Nottingham Forest vs Fulham Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
The City Ground Sun, 15 Mar - 2:00 PM
Premier League
Nottingham Forest NFO
0 – 0
Fulham FUL
Full Time Sun, 15 Mar 2:00 PM

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Nottingham Forest 0–0 Fulham. The match ended in a draw. Fulham showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 46%–54%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Fulham showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

S. Barrott

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

W. Smith

1st Assistant

M. Perry

2nd Assistant

A. Madley

4th Official

Nottingham Forest V. de Oliveira Lopes Pereira
V. de Oliveira Lopes Pereira
VS
Fulham M. Saraiva Da Silva
M. Saraiva Da Silva
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.38
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
West Ham United Rank: 83 W
Aston Villa Rank: 94 L
Everton Rank: 88 L
Manchester City Rank: 98 L
Fulham Rank: 87 L
Tottenham Hotspur Rank: 87 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Everton Rank: 88 L
Manchester United Rank: 91 L
Brighton & Hove Albion Rank: 88 W
Leeds United Rank: 87 L
Chelsea Rank: 94 W
Liverpool Rank: 95 D
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 1 - 12
12

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Nottingham Forest
42.03%
Draw
28.87%
Away Fulham
29.09%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
68.81
70.33
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Nottingham Forest
Fulham
Power Score
68.81
70.33
League Position
17
11
Global Rank
40
29

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Nottingham Forest — Opponent-weighted form score
Fulham — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Nottingham Forest Fulham

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Nottingham Forest

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Fulham

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Nottingham Forest ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Fulham
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
29.02
13.98
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
13.98
29.02
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Nottingham Forest +1.71 Efficiency Index
vs
Fulham -1.71 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Nottingham Forest
Fulham
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Nottingham Forest ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Fulham
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Nottingham Forest Fulham
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Nottingham Forest Fulham
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Nottingham Forest
Fulham
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter Attack / Transition data not available for this match.
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Nottingham Forest NFO Home
1 matches
Fulham FUL Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
0
-1
Goal Difference
+1

Data last updated: 2026-03-16T02:11:14+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
M. Sels
Belgium
26 M. Sels
T. Olaoluwa Aina
Nigeria
34 T. Olaoluwa Aina
N. Milenković
Serbia
31 N. Milenković
M. Santiago Costa dos Santos
Brazil
5 M. Santiago Costa dos Santos
N. Williams
Wales
3 N. Williams
I. Sangaré
Ivory Coast
6 I. Sangaré
E. Anderson
Substitution
England
8 E. Anderson
C. Hudson-Odoi
Substitution
England
7 C. Hudson-Odoi
N. Domínguez
Substitution
Argentina
16 N. Domínguez
M. Gibbs-White
Substitution
England
10 (C) M. Gibbs-White
I. da Cruz
Substitution
Brazil
19 I. da Cruz
Pitch
B. Leno
Germany
1 B. Leno
A. Robinson
United States
33 A. Robinson
C. Bassey
Nigeria
3 C. Bassey
J. Andersen
Denmark
5 (C) J. Andersen
K. Tete
Netherlands
2 K. Tete
S. Berge
Substitution
Norway
16 S. Berge
A. Iwobi
Nigeria
17 A. Iwobi
O. Bobb
Substitution
Norway
14 O. Bobb
J. King
Substitution
England
24 J. King
H. Wilson
Substitution
Wales
8 H. Wilson
R. Jiménez Rodríguez
Substitution
Mexico
7 R. Jiménez Rodríguez

General Information

Date & Time :
Mar 15, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, England
Stadium :
The City Ground
Capacity :
30445
Attendance :
30013
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Wade Smith
Marc Perry
Andy Madley
Samuel Barrott

Statistics

Possession
NFO
47%
FUL
53%

Top Statistics

1 Big Chances Created 1
5 Shots 4
47 Dangerous attacks 51
46 Possession 54
5 Corners 4
12 Free kicks 10
2 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

5 Goal Kicks 12
9 Successful Dribbles 7
29 Throwins 20
19 Dribble Attempts 8
13 Successful Headers 13
47 Successful Dribbles Percentage 88
0 Injuries 1
8 Goal Attempts 3
74 Ball Safe 83
1 Hit Woodwork 0
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

98 Attacks 100
1 Big Chances Missed 1

Possession

320 Successful Passes 378
53 Successful Long Passes Percentage 47
80 Successful Passes Percentage 80
398 Passes 473
53 Long Passes 57
28 Successful Long Passes 27
9 Key Passes 2

Defensive

8 Tackles 16
6 Interceptions 9
41 Duels Won 45
1 Saves 2

Build-up

14 Total Crosses 17
3 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

8 Fouls 10
3 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Samuel Barrott

Starting XI ▼

26
Matz Sels
Matz Sels Goalkeeper
6.64
3
Neco Williams
Neco Williams Defender
6.95
5
Murillo
Murillo Defender
6.82
31
Nikola Milenković
Nikola Milenković Defender
6.74
34
Ola Aina
Ola Aina Defender
7.54
6
Ibrahim Sangaré
Ibrahim Sangaré Midfielder
6.98
7
Callum Hudson-Odoi
Callum Hudson-Odoi Midfielder
6.45
21
Omari Hutchinson
Omari Hutchinson
Attacker46'
6.83
8
Elliot Anderson
Elliot Anderson Midfielder
7.22
24
James McAtee
James McAtee
Midfielder88'
10
Morgan Gibbs-White
Morgan Gibbs-White (C) Midfielder
6.93
22
Ryan Yates
Ryan Yates
Midfielder74'
6.46
16
Nicolás Domínguez
Nicolás Domínguez Midfielder
7.02
14
Dan Ndoye
Dan Ndoye
Attacker46'
6.64
19
Igor Jesus
Igor Jesus Attacker
6.76
9
Taiwo Awoniyi
Taiwo Awoniyi
Attacker63'
6.15
Referee : Samuel Barrott

Starting XI ▼

1
Bernd Leno
Bernd Leno Goalkeeper
6.95
2
Kenny Tete
Kenny Tete Defender
7.03
3
Calvin Bassey
Calvin Bassey Defender
7.16
5
Joachim Andersen
Joachim Andersen (C) Defender
6.92
33
Antonee Robinson
Antonee Robinson Defender
7
8
Harry Wilson
Harry Wilson Midfielder
7.15
30
Ryan Sessegnon
Ryan Sessegnon
Midfielder90+1'
14
Oscar Bobb
Oscar Bobb Midfielder
6.36
19
Samuel Chukwueze
Samuel Chukwueze
Attacker62'
6.54
16
Sander Berge
Sander Berge Midfielder
6.5
10
Tom Cairney
Tom Cairney
Midfielder78'
6.72
17
Alex Iwobi
Alex Iwobi Midfielder
6.84
24
Josh King
Josh King Midfielder
7
20
Saša Lukić
Saša Lukić
Midfielder63'
6.82
7
Raúl Jiménez
Raúl Jiménez Attacker
6.49
9
Rodrigo Muniz
Rodrigo Muniz
Attacker62'
6.71

Events

2ND-HALF
90+1'
Event
Ryan Sessegnon → Harry Wilson
10th Substitution
Event
James McAtee → Elliot Anderson
9th Substitution
88'
78'
Event
Tom Cairney → Sander Berge
8th Substitution
75'
Event
Joachim Andersen
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Ryan Yates  → Morgan Gibbs-White
7th Substitution
74'
Event
Dan Ndoye
Goal disallowed
65'
Event
Taiwo Awoniyi  → Igor Jesus
5th Substitution
63'
63'
Event
Saša Lukić → Josh King
6th Substitution
62'
Event
Samuel Chukwueze → Oscar Bobb 
3rd Substitution
62'
Event
Rodrigo Muniz → Raúl Jiménez
4th Substitution
61'
Event
Antonee Robinson
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Dan Ndoye → Nicolás Domínguez
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Omari Hutchinson  → Callum Hudson-Odoi
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Elliot Anderson
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
45+2'
32'
Event
Sander Berge
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Neco Williams
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
18'

Match Commentary

90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Fulham: Ryan Sessegnon replaces Harry Wilson.
90
Update Update
James McAtee commits a foul against Nottingham Forest.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 6 minutes of stoppage time.
90
Update Update
Tom Cairney from Fulham earned a free kick in the defensive area.
90
Update Update
The second half has concluded with the score remaining Nottingham Forest 0, Fulham 0.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Nottingham Forest after Kenny Tete allowed the ball to go out.
90
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Taiwo Awoniyi from Nottingham Forest takes a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist came from Ibrahim Sangaré.
89
Update Update
The interruption has ended. They are set to resume play.
89
Update Update
Match paused - Fulham.
89
Update Update
Kenny Tete from Fulham committed a foul.
89
Update Update
Dan Ndoye from Nottingham Forest earned a free kick on the left flank.
89
Attempt Attempt
The attempt on goal was thwarted. Neco Williams from Nottingham Forest had a right-footed shot from the middle of the penalty area, but it was blocked. The assist came from Omari Hutchinson, who delivered a cross.
88
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Nottingham Forest: James McAtee replaces Elliot Anderson.
88
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity. Taiwo Awoniyi from Nottingham Forest attempted a right-footed shot from the center of the penalty area but sent it wide to the left. The chance was set up by Elliot Anderson during a quick counterattack.
85
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Fulham after Ryan Yates allowed the ball to go out.
85
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Fulham after Murillo allowed the ball to go out.
84
Update Update
Calvin Bassey from Fulham earned a free kick in the defensive area.
84
Update Update
Ryan Yates of Nottingham Forest committed a foul.
78
Update Update
Taiwo Awoniyi from Nottingham Forest committed a foul.
78
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Fulham: Tom Cairney comes on to replace Sander Berge.
78
Update Update
Taiwo Awoniyi from Nottingham Forest committed a foul.
76
Update Update
Calvin Bassey from Fulham has earned a free kick in the defensive area.
75
Update Update
Joachim Andersen committed a foul on a Fulham player.
75
Update Update
Omari Hutchinson from Nottingham Forest earned a free kick on the right flank.
75
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Joachim Andersen of Fulham has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
74
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Nottingham Forest: Ryan Yates comes on to replace Morgan Gibbs-White.
73
Update Update
Taiwo Awoniyi from Nottingham Forest earned a free kick in the defensive area.
73
Update Update
Taiwo Awoniyi of Nottingham Forest committed a foul.
66
Corner Corner
Opportunity squandered. Sasa Lukic of Fulham attempted a left-footed shot from the center of the penalty area following a corner kick.
65
Update Update
VAR Review: Goal Disallowed for Nottingham Forest; the score remains 0-0 against Fulham.
65
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Fulham after a play that resulted in a deflection off Ola Aina.
65
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Rodrigo Muniz from Fulham takes a right-footed shot from the center of the penalty area, but it gets blocked.
63
Update Update
VAR Review: Goal Disallowed for Nottingham Forest, score remains 0-0 against Fulham.
63
Corner Corner
Goal! Nottingham Forest takes the lead with a score of 1-0 against Fulham. Dan Ndoye finds the back of the net, firing a right-footed shot from the left side of the penalty area into the bottom right corner. The assist comes from Neco Williams.
63
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Fulham: Sasa Lukic comes on to replace Josh King.
63
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Nottingham Forest: Taiwo Awoniyi is coming on to replace Igor Jesus.
62
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Fulham: Rodrigo Muniz comes on to replace Raúl Jiménez.
62
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Fulham: Samuel Chukwueze comes on to replace Oscar Bobb.
61
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Antonee Robinson from Fulham has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
60
Update Update
Antonee Robinson from Fulham committed a foul.
60
Update Update
Dan Ndoye from Nottingham Forest has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
60
Update Update
Kenny Tete from Fulham committed a foul.
60
Update Update
Omari Hutchinson from Nottingham Forest earned a free kick on the right side of the field.
58
Attempt Attempt
Ola Aina from Nottingham Forest strikes the crossbar with a left-footed shot taken from outside the penalty area, assisted by Murillo.
54
Update Update
Oscar Bobb from Fulham commits a handball.
52
Update Update
Offside call against Nottingham Forest. Dan Ndoye has been caught in an offside position.
46
Update Update
Offside call against Nottingham Forest. Dan Ndoye has been flagged for being offside.
45
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Fulham after a deflection off Igor Jesus.
45
Update Update
Josh King of Fulham earned a free kick in an offensive position.
45
Update Update
The first half has concluded with the score tied at Nottingham Forest 0, Fulham 0.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be three minutes of stoppage time.
45
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is denied. Murillo from Nottingham Forest takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it gets intercepted.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Elliot Anderson of Nottingham Forest has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
45
Update Update
The first half has concluded with the score tied at Nottingham Forest 0, Fulham 0.
45
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Harry Wilson from Fulham fires a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Nottingham Forest: Dan Ndoye is coming on to replace Nicolás Domínguez.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Nottingham Forest: Omari Hutchinson comes on to replace Callum Hudson-Odoi.
45
Update Update
The second half is underway with the score still tied at Nottingham Forest 0, Fulham 0.
45
Update Update
Elliot Anderson commits a foul against Nottingham Forest.
44
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Nottingham Forest after a foul by Joachim Andersen.
44
Attempt Attempt
The attempt is thwarted. Neco Williams from Nottingham Forest takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area, but it gets blocked. The assist comes from Elliot Anderson.
44
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Nottingham Forest after Josh King allowed the ball to go out.
43
Update Update
Morgan Gibbs-White from Nottingham Forest has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
43
Update Update
Kenny Tete from Fulham committed a foul.
38
Attempt Attempt
A new offensive effort unfolds as Nicolás Domínguez from Nottingham Forest takes a left-footed shot from outside the penalty area. Bernd Leno of Fulham makes a save, diving to his left to stop the attempt. The assist comes from Neco Williams.
38
Update Update
Josh King from Fulham has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
38
Update Update
Morgan Gibbs-White from Nottingham Forest earned a free kick in the defensive area.
37
Update Update
Ola Aina commits a foul on a Nottingham Forest player.
35
Attempt Attempt
A fresh offensive move unfolds as Morgan Gibbs-White from Nottingham Forest takes a right-footed shot from outside the penalty area. However, Bernd Leno of Fulham makes a great save, diving to his right to keep the ball out. The assist came from Neco Williams.
35
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Sander Berge of Fulham has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
33
Update Update
Sander Berge committed a foul against Fulham.
32
Update Update
Elliot Anderson from Nottingham Forest was awarded a free kick in an offensive position.
31
Update Update
Sander Berge committed a foul against Fulham.
31
Update Update
Elliot Anderson of Nottingham Forest earned a free kick in an offensive position.
27
Corner Corner
Missed opportunity! Igor Jesus of Nottingham Forest attempted a header from the center of the box but sent it wide to the left. The chance was set up by Elliot Anderson, who delivered a cross following a corner kick.
27
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Nottingham Forest after Antonee Robinson allowed the ball to go out.
22
Update Update
Matz Sels from Nottingham Forest has been awarded a free kick in the defensive area.
22
Update Update
Joachim Andersen commits a foul on a Fulham player.
19
Update Update
Another offensive effort underway. Calvin Bassey from Fulham heads the ball from close range, but it's successfully stopped.
18
Update Update
Neco Williams committed a foul for Nottingham Forest.
18
Update Update
Harry Wilson from Fulham earned a free kick in an offensive position.
18
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Neco Williams from Nottingham Forest has been shown a yellow card for committing a foul.
15
Update Update
The pause has ended. They are set to resume play now.
13
Update Update
Match temporarily halted due to an injury to Raúl Jiménez of Fulham.
12
Update Update
Joachim Andersen from Fulham earned a free kick in an offensive position.
12
Update Update
Ibrahim Sangaré committed a foul on a Nottingham Forest player.
10
Attempt Attempt
Opportunity squandered! Elliot Anderson from Nottingham Forest took a left-footed shot from the right side of the penalty area but failed to hit the target. The chance was set up by Igor Jesus during a quick counter-attack.
9
Corner Corner
Corner kick awarded to Nottingham Forest after Joachim Andersen allowed the ball to go out.
1
Update Update
Igor Jesus from Nottingham Forest earned a free kick in the defensive area.
1
Update Update
Joachim Andersen commits a foul against Fulham.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Fulham exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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