NSÍ vs Hamrun Spartans Prediction, Preview and Stats

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Við Djúpumýrar Today - 6:45 PM
Europa Conference League
NSÍ NSÍ
1 – 1
Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans
Full Time Today 6:45 PM
1st Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Petur Knudsen - 25'
Goal
|
Goal
Tobias Björnstad - 56'

CONTEXT

NSÍ welcomed Hamrun Spartans for the opening leg of their two-match tie and produced a 1-1 draw that leaves the aggregate finely balanced. The hosts took a deserved lead into the interval after scoring in the first half and holding 58 percent of possession overall. Hamrun Spartans responded after the break to level the score and claim a valuable away point. Neither side received a red card, allowing both teams to maintain their intended shapes for the full ninety minutes. NSÍ created the greater share of opportunities yet could not find a second goal to stretch their advantage. The visitors defended compactly and struck on the counter to earn the draw. With the second leg still to come, both sides will take encouragement from the result.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: A moderate structural deviation of 8.8 percent was recorded in favor of NSÍ.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with pre-match patterns for both teams.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable so alignment could not be measured.
  • Market alignment: The 1-1 draw proved consistent with overall market alignment.
  • xG expectations: No xG expectations were available ahead of the match.
  • Event impact: Hamrun Spartans second-half equalizer shaped the final 1-1 outcome.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued so no disciplinary distortion affected the result.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

K. O'Sullivan

Republic of Ireland 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 4 0.36
Fouls / match 30.4
Yellow cards / match 4
Red cards / match 0.36
Penalties / match 0.36

Other match officials

D. Keegan

1st Assistant

Republic of Ireland

E. Harte

2nd Assistant

Republic of Ireland

L. Keating

4th Official

Republic of Ireland

League averages

Europa Conference League Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 13.04
Yellow cards / match 2.62
Red cards / match 0.09
Penalties / match 0.15
NSÍ S. Eyjólfsson
S. Eyjólfsson
VS
Hamrun Spartans G. Modica
G. Modica
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home NSÍ
4.39%
Draw
91.23%
Away Hamrun Spartans
4.39%

Movement

Changes since opening
NSÍ
-1.65%
Draw
+3.31%
Hamrun Spartans
-1.65%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
38.89
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
NSÍ
Hamrun Spartans
Power Score
50
38.89
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
NSÍ — Opponent-weighted form score
Hamrun Spartans — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) NSÍ Hamrun Spartans

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

NSÍ

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Hamrun Spartans

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

NSÍ ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hamrun Spartans
Created Set-piece attacking threat
NSÍ Hamrun Spartans
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
NSÍ Hamrun Spartans
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
NSÍ
Hamrun Spartans
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
NSÍ
vs
Hamrun Spartans
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
NSÍ Hamrun Spartans
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
NSÍ 0.00
Hamrun Spartans 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
NSÍ Hamrun Spartans
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
NSÍ 0.00
Hamrun Spartans 0.00
NSÍ
Hamrun Spartans
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • NSÍ had peak pressure around 48'.
  • Hamrun Spartans started the game with stronger pressure.
NSÍ Pressure Hamrun Spartans Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: NSÍ reached the top pressure at 48' (50.62).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

NSÍ NSÍ Home
0 matches
Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-06T00:06:16+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time :
Jul 09, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition :
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium :
Við Djúpumýrar
Capacity :
4000
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Kevin O'Sullivan
Darragh Keegan
Eoin Harte
Lucas Keating

Statistics

Possession
NSÍ
55%
Hamrun Spartans
45%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
6 Shots 4
95 Dangerous attacks 54
58 Possession 42
5 Corners 2
11 Free kicks 11
2 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

117 Ball Safe 117
6 Goal Attempts 5
3 Substitutions 2
16 Throwins 14
1 Assists 1
2 Injuries 2

Attacking

180 Attacks 139

Discipline

5 Offsides 7
7 Fouls 10

Squad

Referee : Kevin O'Sullivan

Squad ▼

1
Kristian Joensen
Kristian Joensen Goalkeeper
—
Frídi Sigurdsson
Frídi Sigurdsson Goalkeeper
13
Tom Amos
Tom Amos Goalkeeper
—
Jón Petur Thomsen
Jón Petur Thomsen Goalkeeper
3
Viljormur Davidsen
Viljormur Davidsen Defender
17
Jann Julian Benjaminsen
Jann Julian Benjaminsen Defender
5
Alex Freyr Elísson
Alex Freyr Elísson Defender
—
Paetur Hentze
Paetur Hentze Defender
4
Daniel Obbekjær
Daniel Obbekjær Defender
—
Lars Markmanrud
Lars Markmanrud Defender
12
Filip Drinic
Filip Drinic Defender
8
Brandur Hendriksson Olsen
Brandur Hendriksson Olsen Midfielder
—
Sammy Skytte
Sammy Skytte Midfielder
—
Betuel Hansen
Betuel Hansen Midfielder
—
Sølvi Sigvardsen
Sølvi Sigvardsen Midfielder
29
Emil Weihe Joensen
Emil Weihe Joensen Midfielder
6
Beinir Nolsøe
Beinir Nolsøe Midfielder
23
Benadiktus Olsen
Benadiktus Olsen Midfielder
10
Klæmint Andrasson Olsen
Klæmint Andrasson Olsen Attacker
33
Michal Przybylski
Michal Przybylski Attacker
16
Petur Knudsen
Petur Knudsen Attacker
2
Adrian Edqvist
Adrian Edqvist Attacker
9
Tobias Hestad
Tobias Hestad Attacker
—
Steffan Abrahamsson Løkin
Steffan Abrahamsson Løkin Attacker
11
Marius Kryger Lindh
Marius Kryger Lindh Attacker
Referee : Kevin O'Sullivan

Squad ▼

98
Francisco Célio da Paz Silva Filho
Francisco Célio da Paz Silva Filho Goalkeeper
—
Messie Biatoumoussoka
Messie Biatoumoussoka Defender
2
Rafael Petrilio Compri
Rafael Petrilio Compri Defender
13
Vincenzo Polito
Vincenzo Polito Defender
5
Sven Xerri
Sven Xerri Defender
—
Tobias Bjørnstad
Tobias Bjørnstad Defender
—
Ante Ćorić
Ante Ćorić Midfielder
31
Danilo Bulevardi
Danilo Bulevardi Midfielder
94
Ryan Camenzuli
Ryan Camenzuli Midfielder
91
Emerson Marcelina
Emerson Marcelina Midfielder
—
Jake Grech
Jake Grech Midfielder
6
Matthew Guillaumier
Matthew Guillaumier Midfielder
27
Ognjen Bjeličić
Ognjen Bjeličić Midfielder
17
Kléri Serber
Kléri Serber Midfielder
8
Matías Nicolás García
Matías Nicolás García Midfielder
—
Christopher Galea
Christopher Galea Midfielder
—
Jack Ipalibo
Jack Ipalibo Midfielder
—
Miguel Tabone
Miguel Tabone Midfielder
7
Shaisen Attard
Shaisen Attard Midfielder
—
Daniel Letherby
Daniel Letherby Midfielder
25
Ederson Bruno Domingos
Ederson Bruno Domingos Attacker
24
Damir Ceter Valencia
Damir Ceter Valencia Attacker
29
Abdoul Kairou Amoustapha
Abdoul Kairou Amoustapha Attacker
—
Emmanuel Ernest
Emmanuel Ernest Attacker
—
Gabriel Vella
Gabriel Vella Attacker
—
Lucas Villela Iapert
Lucas Villela Iapert Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Sammy Skytte → Marius Lindh
6th Substitution
83'
79'
Event
Emmanuel Ernest → Damir Céter
4th Substitution
79'
Event
Kean Scicluna → Emerson
5th Substitution
65'
Event
Ante Ćorić → Lucas Villela
3rd Substitution
Event
Aron Knudsen → Tobias Hestad
2nd Substitution
61'
56'
Event
Tobias Björnstad
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
1ST-HALF
Event
Petur Knudsen
2nd Yellowcard
41'
Event
Petur Knudsen
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
25'
Event
Michal Przybylski
1st Yellowcard
18'
Event
Filip Drinic → Alex Freyr Elísson
1st Substitution
15'

Match Commentary

86
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
83
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Sammy Skytte comes on for Marius Lindh.
80
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
79
Update Update
Kean Scicluna is on, and Marcelina Emerson is off.
79
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
65
Update Update
Ante Coric replaces Lucas Villela.
63
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
61
Update Update
On A. Petur Knudsen, off Tobias Hestad.
56
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Tobias Bjornstad scores to make it 1-1, assisted by Lucas Villela.
44
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
41
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Petur Knudsen.
40
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
38
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
29
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
26
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Petur Knudsen scores to make it 1-0.
25
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
18
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown.
15
Update Update
Filip Drinic comes on for Alex Freyr Elisson.
1
Update Update
Kick-off has occurred!

CONCLUSION

The 1-1 draw in the first leg gives both NSÍ and Hamrun Spartans clear objectives for the return fixture. NSÍ will look to convert their possession advantage into more clinical finishing when they travel, while Hamrun Spartans can take confidence from their ability to respond after falling behind. The absence of red cards ensured the contest stayed eleven versus eleven and produced an open second half that delivered the equalizer. With aggregate scores level, the second leg promises another tactical battle where small margins will decide progression. Both coaches now have a full picture of the opponent and will adjust their approaches accordingly before the decisive match.

NSÍ vs Hamrun Spartans preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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Author

Alf Indseth

Alf Indseth writes football-focused analysis that looks beyond match results to explore form, value, and market context.