-HALF
Oleksandr Filippov
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
90'
88'
Denys Shostak → Sergiy Buletsa
10th Substitution
Oleksandr Filippov → Maksym Bragaru
8th Substitution
87'
Mykyta Kravchenko → Giorgi Maisuradze
9th Substitution
87'
82'
Papa Ndiaga Yade
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
78'
Dmytro Myshnyov → Daniil Vashchenko
6th Substitution
78'
Hussayn Touati → Tedi Cara
7th Substitution
77'
Dmytrii Kremchanin → Bryan Castillo
5th Substitution
Mykola Gayduchyk
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
71'
Oleksandr Nazarenko → Lindon Emërllahu
4th Substitution
69'
Mykola Gayduchyk → Igor Krasnopir
3rd Substitution
69'
Oleg Fedor → Oleksandr Andriyevskyi
2nd Substitution
65'
59'
Nazar Prokopenko → Danyil Vlasiuk
1st Substitution
CONCLUSION
Polissya Zhytomyr's 2-1 win over Oleksandria validates their status as the stronger team, leveraging 69% possession into a deserved victory after a goalless first half. The minimal 2.6% structural deviation and full market alignment reflect a performance true to form, with efficiency holding steady. Without red cards or major disruptions, the result stemmed from sustained dominance and second-half execution. This outcome reinforces Polissya's control in key metrics, setting a positive tone for future fixtures while exposing Oleksandria's challenges in converting limited possession.
Polissya Zhytomyr vs Oleksandria preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
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Match Commentary