Petrovac vs Žalgiris Prediction, Preview and Stats

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Stadion Beroe Today - 6:45 PM
Europa Conference League
Petrovac Petrovac
1 Winner 3
Žalgiris Žalgiris
Full Time Today 6:45 PM
1st Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Nemanja Carević - 27'
Goal
|
Goal
Stanislav Bilenkyi - 87'
Nikola Petković - 58', 18'

CONTEXT

The match between Petrovac and Žalgiris served as the opening leg of a two-legged knockout encounter. Petrovac, identified as the stronger team beforehand, hosted the fixture but ultimately suffered a 1-3 loss. Both sides found the net once in the first half, leaving the score level at 1-1 during the interval. Žalgiris then dominated proceedings after the break, adding two further goals to establish a commanding position for the second leg. The away side controlled more of the ball with 55 percent possession against Petrovac's 45 percent. No dismissals occurred on either side throughout the ninety minutes. This outcome highlighted a substantial shift from initial assessments, as the visitors overcame the home team's favored status through effective play. The significant deviation in performance underscored Žalgiris's ability to capitalize on opportunities away from home.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Petrovac 1-3 Žalgiris. Žalgiris showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Team efficiencies remained in line with expectations throughout the contest.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable for alignment assessment in this fixture.
  • Market alignment: The final result aligned with market expectations as indicated by available data.
  • xG expectations: No xG metrics were recorded to evaluate expectations against actual outcomes.
  • Event impact: The second half goals by Žalgiris proved decisive in determining the match outcome.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards ensured no distortion from disciplinary events affected the result.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

D. Kubryak

Ukraine 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 4 0.36
Fouls / match 30.4
Yellow cards / match 4
Red cards / match 0.36
Penalties / match 0.36

Other match officials

V. Nyzhnyk

1st Assistant

Ukraine

M. Striletska

2nd Assistant

Ukraine

M. Skrypnyk

4th Official

Ukraine

League averages

Europa Conference League Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 13.04
Yellow cards / match 2.62
Red cards / match 0.09
Penalties / match 0.15
Petrovac Z. Dragićević
Z. Dragićević
VS
Žalgiris A. Skerla
A. Skerla
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Petrovac
26.74%
Draw
27.09%
Away Žalgiris
46.17%

Movement

Changes since opening
Petrovac
+25.97%
Draw
+25.18%
Žalgiris
-51.15%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Petrovac
Žalgiris
Power Score
50
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Petrovac — Opponent-weighted form score
Žalgiris — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Petrovac Žalgiris

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Petrovac

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Žalgiris

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Petrovac ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Žalgiris
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Petrovac Žalgiris
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Petrovac Žalgiris
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Petrovac
Žalgiris
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Petrovac
vs
Žalgiris
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Petrovac Žalgiris
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Petrovac 0.00
Žalgiris 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Petrovac Žalgiris
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Petrovac 0.00
Žalgiris 0.00
Petrovac
Žalgiris
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Žalgiris had peak pressure around 56'.
  • Petrovac started the game with stronger pressure.
Petrovac Pressure Žalgiris Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Žalgiris reached the top pressure at 56' (73.70).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Petrovac Petrovac Home
0 matches
Žalgiris Žalgiris Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-06T00:06:23+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time :
Jul 09, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition :
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium :
Stadion Beroe
Capacity :
12128
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Dmitriy Kubryak
Viktor Nyzhnyk
Maryna Striletska
Maksym Skrypnyk

Statistics

Possession
Petrovac
44%
Žalgiris
56%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 3
4 Shots 12
37 Dangerous attacks 47
45 Possession 55
3 Corners 3
13 Free kicks 16
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

42 Ball Safe 57
1 Goal Attempts 5
5 Substitutions 4
15 Throwins 15
1 Assists 2
0 Injuries 1

Attacking

81 Attacks 91

Discipline

4 Offsides 0
12 Fouls 12

Squad

Referee : Dmitriy Kubryak

Squad ▼

1
Suad Ličina
Suad Ličina Goalkeeper
25
Marko Kordić
Marko Kordić Goalkeeper
33
Dejan Boljević
Dejan Boljević Defender
5
Aleksandar Kapisoda
Aleksandar Kapisoda Defender
29
Danilo Pešukić
Danilo Pešukić Defender
44
Marko Merdović
Marko Merdović Defender
—
Ognjen Obradović
Ognjen Obradović Defender
—
Robert Gjelaj
Robert Gjelaj Defender
18
Stefan Fićović
Stefan Fićović Midfielder
23
Zaim Divanović
Zaim Divanović Midfielder
22
Dragan Miranović
Dragan Miranović Midfielder
32
Strahinja Tešović
Strahinja Tešović Midfielder
—
Ivan Vukčević
Ivan Vukčević Attacker
9
Boban Đorđević
Boban Đorđević Attacker
—
Nikola Janjić
Nikola Janjić Attacker
—
Vuk Striković
Vuk Striković Attacker
Referee : Dmitriy Kubryak

Squad ▼

12
Vincentas Šarkauskas
Vincentas Šarkauskas Goalkeeper
1
Carlos Raúl Olses Quijada
Carlos Raúl Olses Quijada Goalkeeper
95
Dominykas Čekavičius
Dominykas Čekavičius Goalkeeper
21
Dominik Franke
Dominik Franke Defender
77
Jury Kendysh
Jury Kendysh Defender
15
Petar Bosančić
Petar Bosančić Defender
13
Klaudijus Upstas
Klaudijus Upstas Defender
5
Grigore Ioan Turda
Grigore Ioan Turda Defender
26
Younn Zahary
Younn Zahary Defender
4
Danny Koy Lupano
Danny Koy Lupano Defender
23
Saba Mamatsashvili
Saba Mamatsashvili Defender
14
Martynas Šetkus
Martynas Šetkus Defender
44
Patrik Matyžonok
Patrik Matyžonok Defender
25
Vytis Pavilonis
Vytis Pavilonis Defender
17
Giedrius Matulevičius
Giedrius Matulevičius Midfielder
22
Ovidijus Verbickas
Ovidijus Verbickas Midfielder
18
Deividas Šešplaukis
Deividas Šešplaukis Midfielder
9
Gustas Jarusevičius
Gustas Jarusevičius Midfielder
10
Paulius Golubickas
Paulius Golubickas Midfielder
20
Ivan Lytvynenko
Ivan Lytvynenko Midfielder
29
Kajus Bička
Kajus Bička Midfielder
88
Dariuš Stankevičius
Dariuš Stankevičius Midfielder
6
Marko Capan
Marko Capan Midfielder
8
Liviu Ion Antal
Liviu Ion Antal Attacker
7
Nemanja Mihajlović
Nemanja Mihajlović Attacker
19
Stanislav Bilenkiy
Stanislav Bilenkiy Attacker
11
Nikola Petković
Nikola Petković Attacker
2
70
Bryan Silva Teixeira
Bryan Silva Teixeira Attacker
27
Matas Vareika
Matas Vareika Attacker
33
Nedas Klimavičius
Nedas Klimavičius Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
87'
Event
Stanislav Bilenkyi
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
85'
Event
Ovidijus Verbickas → Marko Capan
9th Substitution
Event
Nikola Balević
7th Substitution
80'
Event
Đorđe Fabris → Nikola Janjić
8th Substitution
80'
77'
Event
Saba Mamatsashvili → Dominik Franke
5th Substitution
77'
Event
Grigore Turda → Bryan Teixeira
6th Substitution
Event
Danilo Bakić → Trimror Selimi
4th Substitution
72'
68'
Event
Ivan Lytvynenko → Nikola Petković
3rd Substitution
Event
Ognjen Obradović → Danilo Pešukić
1st Substitution
61'
Event
Vuk Strikovic → Ivan Vukcevic
2nd Substitution
61'
58'
Event
Nikola Petković
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
Dominik Franke
1st Yellowcard
53'
Event
Robert Gjelaj
2nd Yellowcard
53'
1ST-HALF
Event
Nemanja Carević
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
27'
18'
Event
Nikola Petković
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

87
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-3.
85
Update Update
Ovidijus Verbickas comes on for Marko Capan.
80
Update Update
Nikola Balevic is on, and Stefan Ficovic is off.
80
Update Update
Djordje Fabris replaces Nikola Janjic.
77
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
77
Update Update
Grigore Turda comes on for Bryan Silva Teixeira.
77
Update Update
Saba Mamatsashvili is on, and Dominik Franke is off.
75
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
72
Update Update
Danilo Bakic is on, and Trimror Selimi is off.
68
Substitution Substitution
Ivan Lytvynenko is substituted off for Nikola Petkovic.
61
Update Update
On Vuk Strikovic, off Ivan Vukcevic.
61
Update Update
Ognjen Obradovic comes on for Danilo Pesukic.
58
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-2.
55
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
53
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
53
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Robert Gjelaj receives a yellow card.
48
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Dominik Franke receives a yellow card.
27
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-1.
18
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Nikola Petkovic scores, making it 1-0.
13
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off has started!

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Petrovac 1-3 Žalgiris. Structural assessment: Žalgiris exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

Petrovac vs Žalgiris preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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Daniels Zorge

Daniels Zorge covers football fixtures with a focus on tactical matchups, playing styles, and key details that shape each game.