Obolon'-Brovar vs Kudrivka Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Obolon' Arena Sun, 3 May - 10:00 AM
Premier League Obolon'-Brovar Obolon'-Brovar 
1 – 1
Kudrivka Kudrivka Full Time Sun, 3 May 10:00 AM
Round 26 · Regular Season
Pavlo Polegenko - 23'
|
Bogdan Veklyak - 90+2'
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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Promotion Promotion Playoffs Relegation
Data last checked: May 15
CONTEXT
Obolon'-Brovar and Kudrivka played out an intense 1-1 draw in their latest encounter. The home team took a 1-0 lead by halftime, capitalizing early despite holding only 40% possession, while Kudrivka controlled 60% of the ball. Kudrivka, viewed as the stronger side, mounted pressure in the second half to equalize but failed to secure a win. No red cards were issued, and there were no notable second-half adjustments that altered the flow. The match featured balanced scoring chances overall, with Obolon'-Brovar's defense standing firm against sustained away possession. This result underscores Kudrivka's inability to convert dominance into points, marking a notable shift from pre-match structural expectations. Both teams shared the spoils, maintaining competitive balance in their campaign.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: Match exhibited a significant 70.5% structural deviation attributed to Kudrivka.
- Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
- xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing data.
- Market alignment: Market alignment was not achieved.
- xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated without data.
- Event impact: No key events or adjustments influenced the outcome.
- Red card distortion: Absence of red cards produced no distortion in play.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Match referee
D. Kubryak
• 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 
0.12
0.12 Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0
Other match officials
Y. Hashkov
1st Assistant
M. Levchenko
2nd Assistant
M. Kozyryatskiy
4th Official
O. Antonenko
VS
V. Baranov
0.93
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.5
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: 61 L
SK Poltava Rank: 32 D
Veres Rank: 46 L
Zorya Luhansk Rank: 53 D
Karpaty Rank: 55 L
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: 66 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: 74 L
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: 51 L
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Rank: 55 L
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Rank: 47 L
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: 62 L
Veres Rank: 48 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min) Obolon'-Brovar40.85%
Draw
29.48%
Kudrivka29.68%
Movement
Changes since opening Obolon'-Brovar+33.32%
Draw
-53.47%
Kudrivka+20.16%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
40.96 41.47 0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Obolon'-Brovar KudrivkaPower Score
40.96
41.47
League Position
11
13
Global Rank
992
985
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Obolon'-Brovar — Opponent-weighted form score
Kudrivka — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Obolon'-Brovar Kudrivka
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Obolon'-Brovar
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Kudrivka
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Obolon'-Brovar ⚠ Proxyvs
⚠ Proxy Kudrivka
Attacking Efficiency Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
23.88
11.25
Defensive Efficiency Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
11.25
23.88
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Obolon'-Brovar +1.29 Efficiency Index
vs
Kudrivka -1.29 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Obolon'-Brovar
Kudrivka
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Obolon'-Brovar ⚠ Proxyvs
⚠ Proxy Kudrivka
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Obolon'-Brovar Kudrivka Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Obolon'-Brovar Kudrivka Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Obolon'-Brovar
Kudrivka
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Obolon'-Brovarvs
Kudrivka
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Obolon'-Brovar Kudrivka Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Obolon'-Brovar 0.26
Kudrivka 0.14
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Obolon'-Brovar Kudrivka Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Obolon'-Brovar 0.03
Kudrivka 0.03
Obolon'-Brovar
Kudrivka
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- Kudrivka had peak pressure around 28'.
- Obolon'-Brovar started the game with stronger pressure.
Obolon'-Brovar Pressure Kudrivka Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Kudrivka reached the top pressure at 28' (59.74).
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Obolon'-Brovar Obolon'-Brovar Home
1 matches
Kudrivka Kudrivka Away
Match Record 0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals 0
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
0
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Data last updated: 2026-05-04T00:01:13+00:00
STARTING XI
Obolon'-Brovar Kudrivka Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
31 D. Marchenko
28 P. Polehenko
44 O. Zhovtenko
50 D. Semenov
24 E. Prokopenko
K. Bychek
#2164'
13 I. Medynskyi
R. Chernenko
#1786'
6 M. Chekh
4 (C) T. Moroz
A. Kulakovskyi
#886'
75 M. Tretyakov
E. Shevchenko
#572'
55 S. Sukhanov
D. Teslyuk
#9972'
9 D. Ustymenko
37 (C) A. Yashkov
74 M. Farina
55 J. Collahuazo Vaca
69 Y. Potimkov
30 O. Gusev
B. Veklyak
#2266'
23 V. Adeoye
E. Morozko
#3342'
7 O. Belyaev
K. Makosso Faites Prevu
#1479'
21 A. Hlushchenko
8 A. Storchous
D. Svitiukha
#2066'
10 O. Kozak
A. Liehostaiev
#7766'
24 R. Frimpong Owusu
General Information
📅 Date & Time :
May 03, 2026, 10:00 AM
🏆 Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 26 · Regular Season
🏟️ Stadium :
Obolon' Arena
👥 Capacity :
5100
🌱 Pitch Surface :
Grass
🌤️ Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
🧑⚖️ Referees :
Dmitriy Kubryak
Yevhen Hashkov
Maksim Levchenko
Maksim Kozyryatskiy
Next Match
Obolon'-Brovar
vs
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
League: Premier League
Kickoff: Sat, 9 May - 3:00 PM
Venue: Obolon' Arena
Kudrivka
vs
Kolos Kovalivka
League: Premier League
Kickoff: Fri, 8 May - 12:30 PM
Venue: Stadion Uman'fermmash
Statistics
Possession
Obolon'-Brovar
46%
Kudrivka
54%
Top Statistics
1 Goals 1
3 Shots 3
31 Dangerous attacks 35
40 Possession 60
5 Corners 3
7 Free kicks 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
Match Overview
5 Substitutions 4
0 Assists 1
Attacking
79 Attacks 99
Defensive
1 Saves 4
Discipline
17 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 0
Lineup
Obolon'-Brovar Referee : Dmitriy Kubryak
Manager ▼
O. Antonenko Coach
Starting XI ▼
31 Denys Marchenko Goalkeeper
6.1228 Pavlo Polegenko Defender
44 O. Zhovtenko Defender
6.25
50 Dmytro Semenov Defender
6.264 Taras Moroz (C) Midfielder
6.33
6 Maksym Chekh Midfielder
6.517Ruslan Chernenko
6.41Midfielder86'
13 Igor Medynskyi Midfielder
6.521Kostyantyn Bychek
6.46Attacker64'
24 Yegor Prokopenko Midfielder
6.3775 Maksym Tretyakov Midfielder
6.58Artem Kulakovskyi
6.41Midfielder86'
9 Denys Ustymenko Attacker
6.46
99Denys Teslyuk
6.46Attacker72'
55 Sergiy Sukhanov Attacker
6.55Yevgeniy Shevchenko
6.26Defender72'
Substitutes ▼
21Kostyantyn Bychek
6.46Attacker64'
5Yevgeniy Shevchenko
6.26Defender72'
99Denys Teslyuk
6.46Attacker72'
17Ruslan Chernenko
6.41Midfielder86'
8Artem Kulakovskyi
6.41Midfielder86'
Bench ▼
1
Nazariy Fedorivskyi Goalkeeper
6.0523 Vadym Stashkiv Goalkeeper
5.92 Nazar Roienko Defender
22 Oleksandr Feshchenko Defender
6.437 Artem Chornyi Midfielder
6.540
Ivan Nesterenko Midfielder
6.4390 Taras Lyakh Attacker
6.58 Kudrivka Referee : Dmitriy Kubryak
Manager ▼
V. Baranov Coach
Starting XI ▼
37 Anton Yashkov (C) Goalkeeper
6.1230 Oleksiy Gusev Defender
6.25
55 Jair Collahuazo Defender
6.2669 Yuriy Potimkov Defender
6.2674 Maryan Faryna Defender
6.267 Oleksandr Belyaev Midfielder
6.3733Yevgeniy Morozko
6.5Midfielder42'
8 Andriy Storchous Midfielder
6.3710 Oleksandr Kozak Midfielder
6.3720Denys Svityukha
6.5Midfielder66'
21 Anton Glushchenko Midfielder
6.3714Kaya Makosso
6.5Midfielder79'
23 Victor Adeoye Midfielder
6.3722Bogdan Veklyak
Defender66'
24 Raymond Owusu Attacker
6.4677Artem Liehostaiev
6.59Attacker66'
Substitutes ▼
33Yevgeniy Morozko
6.5Midfielder42'
22Bogdan Veklyak
Defender66'
77Artem Liehostaiev
6.59Attacker66'
20Denys Svityukha
6.5Midfielder66'
14Kaya Makosso
6.5Midfielder79'
Bench ▼
73 Mykhaylo Kulyk Goalkeeper
3 Yaroslav Kysil Defender
6.4417 Myroslav Serdyuk Defender
6.2139 Artem Machelyuk Defender
6.2919 Artur Dumanyuk Midfielder
6.4327
Oleg Pushkaryov Midfielder
6.44Events
2ND-HALF
90+2'
Bogdan Veklyak
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Ruslan Chernenko → Maksym Chekh
9th Substitution
86'
Artem Kulakovskyi → Maksym Tretyakov
10th Substitution
86'
79'
Kaya Makosso → Anton Glushchenko
8th Substitution
Yevgeniy Shevchenko → Sergiy Sukhanov
6th Substitution
72'
Denys Teslyuk → Denys Ustymenko
7th Substitution
72'
66'
Bogdan Veklyak → Victor Adeoye
5th Substitution
66'
Artem Liehostaiev → Raymond Owusu
3rd Substitution
66'
Denys Svityukha → Oleksandr Kozak
4th Substitution
Kostyantyn Bychek → Igor Medynskyi
2nd Substitution
64'
O. Zhovtenko
5th Yellowcard
59'
Taras Moroz
4th Yellowcard
59'
Denys Ustymenko
3rd Yellowcard
54'
2nd Yellowcard
46'
1ST-HALF
42'
Yevgeniy Morozko → Oleksandr Belyaev
1st Substitution
40'
Oleksiy Gusev
1st Yellowcard
Pavlo Polegenko
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
23'
CONCLUSION
Kudrivka's draw despite superior possession and stronger team status highlights Obolon'-Brovar's effective counter-strategy and resilience. The 1-1 scoreline, with the home lead at halftime erased late, reflects a tactical stalemate. Lacking xG data limits deeper chance analysis, but the result deviates significantly from structural norms, favoring Kudrivka's underperformance. No red cards ensured uninterrupted flow, allowing possession to test defenses evenly. This point apiece aids both in standings, yet Kudrivka may rue missed opportunities from their 60% control. Obolon'-Brovar's grit proves vital in holding firm.
Obolon'-Brovar vs Kudrivka preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
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Match Commentary