Pescara vs Virtus Entella Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Stadio Adriatico-Giovanni Cornacchia Wed, 18 Mar - 7:00 PM
Serie B
Pescara PES
3 Winner 0
Virtus Entella ENT
Full Time Wed, 18 Mar 7:00 PM
Lorenzo Insigne - 56'
Fabrizio Caligara - 43'
Andrea Cagnano - 20'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Pescara 3–0 Virtus Entella. The result saw Pescara take the points. Pescara showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 58%–42%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Pescara showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
  • Market: Pescara 46.8% (Δ+0%) | Draw 27.7% (Δ+0%) | Virtus Entella 25.6% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Pescara G. Gorgone
G. Gorgone
VS
Virtus Entella A. Chiappella
A. Chiappella
0.84
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.92
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Frosinone Rank: 64 D
Palermo Rank: 64 W
Venezia Rank: 69 L
Avellino Rank: 52 W
Catanzaro Rank: 61 L
Cesena Rank: 52 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Modena Rank: 58 W
Monza Rank: 65 L
Catanzaro Rank: 61 L
Palermo Rank: 62 L
Cesena Rank: 52 W
Spezia Rank: 52 D
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 6 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Pescara
46.75%
Draw
27.67%
Away Virtus Entella
25.58%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
47.31
46.01
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Pescara
Virtus Entella
Power Score
47.31
46.01
League Position
20
17
Global Rank
806
851

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Pescara — Opponent-weighted form score
Virtus Entella — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Pescara Virtus Entella

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Pescara

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Virtus Entella

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Pescara ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Virtus Entella
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
13.62
30.60
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
30.60
13.62
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Pescara -1.62 Efficiency Index
vs
Virtus Entella +1.62 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Pescara
Virtus Entella
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Pescara ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Virtus Entella
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Pescara Virtus Entella
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Pescara Virtus Entella
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Pescara
Virtus Entella
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 11 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Pescara PES Home
11 matches
Virtus Entella ENT Away
Match Record
3
Wins
2
6
Draws
6
2
Losses
3
Goals
16
Goals Scored
12
12
Goals Conceded
16
+4
Goal Difference
-4

Data last updated: 2026-03-19T00:05:43+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-2-1
Match Formation 3-5-2
Pitch
I. Saio
Italy
22 I. Saio
G. Letizia
Substitution
Italy
3 G. Letizia
R. Capellini
Italy
2 R. Capellini
D. Bettella
Italy
6 D. Bettella
A. Cagnano
Italy
32 A. Cagnano
L. Valzania
Italy
14 L. Valzania
G. Brugman
Substitution
Uruguay
8 G. Brugman
F. Caligara
Substitution
Italy
21 F. Caligara
G. Acampora
Substitution
Italy
13 G. Acampora
L. Insigne
Italy
11 L. Insigne
A. Di Nardo
Substitution
Italy
9 A. Di Nardo
Pitch
S. Colombi
Substitution
Italy
1 S. Colombi
I. Marconi
Italy
15 I. Marconi
M. Alborghetti
Italy
3 M. Alborghetti
L. Parodi
Italy
23 L. Parodi
S. Di Mario
Substitution
Italy
26 S. Di Mario
M. Dalla Vecchia
Italy
27 M. Dalla Vecchia
M. Nichetti
Substitution
Italy
4 M. Nichetti
A. Franzoni
Substitution
Italy
24 A. Franzoni
R. Turricchia
Italy
46 R. Turricchia
M. Tirelli
Substitution
Italy
17 M. Tirelli
B. Guiu Vilanova
Spain
11 B. Guiu Vilanova

General Information

Date & Time :
Mar 18, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
Stadium :
Stadio Adriatico-Giovanni Cornacchia
Capacity :
20520
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ , Clear
Referees :
Domenico Palermo
Leonardo Mastrodomenico
Marco Colaianni
Ivano Pezzuto

Statistics

Possession
PES
55%
ENT
45%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 0
1 Big Chances Created 1
4 Shots 5
38 Dangerous attacks 37
58 Possession 42
2 Corners 1
16 Free kicks 15
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

75 Ball Safe 69
28 Throwins 30
5 Goal Kicks 4
3 Assists 0
15 Dribble Attempts 16
5 Substitutions 5
8 Successful Dribbles 9
53 Successful Dribbles Percentage 56
0 Injuries 3
6 Goal Attempts 10

Attacking

91 Attacks 86
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

82 Successful Passes Percentage 77
6 Key Passes 9
66 Long Passes 41
478 Passes 336
392 Successful Passes 260
48 Successful Long Passes Percentage 44
32 Successful Long Passes 18

Defensive

6 Interceptions 16
19 Tackles 12
4 Saves 0

Build-up

4 Total Crosses 13
0 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

10 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 3

Lineup

Referee : Ivano Pezzuto

Starting XI ▼

22
Ivan Saio
Ivan Saio Goalkeeper
2
Riccardo Capellini
Riccardo Capellini Defender
3
Gaetano Letizia
Gaetano Letizia Defender
26
Andreaw Gravillon
Andreaw Gravillon
Defender60'
6
Davide Bettella
Davide Bettella Defender
32
Andrea Cagnano
Andrea Cagnano Defender
8
Gastón Brugman
Gastón Brugman Midfielder
36
Lorenzo Berardi
Lorenzo Berardi
Midfielder64'
11
Lorenzo Insigne
Lorenzo Insigne Midfielder
13
Gennaro Acampora
Gennaro Acampora Midfielder
5
Julian Brandes
Julian Brandes
Midfielder70'
14
Luca Valzania
Luca Valzania Midfielder
21
Fabrizio Caligara
Fabrizio Caligara Midfielder
27
Giacomo Olzer
Giacomo Olzer
Midfielder64'
9
Antonio Di Nardo
Antonio Di Nardo Attacker
31
Flavio Russo
Flavio Russo
Attacker65'
Referee : Ivano Pezzuto

Starting XI ▼

1
Simone Colombi
Simone Colombi Goalkeeper
99
Ovidijus Siaulys
Ovidijus Siaulys
Goalkeeper40'
3
Mattia Alborghetti
Mattia Alborghetti Defender
15
Ivan Marconi
Ivan Marconi Defender
23
Luca Parodi
Luca Parodi Defender
4
Marco Nichetti
Marco Nichetti Midfielder
5
Niccolò Squizzato
Niccolò Squizzato
Midfielder69'
24
Andrea Franzoni
Andrea Franzoni Midfielder
8
Nermin Karić
Nermin Karić
Midfielder64'
26
Stefano Di Mario
Stefano Di Mario Midfielder
77
Antonio Boccadamo
Antonio Boccadamo
Defender64'
27
Marco Dalla Vecchia
Marco Dalla Vecchia Midfielder
46
Riccardo Turicchia
Riccardo Turicchia Midfielder
11
Bernat Guiu
Bernat Guiu Attacker
17
Mattia Tirelli
Mattia Tirelli Attacker
10
Luigi Cuppone
Luigi Cuppone
Attacker69'

Events

2ND-HALF
90+3'
Event
Niccolò Squizzato
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
84'
Event
Marco Dalla Vecchia
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Julian Brandes → Gennaro Acampora
10th Substitution
70'
69'
Event
Niccolò Squizzato → Marco Nichetti
9th Substitution
69'
Event
Luigi Cuppone → Mattia Tirelli
8th Substitution
Event
Flavio Russo → Antonio Di Nardo
7th Substitution
65'
Event
Lorenzo Berardi → Gastón Brugman
3rd Substitution
64'
Event
Giacomo Olzer → Fabrizio Caligara
6th Substitution
64'
64'
Event
Nermin Karić → Andrea Franzoni
5th Substitution
64'
Event
Antonio Boccadamo → Stefano Di Mario
4th Substitution
Event
Andreaw Gravillon → Gaetano Letizia
2nd Substitution
60'
Event
Lorenzo Insigne
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
56'
1ST-HALF
Event
Fabrizio Caligara
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
43'
40'
Event
Ovidijus Siaulys → Simone Colombi
1st Substitution
Event
Gaetano Letizia
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
27'
Event
Andrea Cagnano
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
20'

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Pescara exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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