Piast Gliwice vs Arka Gdynia Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland

Stadion Miejski Mon, 27 Apr - 5:00 PM

Ekstraklasa

Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice

Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia

Full Time Mon, 27 Apr 5:00 PM

Round 30 Regular Season

Hugo Vallejo - 90+1'

Igor Drapinski - 82'

Filip Borowski - 48'

Quentin Boisgard - 10'

Dawid Kocyla - 54'

CONTEXT

Piast Gliwice delivered a dominant 4-1 win against Arka Gdynia, leading 1-0 at halftime before scoring three second-half goals to seal the victory. The home team held 64% possession compared to Arka's 36%, underscoring their control throughout the match. As the identified stronger team, Piast's performance resulted in a minimal structural deviation of 2.1%, aligning closely with expectations. No red cards were issued, and there were no notable second-half adjustments or disruptive events. Efficiency levels stayed in line with anticipated patterns, reflecting a straightforward execution of Piast's superiority. The final score accurately captured the home side's superiority without any major anomalies.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Result showed minimal 2.1% structural deviation favoring Piast Gliwice.
Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
xG alignment: xG data unavailable, preventing alignment assessment.
Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with pre-market expectations.
xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable due to missing data.
Event impact: No events or adjustments significantly impacted the match.
Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, resulting in zero distortion.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

S. Marciniak

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

T. Listkiewicz

1st Assistant

A. Kupsik

2nd Assistant

M. Kuropatwa

4th Official

D. Myśliwiec

D. Banasik

1.61

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.19

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

7 - 4 - 4

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Piast Gliwice

97.89%

Draw

1.92%

Arka Gdynia

0.2%

Team Power Ranking

26.08

25.21

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Piast Gliwice

Arka Gdynia

Power Score

26.08

25.21

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Piast Gliwice — Opponent-weighted form score

Arka Gdynia — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Piast Gliwice Arka Gdynia

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Piast Gliwice

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Arka Gdynia

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Piast Gliwice ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Arka Gdynia

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

41.09

25.14

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

25.14

41.09

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Piast Gliwice +1.48 Efficiency Index

Arka Gdynia -1.48 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Piast Gliwice

Arka Gdynia

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Piast Gliwice ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Arka Gdynia

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Piast Gliwice Arka Gdynia

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Piast Gliwice Arka Gdynia

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Piast Gliwice

Arka Gdynia

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Piast Gliwice

Arka Gdynia

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Piast Gliwice Arka Gdynia

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Piast Gliwice Arka Gdynia

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Piast Gliwice

Arka Gdynia

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

Piast Gliwice had peak pressure around 35'.
Piast Gliwice started the game with stronger pressure.

Piast Gliwice Pressure Arka Gdynia Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: Piast Gliwice reached the top pressure at 35' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 15 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice Home

15 matches

Arka Gdynia Arka Gdynia Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

-6

Data last updated: 2026-04-28T00:02:06+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

30 D. Holec

28 F. Borowski

5 J. Rivas Margalef

29 I. Drapiński

36 J. Lewicki

10 P. Dziczek

98 J. Eyenga-Lokilo

17 Q. Boisgard

20 G. Tomasiewicz

11 Leandro Sanca

7 J. Muñoz García

1 J. Grobelny

94 D. Gojny

29 M. Marcjanik

3 S. Szota

2 M. Navarro Ceciliano

10 A. Nguiamba

6 L. Perea Hernández

31 N. Rusyn

37 S. Kerk

7 Oskar Kubiak

19 V. Gutkovskis

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 27, 2026, 05:00 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 30 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Stadion Miejski

Capacity :

15139

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Szymon Marciniak

Tomasz Listkiewicz

Adam Kupsik

Maciej Kuropatwa

Statistics

Possession

Piast Gliwice

60%

Arka Gdynia

40%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 1

4 Big Chances Created 2

16 Shots 5

46 Dangerous attacks 41

64 Possession 36

6 Corners 5

6 Free kicks 11

2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

17 Goal Attempts 4

1 Injuries 2

1 Hit Woodwork 0

82 Ball Safe 83

12 Throwins 22

38 Successful Dribbles Percentage 29

16 Dribble Attempts 14

5 Goal Kicks 10

1 Penalties 0

6 Successful Dribbles 4

3 Assists 1

5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

2 Big Chances Missed 1

92 Attacks 80

Possession

83 Successful Passes Percentage 67

512 Passes 284

18 Successful Long Passes 21

36 Successful Long Passes Percentage 33

423 Successful Passes 191

50 Long Passes 64

17 Key Passes 6

Defensive

44 Duels Won 56

15 Tackles 19

2 Interceptions 11

2 Saves 8

Build-up

17 Total Crosses 13

9 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

11 Fouls 7

1 Offsides 3

Lineup

Referee : Szymon Marciniak

Manager ▼

D. Myśliwiec Coach

Starting XI ▼

Dominik Holec Goalkeeper

7.54

Juande Rivas Defender

7.03

Filip Borowski Defender

6.48

Igor Drapinski Defender

6.85

Jakub Lewicki Defender

6.76

Elton Fikaj

Defender60'

6.49

Patryk Dziczek Midfielder

7.07

Leandro Sanca Midfielder

Hugo Vallejo

Attacker60'

6.75

Quentin Boisgard Midfielder

6.65

German Barkovskiy

Attacker68'

6.84

Grzegorz Tomasiewicz Midfielder

6.81

Michal Chrapek

Midfielder78'

6.75

Jason Lokilo Midfielder

6.82

Oskar Lesniak

Midfielder68'

6.8

Jorge Félix Attacker

6.87

Substitutes ▼

Elton Fikaj

Defender60'

6.49

Hugo Vallejo

Attacker60'

6.75

German Barkovskiy

Attacker68'

6.84

Oskar Lesniak

Midfielder68'

6.8

Michal Chrapek

Midfielder78'

6.75

Bench ▼

Karol Szymanski Goalkeeper

6.43

Tomasz Mokwa Defender

6.32

Szczepan Mucha Midfielder

6.43

Ivan Lima Midfielder

5.79

Adrián Dalmau Attacker

6.64

Andreas Katsantonis Attacker

6.65

Referee : Szymon Marciniak