OH Leuven vs Antwerp Prediction, Preview and Stats

Belgium flag 2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium
King Power at Den Dreef Stadion Fri, 15 May - 6:45 PM
Pro League
OH Leuven OHL
3 Winner 0
Antwerp ANT
Full Time Fri, 15 May 6:45 PM
Round 8 Conference League Play-off Group
Henok Teklab - 53'
Siebe Schrijvers - 43'
Abdoul Karim Traoré - 34'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

OH Leuven produced a commanding display to defeat Antwerp 3-0 on home soil. The hosts raced into a 2-0 lead by halftime and never looked back. Despite managing just 36 percent possession against Antwerp's 64 percent, OH Leuven converted their chances with precision to score all three goals. The pre-match stronger side Antwerp created opportunities but failed to score. This result represented a notable upset given the expected hierarchy. The second half remained controlled as the home defense held firm. OH Leuven's clinical edge proved decisive throughout the contest.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: OH Leuven delivered a significant deviation from pre-match expectations to claim the 3-0 win.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift stayed in line with the final outcome for both sides.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data remained unavailable so alignment with the score could not be confirmed.
  • Market alignment: The result did not align with pre-match projections that favored the away team.
  • xG expectations: No xG metrics were recorded so expectations could not be matched against the 3-0 score.
  • Event impact: The 2-0 halftime advantage proved decisive in securing the eventual 3-0 victory.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so match dynamics experienced no distortion from dismissals.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

A. Letellier

Belgium 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

T. De Keyzer

4th Official

Belgium

Q. Blaise

1st Assistant

Belgium

J. Biron

2nd Assistant

Belgium

League averages

Pro League Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 18.47
Yellow cards / match 3.13
Red cards / match 0.18
Penalties / match 0.32
OH Leuven F. Mazzù
F. Mazzù
VS
Antwerp J. Oosting
J. Oosting
0.91
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.3
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Standard Liège Rank: 71 L
Westerlo Rank: 71 D
Sporting Charleroi Rank: 69 L
Westerlo Rank: 71 L
Antwerp Rank: 70 L
Genk Rank: 77 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sporting Charleroi Rank: 72 L
Standard Liège Rank: 69 L
Westerlo Rank: 71 W
Standard Liège Rank: 70 W
OH Leuven Rank: 64 W
Sporting Charleroi Rank: 72 L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 5 - 6
6

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home OH Leuven
31.8%
Draw
28.52%
Away Antwerp
39.68%

Movement

Changes since opening
OH Leuven
-65.8%
Draw
+26.61%
Antwerp
+39.19%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
64.25
69.78
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
OH Leuven
Antwerp
Power Score
64.25
69.78
League Position
12
10
Global Rank
354
212

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
OH Leuven — Opponent-weighted form score
Antwerp — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) OH Leuven Antwerp

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

OH Leuven

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Antwerp

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

OH Leuven ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Antwerp
Created Set-piece attacking threat
OH Leuven Antwerp
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
OH Leuven Antwerp
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
OH Leuven
Antwerp
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
OH Leuven
vs
Antwerp
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
OH Leuven Antwerp
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
OH Leuven 0.00
Antwerp 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
OH Leuven Antwerp
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
OH Leuven 0.00
Antwerp 0.00
OH Leuven
Antwerp
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • ANT had peak pressure around 71'.
  • ANT started the game with stronger pressure.
OHL Pressure ANT Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: ANT reached the top pressure at 71' (82.16).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 13 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

OH Leuven OHL Home
13 matches
Antwerp ANT Away
Match Record
2
Wins
6
5
Draws
5
6
Losses
2
Goals
15
Goals Scored
21
21
Goals Conceded
15
-6
Goal Difference
+6
Expected Goals
1.89
xG
0.24
0.24
xGA
1.89

Data last updated: 2026-05-15T18:15:25+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 3-4-1-2
Pitch
T. Leysen
Belgium
1 T. Leysen
T. Ominami
Japan
5 T. Ominami
E. Pletinckx
Belgium
28 E. Pletinckx
T. Akimoto
Japan
30 T. Akimoto
D. Opoku
Belgium
99 D. Opoku
S. Schrijvers
Belgium
8 S. Schrijvers
B. Verstraete
Substitution
Belgium
4 B. Verstraete
H. Teklab
Substitution
Germany
14 H. Teklab
A. Traoré
Substitution
9 A. Traoré
Y. Maziz
Substitution
France
10 Y. Maziz
K. Vaesen
Substitution
Belgium
17 K. Vaesen
Pitch
T. Nozawa
Japan
41 T. Nozawa
D. Foulon
Substitution
Belgium
5 D. Foulon
Y. Tsunashima
Japan
4 Y. Tsunashima
Z. Van Den Bosch
Belgium
33 Z. Van Den Bosch
E. Tuypens
Substitution
Belgium
56 E. Tuypens
Xander Dierckx
Substitution
Belgium
78 Xander Dierckx
D. Praet
Belgium
8 D. Praet
T. Somers
Substitution
Belgium
24 T. Somers
C. Scott
Germany
30 C. Scott
G. Kerk
Substitution
Netherlands
7 G. Kerk
V. Janssen
Netherlands
18 V. Janssen

General Information

Date & Time :
May 15, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Pro League, Belgium · Round 8 · Conference League Play-off Group
Stadium :
King Power at Den Dreef Stadion
Capacity :
10020
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Anthony Letellier
Tim De Keyzer
Q. Blaise
Julien Biron

Statistics

Possession
OHL
40%
ANT
60%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 0
3 Big Chances Created 0
4 Shots 4
41 Dangerous attacks 60
36 Possession 64
1 Corners 11
5 Free kicks 13
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

6 Successful Dribbles 2
1 Hit Woodwork 0
2 Assists 0
5 Substitutions 5
80 Ball Safe 91
1 Injuries 1
9 Goal Attempts 11
33 Successful Dribbles Percentage 13
8 Goal Kicks 10
18 Dribble Attempts 16
18 Throwins 21

Attacking

1 Big Chances Missed 0
75 Attacks 113

Possession

8 Key Passes 11
29 Successful Long Passes Percentage 47
230 Successful Passes 481
295 Passes 544
78 Successful Passes Percentage 88
16 Successful Long Passes 20
55 Long Passes 43

Defensive

33 Tackles 20
55 Duels Won 45
4 Saves 1
9 Interceptions 2

Build-up

11 Total Crosses 20
1 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

13 Fouls 5
1 Offsides 6

Lineup

Referee : Anthony Letellier

Starting XI ▼

1
Tobe Leysen
Tobe Leysen Goalkeeper
6.95
5
Takuma Ominami
Takuma Ominami Defender
6.61
28
Ewoud Pletinckx
Ewoud Pletinckx Defender
6.8
30
Takahiro Akimoto
Takahiro Akimoto Defender
6.82
4
Birger Verstraete
Birger Verstraete Midfielder
6.64
6
Wouter George
Wouter George
Midfielder75'
6.62
8
Siebe Schrijvers
Siebe Schrijvers Midfielder
6.98
14
Henok Teklab
Henok Teklab Midfielder
6.72
27
Óscar Gil
Óscar Gil
Defender86'
6.6
99
Davis Opoku
Davis Opoku Midfielder
6.61
9
Abdoul Karim Traoré
Abdoul Karim Traoré Attacker
6.6
21
William Balikwisha
William Balikwisha
Attacker86'
6.46
10
Youssef Maziz
Youssef Maziz Attacker
6.96
33
Mathieu Maertens
Mathieu Maertens
Midfielder70'
6.68
17
Kyan Vaesen
Kyan Vaesen Attacker
6.59
39
Sory Kaba
Sory Kaba
Attacker70'
6.86
Referee : Anthony Letellier

Starting XI ▼

41
Taishi Brandon Nozawa
Taishi Brandon Nozawa Goalkeeper
6.91
4
Yuto Tsunashima
Yuto Tsunashima Defender
6.84
5
Daam Foulon
Daam Foulon Defender
6.85
20
Rein Van Helden
Rein Van Helden
Defender46'
6.63
33
Zeno Van Den Bosch
Zeno Van Den Bosch Defender
6.84
8
Dennis Praet
Dennis Praet Midfielder
6.92
24
Thibo Somers
Thibo Somers Midfielder
6.96
14
Anthony Valencia
Anthony Valencia
Attacker46'
6.87
56
Eran Tuypens
Eran Tuypens Midfielder
6.71
11
Geoffry Hairemans
Geoffry Hairemans
Midfielder59'
6.35
78
Xander Dierckx
Xander Dierckx Midfielder
6.4
16
Mauricio Benitez
Mauricio Benitez
Midfielder59'
6.85
7
Gyrano Kerk
Gyrano Kerk Attacker
6.82
79
Gerard Vandeplas
Gerard Vandeplas
Attacker75'
6.56
18
Vincent Janssen
Vincent Janssen Attacker
7.09
30
Christopher Scott
Christopher Scott Attacker
6.96

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
William Balikwisha → Abdoul Karim Traoré
9th Substitution
86'
Event
Óscar Gil → Henok Teklab
10th Substitution
86'
Event
Wouter George → Birger Verstraete
7th Substitution
75'
75'
Event
Gerard Vandeplas → Gyrano Kerk
8th Substitution
Event
Sory Kaba → Kyan Vaesen
5th Substitution
70'
Event
Mathieu Maertens → Youssef Maziz
6th Substitution
70'
59'
Event
Mauricio Benitez → Xander Dierckx
3rd Substitution
59'
Event
Geoffry Hairemans → Eran Tuypens
4th Substitution
Event
Henok Teklab
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
53'
46'
Event
Rein Van Helden → Daam Foulon
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Anthony Valencia → Thibo Somers
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Siebe Schrijvers
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
43'
Event
Abdoul Karim Traoré
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
34'
Event
Henok Teklab
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
29'
25'
Event
Daam Foulon
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

86
Update Update
William Balikwisha replaces Abdoul Karim Traore.
86
Update Update
Oscar Gil Regano is on, and Henok Teklab is off.
78
Attempt Attempt
Mauricio Benitez takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
75
Update Update
Gerard Vandeplas is on, and Gyrano Kerk is off.
75
Update Update
Wouter George is on, and Birger Verstraete is off.
75
Attempt Attempt
Mathieu Maertens takes a right-footed shot but misses.
70
Update Update
Mathieu Maertens replaces Youssef Maziz.
70
Substitution Substitution
Sory Kaba is substituted for Kyan Vaesen.
69
Attempt Attempt
Christopher Scott takes a left-footed shot but misses.
69
Attempt Attempt
Vincent Janssen's right-footed shot is blocked.
67
Attempt Attempt
Christopher Scott takes a right-footed shot but misses.
67
Update Update
Rein Van Helden's header is blocked.
66
Attempt Attempt
Vincent Janssen takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
62
Attempt Attempt
Mauricio Benitez takes a right-footed shot but misses.
59
Update Update
Mauricio Benitez comes on for Xander Dierckx.
59
Update Update
Geoffry Hairemans is on, and Eran Tuypens is off.
55
Attempt Attempt
Christopher Scott takes a right-footed shot but misses.
53
Attempt Attempt
Henok Teklab scores with a right-footed shot.
46
Update Update
Rein Van Helden comes on for Daam Foulon.
46
Update Update
Anthony Valencia is on, and Thibo Somers is off.
46
Attempt Attempt
Anthony Valencia's left-footed shot is saved.
45
Attempt Attempt
Gyrano Kerk takes a right-footed shot but misses.
44
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Siebi Schrijvers with his right foot results in a goal.
41
Attempt Attempt
Kyan Vaesen takes a right-footed shot but misses.
41
Attempt Attempt
Gyrano Kerk's right-footed shot is saved.
39
Attempt Attempt
Abdoul Karim Traore takes a right-footed shot but misses.
34
Attempt Attempt
Henok Teklab takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
34
Attempt Attempt
Abdoul Karim Traore takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
34
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Abdoul Karim Traore scores to make it 1-0.
32
Attempt Attempt
Yuto Tsunashima attempts a header but misses the shot.
30
Attempt Attempt
Siebi Schrijvers takes a right-footed shot but misses.
28
Attempt Attempt
Kyan Vaesen takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.
24
Attempt Attempt
Siebi Schrijvers takes a right-footed shot but misses.
14
Attempt Attempt
Xander Dierckx attempts a header but misses the shot.
10
Attempt Attempt
Vincent Janssen's right-footed shot is saved.
3
Attempt Attempt
Henok Teklab takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.

CONCLUSION

OH Leuven turned expectations on their head with a disciplined and efficient 3-0 triumph. Early goals set the tone and allowed the hosts to absorb pressure while remaining dangerous on the counter. Antwerp dominated the ball yet lacked the cutting edge needed to break down a resolute defense. The absence of any dismissals kept the contest balanced until the final whistle. Clinical finishing from the home side compensated for lower possession and created a clear gap on the scoreboard. This performance underlined the value of organization and timely scoring over territorial control alone.

OH Leuven vs Antwerp preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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Alf Indseth

Alf Indseth writes football-focused analysis that looks beyond match results to explore form, value, and market context.