Örgryte vs Brommapojkarna Prediction, Preview and Stats
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Gamla Ullevi
Wed, 22 Apr - 5:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Örgryte
Örgryte
1
2
2
Brommapojkarna
Brommapojkarna
Full Time
Wed, 22 Apr
5:00 PM
Round 4 ·
Regular Season
STANDINGS
Loading standings...
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Jul 10
CONTEXT
Örgryte faced Brommapojkarna at home in a closely contested match that concluded 1-2 in favor of the visitors. At halftime, Brommapojkarna held a 1-0 lead, setting the tone early. Örgryte, deemed the stronger team, controlled 53% of possession compared to Brommapojkarna's 47% but struggled to convert pressure into goals. Brommapojkarna added a second-half strike to secure the win, while Örgryte managed only a consolation goal. No red cards were issued, maintaining a disciplined affair without major disruptions. The result exhibited minimal deviation from structural expectations at 4.4%, with Brommapojkarna as the deviating team. Efficiency remained in line with pre-match assessments, and the outcome aligned with market evaluations. Absent xG data limits deeper chance quality analysis, but possession and scoring patterns highlight Brommapojkarna's clinical edge.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Outcome showed minimal 4.4% deviation favoring Brommapojkarna.
-
Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with expectations.
-
xG alignment: xG data unavailable prevents alignment assessment.
-
Market alignment: Result fully aligned with pre-match market views.
-
xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable due to missing data.
-
Event impact: No second-half adjustments or knockout tie influenced play.
-
Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, causing zero distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Match referee
T. Olofsson
•
25 matches in sample
Avg. cards
0.12
0.12
Fouls / match
0.52
Yellow cards / match
0.12
Red cards / match
0
Penalties / match
0
A. Holmberg
VS
U. Kristiansson
1.33
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
0.5
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hammarby
Rank:
L
Mjällby
Rank:
W
Malmö FF
Rank:
D
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mjällby
Rank:
L
AIK
Rank:
D
Häcken
Rank:
D
Degerfors
Rank:
L
Halmstad
Rank:
D
GAIS
Rank:
L
1
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 0
0
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Örgryte
0.19%
Draw
4.2%
Brommapojkarna
95.61%
Movement
Changes since opening
Örgryte
0%
Draw
-1.45%
Brommapojkarna
+1.45%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
24.69
15.74
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Örgryte
Brommapojkarna
Power Score
24.69
15.74
League Position
10
9
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Örgryte
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Brommapojkarna
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Örgryte Brommapojkarna
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Örgryte
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Brommapojkarna
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Örgryte
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Brommapojkarna
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
27.74
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
15.11
Combined Efficiency Index
Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3
0
3
Örgryte
+1.31
Efficiency Index
vs
Brommapojkarna
-1.31
Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Örgryte
Brommapojkarna
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Örgryte
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Brommapojkarna
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Örgryte
Brommapojkarna
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
—
vs
—
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Örgryte
Brommapojkarna
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
—
vs
—
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Örgryte
Brommapojkarna
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Örgryte
vs
Brommapojkarna
Attack After Winning
Possession transition → offence
Örgryte
Brommapojkarna
Goals per Match
Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Shots per Match
Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Dangerous Attacks
Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match.
↑ better
—
Transition Efficiency Index
Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition.
Higher = stronger on the counter
Örgryte
0.22
Brommapojkarna
0.27
Defence After Losing
Possession loss → defensive exposure
Örgryte
Brommapojkarna
Goals Conceded
Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Shots Conceded
Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded
Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match.
↓ better
—
Vulnerability Index
Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks.
Lower = better transition defence
Örgryte
0.09
Brommapojkarna
0.02
Örgryte
Brommapojkarna
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- Örgryte had peak pressure around 27'.
- Brommapojkarna started the game with stronger pressure.
Örgryte Pressure
Brommapojkarna Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index:
Örgryte reached the top pressure at 27' (68.88).
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Örgryte
Örgryte
Home
2
matches
Brommapojkarna
Brommapojkarna
Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
3
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Data last updated: 2026-04-23T00:03:04+00:00
STARTING XI
Örgryte
Brommapojkarna
Match Formation
3-4-3
Match Formation
4-4-2
1 K. Cavallius
6 O. Zandén
3 A. Troelsen
4 O. Cotton
21 A. Andersson
H. Karlsson
#285'
11 R. Örqvist
K. Barslund
#2776'
24 K. Ackermann
K. Sever
#1485'
16 S. Strand
9 M. Hansen
L. Björklund
#3056'
34 D. Isso
10 O. Berg
General Information
📅
Date & Time :
Apr 22, 2026, 05:00 PM
🏆
Competition :
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 4 · Regular Season
🏟️
Stadium :
Gamla Ullevi
👥
Capacity :
18416
🌱
Pitch Surface :
Grass
🌤️
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
🧑⚖️
Referees :
Tess Olofsson
Next Match
Örgryte
vs
Degerfors
League: Allsvenskan
Kickoff: Mon, 27 Apr - 5:00 PM
Venue: Gamla Ullevi
Brommapojkarna
vs
Västerås SK
League: Allsvenskan
Kickoff: Sun, 26 Apr - 2:30 PM
Venue: Grimsta IP
Statistics
Possession
Örgryte
52%
Brommapojkarna
48%
Top Statistics
1
Goals
2
0
Big Chances Created
2
3
Shots
1
54
Dangerous attacks
22
53
Possession
47
2
Corners
1
10
Free kicks
11
2
Yellow Cards
1
Match Overview
1
Hit Woodwork
0
6
Goal Attempts
5
79
Ball Safe
87
0
Injuries
1
1
Assists
2
4
Substitutions
4
6
Goal Kicks
11
17
Dribble Attempts
10
6
Successful Dribbles
4
35
Successful Dribbles Percentage
40
25
Throwins
17
Attacking
100
Attacks
79
Possession
82
Successful Passes Percentage
80
429
Successful Passes
382
521
Passes
475
8
Key Passes
5
38
Successful Long Passes Percentage
35
50
Long Passes
66
19
Successful Long Passes
23
Defensive
0
Saves
2
11
Interceptions
9
41
Duels Won
50
10
Tackles
16
Build-up
4
Accurate Crosses
1
16
Total Crosses
8
Discipline
2
Offsides
0
11
Fouls
10
Lineup
Örgryte
Referee :
Tess Olofsson
Manager ▼
A. Holmberg
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
16Hampus Dahlqvist
Defender86'
Bench ▼
Brommapojkarna
Referee :
Tess Olofsson
Manager ▼
U. Kristiansson
Coach
Starting XI ▼
1
Leo Cavallius
Goalkeeper
6.17
3
Andreas Troelsen
Defender
6.71 4
Oskar Cotton
Defender
6.58 6
Oliver Zandén
Defender
6.85 21
Alex Timossi Andersson
Defender
6.25 9
Mads Hansen
Midfielder
7.27 11
Rasmus Örqvist
Midfielder
7.01 2Hlynur Freyr Karlsson
6.49Defender85'
16
Simon Strand
Midfielder
6.87 14Kamilcan Sever
6.63Attacker85'
24
Kevin Ackermann
Midfielder
6.7 27Kaare Barslund
6.86Defender76'
10
Oliver Berg
Attacker
6.69 34
David Isso
Attacker
30Lukas Björklund
Midfielder56'
Substitutes ▼
30Lukas Björklund
Midfielder56'
27Kaare Barslund
6.86Defender76'
2Hlynur Freyr Karlsson
6.49Defender85'
14Kamilcan Sever
6.63Attacker85'
Bench ▼
25
Davor Blazevic
Goalkeeper
17
Anton Kurochkin
Midfielder
6.19 20
Issiaga Camara
Midfielder
6.47 18
Elton Hedström
Attacker
33
Sion Oppong
Attacker
6.62
Events
2ND-HALF
90+4'
Leo Cavallius
Time wasting / 3rd Yellowcard
8th Substitution
86'
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
85'
85'
Hlynur Freyr Karlsson → Rasmus Örqvist
6th Substitution
85'
Kamilcan Sever → Simon Strand
7th Substitution
5th Substitution
79'
76'
Kaare Barslund → Kevin Ackermann
4th Substitution
72'
Lukas Björklund
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
Header / 2nd Goal
67'
2nd Substitution
58'
3rd Substitution
58'
56'
Lukas Björklund → David Isso
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
39'
David Isso
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
34'
4th Yellowcard
34'
CONCLUSION
Brommapojkarna claimed a 1-2 victory over stronger home side Örgryte, leveraging a halftime 1-0 lead into a full win. Despite Örgryte's 53% possession edge, Brommapojkarna's 47% sufficed through superior finishing. The minimal 4.4% structural deviation and full market alignment underscore a predictable upset within narrow margins. Absent xG obscures chance creation details, yet efficiency in line with norms favored the visitors. No red cards or events altered dynamics, affirming Brommapojkarna's tactical discipline as decisive.
Örgryte vs Brommapojkarna preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
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