Osasuna vs Espanyol Expert Preview & Team Analysis

2025/2026 La Liga, Spain

Estadio El Sadar Sun, 17 May - 5:00 PM

La Liga

Osasuna OSA

Espanyol ESY

Full Time Sun, 17 May 5:00 PM

Round 37 Regular Season

Víctor Muñoz - 49'

Kike García - 53'

Carlos Romero - 27'

CONTEXT

Osasuna hosted Espanyol in a match that finished 1-2 to the visitors. The home team trailed 0-1 at halftime after an early away goal. Osasuna controlled 68 percent of possession across the full game but managed only one goal in response. Espanyol stayed compact and scored twice on the counter to secure the points. The stronger team Osasuna failed to turn territorial dominance into a winning margin. No red cards were issued so both sides completed the contest with eleven players. The significant deviation from pre-match projections saw Espanyol claim victory despite lower possession and initial expectations.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Osasuna held 68 percent possession yet lost 1-2 after trailing 0-1 at halftime.
Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with observed performance metrics.
xG alignment: xG alignment could not be assessed due to unavailable expected goals data.
Market alignment: Market alignment was false given the significant deviation favoring Espanyol.
xG expectations: xG expectations remain undetermined without available metrics.
Event impact: The early first-half goal by Espanyol proved decisive in the 1-2 result.
Red card distortion: Red card distortion played no role with zero dismissals recorded.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

M. Ortiz Arias

Spain 25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

J. Garrido Romero

1st Assistant

Spain

G. Santiago Sacristán

2nd Assistant

Spain

F. Román Román

4th Official

Spain

A. Lisci

J. González Álvarez

1.29

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

15 - 6 - 9

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Osasuna

43.71%

Draw

32.13%

Espanyol

24.16%

Movement

Changes since opening

Osasuna

+43.24%

Draw

+21.55%

Espanyol

-64.79%

Team Power Ranking

76.92

73.4

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Osasuna

Espanyol

Power Score

76.92

73.4

League Position

Global Rank

139

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Osasuna — Opponent-weighted form score

Espanyol — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Osasuna Espanyol

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Osasuna

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Espanyol

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Osasuna ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Espanyol

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Osasuna Espanyol

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Osasuna Espanyol

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Osasuna

Espanyol

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Osasuna

Espanyol

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Osasuna Espanyol

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Osasuna Espanyol

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Osasuna

Espanyol

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

OSA had peak pressure around 96'.
OSA started the game with stronger pressure.

OSA Pressure ESY Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: OSA reached the top pressure at 96' (82.19).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 30 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Osasuna OSA Home

30 matches

Espanyol ESY Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

+14

Goal Difference

-14

Data last updated: 2026-05-17T16:45:15+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1

Match Formation 4-4-2

1 S. Herrera Pirón

19 V. Rosier

22 F. Boyomos

24 A. Catena Marugán

23 A. Bretones Cruz

7 J. Moncayola Tollar

6 L. Torró Marset

14 R. García Santos

10 A. Oroz

21 V. Muñoz Villanueva

17 A. Budimir

13 M. Dmitrović

22 C. Romero Serrano

6 L. Cabrera Sasía

38 C. Riedel

23 O. El Hilali

11 P. Milla Peña

10 P. Lozano Vizuete

4 U. González de Zarate Quirós

24 T. Dolan

19 E. García Martínez

8 E. Expósito Jaén

General Information

Date & Time :

May 17, 2026, 05:00 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 37 · Regular Season

Stadium :

Estadio El Sadar

Capacity :

23576

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Miguel Ángel Ortiz Arias

José Antonio Garrido Romero

Guillermo Santiago Sacristán

Fernando Román Román

Statistics

Possession

OSA

64%

ESY

36%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2

2 Big Chances Created 1

24 Shots 7

70 Dangerous attacks 26

68 Possession 32

9 Corners 2

13 Free kicks 10

1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

20 Dribble Attempts 12

40 Successful Dribbles Percentage 58

21 Successful Headers 12

25 Throwins 15

8 Successful Dribbles 7

50 Ball Safe 49

3 Goal Kicks 8

1 Assists 1

5 Substitutions 5

8 Goal Attempts 5

Attacking

133 Attacks 67

2 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

440 Successful Passes 173

43 Long Passes 54

511 Passes 249

86 Successful Passes Percentage 69

49 Successful Long Passes Percentage 33

21 Successful Long Passes 18

18 Key Passes 4

Defensive

4 Interceptions 9

49 Duels Won 47

7 Tackles 18

1 Saves 6

Build-up

43 Total Crosses 9

15 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

10 Fouls 13

2 Offsides 4

Lineup

Referee : Miguel Ángel Ortiz Arias

Manager ▼

A. Lisci Coach

Starting XI ▼

Sergio Herrera Goalkeeper

6.85

Valentin Rosier Defender

6.69

Kike Barja

Attacker78'

6.62

Enzo Boyomo Defender

6.69

Abel Bretones Defender

6.64

Javi Galán

Defender67'

6.52

Alejandro Catena Defender

6.89

Lucas Torró Midfielder

6.74

Iker Muñoz

Midfielder58'

6.64

Jon Moncayola Midfielder

6.84

Moi Gómez

Attacker58'

6.83

Aimar Oroz Midfielder

6.79

Raúl García

Attacker58'

6.76

Rubén García Midfielder

6.89

Víctor Muñoz Midfielder

6.78

Ante Budimir Attacker

Substitutes ▼

Moi Gómez

Attacker58'

6.83

Raúl García

Attacker58'

6.76

Iker Muñoz

Midfielder58'

6.64

Javi Galán

Defender67'

6.52

Kike Barja

Attacker78'

6.62

Bench ▼

Aitor Fernández Goalkeeper

6.86

Juan Cruz Defender

6.51

Jorge Herrando Defender

6.63

Iñigo Arguibide Defender

6.04

Asier Osambela Midfielder

6.52

Iker Benito Attacker

6.76

Referee : Miguel Ángel Ortiz Arias