Obolon'-Brovar vs Kudrivka Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Obolon' Arena Sun, 3 May - 10:00 AM
Premier League
Obolon'-Brovar Obolon'-Brovar
1 – 1
Kudrivka Kudrivka
Full Time Sun, 3 May 10:00 AM
Round 26 Regular Season
Pavlo Polegenko - 23'
Goal
|
Goal
Bogdan Veklyak - 90+2'

CONTEXT

Obolon'-Brovar and Kudrivka played out an intense 1-1 draw in their latest encounter. The home team took a 1-0 lead by halftime, capitalizing early despite holding only 40% possession, while Kudrivka controlled 60% of the ball. Kudrivka, viewed as the stronger side, mounted pressure in the second half to equalize but failed to secure a win. No red cards were issued, and there were no notable second-half adjustments that altered the flow. The match featured balanced scoring chances overall, with Obolon'-Brovar's defense standing firm against sustained away possession. This result underscores Kudrivka's inability to convert dominance into points, marking a notable shift from pre-match structural expectations. Both teams shared the spoils, maintaining competitive balance in their campaign.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Match exhibited a significant 70.5% structural deviation attributed to Kudrivka.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing data.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment was not achieved.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated without data.
  • Event impact: No key events or adjustments influenced the outcome.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards produced no distortion in play.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

D. Kubryak

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

Y. Hashkov

1st Assistant

M. Levchenko

2nd Assistant

M. Kozyryatskiy

4th Official

Obolon'-Brovar O. Antonenko
O. Antonenko
VS
Kudrivka V. Baranov
V. Baranov
0.93
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.5
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: 61 L
SK Poltava Rank: 32 D
Veres Rank: 46 L
Zorya Luhansk Rank: 53 D
Karpaty Rank: 55 L
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: 66 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: 74 L
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Rank: 51 L
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Rank: 55 L
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Rank: 47 L
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: 62 L
Veres Rank: 48 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Obolon'-Brovar
40.85%
Draw
29.48%
Away Kudrivka
29.68%

Movement

Changes since opening
Obolon'-Brovar
+33.32%
Draw
-53.47%
Kudrivka
+20.16%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
40.96
41.47
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Obolon'-Brovar
Kudrivka
Power Score
40.96
41.47
League Position
11
13
Global Rank
992
985

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Obolon'-Brovar — Opponent-weighted form score
Kudrivka — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Obolon'-Brovar Kudrivka

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Obolon'-Brovar

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Kudrivka

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Obolon'-Brovar ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Kudrivka
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
23.88
11.25
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
11.25
23.88
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Obolon'-Brovar +1.28 Efficiency Index
vs
Kudrivka -1.28 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Obolon'-Brovar
Kudrivka
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Obolon'-Brovar ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Kudrivka
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Obolon'-Brovar Kudrivka
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Obolon'-Brovar Kudrivka
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Obolon'-Brovar
Kudrivka
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Obolon'-Brovar
vs
Kudrivka
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Obolon'-Brovar Kudrivka
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Obolon'-Brovar 0.26
Kudrivka 0.14
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Obolon'-Brovar Kudrivka
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Obolon'-Brovar 0.03
Kudrivka 0.03
Obolon'-Brovar
Kudrivka
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Kudrivka had peak pressure around 28'.
  • Obolon'-Brovar started the game with stronger pressure.
Obolon'-Brovar Pressure Kudrivka Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Kudrivka reached the top pressure at 28' (59.74).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Obolon'-Brovar Obolon'-Brovar Home
1 matches
Kudrivka Kudrivka Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
0
-1
Goal Difference
+1

Data last updated: 2026-05-04T00:01:13+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
D. Marchenko
Ukraine
31 D. Marchenko
P. Polehenko
Ukraine
28 P. Polehenko
O. Zhovtenko
Ukraine
44 O. Zhovtenko
D. Semenov
Ukraine
50 D. Semenov
E. Prokopenko
Ukraine
24 E. Prokopenko
I. Medynskyi
Substitution
Ukraine
13 I. Medynskyi
M. Chekh
Substitution
Ukraine
6 M. Chekh
T. Moroz
Ukraine
4 (C) T. Moroz
M. Tretyakov
Substitution
Ukraine
75 M. Tretyakov
S. Sukhanov
Substitution
Ukraine
55 S. Sukhanov
D. Ustymenko
Substitution
Ukraine
9 D. Ustymenko
Pitch
A. Yashkov
Ukraine
37 (C) A. Yashkov
M. Farina
Ukraine
74 M. Farina
J. Collahuazo Vaca
Ecuador
55 J. Collahuazo Vaca
Y. Potimkov
Ukraine
69 Y. Potimkov
O. Gusev
Ukraine
30 O. Gusev
V. Adeoye
Substitution
23 V. Adeoye
O. Belyaev
Substitution
Ukraine
7 O. Belyaev
A. Hlushchenko
Substitution
Ukraine
21 A. Hlushchenko
A. Storchous
Ukraine
8 A. Storchous
O. Kozak
Substitution
Ukraine
10 O. Kozak
R. Frimpong Owusu
Substitution
Ghana
24 R. Frimpong Owusu

General Information

Date & Time :
May 03, 2026, 10:00 AM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 26 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Obolon' Arena
Capacity :
5100
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Dmitriy Kubryak
Yevhen Hashkov
Maksim Levchenko
Maksim Kozyryatskiy

Statistics

Possession
Obolon'-Brovar
46%
Kudrivka
54%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
3 Shots 3
31 Dangerous attacks 35
40 Possession 60
5 Corners 3
7 Free kicks 17
3 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

5 Substitutions 4
0 Assists 1

Attacking

79 Attacks 99

Defensive

1 Saves 4

Discipline

17 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Dmitriy Kubryak

Starting XI ▼

31
Denys Marchenko
Denys Marchenko Goalkeeper
6.12
28
Pavlo Polegenko
Pavlo Polegenko Defender
6.45
44
O. Zhovtenko
O. Zhovtenko Defender
6.25
50
Dmytro Semenov
Dmytro Semenov Defender
6.26
4
Taras Moroz
Taras Moroz (C) Midfielder
6.33
6
Maksym Chekh
Maksym Chekh Midfielder
6.5
17
Ruslan Chernenko
Ruslan Chernenko
Midfielder86'
6.41
13
Igor Medynskyi
Igor Medynskyi Midfielder
6.5
21
Kostyantyn Bychek
Kostyantyn Bychek
Attacker64'
6.46
24
Yegor Prokopenko
Yegor Prokopenko Midfielder
6.37
75
Maksym Tretyakov
Maksym Tretyakov Midfielder
6.5
8
Artem Kulakovskyi
Artem Kulakovskyi
Midfielder86'
6.41
9
Denys Ustymenko
Denys Ustymenko Attacker
6.46
99
Denys Teslyuk
Denys Teslyuk
Attacker72'
6.46
55
Sergiy Sukhanov
Sergiy Sukhanov Attacker
6.5
5
Yevgeniy Shevchenko
Yevgeniy Shevchenko
Defender72'
6.26
Referee : Dmitriy Kubryak

Starting XI ▼

37
Anton Yashkov
Anton Yashkov (C) Goalkeeper
6.12
30
Oleksiy Gusev
Oleksiy Gusev Defender
6.25
55
Jair Collahuazo
Jair Collahuazo Defender
6.26
69
Yuriy Potimkov
Yuriy Potimkov Defender
6.26
74
Maryan Faryna
Maryan Faryna Defender
6.26
7
Oleksandr Belyaev
Oleksandr Belyaev Midfielder
6.37
33
Yevgeniy Morozko
Yevgeniy Morozko
Midfielder42'
6.5
8
Andriy Storchous
Andriy Storchous Midfielder
6.37
10
Oleksandr Kozak
Oleksandr Kozak Midfielder
6.37
20
Denys Svityukha
Denys Svityukha
Midfielder66'
6.5
21
Anton Glushchenko
Anton Glushchenko Midfielder
6.37
14
Kaya Makosso
Kaya Makosso
Midfielder79'
6.5
23
Victor Adeoye
Victor Adeoye Midfielder
6.37
22
Bogdan Veklyak
Bogdan Veklyak
Defender66'
6.69
24
Raymond Owusu
Raymond Owusu Attacker
6.46
77
Artem Liehostaiev
Artem Liehostaiev
Attacker66'
6.59

Events

2ND-HALF
90+2'
Event
Bogdan Veklyak
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Ruslan Chernenko → Maksym Chekh
9th Substitution
86'
Event
Artem Kulakovskyi → Maksym Tretyakov
10th Substitution
86'
79'
Event
Kaya Makosso → Anton Glushchenko
8th Substitution
Event
Yevgeniy Shevchenko → Sergiy Sukhanov
6th Substitution
72'
Event
Denys Teslyuk → Denys Ustymenko
7th Substitution
72'
66'
Event
Bogdan Veklyak → Victor Adeoye
5th Substitution
66'
Event
Artem Liehostaiev → Raymond Owusu
3rd Substitution
66'
Event
Denys Svityukha → Oleksandr Kozak
4th Substitution
Event
Kostyantyn Bychek → Igor Medynskyi
2nd Substitution
64'
Event
O. Zhovtenko
5th Yellowcard
59'
Event
Taras Moroz
4th Yellowcard
59'
Event
Denys Ustymenko
3rd Yellowcard
54'
Event
2nd Yellowcard
46'
1ST-HALF
42'
Event
Yevgeniy Morozko → Oleksandr Belyaev
1st Substitution
40'
Event
Oleksiy Gusev
1st Yellowcard
Event
Pavlo Polegenko
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
23'

Match Commentary

85
Update Update
Ruslan Chernenko comes on for Maksym Chekh.
85
Update Update
Artem Kulakovskyi comes on for Maksym Tretyakov.
79
Update Update
Kaya Makosso is on, and Anton Glushchenko is off.
72
Update Update
Denys Ustymenko is replaced by Denys Teslyuk.
72
Update Update
Yevgen Shevchenko comes on, and Sergiy Sukhanov goes off.
66
Update Update
Denys Svityukha replaces Oleksandr Kozak.
66
Update Update
Artem Legostaev comes on for Raymond Frimpong Owusu.
66
Update Update
Bogdan Veklyak comes on for Victor Adeoye.
64
Update Update
Kostyantyn Bychek replaces Igor Medynsky.
41
Update Update
Yevgeniy Morozko comes on for Oleksandr Belyaev.

CONCLUSION

Kudrivka's draw despite superior possession and stronger team status highlights Obolon'-Brovar's effective counter-strategy and resilience. The 1-1 scoreline, with the home lead at halftime erased late, reflects a tactical stalemate. Lacking xG data limits deeper chance analysis, but the result deviates significantly from structural norms, favoring Kudrivka's underperformance. No red cards ensured uninterrupted flow, allowing possession to test defenses evenly. This point apiece aids both in standings, yet Kudrivka may rue missed opportunities from their 60% control. Obolon'-Brovar's grit proves vital in holding firm.

Obolon'-Brovar vs Kudrivka preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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