Örgryte vs Degerfors Prediction, Preview and Stats

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Gamla Ullevi Mon, 27 Apr - 5:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Örgryte Örgryte
1 – 1
Degerfors Degerfors
Full Time Mon, 27 Apr 5:00 PM
Round 5 Regular Season
Tobias Sana - 85' (P)
Goal
|
Goal
Gideon Yaw - 68'

CONTEXT

In a balanced Superettan encounter at Gamla Ullevi, Örgryte and Degerfors settled for a 1-1 draw, encapsulating the competitive spirit of mid-table battles. The first half passed without goals, as both teams traded possession—Örgryte enjoying 55% control but failing to penetrate Degerfors' defense effectively. Degerfors, viewed as the stronger outfit, absorbed pressure and countered sporadically. Post-interval, tension mounted with each side netting once, underscoring tactical discipline over flair. No red cards marred proceedings, allowing continuous flow. This outcome reflected moderate structural deviation of 8.1% towards Degerfors, yet efficiency held steady in line with norms. Possession dominance didn't translate to victory for the hosts, highlighting Degerfors' resilience. Both clubs gain a valuable point, maintaining momentum without overexertion.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Moderate 8.1% structural deviation favored Degerfors in the draw.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations throughout.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment undetermined due to unavailable expected goals data.
  • Market alignment: Final draw result aligned with pre-match market positioning.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without underlying data.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events altered match dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured no distortion to game structure.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

A. Aganovic

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

S. Robertsson

1st Assistant

A. Svensson

2nd Assistant

J. Sars

4th Official

Örgryte A. Holmberg
A. Holmberg
VS
Degerfors H. Goitom
H. Goitom
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.67
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brommapojkarna Rank: L
Hammarby Rank: L
Mjällby Rank: W
Malmö FF Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
AIK Rank: W
Elfsborg Rank: L
Halmstad Rank: W
Sirius Rank: L
Brommapojkarna Rank: W
Hammarby Rank: D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Örgryte
4.07%
Draw
91.85%
Away Degerfors
4.07%

Movement

Changes since opening
Örgryte
-2.17%
Draw
+4.34%
Degerfors
-2.17%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
19.44
26.54
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Örgryte
Degerfors
Power Score
19.44
26.54
League Position
12
9
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Örgryte — Opponent-weighted form score
Degerfors — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Örgryte Degerfors

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Örgryte

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Degerfors

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Örgryte ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Degerfors
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
26.82
24.22
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
24.22
26.82
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Örgryte +0.26 Efficiency Index
vs
Degerfors -0.26 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Örgryte
Degerfors
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Örgryte ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Degerfors
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Örgryte Degerfors
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Örgryte Degerfors
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Örgryte
Degerfors
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Örgryte
vs
Degerfors
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Örgryte Degerfors
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Örgryte 0.22
Degerfors 0.24
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Örgryte Degerfors
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Örgryte 0.03
Degerfors 0.02
Örgryte
Degerfors
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Örgryte had peak pressure around 21'.
  • Degerfors started the game with stronger pressure.
Örgryte Pressure Degerfors Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Örgryte reached the top pressure at 21' (82.19).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Örgryte Örgryte Home
0 matches
Degerfors Degerfors Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-28T00:02:53+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
H. Gustafsson
Sweden
44 H. Gustafsson
C. Styffe
Substitution
Sweden
5 C. Styffe
M. Dyrestam
Guinea
6 M. Dyrestam
M. Parker
England
2 M. Parker
D. Paulson
Sweden
14 D. Paulson
O. Parker-Price
New Zealand
23 O. Parker-Price
B. Laturnus
Substitution
Canada
8 B. Laturnus
A. Andreasson
Substitution
Sweden
19 A. Andreasson
W. Hofvander
Sweden
17 W. Hofvander
J. Tibbling Ugwo
Substitution
Sweden
15 J. Tibbling Ugwo
T. Sana
Sweden
22 T. Sana
Pitch
M. Igonen
Estonia
38 M. Igonen
S. Diatara
18 S. Diatara
S. Ohlsson
Substitution
Sweden
16 S. Ohlsson
N. Moro
Ghana
15 N. Moro
L. Fritzson
Sweden
14 L. Fritzson
K. Karlsson
Sweden
4 K. Karlsson
E. Barsoum
Substitution
Sweden
20 E. Barsoum
M. Rafferty
Sweden
10 M. Rafferty
D. Vukojevic
Sweden
11 D. Vukojevic
G. Yaw Yiriyon
Ghana
13 G. Yaw Yiriyon
A. Taranis
Substitution
Denmark
17 A. Taranis

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 27, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 5 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Gamla Ullevi
Capacity :
18416
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Sebastian Robertsson
Andreas Svensson
Joakim Sars
Adi Aganovic

Statistics

Possession
Örgryte
53%
Degerfors
47%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
2 Big Chances Created 2
7 Shots 5
55 Dangerous attacks 38
55 Possession 45
5 Corners 0
5 Free kicks 10
2 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

78 Ball Safe 73
10 Goal Attempts 6
4 Substitutions 3
0 Assists 1
0 Hit Woodwork 1
1 Penalties 0
67 Successful Dribbles Percentage 62
18 Throwins 12
4 Goal Kicks 12
6 Dribble Attempts 13
4 Successful Dribbles 8

Attacking

1 Big Chances Missed 1
87 Attacks 83

Possession

503 Passes 434
83 Successful Passes Percentage 80
417 Successful Passes 346
39 Long Passes 62
17 Successful Long Passes 27
44 Successful Long Passes Percentage 44
7 Key Passes 6

Defensive

7 Interceptions 13
43 Duels Won 37
12 Tackles 9
4 Saves 6

Build-up

22 Total Crosses 10
4 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

10 Fouls 6
3 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Adi Aganovic

Starting XI ▼

44
Hampus Gustafsson
Hampus Gustafsson Goalkeeper
6.78
2
Michael Parker
Michael Parker Defender
6.53
5
Christoffer Styffe
Christoffer Styffe Defender
7.07
3
Jonathan Azulay
Jonathan Azulay
Defender89'
5.98
6
Mikael Dyrestam
Mikael Dyrestam Defender
7.33
8
Benjamin Laturnus
Benjamin Laturnus Midfielder
6.8
11
Noah Christoffersson
Noah Christoffersson
Attacker73'
6.42
14
Daniel Paulson
Daniel Paulson Midfielder
6.35
19
Anton Andreasson
Anton Andreasson Midfielder
6.82
24
William Svensson
William Svensson
Defender73'
6.39
23
Owen Parker-Price
Owen Parker-Price Midfielder
7.08
15
Jerome Tibbling Ugwo
Jerome Tibbling Ugwo Attacker
6.7
7
Charlie Vindehall
Charlie Vindehall
Midfielder89'
17
William Hofvander
William Hofvander Attacker
6.92
22
Tobias Sana
Tobias Sana Attacker
7.04
Referee : Adi Aganovic

Starting XI ▼

38
Matvei Igonen
Matvei Igonen Goalkeeper
6.51
14
Ludvig Fritzson
Ludvig Fritzson Defender
6.6
15
Nasiru Moro
Nasiru Moro Defender
6.39
16
Sebastian Ohlsson
Sebastian Ohlsson Defender
6.92
6
Daniel Sundgren
Daniel Sundgren
Defender79'
7.11
18
Samba Diatara
Samba Diatara Defender
6.65
4
Kazper Karlsson
Kazper Karlsson Midfielder
6.57
10
Marcus Rafferty
Marcus Rafferty Midfielder
6.77
11
Dijan Vukojevic
Dijan Vukojevic Midfielder
6.63
13
Gideon Yaw
Gideon Yaw Midfielder
6.68
20
Elias Barsoum
Elias Barsoum Midfielder
6.46
24
Olle Leonardsson
Olle Leonardsson
Attacker60'
6.3
17
Arman Taranis
Arman Taranis Attacker
6.85
22
Nahom Girmai Netabay
Nahom Girmai Netabay
Midfielder61'
7.23

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Jonathan Azulay → Christoffer Styffe
6th Substitution
89'
Event
Charlie Vindehall → Jerome Tibbling Ugwo
7th Substitution
89'
Event
Tobias Sana
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
85'
84'
Event
Daniel Sundgren
Argument / 5th Yellowcard
84'
Event
Nasiru Moro
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
83'
Event
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
79'
Event
Daniel Sundgren → Sebastian Ohlsson
5th Substitution
Event
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
77'
Event
William Svensson → Anton Andreasson
4th Substitution
73'
Event
Noah Christoffersson → Benjamin Laturnus
3rd Substitution
73'
68'
Event
Gideon Yaw
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
61'
Event
Nahom Girmai Netabay → Arman Taranis
2nd Substitution
60'
Event
Olle Leonardsson → Elias Barsoum
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Jerome Tibbling Ugwo
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
14'

CONCLUSION

Örgryte's home stalemate against Degerfors underscores the Superettan's unpredictability, where possession edges—55% for the hosts—fail to guarantee wins against resilient foes. Degerfors, despite stronger billing, earned a fair share from the 1-1 scoreline, their second-half goal neutralizing Örgryte's pressure. Halftime's 0-0 lock reflected cautious starts, evolving into mutual breakthroughs later. Absent disruptions like reds, pure football prevailed, with moderate deviations hinting at underlying tensions. This result stabilizes both squads' campaigns, fostering tactical refinements ahead. Points shared preserve ambitions, as neither dominates narratives yet.

Örgryte vs Degerfors preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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