Pescara vs Juve Stabia Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Serie B, Italy

Stadio Adriatico-Giovanni Cornacchia Sat, 25 Apr - 1:00 PM

Serie B

Pescara PES

1 – 1

Juve Stabia JUV

Full Time Sat, 25 Apr 1:00 PM

Round 36 Regular Season

Lorenzo Insigne - 51'

Omar Correia - 61'

CONTEXT

Pescara hosted Juve Stabia in a Serie C encounter that culminated in a hard-fought 1-1 draw at the Stadio Adriatico. The halftime score stood at 0-0, with both teams trading possession in a cagey opening period—Juve Stabia edging it at 54% to Pescara's 46%. The visitors struck first in the second half, capitalizing on their territorial advantage as the stronger side on paper. However, Pescara responded swiftly, leveling through determined counterattacking play and solid defensive resolve. No red cards marred the contest, ensuring uninterrupted flow and tactical purity. Lacking xG metrics, analysis leans on possession and event data, revealing Juve Stabia's control without decisive breakthroughs. This outcome underscores a balanced matchup where neither side could impose dominance fully, aligning with pre-match structural expectations despite a moderate deviation toward the away team. The draw maintains status quo for both in the standings.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Match exhibited moderate 8.5% structural deviation favoring Juve Stabia.
Efficiency shift: Team efficiencies stayed in line with expectations.
xG alignment: xG alignment unassessable due to unavailable data.
Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with pre-match market projections.
xG expectations: xG expectations unevaluable from missing metrics.
Event impact: No notable events significantly altered match dynamics.
Red card distortion: Zero red cards produced no distortion in game flow.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

D. Perenzoni

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

A. Zanotti

4th Official

I. Catallo

2nd Assistant

M. Belsanti

1st Assistant

G. Gorgone

I. Abate

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.33

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

3 - 1 - 3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Pescara

4.44%

Draw

91.5%

Juve Stabia

4.06%

Movement

Changes since opening

Pescara

-0.47%

Draw

+0.86%

Juve Stabia

-0.39%

Team Power Ranking

21.27

25.42

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Pescara

Juve Stabia

Power Score

21.27

25.42

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Pescara — Opponent-weighted form score

Juve Stabia — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Pescara Juve Stabia

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Pescara

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Juve Stabia

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Pescara ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Juve Stabia

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

23.59

28.15

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

28.15

23.59

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Pescara -0.43 Efficiency Index

Juve Stabia +0.43 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Pescara

Juve Stabia

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Pescara ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Juve Stabia

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Pescara Juve Stabia

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Pescara Juve Stabia

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Pescara

Juve Stabia

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Pescara

Juve Stabia

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Pescara Juve Stabia

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Pescara Juve Stabia

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Pescara

Juve Stabia

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

JUV had peak pressure around 47'.
JUV started the game with stronger pressure.

PES Pressure JUV Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: JUV reached the top pressure at 47' (88.53).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 7 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Pescara PES Home

7 matches

Juve Stabia JUV Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

-4

Data last updated: 2026-04-26T00:02:10+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-2-1

Match Formation 3-5-1-1

22 I. Saio

3 G. Letizia

2 R. Capellini

6 D. Bettella

32 A. Cagnano

14 L. Valzania

8 G. Brugman

21 F. Caligara

13 G. Acampora

11 L. Insigne

9 A. Di Nardo

1 A. Confente

14 C. Dalle Mura

33 A. Giorgini

46 S. Diakite

77 A. Cacciamani

29 O. Correia

55 G. Leone

98 N. Mosti

2 M. Ricciardi

37 F. Maistro

90 A. Okoro

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 25, 2026, 01:00 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 36 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Stadio Adriatico-Giovanni Cornacchia

Capacity :

20520

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Andrea Zanotti

Daniele Perenzoni

Ivan Catallo

Marco Belsanti

Statistics

Possession

PES

48%

JUV

52%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1

1 Big Chances Created 4

3 Shots 9

57 Dangerous attacks 44

46 Possession 54

3 Corners 2

13 Free kicks 16

2 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

47 Successful Dribbles Percentage 43

5 Goal Kicks 5

15 Dribble Attempts 14

20 Throwins 11

7 Successful Dribbles 6

5 Substitutions 5

55 Ball Safe 60

0 Assists 1

8 Goal Attempts 7

Attacking

92 Attacks 90

1 Big Chances Missed 3

Possession

81 Successful Passes Percentage 82

47 Long Passes 52

342 Successful Passes 409

40 Successful Long Passes Percentage 37

420 Passes 499

19 Successful Long Passes 19

6 Key Passes 9

Defensive

13 Tackles 14

4 Saves 3

12 Interceptions 6

36 Duels Won 44

Build-up

14 Total Crosses 6

1 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

1 Offsides 2

16 Fouls 13

Lineup

Referee : Daniele Perenzoni

Manager ▼

G. Gorgone Coach

Starting XI ▼

Ivan Saio Goalkeeper

6.89

Riccardo Capellini Defender

6.7

Gaetano Letizia Defender

7.02

Davide Faraoni

Defender82'

6.85

Davide Bettella Defender

6.65

Giorgio Altare

Defender72'

6.62

Andrea Cagnano Defender

6.59

Gastón Brugman Midfielder

6.92

Lorenzo Insigne Midfielder

7.42

Gennaro Acampora Midfielder

6.89

Lorenzo Meazzi

Attacker68'

6.84

Luca Valzania Midfielder

6.83

Fabrizio Caligara Midfielder

6.9

Lorenzo Berardi

Midfielder69'

6.56

Antonio Di Nardo Attacker

6.97

Frank Tsadjout

Attacker83'

6.64

Substitutes ▼

Lorenzo Meazzi

Attacker68'

6.84

Lorenzo Berardi

Midfielder69'

6.56

Giorgio Altare

Defender72'

6.62

Davide Faraoni

Defender82'

6.85

Frank Tsadjout

Attacker83'

6.64

Bench ▼

Magnus Brøndbo Goalkeeper

Andreaw Gravillon Defender

6.53

Gabriele Corbo Defender

6.42

Julian Brandes Midfielder

6.48

Lamine Dabo Midfielder

6.56

Andrea Oliveri Midfielder

6.75

Flavio Russo Attacker

6.43

Referee : Daniele Perenzoni