Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma Prediction, Preview and Stats

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Cardiff City Stadium Today - 6:45 PM
Europa Conference League
Penybont Penybont
0 Winner 1
FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma
Full Time Today 6:45 PM
1st Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
|
Goal
Guillaume Lopez - 16'

CONTEXT

In the first leg of their two-legged tie Penybont hosted FC Santa Coloma and lost 0-1. The visitors scored in the opening half to lead 0-1 at the interval and preserved the advantage through the second period. Penybont recorded 53 percent possession while FC Santa Coloma held 47 percent. No red cards were issued to either side. Although identified as the stronger team Penybont failed to find an equalizer. The final margin represented a 3.9 percent deviation from pre-match indicators and was rated minimal. The result proved consistent with available market signals and efficiency remained in line with expectations.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: The result showed a minimal 3.9 percent deviation from pre-match indicators.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with expectations for both teams.
  • xG alignment: No expected goals data were recorded so alignment could not be assessed.
  • Market alignment: The 0-1 outcome was aligned with market indicators.
  • xG expectations: Expected goals metrics were unavailable for this fixture.
  • Event impact: The away goal scored before halftime decided the 0-1 result.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so disciplinary events created no distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

M. Beltrano

San Marino 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 4 0.36
Fouls / match 30.4
Yellow cards / match 4
Red cards / match 0.36
Penalties / match 0.36

Other match officials

G. Ercolani

1st Assistant

San Marino

E. Cristiano

2nd Assistant

San Marino

League averages

Europa Conference League Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 13.04
Yellow cards / match 2.62
Red cards / match 0.09
Penalties / match 0.15
Penybont Penybont
Penybont
VS
FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma
FC Santa Coloma
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Penybont
0.64%
Draw
3.31%
Away FC Santa Coloma
96.05%

Movement

Changes since opening
Penybont
0%
Draw
-1.75%
FC Santa Coloma
+1.75%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Penybont
FC Santa Coloma
Power Score
50
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Penybont — Opponent-weighted form score
FC Santa Coloma — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Penybont FC Santa Coloma

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Penybont

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

FC Santa Coloma

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Penybont ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy FC Santa Coloma
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Penybont FC Santa Coloma
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Penybont FC Santa Coloma
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Penybont
FC Santa Coloma
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Penybont
vs
FC Santa Coloma
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Penybont FC Santa Coloma
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Penybont 0.00
FC Santa Coloma 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Penybont FC Santa Coloma
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Penybont 0.00
FC Santa Coloma 0.00
Penybont
FC Santa Coloma
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Penybont had peak pressure around 55'.
  • Penybont started the game with stronger pressure.
Penybont Pressure FC Santa Coloma Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Penybont reached the top pressure at 55' (55.98).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Penybont Penybont Home
2 matches
FC Santa Coloma FC Santa Coloma Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
1
-2
Goal Difference
+2

Data last updated: 2026-07-06T00:06:21+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time :
Jul 09, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition :
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium :
Cardiff City Stadium
Capacity :
33280
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Michele Beltrano
Gianmarco Ercolani
Ernesto Cristiano

Statistics

Possession
Penybont
52%
FC Santa Coloma
48%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
5 Shots 7
68 Dangerous attacks 41
53 Possession 47
3 Corners 2
10 Free kicks 19
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

56 Ball Safe 70
1 Penalties 0
1 Goal Attempts 9
4 Substitutions 3
20 Throwins 15
0 Assists 1
1 Injuries 0

Attacking

139 Attacks 121

Discipline

2 Offsides 0
18 Fouls 12

Squad

Referee : Michele Beltrano

Squad ▼

25
Alexander Anthony Pennock
Alexander Anthony Pennock Goalkeeper
32
Liam Shephard
Liam Shephard Defender
—
Max Melbourne
Max Melbourne Defender
—
Daniel Jefferies
Daniel Jefferies Defender
18
Jacob Jones
Jacob Jones Defender
16
Billy Borge
Billy Borge Defender
2
Kai Ludvigsen
Kai Ludvigsen Defender
5
Joe Woodiwiss
Joe Woodiwiss Defender
—
Ethan Vaughan
Ethan Vaughan Defender
—
Eduino Vaz
Eduino Vaz Defender
33
Alexander Cvetkovic
Alexander Cvetkovic Midfielder
19
Ryan Hill
Ryan Hill Midfielder
21
Ashley Baker
Ashley Baker Midfielder
6
Mael Davies
Mael Davies Midfielder
15
Jac Clay
Jac Clay Midfielder
8
Owen Pritchard
Owen Pritchard Midfielder
—
Tom Mehew
Tom Mehew Midfielder
17
Owain Warlow
Owain Warlow Attacker
9
Chris Venables
Chris Venables Attacker
7
Nathan Daniel Wood
Nathan Daniel Wood Attacker
11
Noah Daley
Noah Daley Attacker
14
Ioan Phillips
Ioan Phillips Attacker
Referee : Michele Beltrano

Squad ▼

—
Víctor André Alcaráz Díaz
Víctor André Alcaráz Díaz Goalkeeper
25
Mauro Rabelo Pascual
Mauro Rabelo Pascual Goalkeeper
13
Alex Carolan
Alex Carolan Goalkeeper
22
Adrien Awana
Adrien Awana Defender
28
David Juncà Reñé
David Juncà Reñé Defender
—
David Alfredo Andrade Gómez
David Alfredo Andrade Gómez Defender
—
Jorge Antonio Padilla Leal
Jorge Antonio Padilla Leal Defender
—
Jordi Rubio Gómez
Jordi Rubio Gómez Defender
14
Jesús Rubio Gómez
Jesús Rubio Gómez Defender
23
Moisés San Nicolás Schellens
Moisés San Nicolás Schellens Defender
—
José María Gutiérrez Bellido
José María Gutiérrez Bellido Defender
3
Mario Alvarez Vicente
Mario Alvarez Vicente Defender
6
Aarón Gallego Bonet
Aarón Gallego Bonet Defender
8
Iñigo Barrenetxea García
Iñigo Barrenetxea García Midfielder
18
Adrià Arjona Marín
Adrià Arjona Marín Midfielder
—
Gerard Lluís Cerdeira
Gerard Lluís Cerdeira Midfielder
—
Kilian Grant Carvalheira
Kilian Grant Carvalheira Attacker
19
Fernando Andreu Lahrach
Fernando Andreu Lahrach Attacker
9
Guillaume Lopez
Guillaume Lopez Attacker
17
Juan Camilo Becerra Maya
Juan Camilo Becerra Maya Attacker
11
Hugo Esteban Serrano
Hugo Esteban Serrano Attacker
20
Andy Villar Carneiro Melo
Andy Villar Carneiro Melo Attacker
—
Haroun Dchar Agharbi
Haroun Dchar Agharbi Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
88'
Event
Abreu → Alejandro Gómez
7th Substitution
73'
Event
Adrià Arjona → Predrag Muñoz
6th Substitution
69'
Event
K. Temenuzhkov
5th Substitution
Event
Jac Clay → Liam Shephard
4th Substitution
67'
Event
Noah Daley → Ash Baker
3rd Substitution
61'
Event
Ash Baker
2nd Yellowcard
53'
Event
Ryan Hill
1st Missed Penalty
52'
49'
Event
Pedra Muñoz
1st Yellowcard
Event
Ethan Cann → Chris Venables
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Owen Pritchard → Billy Borge
1st Substitution
26'
16'
Event
Guillaume Lopez
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

88
Update Update
Roberto Rodríguez comes on for Álex Gómez.
78
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
73
Update Update
Adrià Arjona comes on for Predag Daniel Munoz Martinez.
69
Update Update
Kun Temenuzhkov comes on for Andy Villar.
67
Substitution Substitution
Jac Clay is substituted for Liam Shephard.
61
Update Update
Noah Daley replaces Ashley Baker.
55
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
53
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
52
Attempt Attempt
Penalty saved.
52
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
49
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
46
Update Update
Ethan Cann is on, and Chris Venables is off.
42
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
26
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Owen Pritchard comes on for Billy Borge.
23
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
16
Update Update
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
1
Update Update
Kick-off has occurred!

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Penybont 0-1 FC Santa Coloma. Structural assessment: FC Santa Coloma exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

About BestPreviews Methodology & FAQ More Match Reports

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

Related Football Previews

Explore League Previews

Europa Conference League, Europe View all league clusters View methodology and FAQ

Author

Daniels Zorge

Daniels Zorge covers football fixtures with a focus on tactical matchups, playing styles, and key details that shape each game.