Pisa vs Genoa Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Serie A
Genoa
GEN
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Genoa claimed a hard-fought 1-0 victory over Pisa in a match that leveled at 1-1 during halftime, showcasing the visitors' second-half resolve. As the stronger team, Genoa controlled 56% possession against Pisa's 44%, methodically breaking down the home defense without red card interruptions. The outcome delivered a significant 63.7% deviation in Genoa's favor, reflecting their ability to convert limited chances decisively. Pre-match probabilities positioned Genoa slightly ahead at 36.3%, with the result aligning overall despite the shift. Efficiency metrics for both sides remained in line with expectations, underscoring a tactical battle where Genoa's composure prevailed. No major second-half adjustments or events altered the flow, allowing Genoa's quality to shine through in grinding out the road win.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Halftime 1-1 tie shifted to Genoa's 1-0 full-time win via second-half control.
-
Efficiency shift: Both teams' efficiencies aligned with pre-match expectations.
-
xG alignment: Lack of xG data prevents outcome alignment evaluation.
-
Market alignment: Final result matched pre-match market expectations.
-
xG expectations: xG absence blocks comparison to performance expectations.
-
Event impact: Empty second-half adjustments list shows no key events swayed result.
-
Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured undistorted match progression.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
V. Crezzini
Other match officials
D. Palermo
1st Assistant
T. Miniutti
2nd Assistant
A. Colombo
4th Official
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Pisa
Genoa
Movement
Changes since opening
Pisa
Genoa
Team Power Ranking
i
12.03
22.93
Pisa
Genoa
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Pisa
Genoa
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Pisa
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency









Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)








Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
















Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.




























PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- PIS had peak pressure around 75'.
- GEN started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
















Data last updated: 2026-04-20T00:05:23+00:00
STARTING XI








































































































































































































General Information
Next Match


Pisa
vs
Parma
League: Serie A
Kickoff: Sat, 25 Apr - 1:00 PM
Venue: Stadio Ennio Tardini


Genoa
vs
Como
League: Serie A
Kickoff: Sun, 26 Apr - 1:00 PM
Venue: Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup


Manager ▼


Starting XI ▼



































Substitutes ▼















Bench ▼
















Manager ▼


Starting XI ▼



































Substitutes ▼















Bench ▼












Events
CONCLUSION
Pisa vs Genoa preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
How We Build This Analysis
BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.
Related Football Previews
Explore League Previews
Author
Alf Indseth writes football-focused analysis that looks beyond match results to explore form, value, and market context.




Match Commentary