Paraguay vs Australia Prediction, Preview and Stats

2026 World Cup, World
San Francisco Bay Area Stadium Fri, 26 Jun - 2:00 AM
World Cup
Paraguay PAR
0 – 0
Australia AUS
Full Time Fri, 26 Jun 2:00 AM
Round 3 Group Stage

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Paraguay 0–0 Australia. The match ended in a draw. Paraguay showed a moderate deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. xG finished Paraguay 0.4 – 0.7 Australia. Possession was 44%–56%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Paraguay recorded a moderate deviation from pre-match expectations in this encounter.
  • Efficiency shift: Both teams finished the match in line with their underlying efficiency metrics.
  • xG alignment: The 0-0 scoreline proved consistent with the combined expected goals totals.
  • Market alignment: The draw result matched the pre-match market projection without notable variance.
  • xG expectations: Australia created the higher expected goals share yet could not find the net.
  • Event impact: No major events altered the flow beyond the low-scoring nature of the fixture.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards occurred so the match proceeded without numerical imbalance.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

C. Turpin

France 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 4 0.36
Fouls / match 30.4
Yellow cards / match 4
Red cards / match 0.36
Penalties / match 0.36

Other match officials

N. Danos

1st Assistant

France

B. Pages

2nd Assistant

France

O. Nation

4th Official

Jamaica

League averages

World Cup Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 15.93
Yellow cards / match 1.68
Red cards / match 0.1
Penalties / match 0.09
Paraguay G. Alfaro
G. Alfaro
VS
Australia T. Popović
T. Popović
1.5
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.5
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Türkiye Rank: W
United States Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
United States Rank: L
Türkiye Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Paraguay
2.75%
Draw
91.74%
Away Australia
5.5%

Movement

Changes since opening
Paraguay
-1.69%
Draw
+0.24%
Australia
+1.44%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
22.96
20.74
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Paraguay
Australia
Power Score
22.96
20.74
League Position
3
2
Global Rank
40
27

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Paraguay — Opponent-weighted form score
Australia — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Paraguay Australia

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Paraguay

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Australia

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Paraguay ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Australia
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
18.30
25.45
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
25.45
18.30
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Paraguay -0.64 Efficiency Index
vs
Australia +0.64 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Paraguay
Australia
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Paraguay
vs
Australia
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Paraguay Australia
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
25%
0%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.09 vs +0.00
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Paraguay Australia
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
0%
25%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
+0.00 vs -0.09
Paraguay
Australia
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Paraguay
vs
Australia
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Paraguay Australia
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Paraguay 0.33
Australia 0.27
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Paraguay Australia
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Paraguay 0.00
Australia 0.00
Paraguay
Australia
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • AUS had peak pressure around 49'.
  • AUS started the game with stronger pressure.
PAR Pressure AUS Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: AUS reached the top pressure at 49' (97.17).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Paraguay PAR Home
0 matches
Australia AUS Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-06-27T00:00:18+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 5-3-2
Match Formation 3-4-2-1

General Information

Date & Time :
Jun 26, 2026, 02:00 AM
Competition :
2026 World Cup, World · Round 3 · Group Stage
Stadium :
San Francisco Bay Area Stadium
Capacity :
68500
Attendance :
68827
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Clément Turpin
Nicolas Danos
Benjamin Pages
Oshane Nation

Statistics

Possession
PAR
44%
AUS
56%

Top Statistics

4 Shots 4
21 Dangerous attacks 45
44 Possession 56
1 Corners 3
6 Free kicks 10
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

75 Ball Safe 84
9 Goal Kicks 9
7 Goal Attempts 9
5 Substitutions 3
26 Throwins 28
20 Successful Headers 25
3 Injuries 1
16 Dribble Attempts 24
5 Successful Dribbles 11
31 Successful Dribbles Percentage 46

Attacking

95 Attacks 116

Possession

59 Long Passes 58
426 Passes 537
330 Successful Passes 438
77 Successful Passes Percentage 82
5 Key Passes 11
14 Successful Long Passes 17
24 Successful Long Passes Percentage 29

Defensive

5 Saves 2
24 Tackles 20
8 Interceptions 7
55 Duels Won 64

Build-up

7 Total Crosses 13
0 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

9 Fouls 6

Lineup

Referee : Clément Turpin

Starting XI ▼

12
Orlando Gill
Orlando Gill Goalkeeper
7.7
2
Gustavo Velázquez
Gustavo Velázquez Defender
6.98
3
Omar Alderete
Omar Alderete Defender
6.71
13
José Canale
José Canale
Defender84'
6.41
4
Juan José Cáceres
Juan José Cáceres Defender
6.77
15
Gustavo Gómez
Gustavo Gómez (C) Defender
7.01
26
Alexandro Maidana
Alexandro Maidana Defender
6.53
11
Mauricio
Mauricio
Midfielder46'
7.01
8
Diego Gómez
Diego Gómez Midfielder
6.76
16
Damián Bobadilla
Damián Bobadilla
Midfielder90+2'
14
Andrés Cubas
Andrés Cubas Midfielder
7.11
23
Matías Galarza Fonda
Matías Galarza Fonda Midfielder
7.43
6
Júnior Alonso
Júnior Alonso
Defender90+2'
19
Julio Enciso
Julio Enciso Attacker
5.91
21
Gabriel Ávalos
Gabriel Ávalos Attacker
6.65
18
Álex Arce
Álex Arce
Attacker67'
6.59
Referee : Clément Turpin

Starting XI ▼

18
Patrick Beach
Patrick Beach Goalkeeper
7.1
3
Alessandro Circati
Alessandro Circati Defender
7.2
19
Harry Souttar
Harry Souttar (C) Defender
7
25
Lucas Herrington
Lucas Herrington Defender
6.93
5
Jordan Bos
Jordan Bos Midfielder
7.65
13
Aiden O'Neill
Aiden O'Neill Midfielder
6.98
16
Aziz Behich
Aziz Behich Midfielder
6.52
22
Jackson Irvine
Jackson Irvine Midfielder
6.79
24
Paul Okon-Engstler
Paul Okon-Engstler
Midfielder84'
6.51
8
Connor Metcalfe
Connor Metcalfe Attacker
6.86
17
Nestory Irankunda
Nestory Irankunda Attacker
6.62
26
Tete Yengi
Tete Yengi
Attacker84'
6.63
20
Cristian Volpato
Cristian Volpato Attacker
6.6
10
Ajdin Hrustic
Ajdin Hrustic
Midfielder58'
6.57

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Júnior Alonso → Matías Galarza Fonda
7th Substitution
90+2'
Event
Damián Bobadilla → Diego Gómez
8th Substitution
90+2'
Event
José Canale → Omar Alderete
4th Substitution
84'
84'
Event
Paul Okon-Engstler → Jackson Irvine
5th Substitution
84'
Event
Tete Yengi → Nestory Irankunda
6th Substitution
Event
Diego Gómez
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
77'
Event
Álex Arce  → Gabriel Ávalos
3rd Substitution
67'
58'
Event
Ajdin Hrustic → Cristian Volpato
2nd Substitution
Event
Mauricio → Alexandro Maidana
1st Substitution
46'
46'
Event
Jackson Irvine
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed by Jordan Bos from Australia, who took a left-footed shot from the right side of the box.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 5 minutes of added time.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Paraguay: Damián Bobadilla comes on for Diego Gómez.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Paraguay: Júnior Alonso comes on for Matías Galarza.
90
Corner Corner
Attempt saved. Mauricio's left-footed shot from the center of the box is saved in the bottom left corner by Patrick Beach. The assist was provided by Álex Arce.
90
Attempt Attempt
Tete Yengi's right-footed shot from the right side of the box is saved in the center of the goal by Orlando Gill. The attempt was assisted by Ajdin Hrustic.
90
Update Update
Jordan Bos from Australia wins a free kick on the right wing.
90
Update Update
Júnior Alonso commits a foul for Paraguay.
84
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Paraguay: José Canale comes on for Omar Alderete due to an injury.
84
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
84
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Australia: Tete Yengi comes on for Nestory Irankunda.
84
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Australia: Paul Okon-Engstler comes on for Jackson Irvine.
83
Corner Corner
Attempt saved. Jordan Bos from Australia has a left-footed shot from the right side of the box, but it's saved in the bottom right corner by Orlando Gill from Paraguay. The assist came from Ajdin Hrustic.
83
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Gustavo Gómez from Paraguay.
82
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Julio Enciso from Paraguay has a right-footed shot from the left side of the box that goes close but misses to the left. He was assisted by Diego Gómez.
82
Attempt Attempt
Attempt blocked. Julio Enciso's right-footed shot from outside the box for Paraguay is blocked. Matías Galarza provided the assist.
77
Update Update
Jordan Bos from Australia wins a free kick on the right wing.
77
Update Update
Diego Gómez commits a foul for Paraguay.
77
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Diego Gómez from Paraguay receives a yellow card for a foul.
76
Update Update
Aiden O'Neill from Australia is awarded a free kick in the attacking half.
76
Update Update
Foul committed by Matías Galarza of Paraguay.
71
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
68
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Omar Alderete from Paraguay.
67
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Paraguay: Álex Arce comes on for Julio Enciso.
63
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
63
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Omar Alderete from Paraguay.
61
Update Update
Nestory Irankunda commits a foul for Australia.
61
Update Update
Omar Alderete of Paraguay wins a free kick in the defensive half.
61
Attempt Attempt
Ajdin Hrustic's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. Aiden O'Neill provided the assist.
60
Attempt Attempt
Attempt blocked. Nestory Irankunda from Australia has a right-footed shot from outside the box that is blocked.
59
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Nestory Irankunda from Australia takes a right-footed shot from the right side of the box.
58
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Australia: Ajdin Hrustic comes on for Cristian Volpato.
54
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Paraguay after a concession by Patrick Beach.
50
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Mauricio's right-footed shot from outside the box for Paraguay is saved.
48
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Andrés Cubas (Paraguay) takes a right-footed shot from outside the box.
46
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Paraguay: Mauricio comes on for Alexandro Maidana.
46
Update Update
The second half begins with the score at 0-0 between Paraguay and Australia.
46
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jackson Irvine from Australia receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
46
Update Update
Foul committed by Jackson Irvine (Australia).
46
Update Update
Julio Enciso from Paraguay wins a free kick in the defensive half.
46
Attempt Attempt
Andrés Cubas from Paraguay misses an attempt with a right-footed shot from outside the box.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 6 minutes of added time.
45
Attempt Attempt
Cristian Volpato's left-footed shot from the right side of the box is saved in the top center of the goal by Orlando Gill. The attempt was assisted by Jordan Bos.
45
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Jackson Irvine's header from the center of the box is too high. He was assisted by Jordan Bos with a cross.
45
Update Update
Andrés Cubas from Paraguay is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
45
Update Update
Cristian Volpato commits a foul for Australia.
44
Update Update
Aziz Behich wins a free kick for Australia in the defensive half.
44
Update Update
Diego Gómez commits a foul for Paraguay.
38
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed by Gabriel Ávalos from Paraguay, who took a right-footed shot from the center of the box.
36
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Jordan Bos from Australia has a left-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved in the center of the goal by Orlando Gill from Paraguay. Cristian Volpato provided the assist.
35
Update Update
Alessandro Circati wins a free kick for Australia in the attacking half.
35
Update Update
Julio Enciso commits a foul for Paraguay.
33
Update Update
Aziz Behich of Australia is awarded a free kick on the left wing.
33
Update Update
Foul committed by Juan José Cáceres of Paraguay.
30
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
28
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Connor Metcalfe from Australia.
26
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
24
Update Update
The match is currently delayed for a drinks break.
23
Attempt Attempt
Connor Metcalfe's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. Cristian Volpato provided the assist.
19
Update Update
Diego Gómez from Paraguay is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
19
Update Update
Aiden O'Neill from Australia is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
19
Update Update
Juan José Cáceres commits a foul for Paraguay.
17
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Diego Gómez from Paraguay.
17
Update Update
Foul committed by Lucas Herrington of Australia.
15
Update Update
Nestory Irankunda wins a free kick for Australia in the attacking half.
15
Update Update
Andrés Cubas commits a foul for Paraguay.
12
Update Update
Foul committed by Alessandro Circati of Australia.
12
Update Update
Gabriel Ávalos from Paraguay is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
10
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed by Aiden O'Neill from Australia, who took a right-footed shot from outside the box.
8
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Australia after Matías Galarza concedes.
6
Update Update
Foul committed by Jordan Bos (Australia).
6
Update Update
Julio Enciso from Paraguay wins a free kick in the attacking half.
4
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
4
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Clement Turpin.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Paraguay 0-0 Australia. Structural assessment: Paraguay exhibited a moderate deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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