Oleksandria vs Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
KSK Nika Sat, 23 May - 10:00 AM
Premier League
Oleksandria Oleksandria
1 – 1
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Full Time Sat, 23 May 10:00 AM
Round 30 Regular Season
Mauro Rodrigues - 81'
Goal
|
Goal
Jhoel Maya - 70'

CONTEXT

Oleksandria hosted Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih in a tightly contested match that ended in a 1-1 draw. Both teams went into halftime with the score level at 0-0. Oleksandria controlled 55 percent of the possession compared to 45 percent for their opponents. Despite Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih being the stronger team on paper, the game resulted in a draw. The significant deviation was noted for the away side. No red cards were issued during the proceedings. The second half saw adjustments that led to each side finding the net once. This outcome highlighted the competitive nature of the fixture between these two sides. The match featured balanced play with neither side able to dominate completely. Additional chances were created but defensive efforts prevailed in key moments. Overall, the draw was a fair reflection of the on-field action.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih experienced a significant structural deviation in the match outcome.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match projections.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment data was unavailable for this encounter.
  • Market alignment: The final result did not align with market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be assessed without available metrics.
  • Event impact: The match concluded in a 1-1 draw after a goalless first half.
  • Red card distortion: No red card distortion occurred as neither team received red cards.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

D. Kubryak

Ukraine 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Yukhymenko

1st Assistant

Ukraine

A. Likarenko

2nd Assistant

Ukraine

A. Mykhaylyuk

4th Official

Ukraine

League averages

Premier League Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 17.73
Yellow cards / match 3.34
Red cards / match 0.15
Penalties / match 0.27
Oleksandria V. Sharan
V. Sharan
VS
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih P. van Leeuwen
P. van Leeuwen
0.41
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.59
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rukh Vynnyky Rank: 43 W
Zorya Luhansk Rank: 54 L
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: 63 L
Kolos Kovalivka Rank: 54 L
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Rank: 48 D
Veres Rank: 46 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: 75 L
Veres Rank: 48 W
Karpaty Rank: 55 W
SK Poltava Rank: 33 D
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: 66 L
Rukh Vynnyky Rank: 42 W
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 0 - 3
3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Oleksandria
32.62%
Draw
26.24%
Away Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
41.14%

Movement

Changes since opening
Oleksandria
+26.58%
Draw
-61.68%
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
+35.1%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
44.25
57.09
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Oleksandria
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Power Score
44.25
57.09
League Position
15
6
Global Rank
908
573

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Oleksandria — Opponent-weighted form score
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Oleksandria Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Oleksandria

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Oleksandria ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
34.27
38.56
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
38.56
34.27
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Oleksandria -0.43 Efficiency Index
vs
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih +0.43 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Oleksandria
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Oleksandria ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Oleksandria Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Oleksandria Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Oleksandria
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Oleksandria
vs
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Oleksandria Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Oleksandria 0.28
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 0.21
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Oleksandria Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Oleksandria 0.01
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 0.02
Oleksandria
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih had peak pressure around 82'.
  • Oleksandria started the game with stronger pressure.
Oleksandria Pressure Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih reached the top pressure at 82' (53.61).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 7 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Oleksandria Oleksandria Home
7 matches
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Away
Match Record
4
Wins
3
0
Draws
0
3
Losses
4
Goals
7
Goals Scored
7
7
Goals Conceded
7
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-24T00:00:54+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
N. Makarenko
72 N. Makarenko
A. Shulianskyi
Ukraine
11 A. Shulianskyi
J. Behiratche
Substitution
Ivory Coast
50 J. Behiratche
A. Bol
Ukraine
86 A. Bol
M. Ogarkov
Substitution
Ukraine
23 M. Ogarkov
D. Vashchenko
Ukraine
20 D. Vashchenko
H. Touati
Substitution
France
24 H. Touati
D. Chernysh
Substitution
Ukraine
40 D. Chernysh
S. Buletsa
Ukraine
10 (C) S. Buletsa
P. Yade
Senegal
37 P. Yade
B. Castillo Rosendo
Substitution
Venezuela
99 B. Castillo Rosendo
Pitch
V. Makhankov
Ukraine
30 V. Makhankov
T. Nascimento Borges
Brazil
16 T. Nascimento Borges
C. Rojas Torres
Venezuela
3 C. Rojas Torres
V. Volodymyr
Ukraine
4 (C) V. Volodymyr
J. Jurčec
Croatia
2 J. Jurčec
Y. Shevchenko
8 Y. Shevchenko
A. Araujo Araque
Venezuela
6 A. Araujo Araque
G. Herbert
Substitution
Panama
10 G. Herbert
O. Kamenskyi
Substitution
21 O. Kamenskyi
C. Paraco González
Substitution
Venezuela
9 C. Paraco González
B. Lin
Substitution
Israel
18 B. Lin

General Information

Date & Time :
May 23, 2026, 10:00 AM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 30 · Regular Season
Stadium :
KSK Nika
Capacity :
7000
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Dmitriy Kubryak
Mykhailo Yukhymenko
Andrii Likarenko
Artem Mykhaylyuk

Statistics

Possession
Oleksandria
50%
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
50%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
16 Shots 14
57 Dangerous attacks 67
55 Possession 45
5 Corners 5
8 Free kicks 8
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

5 Substitutions 4
1 Assists 1

Attacking

98 Attacks 107

Defensive

4 Saves 2

Discipline

9 Fouls 7
5 Offsides 3

Lineup

Referee : Dmitriy Kubryak

Starting XI ▼

72
Nazar Makarenko
Nazar Makarenko Goalkeeper
6.12
23
Mykola Ogarkov
Mykola Ogarkov Defender
6.5
90
Danyil Vlasiuk
Danyil Vlasiuk
Defender45'
6.36
50
Jocelin Behiratche
Jocelin Behiratche Defender
6.25
26
Miguel Campos
Miguel Campos
Defender75'
6.5
86
Anton Bol
Anton Bol Defender
6.26
10
Sergiy Buletsa
Sergiy Buletsa (C) Midfielder
6.37
11
Artem Shulyanskyi
Artem Shulyanskyi Midfielder
6.37
20
Daniil Vashchenko
Daniil Vashchenko Midfielder
6.37
24
Hussayn Touati
Hussayn Touati Midfielder
6.5
67
Mauro Rodrigues
Mauro Rodrigues
Midfielder63'
6.57
37
Papa Ndiaga Yade
Papa Ndiaga Yade Midfielder
6.37
40
Dmytro Chernysh
Dmytro Chernysh Midfielder
6.5
9
Dmytro Myshnyov
Dmytro Myshnyov
Midfielder45'
6.37
99
Bryan Castillo
Bryan Castillo Attacker
6.5
27
Tedi Cara
Tedi Cara
Midfielder45'
6.37
Referee : Dmitriy Kubryak

Starting XI ▼

30
Volodymyr Makhankov
Volodymyr Makhankov Goalkeeper
6.12
2
Jan Jurcec
Jan Jurcec Defender
6.26
3
Carlos Rojas
Carlos Rojas Defender
6.26
4
Volodymyr Vilivald
Volodymyr Vilivald (C) Defender
6.26
16
Thiago Isabel Nascimento Borges
Thiago Isabel Nascimento Borges Defender
6.26
6
Andrusw Araujo
Andrusw Araujo Midfielder
6.37
8
Yaroslav Shevchenko
Yaroslav Shevchenko Midfielder
6.37
18
Bar Lin
Bar Lin Midfielder
6.5
28
Jhoel Maya
Jhoel Maya
Midfielder45'
6.57
21
Oleksandr Kamenskyi
Oleksandr Kamenskyi Midfielder
6.45
20
Matviy Bodnar
Matviy Bodnar
Attacker68'
6.46
9
Carlos Paraco
Carlos Paraco Attacker
6.46
24
Volodymyr Mulyk
Volodymyr Mulyk
Attacker85'
6.5
10
Giovany Herbert
Giovany Herbert Attacker
6.5
25
Tymur Butenko
Tymur Butenko
Attacker68'
6.55

Events

2ND-HALF
85'
Event
Volodymyr Mulyk → Carlos Paraco
9th Substitution
Event
Mauro Rodrigues
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
81'
Event
Miguel Campos → Jocelin Behiratche
8th Substitution
75'
Event
Jocelin Behiratche
3rd Yellowcard
74'
70'
Event
Jhoel Maya
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
68'
Event
Matviy Bodnar → Oleksandr Kamenskyi
6th Substitution
68'
Event
Tymur Butenko → Giovany Herbert
7th Substitution
Event
Mauro Rodrigues → Hussayn Touati
5th Substitution
63'
58'
Event
Oleksandr Kamenskyi
2nd Yellowcard
Event
Danyil Vlasiuk
1st Yellowcard
57'
1ST-HALF
Event
Sergiy Buletsa
Var
45+4'
Event
Tedi Cara → Bryan Castillo
1st Substitution
45'
Event
Danyil Vlasiuk → Mykola Ogarkov
4th Substitution
45'
Event
Dmytro Myshnyov → Dmytro Chernysh
3rd Substitution
45'
45'
Event
Jhoel Maya → Bar Lin
2nd Substitution

Match Commentary

85
Update Update
Volodymyr Mulyk comes on for Carlos Paraco.
75
Substitution Substitution
Miguel Campos is substituted off for Jocelin Behiratche.
68
Update Update
Tymur Butenko comes on for Giovany Herbert.
68
Update Update
Matviy Bodnar is on, and Oleksandr Kamensky is off.
63
Update Update
Mauro Rodrigues is on, and Hussayn Touati is off.
46
Update Update
Tedi Cara replaces Bryan Castillo.
46
Update Update
Danyil Vlasyuk is on, and Mykola Oharkov is off.
46
Update Update
Dmytro Myshnov is on, and Dmitry Chernysh is off.
46
Update Update
Danyil Vlasyuk is on, and Mykola Oharkov is off.
45
Update Update
VAR decision: Goal disallowed for offside against Serhii Buletsa.

CONCLUSION

In conclusion, the 1-1 result between Oleksandria and Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih showcased resilience from both teams. Starting from a goalless halftime, the second half brought the goals that defined the outcome. Possession favored the home side but did not translate into a victory. Kryvbas as the stronger team failed to secure the win, pointing to the deviation observed. Efficiency remained consistent throughout. The absence of red cards ensured a full complement of players on the pitch for the duration. This draw serves as an important point in their respective campaigns, reflecting the challenges faced in such encounters. The game demonstrated tactical discipline and the importance of capitalizing on opportunities when they arise in competitive football.

Oleksandria vs Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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