Olympique Lyonnais vs Lens Prediction, Preview and Stats

France flag 2025/2026 Ligue 1, France
Groupama Stadium Sun, 17 May - 7:00 PM
Ligue 1
Olympique Lyonnais LYO
Versus
Lens LEN
KICKOFF : Sun, 17 May - 7:00 PM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Olympique Lyonnais welcomes Lens to Groupama Stadium for a pivotal Ligue 1 regular season encounter in the 2025/2026 campaign. Lyon, perched in 4th place, faces 2nd-placed Lens in a matchup brimming with top-table implications. Lyon's power score of 82.53 narrowly surpasses Lens's 82.14, granting the hosts a 0.4-point edge and designating them the stronger side on paper. Form metrics tilt heavily toward Lyon at 37.44 versus Lens's modest 15.11, highlighting superior recent performances from the home team. While league positions underscore Lens's consistency, Lyon's momentum and home advantage at Groupama Stadium set the stage for an intriguing battle. Data gaps exist in set pieces and efficiency due to unavailable xG metrics, shifting emphasis to structural balance and transition dynamics. Expect a closely contested affair where small margins could define the outcome.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Olympique Lyonnais holds a 0.4-point power advantage over Lens with scores of 82.53 to 82.14.
  • Form: Olympique Lyonnais leads in form with a score of 37.44 compared to Lens's 15.11.
  • Squad: Lyon occupies 4th place in Ligue 1 while Lens sits in 2nd.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable.
  • Transition: Transition play data is not provided.
  • Set pieces: Set piece metrics unavailable due to lack of xG data and low confidence proxies.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable as add-on not enabled.
  • Market: Olympique Lyonnais 54% (Δ+0.4%) | Draw 23% (Δ-0.2%) | Lens 23% (Δ-0.2%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Olympique Lyonnais P. Rodrigues Fonseca
P. Rodrigues Fonseca
VS
Lens P. Sage
P. Sage
1.9
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Toulouse Rank: 74 L
Rennes Rank: 80 W
Auxerre Rank: 69 W
Paris Saint Germain Rank: 95 W
Lorient Rank: 75 W
Angers SCO Rank: 67 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Paris Saint Germain Rank: 95 L
Nantes Rank: 67 W
Nice Rank: 72 D
Brest Rank: 73 D
Toulouse Rank: 74 W
LOSC Lille Rank: 81 L
12
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
12 - 5 - 6
6
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Olympique Lyonnais
53.98%
Draw
23.01%
Away Lens
23.01%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
82.53
82.14
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Olympique Lyonnais
Lens
Power Score
82.53
82.14
League Position
4
2
Global Rank
46
48

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Olympique Lyonnais — Opponent-weighted form score
Lens — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Olympique Lyonnais Lens

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 23 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Olympique Lyonnais LYO Home
23 matches
Lens LEN Away
Match Record
12
Wins
6
5
Draws
5
6
Losses
12
Goals
36
Goals Scored
22
22
Goals Conceded
36
+14
Goal Difference
-14

Data last updated: 2026-05-14T00:25:48+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

Official lineups and formations are usually announced 60–90 minutes before kickoff. Check back closer to the match to see the starting XIs here.

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Ligue 1, France · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Groupama Stadium
Capacity :
59186
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
François Letexier
Gwenaël Pasqualotti
Mehdi Rahmouni
Gaël Angoula

Squad

Referee : François Letexier

Squad ▼

40
Rémy Descamps
Rémy Descamps Goalkeeper
1
Dominik Greif
Dominik Greif Goalkeeper
50
Lassine Diarra
Lassine Diarra Goalkeeper
98
Ainsley Maitland-Niles
Ainsley Maitland-Niles Defender
33
Hans Hateboer
Hans Hateboer Defender
22
Clinton Mukoni Mata Pedro Lourenço
Clinton Mukoni Mata Pedro Lourenço Defender
19
Moussa Niakhaté
Moussa Niakhaté Defender
3
Nicolás Alejandro Tagliafico
Nicolás Alejandro Tagliafico Defender
16
Abner Vinicius Da Silva Santos
Abner Vinicius Da Silva Santos Defender
21
Ruben Kluivert
Ruben Kluivert Defender
36
Achraf Laaziri
Achraf Laaziri Defender
34
Steeve Kango
Steeve Kango Defender
85
Noham Kamara
Noham Kamara Defender
8
Corentin Tolisso
Corentin Tolisso Midfielder
5
Orel Mangala
Orel Mangala Midfielder
10
Pavel Šulc
Pavel Šulc Midfielder
6
Tanner Tessmann
Tanner Tessmann Midfielder
23
Tyler Morton
Tyler Morton Midfielder
7
Adam Karabec
Adam Karabec Midfielder
99
Noah Teye Nartey
Noah Teye Nartey Midfielder
39
Mathys de Carvalho
Mathys de Carvalho Midfielder
44
Khalis Merah
Khalis Merah Midfielder
18
Rachid Ghezzal
Rachid Ghezzal Attacker
77
Roman Yaremchuk
Roman Yaremchuk Attacker
11
Malick Martin Fofana
Malick Martin Fofana Attacker
17
Afonso Bastardo Moreira
Afonso Bastardo Moreira Attacker
37
Ernest Appiah Nuamah
Ernest Appiah Nuamah Attacker
9
Endrick Felipe Moreira de Sousa
Endrick Felipe Moreira de Sousa Attacker
45
Rémi Stéphane Himbert
Rémi Stéphane Himbert Attacker
Referee : François Letexier

Squad ▼

16
Mathieu Gorgelin
Mathieu Gorgelin Goalkeeper
1
Régis Gurtner
Régis Gurtner Goalkeeper
40
Robin Risser
Robin Risser Goalkeeper
60
Ilan Jourdren
Ilan Jourdren Goalkeeper
27
Arthur Masuaku
Arthur Masuaku Defender
14
Matthieu Udol
Matthieu Udol Defender
20
Malang Sarr
Malang Sarr Defender
24
Jonathan Gradit
Jonathan Gradit Defender
2
Ruben Aguilar
Ruben Aguilar Defender
23
Saud Abdullah Abdul Hamid
Saud Abdullah Abdul Hamid Defender
6
Samson Baidoo
Samson Baidoo Defender
25
Pierre Ismaelo Ganiou
Pierre Ismaelo Ganiou Defender
4
Nidal Čelik
Nidal Čelik Defender
32
Kyllian Antonio
Kyllian Antonio Defender
21
Amadou Haidara
Amadou Haidara Midfielder
28
Adrien Thomasson
Adrien Thomasson Midfielder
8
Mamadou Sangare
Mamadou Sangare Midfielder
5
Andrija Bulatović
Andrija Bulatović Midfielder
18
Fodé Sylla
Fodé Sylla Midfielder
31
Alpha Diallo
Alpha Diallo Midfielder
10
Florian Tristán Mariano Thauvin
Florian Tristán Mariano Thauvin Attacker
9
Allan Saint-Maximin
Allan Saint-Maximin Attacker
22
Wesley Saïd
Wesley Saïd Attacker
11
Odsonne Édouard
Odsonne Édouard Attacker
7
Florian Sotoca
Florian Sotoca Attacker
19
Abdallah Dipo Sima
Abdallah Dipo Sima Attacker
26
Anthony Bermont
Anthony Bermont Attacker
38
Rayan Fofana
Rayan Fofana Attacker
34
Erawan Garnier
Erawan Garnier Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Olympique Lyonnais holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Olympique Lyonnais a 0.4-point edge. External projection is Olympique Lyonnais 52.7%, draw 23.8%, and Lens 23.5%. That projection profile aligns with the structural signals. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.

Olympique Lyonnais vs Lens preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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