OH Leuven vs Standard Liège Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium

King Power at Den Dreef Stadion Sat, 4 Apr - 4:15 PM

Pro League

OH Leuven OHL

Standard Liège STL

Full Time Sat, 4 Apr 4:15 PM

Round 1 Conference League Play-off Group

Henok Teklab - 48'

Dennis Eckert Ayensa - 90+7' (P), 65'

Ewoud Pletinckx - 80' (Own Goal)

CONTEXT

The match between OH Leuven and Standard Liège has concluded, with the visiting side claiming a decisive 3-1 victory. After a tightly contested first half that ended completely scoreless, Standard Liège found their attacking rhythm to secure the win in the second forty-five minutes. Despite the final scoreline, OH Leuven actually controlled the majority of the ball, finishing with 55% possession compared to Standard Liège's 45%. Expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this fixture, so it cannot be determined if the result aligned with the underlying chance quality. Furthermore, the match was played without any severe disciplinary issues, as zero red cards were issued to impact either team's tactical approach. The final result did not align with the pre-match market, which originally favored an OH Leuven win at 43.6%. Standard Liège entered the contest with just a 27.7% implied probability of winning, alongside a 28.7% chance of a draw. By overcoming these odds, the visitors delivered a significant deviation from pre-game expectations. Even without xG metrics to reference, Standard Liège's overall goalscoring performance was perfectly in line with anticipated efficiency shifts, allowing them to comfortably upset the market and take all three points.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Standard Liège showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: No major event distortion.
Red card distortion: None.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

B. Verbeke

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Ledda

4th Official

M. De Cuyper

1st Assistant

T. Vanpoucke

2nd Assistant

F. Mazzù

V. Euvrard

1.24

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.38

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

9 - 7 - 8

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

OH Leuven

43.61%

Draw

28.73%

Standard Liège

27.66%

Team Power Ranking

66.12

68.58

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

OH Leuven

Standard Liège

Power Score

66.12

68.58

League Position

Global Rank

286

226

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

OH Leuven — Opponent-weighted form score

Standard Liège — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) OH Leuven Standard Liège

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

OH Leuven

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Standard Liège

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

OH Leuven ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Standard Liège

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

29.64

31.11

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

31.11

29.64

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

OH Leuven -0.14 Efficiency Index

Standard Liège +0.14 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

OH Leuven

Standard Liège

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

OH Leuven ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Standard Liège

Created Set-piece attacking threat

OH Leuven Standard Liège

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 1.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

OH Leuven Standard Liège

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

1.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

OH Leuven

Standard Liège

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

OH Leuven

Standard Liège

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

OH Leuven Standard Liège

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

OH Leuven Standard Liège

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

OH Leuven

Standard Liège

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 24 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

OH Leuven OHL Home

24 matches

Standard Liège STL Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

-5

Goal Difference

Data last updated: 2026-04-05T00:05:36+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3

Match Formation 3-4-2-1

16 M. Prévôt

28 E. Pletinckx

3 N. Dussenne

34 R. Nyakossi

14 H. Teklab

8 S. Schrijvers

4 B. Verstraete

30 T. Akimoto

7 T. Verlinden

19 C. Ikwuemesi

10 Y. Maziz

21 L. Pirard

24 J. Homawoo

4 D. Bates

25 I. Hautekiet

3 G. Mortensen

23 M. Ilaimaharitra

94 C. Nielsen

18 H. Lawrence

17 R. Said Ahamada

11 A. Adnane

59 T. NKada

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 04, 2026, 04:15 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 1 · Conference League Play-off Group

Stadium :

King Power at Den Dreef Stadion

Capacity :

10020

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Massimiliano Ledda

Bert Verbeke

Michiel De Cuyper

Tom Vanpoucke

Statistics

Possession

OHL

55%

STL

45%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 3

1 Big Chances Created 2

14 Shots 12

46 Dangerous attacks 40

55 Possession 45

7 Corners 4

12 Free kicks 6

Match Overview

19 Throwins 15

0 Injuries 1

0 Penalties 1

5 Goal Attempts 9

90 Ball Safe 69

33 Successful Dribbles Percentage 53

15 Dribble Attempts 15

5 Successful Dribbles 8

1 Assists 1

7 Goal Kicks 12

5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

91 Attacks 91

0 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

12 Key Passes 10

47 Successful Long Passes 22

77 Successful Passes Percentage 73

443 Passes 365

92 Long Passes 54

342 Successful Passes 265

51 Successful Long Passes Percentage 41

Defensive

11 Tackles 11

4 Saves 3

8 Interceptions 7

Build-up

6 Accurate Crosses 7

27 Total Crosses 17

Discipline

3 Offsides 1

7 Fouls 12

Lineup

Referee : Bert Verbeke

Manager ▼

F. Mazzù Coach

Starting XI ▼

Maxence Prévot Goalkeeper

Noë Dussenne Defender

Abdoul Karim Traoré

Attacker86'

Ewoud Pletinckx Defender

Roggerio Nyakossi Defender

Birger Verstraete Midfielder

Wouter George

Midfielder67'

Siebe Schrijvers Midfielder

Mathieu Maertens

Midfielder77'

Henok Teklab Midfielder

Takahiro Akimoto Midfielder

Thibaud Verlinden Attacker

Youssef Maziz Attacker

Lukasz Lakomy

Midfielder76'

Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi Attacker

Kyan Vaesen

Attacker67'

Substitutes ▼

Kyan Vaesen

Attacker67'

Wouter George

Midfielder67'

Lukasz Lakomy

Midfielder76'

Mathieu Maertens

Midfielder77'

Abdoul Karim Traoré

Attacker86'

Bench ▼

Tobe Leysen Goalkeeper

Takuma Ominami Defender

Davis Opoku Defender

Bryang Kayo Midfielder

Referee : Bert Verbeke