Obolon'-Brovar vs LNZ Cherkasy Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Obolon' Arena Sun, 24 May - 10:00 AM
Premier League
Obolon'-Brovar Obolon'-Brovar
0 Winner 1
LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy
Full Time Sun, 24 May 10:00 AM
Round 30 Regular Season
|
Goal
Artur Mykytyshyn - 81'

CONTEXT

LNZ Cherkasy defeated Obolon'-Brovar by a score of 0-1 in an away fixture that stayed level at 0-0 through halftime. Obolon'-Brovar finished with 37 percent possession against LNZ Cherkasy's 63 percent. Neither side received red cards and the stronger team LNZ Cherkasy claimed the win. Deviation reached a significant level of 47.1 percent with LNZ Cherkasy identified as the deviation team. Market alignment held true while efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations. No xG values were recorded so alignment and expectations could not be assessed numerically. The contest featured no second half adjustments or other notable events.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Obolon'-Brovar 0-1 LNZ Cherkasy. LNZ Cherkasy showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations throughout the match.
  • xG alignment: Outcome consistency with xG could not be evaluated due to absent metrics.
  • Market alignment: The final result stayed aligned with the market projection.
  • xG expectations: No xG data existed to form any expectation comparison.
  • Event impact: No second half adjustments or special events altered the match flow.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards were issued so no distortion occurred.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

Nikolai Balakin

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

O. Solovyan

4th Official

Ukraine

O. Berkut

1st Assistant

Ukraine

V. Matyash

2nd Assistant

Ukraine

League averages

Premier League Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 18.49
Yellow cards / match 3.56
Red cards / match 0.15
Penalties / match 0.27
Obolon'-Brovar O. Antonenko
O. Antonenko
VS
LNZ Cherkasy V. Ponomarov
V. Ponomarov
0.94
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.94
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kolos Kovalivka Rank: 55 W
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: 75 L
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Rank: 47 D
Kudrivka Rank: 41 D
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: 62 L
SK Poltava Rank: 33 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kudrivka Rank: 41 L
SK Poltava Rank: 34 W
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: 66 D
Karpaty Rank: 55 D
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: 53 D
Kolos Kovalivka Rank: 55 L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 1 - 2
2

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Obolon'-Brovar
17.32%
Draw
29.76%
Away LNZ Cherkasy
52.92%

Movement

Changes since opening
Obolon'-Brovar
+16.69%
Draw
+25.2%
LNZ Cherkasy
-41.89%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
42.63
58.35
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Obolon'-Brovar
LNZ Cherkasy
Power Score
42.63
58.35
League Position
12
2
Global Rank
945
535

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Obolon'-Brovar — Opponent-weighted form score
LNZ Cherkasy — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Obolon'-Brovar LNZ Cherkasy

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Obolon'-Brovar

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

LNZ Cherkasy

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Obolon'-Brovar ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy LNZ Cherkasy
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
11.35
29.44
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
29.44
11.35
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Obolon'-Brovar -1.84 Efficiency Index
vs
LNZ Cherkasy +1.84 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Obolon'-Brovar
LNZ Cherkasy
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Obolon'-Brovar ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy LNZ Cherkasy
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Obolon'-Brovar LNZ Cherkasy
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Obolon'-Brovar LNZ Cherkasy
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Obolon'-Brovar
LNZ Cherkasy
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Obolon'-Brovar
vs
LNZ Cherkasy
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Obolon'-Brovar LNZ Cherkasy
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Obolon'-Brovar 0.13
LNZ Cherkasy 0.31
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Obolon'-Brovar LNZ Cherkasy
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Obolon'-Brovar 0.02
LNZ Cherkasy 0.00
Obolon'-Brovar
LNZ Cherkasy
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • LNZ Cherkasy had peak pressure around 11'.
  • LNZ Cherkasy started the game with stronger pressure.
Obolon'-Brovar Pressure LNZ Cherkasy Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: LNZ Cherkasy reached the top pressure at 11' (51.58).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 5 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Obolon'-Brovar Obolon'-Brovar Home
5 matches
LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy Away
Match Record
2
Wins
2
1
Draws
1
2
Losses
2
Goals
2
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
2
-4
Goal Difference
+4

Data last updated: 2026-05-25T00:01:24+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
N. Fedorivsky
Ukraine
1 N. Fedorivsky
P. Polehenko
Ukraine
28 P. Polehenko
O. Zhovtenko
Ukraine
44 O. Zhovtenko
D. Semenov
Ukraine
50 D. Semenov
E. Shevchenko
Ukraine
5 E. Shevchenko
I. Medynskyi
Substitution
Ukraine
13 I. Medynskyi
R. Volokhatiy
Ukraine
20 R. Volokhatiy
T. Moroz
Ukraine
4 T. Moroz
M. Tretyakov
Substitution
Ukraine
75 M. Tretyakov
L. Taras
Substitution
Ukraine
90 L. Taras
S. Sukhanov
Substitution
Ukraine
55 S. Sukhanov
Pitch
O. Palamarchuk
Ukraine
12 O. Palamarchuk
A. Drambayev
Ukraine
14 A. Drambayev
R. Didyk
Ukraine
29 R. Didyk
N. Muravskyi
Ukraine
34 N. Muravskyi
G. Pasich
Ukraine
11 G. Pasich
Y. Pastukh
Ukraine
19 Y. Pastukh
A. Ryabov
Ukraine
16 A. Ryabov
A. Yakubu Hassan
Substitution
Nigeria
8 A. Yakubu Hassan
D. Kuzyk
Substitution
Ukraine
17 D. Kuzyk
M. Assinor
Substitution
Ghana
90 M. Assinor
D. Kravchuk
Ukraine
23 D. Kravchuk

General Information

Date & Time :
May 24, 2026, 10:00 AM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 30 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Obolon' Arena
Capacity :
5100
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Oleksandr Solovyan
Oleksandr Berkut
Viktor Matyash
Nikolai Balakin

Statistics

Possession
Obolon'-Brovar
38%
LNZ Cherkasy
62%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
2 Shots 9
24 Dangerous attacks 51
37 Possession 63
1 Corners 5
17 Free kicks 10
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

4 Substitutions 3
0 Assists 1

Attacking

65 Attacks 90

Defensive

6 Saves 1

Discipline

11 Fouls 18
0 Offsides 3

Lineup

Referee : Nikolai Balakin

Starting XI ▼

1
Nazariy Fedorivskyi
Nazariy Fedorivskyi Goalkeeper
6.12
5
Yevgeniy Shevchenko
Yevgeniy Shevchenko Defender
6.26
28
Pavlo Polegenko
Pavlo Polegenko Defender
6.26
44
O. Zhovtenko
O. Zhovtenko Defender
6.26
50
Dmytro Semenov
Dmytro Semenov Defender
6.25
4
Taras Moroz
Taras Moroz Midfielder
6.33
13
Igor Medynskyi
Igor Medynskyi Midfielder
6.37
21
Kostyantyn Bychek
Kostyantyn Bychek
Attacker85'
6.5
20
R. Volokhatyi
R. Volokhatyi Midfielder
6.37
75
Maksym Tretyakov
Maksym Tretyakov Midfielder
6.37
91
Rostyslav Liashchuk
Rostyslav Liashchuk
Defender86'
55
Sergiy Sukhanov
Sergiy Sukhanov Attacker
6.5
8
Artem Kulakovskyi
Artem Kulakovskyi
Midfielder64'
6.37
90
Taras Lyakh
Taras Lyakh Attacker
6.5
99
Denys Teslyuk
Denys Teslyuk
Attacker71'
6.46
Referee : Nikolai Balakin

Starting XI ▼

12
Oleksiy Palamarchuk
Oleksiy Palamarchuk Goalkeeper
6.5
11
Gennadiy Pasich
Gennadiy Pasich Defender
6.5
14
Oleksandr Drambayev
Oleksandr Drambayev Defender
6.5
17
Denys Kuzyk
Denys Kuzyk Defender
6.5
27
Jewison Bennette
Jewison Bennette
Midfielder66'
6.61
29
Roman Didyk
Roman Didyk Defender
6.5
34
Nazariy Muravskyi
Nazariy Muravskyi Defender
6.5
8
Adam Yakubu Hassan
Adam Yakubu Hassan Midfielder
6.5
7
Artur Mykytyshyn
Artur Mykytyshyn
Midfielder66'
6.69
16
Artur Ryabov
Artur Ryabov Midfielder
6.5
19
Yevgeniy Pastukh
Yevgeniy Pastukh Midfielder
6.45
23
Danylo Kravchuk
Danylo Kravchuk Attacker
6.5
90
Mark Assinor
Mark Assinor Attacker
6.46
10
Muharrem Jashari
Muharrem Jashari
Midfielder46'
6.5

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Rostyslav Liashchuk → Maksym Tretyakov
7th Substitution
86'
86'
Event
Yevgeniy Pastukh
4th Yellowcard
Event
Kostyantyn Bychek → Igor Medynskyi
6th Substitution
85'
81'
Event
Artur Mykytyshyn
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
Event
Denys Teslyuk → Taras Lyakh
5th Substitution
71'
66'
Event
Artur Mykytyshyn → Adam Yakubu Hassan
4th Substitution
66'
Event
Jewison Bennette → Denys Kuzyk
3rd Substitution
Event
Artem Kulakovskyi → Sergiy Sukhanov
2nd Substitution
64'
Event
Taras Moroz
3rd Yellowcard
61'
46'
Event
Muharrem Jashari → Mark Assinor
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Dmytro Semenov
2nd Yellowcard
21'
12'
Event
Mark Assinor
1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

86
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yevgeniy Pastukh receives a yellow card.
84
Update Update
Kostyantyn Bychek replaces Igor Medynsky.
84
Update Update
Rostyslav Lyashchuk replaces Maksym Tretyakov.
71
Update Update
Denys Teslyuk comes on for Taras Liakh.
66
Update Update
Jewison Bennette comes on for Denys Kuzyk.
66
Update Update
Artur Mykytyshyn is on, and Yakubu Adam is off.
64
Update Update
Artem Kulakovskyi replaces Sergiy Sukhanov.
61
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Taras Moroz receives a yellow card.
46
Update Update
Muharrem Jashari replaces Mark Assinor.
12
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Mark Assinor receives a yellow card.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Obolon'-Brovar 0-1 LNZ Cherkasy. Structural assessment: LNZ Cherkasy exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

Obolon'-Brovar vs LNZ Cherkasy preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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