Piast Gliwice vs Pogoń Szczecin Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland

Stadion Miejski Mon, 13 Apr - 5:00 PM

Ekstraklasa

Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice

Pogoń Szczecin Pogoń Szczecin

Full Time Mon, 13 Apr 5:00 PM

Round 28 Regular Season

Paul Mukairu - 45+2'

Fredrik Ulvestad - 22' (P)

CONTEXT

The match between Piast Gliwice and Pogoń Szczecin is now finished, ending with a full-time score of 0-2 to the visitors. Pogoń Szczecin took a commanding 2-0 lead by halftime and held firm in the second period, securing all three points despite entering the fixture as the less-favored side. Pre-match forecasts positioned Piast Gliwice as the stronger team with the highest projected chance of victory. The actual result represented a significant deviation in favor of Pogoń Szczecin, who produced an outcome that did not align with those initial expectations. No red cards were shown and no major disruptive events altered the flow, yet the visitors proved far more clinical in front of goal. Piast Gliwice controlled 58 percent of possession to Pogoń Szczecin’s 42 percent but generated no reward from their territorial edge. With xG data unavailable, the efficiency shift stayed in line with general match patterns, underlining how Pogoń converted limited opportunities while Piast struggled to create clear chances. The away side’s disciplined defensive display ensured the lead was never seriously threatened after the interval.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Pogoń Szczecin showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: No major event distortion.
Red card distortion: None.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

?. Kuźma

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

P. Podbielski

2nd Assistant

P. Wrzeszczyński

4th Official

D. Golis

1st Assistant

D. Myśliwiec

T. Thomasberg

1.56

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.31

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

8 - 11 - 12

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Piast Gliwice

45.21%

Draw

26.28%

Pogoń Szczecin

28.51%

Movement

Changes since opening

Piast Gliwice

+45.01%

Draw

+24.36%

Pogoń Szczecin

-69.38%

Team Power Ranking

27.16

27.12

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Piast Gliwice

Pogoń Szczecin

Power Score

27.16

27.12

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Piast Gliwice — Opponent-weighted form score

Pogoń Szczecin — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Piast Gliwice Pogoń Szczecin

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Piast Gliwice

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Pogoń Szczecin

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Piast Gliwice ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Pogoń Szczecin

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

32.93

15.71

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

15.71

32.93

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Piast Gliwice +1.59 Efficiency Index

Pogoń Szczecin -1.59 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Piast Gliwice

Pogoń Szczecin

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Piast Gliwice ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Pogoń Szczecin

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Piast Gliwice Pogoń Szczecin

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 1.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Piast Gliwice Pogoń Szczecin

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

1.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Piast Gliwice

Pogoń Szczecin

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Piast Gliwice

Pogoń Szczecin

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Piast Gliwice Pogoń Szczecin

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Piast Gliwice Pogoń Szczecin

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Piast Gliwice

Pogoń Szczecin

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

Pogoń Szczecin had peak pressure around 2'.
Pogoń Szczecin started the game with stronger pressure.

Piast Gliwice Pressure Pogoń Szczecin Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: Pogoń Szczecin reached the top pressure at 2' (78.15).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 31 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice Home

31 matches

Pogoń Szczecin Pogoń Szczecin Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-5

Goal Difference

Data last updated: 2026-04-14T00:01:13+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2

33 K. Szymanski

55 E. Twumasi

5 J. Rivas Margalef

29 I. Drapiński

36 J. Lewicki

98 J. Eyenga-Lokilo

20 G. Tomasiewicz

10 P. Dziczek

80 H. Vallejo Avilés

9 A. Dalmau Vaquer

7 J. Muñoz García

77 V. Cojocaru

4 L. Borges da Silva

41 A. Szalai

22 D. Lončar

3 K. Acosta

47 Natan Lawa

6 J. Biegański

8 F. Ulvestad

25 M. Agger

18 P. Mukairu

24 K. Angielski

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 13, 2026, 05:00 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 28 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Stadion Miejski

Capacity :

15139

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Łukasz Kuźma

P. Podbielski

Paweł Wrzeszczyński

Dawid Igor Golis

Statistics

Possession

Piast Gliwice

57%

Pogoń Szczecin

43%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 2

4 Big Chances Created 2

15 Shots 4

82 Dangerous attacks 52

58 Possession 42

11 Corners 1

14 Free kicks 12

1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

55 Successful Dribbles Percentage 43

11 Dribble Attempts 14

0 Penalties 1

3 Goal Kicks 16

24 Throwins 16

88 Ball Safe 93

8 Goal Attempts 3

6 Successful Dribbles 6

0 Assists 1

5 Substitutions 4

0 Injuries 4

1 Hit Woodwork 0

Attacking

101 Attacks 83

4 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

80 Successful Passes Percentage 69

33 Successful Long Passes Percentage 25

347 Successful Passes 224

13 Key Passes 3

16 Successful Long Passes 18

435 Passes 323

49 Long Passes 71

Defensive

54 Duels Won 41

15 Interceptions 10

16 Tackles 14

1 Saves 2

Build-up

8 Accurate Crosses 1

34 Total Crosses 8

Discipline

13 Fouls 14

0 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Łukasz Kuźma

Manager ▼

D. Myśliwiec Coach

Starting XI ▼

Karol Szymanski Goalkeeper

6.5

Juande Rivas Defender

7.04

Igor Drapinski Defender

6.86

Jakub Lewicki Defender

6.73

Ema Twumasi Defender

6.65

Patryk Dziczek Midfielder

7.06

Grzegorz Tomasiewicz Midfielder

6.83

Andreas Katsantonis

Attacker73'

6.69

Hugo Vallejo Midfielder

6.81

Leandro Sanca

Midfielder61'

6.98

Jason Lokilo Midfielder

6.81

Oskar Lesniak

Midfielder61'

6.81

Jorge Félix Attacker

6.88

Michal Chrapek

Midfielder72'

6.74

Adrián Dalmau Attacker

6.7

Quentin Boisgard

Midfielder61'

6.64

Substitutes ▼

Quentin Boisgard

Midfielder61'

6.64

Oskar Lesniak

Midfielder61'

6.81

Leandro Sanca

Midfielder61'

6.98

Michal Chrapek

Midfielder72'

6.74

Andreas Katsantonis

Attacker73'

6.69

Bench ▼

Jakub Grelich Goalkeeper

Dominik Holec Goalkeeper

Elton Fikaj Defender

6.49

Jakub Czerwinski Defender

6.69

Filip Borowski Defender

6.44

Oliwier Maziarz Midfielder

Szczepan Mucha Midfielder

6.45

Referee : Łukasz Kuźma