Örgryte vs Brommapojkarna Prediction, Preview and Stats

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Gamla Ullevi Wed, 22 Apr - 5:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Örgryte Örgryte
1 Winner 2
Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna
Full Time Wed, 22 Apr 5:00 PM
Round 4 Regular Season
Christoffer Styffe - 67'
Goal
|
Goal
Lukas Björklund - 72'
David Isso - 39'

CONTEXT

Örgryte faced Brommapojkarna at home in a closely contested match that concluded 1-2 in favor of the visitors. At halftime, Brommapojkarna held a 1-0 lead, setting the tone early. Örgryte, deemed the stronger team, controlled 53% of possession compared to Brommapojkarna's 47% but struggled to convert pressure into goals. Brommapojkarna added a second-half strike to secure the win, while Örgryte managed only a consolation goal. No red cards were issued, maintaining a disciplined affair without major disruptions. The result exhibited minimal deviation from structural expectations at 4.4%, with Brommapojkarna as the deviating team. Efficiency remained in line with pre-match assessments, and the outcome aligned with market evaluations. Absent xG data limits deeper chance quality analysis, but possession and scoring patterns highlight Brommapojkarna's clinical edge.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Outcome showed minimal 4.4% deviation favoring Brommapojkarna.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable prevents alignment assessment.
  • Market alignment: Result fully aligned with pre-match market views.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable due to missing data.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or knockout tie influenced play.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, causing zero distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

T. Olofsson

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0
Örgryte A. Holmberg
A. Holmberg
VS
Brommapojkarna U. Kristiansson
U. Kristiansson
1.33
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.5
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hammarby Rank: L
Mjällby Rank: W
Malmö FF Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Mjällby Rank: L
AIK Rank: D
Häcken Rank: D
Degerfors Rank: L
Halmstad Rank: D
GAIS Rank: L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Örgryte
0.19%
Draw
4.2%
Away Brommapojkarna
95.61%

Movement

Changes since opening
Örgryte
0%
Draw
-1.45%
Brommapojkarna
+1.45%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
24.69
15.74
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Örgryte
Brommapojkarna
Power Score
24.69
15.74
League Position
10
9
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Örgryte — Opponent-weighted form score
Brommapojkarna — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Örgryte Brommapojkarna

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Örgryte

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Brommapojkarna

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Örgryte ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Brommapojkarna
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
27.74
15.11
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
15.11
27.74
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Örgryte +1.26 Efficiency Index
vs
Brommapojkarna -1.26 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Örgryte
Brommapojkarna
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Örgryte ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Brommapojkarna
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Örgryte Brommapojkarna
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Örgryte Brommapojkarna
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Örgryte
Brommapojkarna
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Örgryte
vs
Brommapojkarna
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Örgryte Brommapojkarna
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Örgryte 0.22
Brommapojkarna 0.27
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Örgryte Brommapojkarna
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Örgryte 0.09
Brommapojkarna 0.02
Örgryte
Brommapojkarna
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Örgryte had peak pressure around 27'.
  • Brommapojkarna started the game with stronger pressure.
Örgryte Pressure Brommapojkarna Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Örgryte reached the top pressure at 27' (68.88).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Örgryte Örgryte Home
2 matches
Brommapojkarna Brommapojkarna Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
3
+1
Goal Difference
-1

Data last updated: 2026-04-23T00:03:04+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
H. Gustafsson
Sweden
44 H. Gustafsson
C. Styffe
Sweden
5 C. Styffe
M. Dyrestam
Guinea
6 M. Dyrestam
M. Parker
England
2 M. Parker
D. Paulson
Substitution
Sweden
14 D. Paulson
B. Laturnus
Substitution
Canada
8 B. Laturnus
O. Parker-Price
New Zealand
23 O. Parker-Price
A. Andreasson
Substitution
Sweden
19 A. Andreasson
W. Hofvander
Substitution
Sweden
17 W. Hofvander
N. Christoffersson
Sweden
11 N. Christoffersson
T. Sana
Sweden
22 T. Sana
Pitch
K. Cavallius
1 K. Cavallius
O. Zandén
Sweden
6 O. Zandén
A. Troelsen
Denmark
3 A. Troelsen
O. Cotton
4 O. Cotton
A. Andersson
Sweden
21 A. Andersson
R. Örqvist
Substitution
Sweden
11 R. Örqvist
K. Ackermann
Substitution
Sweden
24 K. Ackermann
S. Strand
Substitution
Sweden
16 S. Strand
M. Hansen
Denmark
9 M. Hansen
D. Isso
Substitution
34 D. Isso
O. Berg
Norway
10 O. Berg

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 22, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition :
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 4 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Gamla Ullevi
Capacity :
18416
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Tess Olofsson

Statistics

Possession
Örgryte
52%
Brommapojkarna
48%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2
0 Big Chances Created 2
3 Shots 1
54 Dangerous attacks 22
53 Possession 47
2 Corners 1
10 Free kicks 11
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

1 Hit Woodwork 0
6 Goal Attempts 5
79 Ball Safe 87
0 Injuries 1
1 Assists 2
4 Substitutions 4
6 Goal Kicks 11
17 Dribble Attempts 10
6 Successful Dribbles 4
35 Successful Dribbles Percentage 40
25 Throwins 17

Attacking

100 Attacks 79

Possession

82 Successful Passes Percentage 80
429 Successful Passes 382
521 Passes 475
8 Key Passes 5
38 Successful Long Passes Percentage 35
50 Long Passes 66
19 Successful Long Passes 23

Defensive

0 Saves 2
11 Interceptions 9
41 Duels Won 50
10 Tackles 16

Build-up

4 Accurate Crosses 1
16 Total Crosses 8

Discipline

2 Offsides 0
11 Fouls 10

Lineup

Referee : Tess Olofsson

Starting XI ▼

44
Hampus Gustafsson
Hampus Gustafsson Goalkeeper
6.85
2
Michael Parker
Michael Parker Defender
6.54
5
Christoffer Styffe
Christoffer Styffe Defender
6.76
6
Mikael Dyrestam
Mikael Dyrestam Defender
7.59
8
Benjamin Laturnus
Benjamin Laturnus Midfielder
6.97
25
Demirel Hodzic
Demirel Hodzic
Midfielder79'
6.52
14
Daniel Paulson
Daniel Paulson Midfielder
6.19
16
Hampus Dahlqvist
Hampus Dahlqvist
Defender86'
19
Anton Andreasson
Anton Andreasson Midfielder
6.83
24
William Svensson
William Svensson
Defender58'
6.59
23
Owen Parker-Price
Owen Parker-Price Midfielder
7.1
11
Noah Christoffersson
Noah Christoffersson Attacker
6.48
17
William Hofvander
William Hofvander Attacker
6.88
15
Jerome Tibbling Ugwo
Jerome Tibbling Ugwo
Attacker58'
6.8
22
Tobias Sana
Tobias Sana Attacker
6.98
Referee : Tess Olofsson

Starting XI ▼

1
Leo Cavallius
Leo Cavallius Goalkeeper
6.17
3
Andreas Troelsen
Andreas Troelsen Defender
6.71
4
Oskar Cotton
Oskar Cotton Defender
6.58
6
Oliver Zandén
Oliver Zandén Defender
6.85
21
Alex Timossi Andersson
Alex Timossi Andersson Defender
6.25
9
Mads Hansen
Mads Hansen Midfielder
7.27
11
Rasmus Örqvist
Rasmus Örqvist Midfielder
7.01
2
Hlynur Freyr Karlsson
Hlynur Freyr Karlsson
Defender85'
6.49
16
Simon Strand
Simon Strand Midfielder
6.87
14
Kamilcan Sever
Kamilcan Sever
Attacker85'
6.63
24
Kevin Ackermann
Kevin Ackermann Midfielder
6.7
27
Kaare Barslund
Kaare Barslund
Defender76'
6.86
10
Oliver Berg
Oliver Berg Attacker
6.69
34
David Isso
David Isso Attacker
6.27
30
Lukas Björklund
Lukas Björklund
Midfielder56'
6.84

Events

2ND-HALF
90+4'
Event
Leo Cavallius
Time wasting / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Hampus Dahlqvist → Daniel Paulson
8th Substitution
86'
Event
Christoffer Styffe
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
85'
85'
Event
Hlynur Freyr Karlsson → Rasmus Örqvist
6th Substitution
85'
Event
Kamilcan Sever → Simon Strand
7th Substitution
Event
Demirel Hodzic → Benjamin Laturnus
5th Substitution
79'
76'
Event
Kaare Barslund → Kevin Ackermann
4th Substitution
72'
Event
Lukas Björklund
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
Christoffer Styffe
Header / 2nd Goal
67'
Event
William Svensson → Anton Andreasson
2nd Substitution
58'
Event
Jerome Tibbling Ugwo → William Hofvander
3rd Substitution
58'
56'
Event
Lukas Björklund → David Isso
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
39'
Event
David Isso
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
Event
Benjamin Laturnus
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
34'
Event
4th Yellowcard
34'

CONCLUSION

Brommapojkarna claimed a 1-2 victory over stronger home side Örgryte, leveraging a halftime 1-0 lead into a full win. Despite Örgryte's 53% possession edge, Brommapojkarna's 47% sufficed through superior finishing. The minimal 4.4% structural deviation and full market alignment underscore a predictable upset within narrow margins. Absent xG obscures chance creation details, yet efficiency in line with norms favored the visitors. No red cards or events altered dynamics, affirming Brommapojkarna's tactical discipline as decisive.

Örgryte vs Brommapojkarna preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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