Pisa vs Genoa Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Serie A
Genoa GENSTANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Genoa claimed a hard-fought 1-0 victory over Pisa in a match that leveled at 1-1 during halftime, showcasing the visitors' second-half resolve. As the stronger team, Genoa controlled 56% possession against Pisa's 44%, methodically breaking down the home defense without red card interruptions. The outcome delivered a significant 63.7% deviation in Genoa's favor, reflecting their ability to convert limited chances decisively. Pre-match probabilities positioned Genoa slightly ahead at 36.3%, with the result aligning overall despite the shift. Efficiency metrics for both sides remained in line with expectations, underscoring a tactical battle where Genoa's composure prevailed. No major second-half adjustments or events altered the flow, allowing Genoa's quality to shine through in grinding out the road win.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: Halftime 1-1 tie shifted to Genoa's 1-0 full-time win via second-half control.
- Efficiency shift: Both teams' efficiencies aligned with pre-match expectations.
- xG alignment: Lack of xG data prevents outcome alignment evaluation.
- Market alignment: Final result matched pre-match market expectations.
- xG expectations: xG absence blocks comparison to performance expectations.
- Event impact: Empty second-half adjustments list shows no key events swayed result.
- Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured undistorted match progression.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
V. Crezzini
Other match officials
D. Palermo
1st Assistant
T. Miniutti
2nd Assistant
A. Colombo
4th Official


Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Pisa
GenoaMovement
Changes since opening
Pisa
GenoaTeam Power Ranking
i
12.03
22.93
Pisa
GenoaForm Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.


Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Pisa
Genoa

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Pisa ⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency 
Defensive Efficiency 
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)




Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Pisa ⚠ Proxy
Pisa Genoa
Pisa Genoa
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Pisa
Pisa Genoa


Pisa Genoa


PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- PIS had peak pressure around 75'.
- GEN started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.


Match Record 
Goals 
Data last updated: 2026-04-20T00:05:23+00:00
STARTING XI
Pisa
Genoa























































General Information
Next Match

Pisa
vs

Parma
League: Serie A
Kickoff: Sat, 25 Apr - 1:00 PM
Venue: Stadio Ennio Tardini

Genoa
vs

Como
League: Serie A
Kickoff: Sun, 26 Apr - 1:00 PM
Venue: Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
PisaManager ▼

Starting XI ▼
















Substitutes ▼





Bench ▼








GenoaManager ▼

Starting XI ▼
















Substitutes ▼





Bench ▼






Events
CONCLUSION
Pisa vs Genoa preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
How We Build This Analysis
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Match Commentary