Oleksandria vs Kolos Kovalivka Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
KSK Nika Sat, 2 May - 12:00 PM
Premier League Oleksandria Oleksandria 
0 
3
3
Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka Full Time Sat, 2 May 12:00 PM
Round 26 · Regular Season
|
Daniil Khrypchuk - 86'
Oleksandr Demchenko - 40'
Daniil Denysenko - 24'
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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Promotion Promotion Playoffs Relegation
Data last checked: May 15
CONTEXT
Oleksandria hosted Kolos Kovalivka in a match that ended 0-3 in favor of the visitors. Kolos Kovalivka took control early, leading 2-0 at halftime with two well-taken goals, and sealed the win with a third in the second half. Despite Oleksandria enjoying 52% possession compared to Kolos's 48%, the home side failed to convert their territorial advantage into scoring chances. Kolos Kovalivka, identified as the stronger team pre-match, demonstrated superior finishing and defensive solidity throughout. No red cards were shown, and there were no major tactical adjustments noted in the second half. The result represented a significant structural deviation of 55.7% towards Kolos Kovalivka, aligning with market expectations where they held the edge.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: Kolos Kovalivka experienced a significant 55.7% structural deviation in their favor.
- Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match assessments.
- xG alignment: xG alignment cannot be determined due to unavailable data.
- Market alignment: The outcome aligned with pre-match market expectations.
- xG expectations: xG expectations unavailable as data was not recorded.
- Event impact: No key events significantly altered the match flow.
- Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, so no distortion from dismissals.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Match referee
D. Reznikov
• 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 
0.12
0.12 Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0
Other match officials
L. Telbukh
4th Official
E. Petrakov
1st Assistant
O. Hirs
2nd Assistant
V. Sharan
VS
R. Kostyshyn
0.29
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.71
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Rank: 46 D
Veres Rank: 47 L
Karpaty Rank: 53 L
SK Poltava Rank: 34 D
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: 66 L
LNZ Cherkasy Rank: 58 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
SK Poltava Rank: 33 W
LNZ Cherkasy Rank: 58 W
Rukh Vynnyky Rank: 45 D
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: 52 D
Veres Rank: 48 W
Zorya Luhansk Rank: 53 D
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 4 - 4
4
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min) Oleksandria25.32%
Draw
30.43%
Kolos Kovalivka44.25%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
43.17 54.7 0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Oleksandria Kolos KovalivkaPower Score
43.17
54.7
League Position
15
6
Global Rank
949
652
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Oleksandria — Opponent-weighted form score
Kolos Kovalivka — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Oleksandria Kolos Kovalivka
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Oleksandria
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Kolos Kovalivka
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Oleksandria ⚠ Proxyvs
⚠ Proxy Kolos Kovalivka
Attacking Efficiency Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
14.90
23.96
Defensive Efficiency Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
23.96
14.90
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Oleksandria -0.93 Efficiency Index
vs
Kolos Kovalivka +0.93 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Oleksandria
Kolos Kovalivka
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Oleksandria ⚠ Proxyvs
⚠ Proxy Kolos Kovalivka
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Oleksandria Kolos Kovalivka Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Oleksandria Kolos Kovalivka Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Oleksandria
Kolos Kovalivka
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Oleksandriavs
Kolos Kovalivka
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Oleksandria Kolos Kovalivka Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Oleksandria 0.17
Kolos Kovalivka 0.33
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Oleksandria Kolos Kovalivka Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Oleksandria 0.10
Kolos Kovalivka 0.00
Oleksandria
Kolos Kovalivka
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- Oleksandria had peak pressure around 13'.
- Oleksandria started the game with stronger pressure.
Oleksandria Pressure Kolos Kovalivka Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Oleksandria reached the top pressure at 13' (79.63).
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 14 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Oleksandria Oleksandria Home
14 matches
Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka Away
Match Record 6
Wins
4
4
Draws
4
4
Losses
6
Goals 19
Goals Scored
14
14
Goals Conceded
19
+5
Goal Difference
-5
Data last updated: 2026-05-03T00:02:55+00:00
STARTING XI
Oleksandria Kolos Kovalivka Match Formation 5-3-2
Match Formation 4-3-3
1 V. Dolgyi
91 B. Butko
26 M. Ferreira Campos
N. Prokopenko
#9746'
86 A. Bol
23 M. Ogarkov
T. Cara
#2746'
44 J. da Silva
M. Ferreira Guimarães
#4946'
9 D. Myshnov
10 S. Buletsa
20 D. Vashchenko
99 B. Castillo Rosendo
H. Touati
#2463'
37 P. Yade
31 I. Pakholyuk
9 A. Tsurikov
6 M. Burda
3 E. Kozik
77 A. Ponedelnik
D. Khrypchuk
#4586'
7 O. Demchenko
55 E. Trevizan Telles
A. Rrapaj
#9972'
47 D. Denysenko
17 A. Salabay
11 A. Tahiri
H. Artem
#1572'
14 I. Kane
General Information
📅 Date & Time :
May 02, 2026, 12:00 PM
🏆 Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 26 · Regular Season
🏟️ Stadium :
KSK Nika
👥 Capacity :
7000
🌱 Pitch Surface :
Grass
🌤️ Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
🧑⚖️ Referees :
Denis Reznikov
Lyudmila Telbukh
Evgen Petrakov
Oleksii Hirs
Next Match
Oleksandria
vs
Polissya Zhytomyr
League: Premier League
Kickoff: Fri, 8 May - 3:00 PM
Venue: Tsentralnyi Stadion
Kolos Kovalivka
vs
Kudrivka
League: Premier League
Kickoff: Fri, 8 May - 12:30 PM
Venue: Stadion Uman'fermmash
Statistics
Possession
Oleksandria
49%
Kolos Kovalivka
51%
Top Statistics
0 Goals 3
5 Shots 1
35 Dangerous attacks 30
52 Possession 48
8 Corners 3
5 Free kicks 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
Match Overview
0 Assists 2
5 Substitutions 5
Attacking
61 Attacks 76
Defensive
1 Saves 0
Discipline
4 Fouls 5
0 Offsides 1
Lineup
Oleksandria Referee : Denis Reznikov
Manager ▼
V. Sharan Coach
Starting XI ▼
1 Viktor Dolgyi Goalkeeper
6.1623 Mykola Ogarkov Defender
6.1326 Miguel Campos Defender
6.3786 Anton Bol Defender
6.1497Nazar Prokopenko
6.5Defender46'
91 Bogdan Butko Defender
6.319 Dmytro Myshnyov Midfielder
6.4249Mateus Amaral
6.63Midfielder46'
10 Sergiy Buletsa Midfielder
6.4220 Daniil Vashchenko Midfielder
6.2737 Papa Ndiaga Yade Midfielder
6.5824Hussayn Touati
6.45Midfielder63'
44 Jhonnatan Silva Midfielder
6.5427Tedi Cara
6.46Midfielder46'
99 Bryan Castillo Attacker
6.5
Substitutes ▼
49Mateus Amaral
6.63Midfielder46'
27Tedi Cara
6.46Midfielder46'
97Nazar Prokopenko
6.5Defender46'
24Hussayn Touati
6.45Midfielder63'
—
Unknown
86'
Bench ▼
72 Nazar Makarenko Goalkeeper
6.4517 Artur Andreichyk Defender
6.4122
Danil Skorko Defender
6.1111
Artem Shulyanskyi Midfielder
6.4940
Dmytro Chernysh Midfielder
6.3467 Mauro Rodrigues Midfielder
6.3179 Denys Khmeliovskyi Midfielder
6.6977 Dmytrii Kremchanin Attacker
6.34 Kolos Kovalivka Referee : Denis Reznikov
Manager ▼
R. Kostyshyn Coach
Starting XI ▼
31 Ivan Pakholyuk Goalkeeper
6.393 Eduard Kozik Defender
6.47
6 Mykyta Burda Defender
6.529 Andriy Tsurikov Defender
6.4777 Andriy Ponedelnik Defender
6.57 Oleksandr Demchenko Midfielder
45Daniil Khrypchuk
Defender86'
14 Ibrahim Kane Midfielder
6.5915Artem Gusol
6.6Midfielder72'
17 Anton Salabay Midfielder
6.65
47 Daniil Denysenko Midfielder
99Arinaldo Rrapaj
6.37Midfielder72'
55 Elias Midfielder
6.6411 Ardit Tahiri Attacker
6.65Substitutes ▼
15Artem Gusol
6.6Midfielder72'
99Arinaldo Rrapaj
6.37Midfielder72'
45Daniil Khrypchuk
Defender86'
—
Unknown
86'
Bench ▼
52 Artem Nedozymovanyi Goalkeeper
71 Artem Korobchenko Goalkeeper
2 Zurab Rukhadze Defender
6.165
Valeriy Bondarenko Defender
6.3381 Yegor Popravka Defender
8
Artem Cheliadin Midfielder
6.519
Danyil Alefirenko Midfielder
6.4927
Taras Stepanenko Midfielder
6.6629 Zakhariy Zakharkiv Attacker
Events
2ND-HALF
8th Substitution
86'
86'
Daniil Khrypchuk → Oleksandr Demchenko
7th Substitution
86'
Daniil Khrypchuk
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
86'
9th Substitution
72'
Artem Gusol → Ibrahim Kane
5th Substitution
72'
Arinaldo Rrapaj → Daniil Denysenko
6th Substitution
Hussayn Touati → Papa Ndiaga Yade
4th Substitution
63'
Mateus Amaral → Dmytro Myshnyov
1st Substitution
46'
Tedi Cara → Jhonnatan Silva
2nd Substitution
46'
Nazar Prokopenko → Anton Bol
3rd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Bryan Castillo
1st Yellowcard
43'
43'
Anton Salabay
3rd Yellowcard
43'
Eduard Kozik
2nd Yellowcard
40'
Oleksandr Demchenko
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
24'
Daniil Denysenko
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
CONCLUSION
Kolos Kovalivka's 0-3 triumph over Oleksandria underscores their pre-match superiority, converting limited possession into a decisive victory. Leading 2-0 at halftime, they maintained composure to add a third goal, exposing Oleksandria's wastefulness despite higher ball control. This result, marked by a 55.7% structural deviation and full market alignment, highlights Kolos's clinical edge in finishing and organization. Without disruptions like red cards, the performance reflects genuine quality, positioning Kolos favorably in the standings while Oleksandria must address their inefficiency.
Oleksandria vs Kolos Kovalivka preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
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Match Commentary