Olympique Marseille vs Auxerre Prediction, Preview and Stats

France flag 2025/2026 Ligue 1, France
Stade Vélodrome Fri, 13 Mar - 7:45 PM
Ligue 1
Olympique Marseille OM
1 Winner 0
Auxerre AUX
Full Time Fri, 13 Mar 7:45 PM
Amine Gouiri - 79'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

The match between Olympique Marseille and Auxerre has finished with a final score of 1-0 in favor of the home side. After a scoreless first half where the teams were completely even at the break, Olympique Marseille eventually found the second-half breakthrough to secure the narrow victory. Going into the fixture, Olympique Marseille were heavily favored by the pre-match market, boasting a 65.8% implied probability of winning compared to a 20.8% chance of a draw and Auxerre's 13.4% likelihood of an upset. This outcome firmly aligned with those market expectations, despite a significant 34.2% deviation level required by Olympique Marseille to ultimately clinch the result. The hosts controlled the tempo, maintaining 58% possession and leaving Auxerre with just 42% of the ball. Because expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this fixture, an assessment of whether the outcome aligned with the true quality of chances created cannot be definitively made. The final result was in line with the efficiency shift metrics for both clubs, reflecting a positive execution for the home side. Furthermore, the match was contested without any major disciplinary disruptions, as no red cards were issued to either team.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Olympique Marseille showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

M. Bollengier

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

T. Luczynski

1st Assistant

Y. Boutry

2nd Assistant

G. Paradis

4th Official

Olympique Marseille H. Beye
H. Beye
VS
Auxerre C. Pélissier
C. Pélissier
1.94
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.73
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Paris Saint Germain Rank: 93 L
Paris Rank: 67 D
Lens Rank: 83 W
Angers SCO Rank: 69 W
Nantes Rank: 65 L
Monaco Rank: 77 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Strasbourg Rank: 79 D
Lorient Rank: 73 D
Rennes Rank: 77 L
Metz Rank: 63 W
Paris Rank: 67 D
Toulouse Rank: 74 D
11
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
11 - 4 - 4
4

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Olympique Marseille
65.78%
Draw
20.79%
Away Auxerre
13.44%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
81.87
67.09
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Olympique Marseille
Auxerre
Power Score
81.87
67.09
League Position
3
16
Global Rank
48
249

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Olympique Marseille — Opponent-weighted form score
Auxerre — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Olympique Marseille Auxerre

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Olympique Marseille

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Auxerre

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Olympique Marseille ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Auxerre
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
33.02
22.38
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
22.38
33.02
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Olympique Marseille +1.04 Efficiency Index
vs
Auxerre -1.04 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Olympique Marseille
Auxerre
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Olympique Marseille ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Auxerre
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Olympique Marseille Auxerre
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Olympique Marseille Auxerre
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Olympique Marseille
Auxerre
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Olympique Marseille OM Home
5 matches
Auxerre AUX Away
Match Record
3
Wins
2
0
Draws
0
2
Losses
3
Goals
6
Goals Scored
7
7
Goals Conceded
6
-1
Goal Difference
+1

Data last updated: 2026-03-14T02:16:31+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 5-4-1
Pitch
G. Rulli
Argentina
1 G. Rulli
T. Weah
United States
22 T. Weah
B. Pavard
France
28 B. Pavard
C. Egan Riley
Substitution
England
4 C. Egan Riley
F. Medina
Argentina
32 F. Medina
G. Kondogbia
Substitution
Central African Republic
19 G. Kondogbia
P. Højbjerg
Denmark
23 (C) P. Højbjerg
M. Greenwood
Substitution
England
10 M. Greenwood
Q. Timber
Netherlands
27 Q. Timber
I. Barbosa da Paixão
Substitution
Brazil
14 I. Barbosa da Paixão
P. Aubameyang
Substitution
Gabon
17 P. Aubameyang
Pitch
D. Léon
French Guiana
16 D. Léon
F. Oppegard
Norway
22 F. Oppegard
C. Akpa
France
92 C. Akpa
S. Diomande
Ivory Coast
20 S. Diomande
B. Okoh
Substitution
Switzerland
24 B. Okoh
L. Sy
Substitution
France
27 L. Sy
D. Loader
Cameroon
19 D. Loader
K. Danois
France
5 K. Danois
E. Owusu
Ghana
42 (C) E. Owusu
J. Casimir
Substitution
Guadeloupe
7 J. Casimir
S. Mara
Substitution
France
9 S. Mara

General Information

Date & Time :
Mar 13, 2026, 07:45 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Ligue 1, France
Stadium :
Stade Vélodrome
Capacity :
67395
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Thomas Luczynski
Yannick Boutry
Marc Bollengier
Guillaume Paradis

Statistics

Possession
OM
56%
AUX
44%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
1 Big Chances Created 0
10 Shots 4
63 Dangerous attacks 28
58 Possession 42
9 Corners 2
17 Free kicks 12
4 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

20 Dribble Attempts 17
22 Throwins 13
55 Successful Dribbles Percentage 53
11 Successful Dribbles 9
15 Successful Headers 8
5 Goal Kicks 8
6 Goal Attempts 4
75 Ball Safe 81
5 Substitutions 4

Attacking

111 Attacks 89

Possession

87 Successful Passes Percentage 80
32 Long Passes 58
517 Passes 379
450 Successful Passes 305
12 Key Passes 6
11 Successful Long Passes 23
34 Successful Long Passes Percentage 40

Defensive

13 Tackles 13
50 Duels Won 42
10 Interceptions 9
3 Saves 2

Build-up

2 Accurate Crosses 1
24 Total Crosses 11

Discipline

1 Offsides 0
12 Fouls 17

Lineup

Referee : Marc Bollengier

Starting XI ▼

1
Gerónimo Rulli
Gerónimo Rulli Goalkeeper
7.14
4
CJ Egan-Riley
CJ Egan-Riley Defender
6.73
9
Amine Gouiri
Amine Gouiri
Attacker62'
7.2
22
Timothy Weah
Timothy Weah Defender
6.78
28
Benjamin Pavard
Benjamin Pavard Defender
6.99
32
Facundo Medina
Facundo Medina Defender
7.07
10
Mason Greenwood
Mason Greenwood Midfielder
7.98
11
Ethan Nwaneri
Ethan Nwaneri
Midfielder90+3'
14
Igor Paixão
Igor Paixão Midfielder
6.8
20
Hamed Junior Traoré
Hamed Junior Traoré
Midfielder90+5'
19
Geoffrey Kondogbia
Geoffrey Kondogbia Midfielder
7.3
33
Emerson
Emerson
Defender63'
6.61
23
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg (C) Midfielder
7.38
27
Quinten Timber
Quinten Timber Midfielder
7.03
17
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang Attacker
6.94
6
Tochukwu Nnadi
Tochukwu Nnadi
Midfielder90+3'
Referee : Marc Bollengier

Starting XI ▼

16
Donovan Léon
Donovan Léon Goalkeeper
6.48
20
Sinaly Diomandé
Sinaly Diomandé Defender
6.05
22
Fredrik Oppegård
Fredrik Oppegård Defender
6.5
24
Bryan Okoh
Bryan Okoh Defender
6.81
31
Ryan Rodin
Ryan Rodin
Attacker88'
27
Lamine Sy
Lamine Sy Defender
6.91
29
Marvin Senaya
Marvin Senaya
Defender67'
6.6
92
Clément Akpa
Clément Akpa Defender
6.45
5
Kévin Danois
Kévin Danois Midfielder
7.29
7
Josué Casimir
Josué Casimir Midfielder
6.28
8
Naouirou Ahamada
Naouirou Ahamada
Midfielder75'
6.44
19
Danny Namaso
Danny Namaso Midfielder
6.93
42
Elisha Owusu
Elisha Owusu (C) Midfielder
6.88
9
Sékou Mara
Sékou Mara Attacker
6.46
28
Romain Faivre
Romain Faivre
Midfielder67'
7.07

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Hamed Junior Traoré → Igor Paixão
9th Substitution
90+5'
90+4'
Event
Sinaly Diomandé
Argument / 6th Yellowcard
Event
Ethan Nwaneri → Mason Greenwood
8th Substitution
90+3'
Event
Tochukwu Nnadi → Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
7th Substitution
90+3'
Event
Quinten Timber
Time wasting / 5th Yellowcard
90+1'
88'
Event
Ryan Rodin → Bryan Okoh
6th Substitution
87'
Event
Var
Event
Amine Gouiri
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
79'
Event
Igor Paixão
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
78'
75'
Event
Naouirou Ahamada → Josué Casimir
5th Substitution
67'
Event
Romain Faivre → Sékou Mara
3rd Substitution
67'
Event
Marvin Senaya → Lamine Sy
4th Substitution
Event
Emerson → Geoffrey Kondogbia
2nd Substitution
63'
Event
Amine Gouiri → CJ Egan-Riley
1st Substitution
62'
1ST-HALF
45+1'
Event
Christophe Pélissier
Argument / 8th Yellowcard
45+1'
Event
Lassine Sinayoko
7th Yellowcard
45'
Event
Bryan Okoh
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
CJ Egan-Riley
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
37'
Event
Facundo Medina
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
22'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
The second half has concluded with the final score: Marseille 1, Auxerre 0.
90
Update Update
Sinaly Diomandé from Auxerre committed a foul.
90
Update Update
Elisha Owusu from Auxerre earned a free kick in the defensive area.
90
Update Update
Quinten Timber from Marseille committed a foul.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Marseille: Tochukwu Nnadi replaces Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang.
90
Update Update
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg of Marseille has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Marseille: Hamed Traoré comes on to replace Igor Paixão.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Quinten Timber of Marseille has been shown a yellow card.
90
Update Update
Elisha Owusu from Auxerre has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
90
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Romain Faivre from Auxerre fires a left-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Naouirou Ahamada.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Sinaly Diomandé from Auxerre has been shown a yellow card.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be three minutes of stoppage time.
90
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive push from Auxerre! Romain Faivre takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but Gerónimo Rulli, the Marseille goalkeeper, makes a solid save right in the middle of the goal. The assist came from Kévin Danois.
90
Update Update
Amine Gouiri from Marseille committed a foul.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Marseille: Ethan Nwaneri comes on to replace Mason Greenwood.
89
Attempt Attempt
Another offensive push! Danny Namaso from Auxerre takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but Gerónimo Rulli, the Marseille goalkeeper, makes a solid save right in the middle of the goal. The assist came from Romain Faivre.
88
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Auxerre: Ryan Rodin comes on to replace Bryan Okoh.
87
Update Update
Bryan Okoh from Auxerre commits a handball.
86
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Auxerre after a foul by Benjamin Pavard.
86
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Elisha Owusu from Auxerre fires a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's blocked.
86
Corner Corner
Another offensive push. Romain Faivre from Auxerre takes a left-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but Gerónimo Rulli from Marseille makes a save in the bottom left corner. The assist came from Elisha Owusu.
85
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Amine Gouiri from Marseille takes a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it's blocked. The assist came from Mason Greenwood.
81
Update Update
Emerson from Marseille committed a foul.
81
Update Update
Elisha Owusu from Auxerre has been awarded a free kick in his own half.
79
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Marseille takes the lead with a score of 1-0 against Auxerre. Amine Gouiri has found the back of the net with a right-footed shot from the center of the box, placing it perfectly into the left corner.
78
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Igor Paixão of Marseille has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
77
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Emerson from Marseille takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's blocked. The setup came from Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang.
77
Update Update
Elisha Owusu from Auxerre earned a free kick in the defensive area.
77
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Marseille after Bryan Okoh allowed the ball to go out.
77
Update Update
Igor Paixão from Marseille committed a foul.
77
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Igor Paixão from Marseille fires a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it's blocked.
75
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Auxerre: Naouirou Ahamada is replacing Josué Casimir.
74
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted! Pierre-Emile Højbjerg from Marseille took a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area that narrowly missed to the left. The assist came from Igor Paixão.
73
Update Update
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang from Marseille earned a free kick in an offensive position.
73
Update Update
Bryan Okoh committed a foul against an opponent - Auxerre.
72
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Timothy Weah from Marseille takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked.
71
Update Update
Elisha Owusu from Auxerre commits a handball foul.
70
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Mason Greenwood of Marseille attempted a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area following a free kick.
70
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Marseille, following a foul by Bryan Okoh.
69
Update Update
Bryan Okoh from Auxerre commits a handball.
68
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Marseille after Marvin Senaya allowed the ball to go out.
67
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Auxerre: Marvin Senaya replaces Lamine Sy.
67
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Auxerre: Romain Faivre comes on to replace Sékou Mara.
66
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity gone awry. Mason Greenwood from Marseille attempted a right-footed shot from a challenging angle on the right side.
65
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Marseille, following a foul by Elisha Owusu.
64
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity! Igor Paixão from Marseille took a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sailed over the goal. The assist came from Mason Greenwood.
63
Update Update
Timothy Weah from Marseille has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
63
Update Update
Danny Namaso committed a foul for Auxerre.
63
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Marseille: Emerson comes on to replace Geoffrey Kondogbia.
62
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Marseille: Amine Gouiri comes on to replace CJ Egan-Riley.
61
Attempt Attempt
The attempt on goal was thwarted. Mason Greenwood from Marseille took a left-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area, but it was blocked. The assist came from Timothy Weah.
60
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Marseille after Lamine Sy allowed the ball to go out.
59
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity squandered! Kévin Danois from Auxerre took a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sailed over the crossbar. The assist came from Danny Namaso.
57
Update Update
Danny Namaso from Auxerre earned a free kick on the left side of the field.
57
Update Update
Quinten Timber committed a foul against Marseille.
54
Corner Corner
Opportunity wasted. Danny Namaso from Auxerre attempted a header from the center of the box following a corner, but it went wide to the left.
53
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Auxerre after Facundo Medina allowed the ball to go out of play.
52
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity wasted. Mason Greenwood from Marseille attempted a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area.
49
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive effort unfolds as Pierre-Emile Højbjerg from Marseille takes a right-footed shot from the center of the box, but Donovan Léon, the goalkeeper for Auxerre, makes a crucial save right in the middle of the goal.
49
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Marseille after Josué Casimir allowed the ball to go out.
48
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Marseille after Donovan Léon allowed the ball to go out.
48
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Marseille after Donovan Léon allowed the ball to go out.
46
Update Update
Fouled by Pierre-Emile Højbjerg from Marseille.
46
Update Update
Lamine Sy from Auxerre earned a free kick in the defensive zone.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Bryan Okoh from Auxerre has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
45
Update Update
The first half has concluded with the score tied at Marseille 0, Auxerre 0.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Marseille after a play that resulted in Danny Namaso giving up possession.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be one minute of stoppage time.
45
Update Update
Quinten Timber from Marseille has earned a free kick in an offensive position.
45
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Timothy Weah of Marseille takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Pierre-Emile Højbjerg.
45
Update Update
The first half has concluded with the score tied at Marseille 0, Auxerre 0.
45
Update Update
Quinten Timber from Marseille has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
45
Update Update
The second half is underway with the score still tied at Marseille 0, Auxerre 0.
43
Update Update
Timothy Weah from Marseille committed a foul.
43
Update Update
Sékou Mara from Auxerre has been awarded a free kick in the defensive zone.
42
Update Update
Fouled by Fredrik Oppegård from Auxerre.
42
Update Update
Mason Greenwood from Marseille earned a free kick on the right side of the field.
39
Update Update
Quinten Timber of Marseille has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
39
Update Update
Bryan Okoh committed a foul against an opponent for Auxerre.
38
Update Update
Elisha Owusu from Auxerre committed a foul.
38
Update Update
Geoffrey Kondogbia from Marseille earned a free kick on the left side of the field.
37
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
CJ Egan-Riley of Marseille has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
36
Update Update
Sékou Mara from Auxerre has been awarded a free kick in an attacking position.
36
Update Update
CJ Egan-Riley from Marseille committed a foul.
31
Update Update
Foul committed by Josué Casimir - Auxerre.
31
Update Update
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg of Marseille earned a free kick in the defensive area.
30
Update Update
Josué Casimir from Auxerre committed a foul.
30
Update Update
Facundo Medina of Marseille was awarded a free kick in an attacking position.
28
Update Update
Offside call against Marseille. Quinten Timber has been flagged for being in an offside position.
27
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity squandered. Mason Greenwood of Marseille took a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it sailed over the crossbar. The assist came from Igor Paixão.
26
Update Update
Geoffrey Kondogbia from Marseille has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
26
Update Update
Sékou Mara committed a foul against an Auxerre player.
22
Update Update
Facundo Medina from Marseille committed a foul.
22
Update Update
Sékou Mara from Auxerre has earned a free kick on the right side of the field.
22
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Facundo Medina from Marseille has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
21
Update Update
Sékou Mara committed a foul against an Auxerre player.
21
Update Update
Geoffrey Kondogbia from Marseille has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
19
Update Update
Elisha Owusu from Auxerre commits a handball.
16
Update Update
Mason Greenwood committed a foul against a Marseille player.
16
Update Update
Clément Akpa from Auxerre has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
15
Attempt Attempt
A shot is deflected. Sékou Mara from Auxerre attempts a left-footed strike from the left side of the penalty area, but it's blocked. The assist came from Kévin Danois.
11
Update Update
Bryan Okoh from Auxerre committed a foul.
11
Update Update
Igor Paixão from Marseille has been awarded a free kick on the left flank.
11
Update Update
Josué Casimir from Auxerre earned a free kick in the defensive area.
11
Update Update
Josué Casimir from Auxerre has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
9
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Marseille after Clément Akpa allowed the ball to go out.
8
Update Update
Sékou Mara from Auxerre has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
8
Update Update
CJ Egan-Riley from Marseille committed a foul.
4
Update Update
Quinten Timber from Marseille has been awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
4
Update Update
Josué Casimir committed a foul for Auxerre.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Olympique Marseille exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

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Ligue 1, France View all league clusters View methodology and FAQ