Osasuna vs Sevilla Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
La Liga
Sevilla
SEV
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Osasuna claimed a 2-1 home win against Sevilla, with the scoreline level at 0-0 during halftime. The hosts asserted dominance through 61% possession compared to Sevilla's 39%, underscoring their position as the stronger team. All goals materialized in the second half, reflecting effective adjustments without any reported disruptions. This outcome marked a significant structural deviation of 50.2% favoring Osasuna, yet it remained aligned with pre-match market assessments. Efficiency patterns stayed in line with prior indicators. Absent red cards or notable events, the match progressed steadily, allowing Osasuna's control to translate into victory. The result reinforces Osasuna's solid home form while highlighting Sevilla's struggles away.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Osasuna's 2-1 win featured a significant 50.2% structural deviation in their favor.
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Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
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xG alignment: xG alignment undetermined due to unavailable data.
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Market alignment: Outcome aligned with pre-match market expectations.
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xG expectations: xG expectations unavailable for analysis.
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Event impact: No major events or second-half adjustments impacted the match.
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Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, resulting in no distortion.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
M. Ortiz Arias
Other match officials
J. Garrido Romero
1st Assistant
G. Santiago Sacristán
2nd Assistant
P. Monterrubio Torres
4th Official
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Osasuna
Sevilla
Movement
Changes since opening
Osasuna
Sevilla
Team Power Ranking
i
22.79
18.11
Osasuna
Sevilla
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Osasuna
Sevilla
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Osasuna
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency









Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)








Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
















Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.




























PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- OSA had peak pressure around 91'.
- OSA started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 36 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
















Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:07:38+00:00
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General Information
Next Match


Osasuna
vs
FC Barcelona
League: La Liga
Kickoff: Sat, 2 May - 7:00 PM
Venue: Estadio El Sadar


Sevilla
vs
Real Sociedad
League: La Liga
Kickoff: Mon, 4 May - 7:00 PM
Venue: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup


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Manager ▼


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Events
CONCLUSION
Osasuna vs Sevilla preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
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Author
Alf Indseth writes football-focused analysis that looks beyond match results to explore form, value, and market context.







Match Commentary