Paris vs Le Havre Prediction, Preview and Stats

France flag 2025/2026 Ligue 1, France
Stade Jean Bouin Sun, 22 Mar - 4:15 PM
Ligue 1
Paris PFC
3 Winner 2
Le Havre LEH
Full Time Sun, 22 Mar 4:15 PM
Round 27 Regular Season
Alimami Gory - 86'
Ayumu Seko - 33' (Own Goal)
Ciro Immobile - 29'
Goal
|
Goal
Godson Kyeremeh - 90+2'
Rassoul Ndiaye - 61'
Rudy Matondo 55' Red Card
|

CONTEXT

The match has finished with Le Havre securing a 2-1 away victory over Paris. This result represented a significant deviation from pre-match expectations, as the betting markets heavily favored the hosts. Paris entered the game with a 44.3% implied win probability, compared to a 30.1% chance of a draw and just 25.6% for a Le Havre win. Consequently, the final outcome was not aligned with the pre-match market forecast. On the pitch, however, Le Havre's victory was entirely justified by the underlying metrics. The visitors controlled the tempo, holding 59% possession while restricting Paris to 41%. Furthermore, Le Havre generated a superior expected goals (xG) tally of 2.43 compared to the hosts' 1.58 xG. Because of this attacking output, the final scoreline was fully consistent with the xG data, and the teams' efficiency shift remained in line with expectations. A crucial turning point in the match was disciplinary. Paris was reduced to ten men after receiving a red card, which severely impacted their performance. This disadvantage caused a notable red card distortion in the second half, allowing Le Havre to capitalize on their numerical superiority and definitively overturn the initial market projections.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Le Havre showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was consistent with expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Aligned with xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
  • Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Paris A. Kombouare
A. Kombouare
VS
Le Havre D. Digard
D. Digard
1.05
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.1
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Strasbourg Rank: 80 D
Olympique Lyonnais Rank: 82 D
Nice Rank: 70 W
Toulouse Rank: 74 D
Lens Rank: 83 L
Auxerre Rank: 69 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Olympique Lyonnais Rank: 82 D
Brest Rank: 75 L
Paris Saint Germain Rank: 94 L
Nantes Rank: 65 L
Toulouse Rank: 74 W
Strasbourg Rank: 80 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Paris
44.27%
Draw
30.13%
Away Le Havre
25.6%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
58.35
66.67
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Paris
Le Havre
Power Score
58.35
66.67
League Position
13
14
Global Rank
211
285

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Paris — Opponent-weighted form score
Le Havre — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Paris Le Havre

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Paris

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Le Havre

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Paris ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Le Havre
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
41.34
40.34
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
40.34
41.34
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Paris +0.10 Efficiency Index
vs
Le Havre -0.10 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Paris
Le Havre
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Paris
vs
Le Havre
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Paris Le Havre
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.00 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Paris Le Havre
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
Paris
Le Havre
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Paris PFC Home
1 matches
Le Havre LEH Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-03-27T12:25:13+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-1-3-2
Pitch
K. Trapp
Germany
35 K. Trapp
A. Camara
France
17 A. Camara
D. Coppola
Italy
42 D. Coppola
M. Mbow
Senegal
5 M. Mbow
N. Sangui
France
19 N. Sangui
M. Munetsi
Zimbabwe
18 M. Munetsi
P. Lees Melou
France
33 (C) P. Lees Melou
R. Matondo
23 R. Matondo
N. Ikoné
Substitution
France
93 N. Ikoné
C. Immobile
Substitution
Italy
36 C. Immobile
M. Simon
Substitution
Nigeria
27 M. Simon
Pitch
M. Diaw
Senegal
99 M. Diaw
E. Koffi Vinette
Substitution
France
27 E. Koffi Vinette
A. Seko
Japan
15 A. Seko
A. Sangante
Senegal
93 (C) A. Sangante
L. Nego
Hungary
7 L. Nego
L. Gourna Douath
Substitution
France
19 L. Gourna Douath
R. N'Diaye
Senegal
14 R. N'Diaye
S. Boufal
Substitution
Morocco
17 S. Boufal
S. Ebonog
Substitution
France
26 S. Ebonog
I. Soumaré
Senegal
45 I. Soumaré
F. Mambimbi
Substitution
Switzerland
10 F. Mambimbi

General Information

Date & Time :
Mar 22, 2026, 04:15 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Ligue 1, France · Round 27 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stade Jean Bouin
Capacity :
15097
Attendance :
15612
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Clément Turpin
Nicolas Danos
Benjamin Pages
Jordane Lomi

Statistics

Possession
PFC
45%
LEH
55%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 2
5 Big Chances Created 3
4 Shots 6
39 Dangerous attacks 76
41 Possession 59
9 Corners 5
13 Free kicks 9
0 Yellow Cards 1
1 Red Cards 0

Match Overview

74 Ball Safe 70
11 Goal Attempts 15
3 Injuries 1
17 Goal Kicks 8
11 Throwins 17
42 Successful Dribbles Percentage 33
19 Dribble Attempts 9
12 Successful Headers 18
8 Successful Dribbles 3
2 Assists 2
1 Hit Woodwork 0
3 Substitutions 5

Attacking

77 Attacks 92
3 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

73 Successful Passes Percentage 85
68 Long Passes 36
50 Successful Long Passes Percentage 50
34 Successful Long Passes 18
263 Passes 369
191 Successful Passes 313
12 Key Passes 15

Defensive

14 Tackles 16
4 Saves 2
7 Interceptions 7
47 Duels Won 46

Build-up

17 Total Crosses 37
5 Accurate Crosses 11

Discipline

5 Offsides 2
9 Fouls 13

Lineup

Referee : Clément Turpin

Starting XI ▼

35
Kevin Trapp
Kevin Trapp Goalkeeper
6.92
5
Moustapha Mbow
Moustapha Mbow Defender
6.65
17
Adama Camara
Adama Camara Defender
5.94
19
Nhoa Sangui
Nhoa Sangui Defender
6.41
42
Diego Coppola
Diego Coppola Defender
7.39
18
Marshall Munetsi
Marshall Munetsi Midfielder
6.69
23
Rudy Matondo
Rudy Matondo Midfielder
5.57
33
Pierre Lees-Melou
Pierre Lees-Melou (C) Midfielder
7.64
27
Moses Simon
Moses Simon Attacker
7.38
6
Otávio
Otávio
Defender84'
6.22
36
Ciro Immobile
Ciro Immobile Attacker
7.46
7
Alimami Gory
Alimami Gory
Attacker73'
7.21
93
Jonathan Ikoné
Jonathan Ikoné Attacker
6.61
24
Luca Koleosho
Luca Koleosho
Attacker72'
6.58
Referee : Clément Turpin

Starting XI ▼

99
Mory Diaw
Mory Diaw Goalkeeper
6.23
7
Loïc Nego
Loïc Nego Defender
7.08
15
Ayumu Seko
Ayumu Seko Defender
6.7
27
Enzo Koffi Vinette
Enzo Koffi Vinette Defender
5.87
32
Timothée Pembélé
Timothée Pembélé
Defender42'
6.76
93
Arouna Sangante
Arouna Sangante (C) Defender
6.79
14
Rassoul Ndiaye
Rassoul Ndiaye Midfielder
7.2
17
Sofiane Boufal
Sofiane Boufal Midfielder
7.39
30
Reda Khadra
Reda Khadra
Midfielder75'
6.87
19
Lucas Gourna-Douath
Lucas Gourna-Douath Midfielder
6.58
11
Godson Kyeremeh
Godson Kyeremeh
Attacker90+2'
7.24
26
Simon Ebonog
Simon Ebonog Midfielder
6.51
25
Ally Samatta
Ally Samatta
Attacker75'
7.54
10
Felix Mambimbi
Felix Mambimbi Attacker
6.32
8
Yassine Kechta
Yassine Kechta
Midfielder42'
6.12
45
Issa Soumaré
Issa Soumaré Attacker
6.76

Events

2ND-HALF
90+2'
Event
Godson Kyeremeh → Lucas Gourna-Douath
8th Substitution
90+2'
Event
Godson Kyeremeh
Header / 4th Goal
Event
Alimami Gory
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
86'
Event
Otávio → Moses Simon
7th Substitution
84'
75'
Event
Reda Khadra → Sofiane Boufal
5th Substitution
75'
Event
Ally Samatta → Simon Ebonog
6th Substitution
Event
Alimami Gory → Ciro Immobile
4th Substitution
73'
Event
Luca Koleosho → Jonathan Ikoné
3rd Substitution
72'
66'
Event
Simon Ebonog
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
61'
Event
Rassoul Ndiaye
Header / 2nd Goal
Event
Rudy Matondo
Red card confirmed
56'
Event
Rudy Matondo
Foul / 1st Redcard
55'
1ST-HALF
42'
Event
Yassine Kechta → Felix Mambimbi
1st Substitution
42'
Event
Timothée Pembélé → Enzo Koffi Vinette
2nd Substitution
Event
Ayumu Seko
Left foot shot / 1st Own Goal
33'
Event
Ciro Immobile
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
29'

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Le Havre after Otávio allowed the ball to go out.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded with the final score: Paris FC 3, Le Havre 2.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be three minutes of stoppage time.
90
Update Update
Otávio from Paris FC committed a foul.
90
Update Update
Mbwana Samatta from Le Havre earned a free kick on the right side of the field.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Le Havre: Godson Kyeremeh replaces Lucas Gourna-Douath.
90
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Mbwana Samatta from Le Havre attempted a header from the center of the box but sent it wide to the left. The cross came from Reda Khadra following a corner kick.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Paris FC 3, Le Havre 2. Godson Kyeremeh scores for Le Havre with a header from close range into the bottom left corner. The assist came from Mbwana Samatta following a corner kick.
89
Update Update
Luca Koleosho from Paris FC committed a foul.
89
Update Update
Ayumu Seko from Le Havre has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
89
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Mbwana Samatta from Le Havre attempted a header from the center of the box but sent it wide to the left. The assist came from Issa Soumaré, who delivered a cross.
88
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Le Havre after Diego Coppola allowed the ball to go out.
86
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Paris FC leads 3-1 against Le Havre. Alimami Gory scores with a right-footed shot from the right side of the six-yard box, placing it into the bottom corner. The assist comes from Pierre Lees-Melou after a quick counterattack.
84
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Paris FC: Otávio is coming on to replace Moses Simon.
82
Corner Corner
Opportunity squandered. Pierre Lees-Melou of Paris FC attempted a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but it sailed over the crossbar and to the right. The assist came from Moses Simon following a corner kick.
82
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted! Timothée Pembélé from Le Havre attempted a header from just a few meters out, but it narrowly missed the target. The cross was delivered by Reda Khadra.
81
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Paris FC after Loïc Négo allowed the ball to go out.
80
Update Update
Lucas Gourna-Douath from Le Havre committed a foul.
80
Update Update
Foul committed by Lucas Gourna-Douath from Le Havre.
79
Update Update
Alimami Gory from Paris FC has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
77
Update Update
Timothée Pembélé from Le Havre committed a foul.
77
Update Update
Moustapha Mbow from Paris FC has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
77
Corner Corner
Another offensive play unfolds. Mbwana Samatta from Le Havre attempts a header from the center of the penalty area, but Kevin Trapp from Paris FC makes a save, directing the ball to the right corner. The assist comes from Timothée Pembélé, who also delivered a header.
76
Update Update
Arouna Sangante from Le Havre was awarded a free kick on the right side of the field.
76
Update Update
Marshall Munetsi from Paris FC committed a foul.
75
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Le Havre: Mbwana Samatta comes on to replace Simon Ebonog.
75
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Le Havre: Reda Khadra comes on to replace Sofiane Boufal.
74
Update Update
Nhoa Sangui from Paris FC has been awarded a free kick in their defensive zone.
74
Update Update
Yassine Kechta from Le Havre committed a foul.
73
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Paris FC: Alimami Gory comes on to replace Ciro Immobile.
73
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Moustapha Mbow from Paris FC attempts a header from the center of the box, but it goes just wide. The chance was set up by Moses Simon, who delivered a cross following a corner kick.
72
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Paris FC after a play that resulted in Simon Ebonog giving up possession.
72
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Paris FC: Luca Koleosho replaces Jonathan Ikoné.
71
Update Update
Yassine Kechta from Le Havre committed a foul.
71
Update Update
Pierre Lees-Melou from Paris FC has earned a free kick in an offensive position.
70
Update Update
Nhoa Sangui from Paris FC has been awarded a free kick in their defensive area.
70
Update Update
Issa Soumaré from Le Havre committed a foul.
68
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity squandered. Simon Ebonog from Le Havre attempted a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area but sent it wide to the left. The assist came from Sofiane Boufal.
67
Update Update
Jonathan Ikoné of Paris FC has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
67
Update Update
Sofiane Boufal from Le Havre committed a foul.
66
Update Update
Offside call against Paris FC. Ciro Immobile has been flagged for being in an offside position.
66
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Simon Ebonog from Le Havre has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
65
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Le Havre after Nhoa Sangui allowed the ball to go out of play.
65
Update Update
Simon Ebonog from Le Havre committed a foul.
65
Update Update
Ciro Immobile of Paris FC earned a free kick on the left flank.
63
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Sofiane Boufal from Le Havre attempted a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but it went wide.
62
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Lucas Gourna-Douath from Le Havre attempted a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area but sent it wide to the left. The assist came from Yassine Kechta.
61
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Paris FC 2, Le Havre 1. Rassoul Ndiaye from Le Havre scores with a header from the center of the penalty area, directing it into the bottom right corner. The assist comes from Sofiane Boufal, who delivered a precise cross.
59
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Issa Soumaré from Le Havre attempted a header from the center of the box, but it sailed over the goal. The cross was delivered by Loïc Négo.
58
Update Update
Timothée Pembélé from Le Havre was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
58
Update Update
Offside call against Le Havre. Ayumu Seko has been flagged for being offside.
58
Update Update
Ciro Immobile committed a foul against Paris FC.
56
Update Update
Match is currently on hold due to an injury to Lucas Gourna-Douath from Le Havre.
56
Red Card Red Card Important
VAR Review: Rudy Matondo of Paris FC has been shown a red card.
56
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
55
Update Update
Lucas Gourna-Douath from Le Havre earned a free kick in an offensive position.
55
Corner Corner
Another offensive push unfolds. Timothée Pembélé from Le Havre takes a left-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but Kevin Trapp from Paris FC makes a save, diving to the left corner. The assist came from Sofiane Boufal.
55
Red Card Red Card Important
Rudy Matondo from Paris FC has been shown a red card.
55
Update Update
Rudy Matondo from Paris FC committed a foul.
52
Update Update
Offside call against Paris FC. Moses Simon has been caught in an offside position.
50
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Le Havre after Moses Simon allowed the ball to go out.
49
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive effort underway. Timothée Pembélé from Le Havre takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but Kevin Trapp, the goalkeeper for Paris FC, makes a save right in the middle of the goal. The assist came from Sofiane Boufal.
48
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity squandered! Rassoul Ndiaye from Le Havre took a right-footed shot from the center of the box, but it narrowly missed the target. The assist came from Lucas Gourna-Douath, who delivered a cross.
46
Update Update
Simon Ebonog from Le Havre committed a foul.
46
Update Update
Ciro Immobile of Paris FC was awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
45
Update Update
Match is currently paused due to an injury to Jonathan Ikoné from Paris FC.
45
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Ciro Immobile of Paris FC fires a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The setup came from Pierre Lees-Melou, who delivered a well-placed through ball.
45
Update Update
The first half has concluded with Paris FC leading Le Havre 2-0.
45
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
45
Update Update
Opportunity squandered. Jonathan Ikoné from Paris FC attempted a header from the center of the box but failed to convert.
45
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Issa Soumaré from Le Havre takes a left-footed shot from the center of the penalty area, but it sails over the crossbar.
45
Update Update
Ciro Immobile from Paris FC strikes the crossbar with a right-footed attempt from the middle of the penalty area.
45
Update Update
The first half has concluded with Paris FC leading Le Havre 2-0.
45
Update Update
The second half is underway with Paris FC leading Le Havre 2-0.
42
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Le Havre: Yassine Kechta comes on to replace Felix Mambimbi.
42
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Le Havre: Timothée Pembélé comes on to replace Enzo Koffi.
42
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 4 minutes of stoppage time.
41
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Nhoa Sangui from Paris FC attempted a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it went wide. The assist came from Moses Simon.
40
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Simon Ebonog from Le Havre took a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it went wide to the left. The assist came from Arouna Sangante.
38
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
38
Update Update
Enzo Koffi from Le Havre committed a foul.
38
Update Update
Ciro Immobile from Paris FC was awarded a free kick on the right flank.
37
Update Update
Pierre Lees-Melou from Paris FC has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
37
Update Update
Match interruption due to an injury to Pierre Lees-Melou of Paris FC.
37
Update Update
Ayumu Seko from Le Havre committed a foul.
36
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Arouna Sangante from Le Havre takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked.
35
Update Update
Lucas Gourna-Douath from Le Havre has earned a free kick in the defensive area.
35
Update Update
Marshall Munetsi from Paris FC committed a foul.
35
Corner Corner
Opportunity wasted! Ciro Immobile of Paris FC had a header from the center of the box that went wide. The chance was set up by Moses Simon, who delivered a cross following a corner kick.
34
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Paris FC after Ayumu Seko allowed the ball to go out.
34
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Paris FC after Ayumu Seko allowed the ball to go out of play.
33
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Pierre Lees-Melou from Paris FC took a right-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but it went just wide to the left following a corner kick.
33
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Ayumu Seko of Le Havre inadvertently scored an own goal, bringing the score to Paris FC 2, Le Havre 0.
32
Corner Corner
Goal! Paris FC takes the lead with a score of 1-0 against Le Havre. Ciro Immobile found the back of the net with a right-footed shot from the center of the box, placing it into the bottom right corner. The assist came from Diego Coppola, who headed the ball after a corner kick.
32
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Paris FC after Mory Diaw allowed the ball to go out.
29
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Corner awarded to Paris FC after Loïc Négo allowed the ball to go out of play.
28
Update Update
Pierre Lees-Melou from Paris FC earned a free kick on the right side of the field.
27
Update Update
Sofiane Boufal from Le Havre committed a foul.
27
Update Update
Lucas Gourna-Douath from Le Havre earned a free kick in an offensive position.
25
Update Update
Rudy Matondo from Paris FC committed a foul.
25
Update Update
Rassoul Ndiaye from Le Havre has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
24
Update Update
Rudy Matondo from Paris FC committed a foul.
24
Update Update
Moses Simon from Paris FC earned a free kick in the defensive area.
23
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Jonathan Ikoné from Paris FC attempted a left-footed shot from the center of the penalty area.
23
Update Update
Simon Ebonog from Le Havre committed a foul.
22
Corner Corner
Opportunity squandered! Arouna Sangante from Le Havre had a header from close range, but it sailed over the bar on the left side. The assist came from Sofiane Boufal, who delivered a cross following a corner kick.
21
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Le Havre after a deflection off Diego Coppola.
19
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Paris FC after Ayumu Seko allowed the ball to go out.
18
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Paris FC after Ayumu Seko allowed the ball to go out.
16
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
15
Update Update
Match halted due to an injury to Marshall Munetsi from Paris FC.
14
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Simon Ebonog from Le Havre attempted a shot with his right foot from the center of the box, but it went wide to the left.
12
Update Update
Jonathan Ikoné of Paris FC commits a handball.
11
Update Update
Offside call against Paris FC. Ciro Immobile is caught in an offside position.
9
Update Update
Offside call against Paris FC. Ciro Immobile has been flagged for being offside.
9
Update Update
Jonathan Ikoné commits a handball for Paris FC.
8
Update Update
Jonathan Ikoné from Paris FC earned a free kick on the right side of the field.
6
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Diego Coppola from Paris FC attempted a left-footed shot from the center of the box but sent it wide to the left. The chance was set up by Nhoa Sangui, who delivered a cross following a corner kick.
6
Update Update
Enzo Koffi from Le Havre has committed a foul.
6
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Paris FC after Simon Ebonog allowed the ball to go out of play.
6
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Paris FC after Simon Ebonog allowed the ball to go out.
5
Update Update
Offside call against Le Havre. Felix Mambimbi has been flagged for being offside.
5
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Paris FC after a deflection off Simon Ebonog.
4
Corner Corner
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Moses Simon from Paris FC takes a left-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area, but it's expertly saved in the top left corner.
3
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play.
3
Update Update
Offside call against Paris FC. Nhoa Sangui has been flagged for being in an offside position.
2
Update Update
Match is currently paused due to an injury to Sofiane Boufal from Le Havre.
1
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Sofiane Boufal from Le Havre took a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it went over the goal and to the right. The assist came from Felix Mambimbi.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Le Havre exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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