Nordsjælland vs FC Midtjylland Prediction, Preview and Stats

Denmark flag 2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark
Right to Dream Park Sun, 10 May - 12:00 PM
Superliga
Nordsjælland FCN
0 – 0
FC Midtjylland FCM
Full Time Sun, 10 May 12:00 PM
Round 9 Championship Round

CONTEXT

In a tightly contested Danish Superliga clash, FC Nordsjælland hosted FC Midtjylland, ending in a goalless 0-0 draw that frustrated the home crowd. Nordsjælland dominated possession with 69% to Midtjylland's 31%, launching numerous attacks but lacking clinical finishing to break the deadlock. The first half mirrored the full-time score at 0-0, with both sides cautious in their approach. Midtjylland, regarded as the stronger outfit, absorbed pressure effectively through disciplined defending and timely counters that never fully materialized into goals. No red cards disrupted the flow, allowing a full 90 minutes of even-tempered football. This result highlighted Nordsjælland's control without penetration, while Midtjylland's resilience earned a valuable point away. The moderate structural deviation of 8.9% tilted slightly towards the visitors, underscoring their efficiency under duress.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Match exhibited moderate 8.9% structural deviation favoring FC Midtjylland.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency stayed in line with pre-match expectations for both teams.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable, preventing assessment of alignment with actual outcome.
  • Market alignment: Draw outcome fully aligned with pre-match market positioning.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unmeasurable due to absent underlying data.
  • Event impact: No significant events like red cards or adjustments altered match dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant zero distortion to performance metrics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

J. Karlsen

Denmark 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

E. Deronjic

1st Assistant

Denmark

A. Bøgebjerg

2nd Assistant

Denmark

S. Funder

4th Official

Denmark

League averages

Superliga Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 20.53
Yellow cards / match 3.08
Red cards / match 0.12
Penalties / match 0.22
Nordsjælland J. Olsen
J. Olsen
VS
FC Midtjylland M. Tullberg
M. Tullberg
1.87
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.8
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brøndby IF Rank: 65 D
Viborg FF Rank: 63 L
AGF Rank: 70 D
Viborg FF Rank: 64 W
AGF Rank: 72 D
Brøndby IF Rank: 65 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Viborg FF Rank: 64 D
AGF Rank: 70 D
Sønderjyske Fodbold Rank: 60 W
AGF Rank: 70 W
Brøndby IF Rank: 65 W
Sønderjyske Fodbold Rank: 62 D
18
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
18 - 18 - 32
32

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Nordsjælland
4.47%
Draw
91.07%
Away FC Midtjylland
4.47%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
67.23
79.21
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Nordsjælland
FC Midtjylland
Power Score
67.23
79.21
League Position
6
2
Global Rank
271
66

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Nordsjælland — Opponent-weighted form score
FC Midtjylland — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Nordsjælland FC Midtjylland

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Nordsjælland

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

FC Midtjylland

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Nordsjælland ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy FC Midtjylland
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
34.78
43.71
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
43.71
34.78
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Nordsjælland -0.88 Efficiency Index
vs
FC Midtjylland +0.88 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Nordsjælland
FC Midtjylland
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Nordsjælland ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy FC Midtjylland
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Nordsjælland FC Midtjylland
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Nordsjælland FC Midtjylland
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Nordsjælland
FC Midtjylland
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Nordsjælland
vs
FC Midtjylland
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Nordsjælland FC Midtjylland
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Nordsjælland 0.25
FC Midtjylland 0.39
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Nordsjælland FC Midtjylland
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Nordsjælland 0.00
FC Midtjylland 0.00
Nordsjælland
FC Midtjylland
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • FCN had peak pressure around 47'.
  • FCM started the game with stronger pressure.
FCN Pressure FCM Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: FCN reached the top pressure at 47' (79.36).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 68 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Nordsjælland FCN Home
68 matches
FC Midtjylland FCM Away
Match Record
18
Wins
32
18
Draws
18
32
Losses
18
Goals
84
Goals Scored
126
126
Goals Conceded
84
-42
Goal Difference
+42

Data last updated: 2026-05-11T00:03:03+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
A. Hansen
Denmark
13 A. Hansen
P. Ankersen
Denmark
2 P. Ankersen
T. Salquist
Denmark
3 T. Salquist
C. Yirenkyi
36 C. Yirenkyi
J. Lähteenmäki
Substitution
Finland
25 J. Lähteenmäki
J. Meltofte Janssen
18 J. Meltofte Janssen
M. Brink Christensen
Substitution
Denmark
6 M. Brink Christensen
R. Norheim
Substitution
Norway
23 R. Norheim
M. Lamine Sadio
Substitution
Senegal
37 M. Lamine Sadio
P. Amoako Junior
10 P. Amoako Junior
I. Adel
Substitution
Egypt
14 I. Adel
Pitch
E. Olafsson
Iceland
16 E. Olafsson
M. Bech Sørensen
Denmark
22 M. Bech Sørensen
H. Lee
South Korea
3 H. Lee
O. Diao
Senegal
4 O. Diao
V. Jensen
Substitution
Denmark
55 V. Jensen
P. Bravo Landazuri
Colombia
19 P. Bravo Landazuri
P. Billing
Denmark
8 P. Billing
K. Mbabu
Substitution
Switzerland
43 K. Mbabu
D. Simsir
Substitution
Denmark
58 D. Simsir
E. Chilufya
Substitution
Zambia
14 E. Chilufya
D. Castillo
Substitution
Ecuador
21 D. Castillo

General Information

Date & Time :
May 10, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Superliga, Denmark · Round 9 · Championship Round
Stadium :
Right to Dream Park
Capacity :
9200
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Esad Deronjic
Andreas Bøgebjerg
Svend Funder
Jacob Karlsen

Statistics

Possession
FCN
64%
FCM
36%

Top Statistics

4 Big Chances Created 0
8 Shots 6
80 Dangerous attacks 31
69 Possession 31
9 Corners 3
6 Free kicks 13
1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

5 Substitutions 5
8 Goal Kicks 7
11 Throwins 22
11 Successful Dribbles 3
42 Successful Dribbles Percentage 38
26 Dribble Attempts 8
0 Hit Woodwork 1
11 Goal Attempts 7
74 Ball Safe 64
1 Injuries 2

Attacking

139 Attacks 69
3 Counter Attacks 0
4 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

85 Successful Passes Percentage 72
50 Long Passes 40
26 Successful Long Passes Percentage 38
541 Successful Passes 203
634 Passes 282
13 Successful Long Passes 15
14 Key Passes 5

Defensive

10 Tackles 28
9 Interceptions 5
38 Duels Won 68
2 Saves 9

Build-up

13 Total Crosses 11
1 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

13 Fouls 6
1 Offsides 4

Lineup

Referee : Jacob Karlsen

Starting XI ▼

13
Andreas Hansen
Andreas Hansen Goalkeeper
2
Peter Ankersen
Peter Ankersen Defender
3
Tobias Salquist
Tobias Salquist Defender
36
Caleb Yirenkyi
Caleb Yirenkyi Defender
6
Mark Brink
Mark Brink Midfielder
17
Levy Nene
Levy Nene
Attacker70'
18
Justin Janssen
Justin Janssen Midfielder
23
Runar Norheim
Runar Norheim Midfielder
47
Malte Heyde
Malte Heyde
Midfielder83'
25
Juho Lähteenmäki
Juho Lähteenmäki Midfielder
32
Victor Gustafsen
Victor Gustafsen
Defender89'
10
Prince Amoako Junior
Prince Amoako Junior Attacker
14
Ibrahim Adel
Ibrahim Adel Attacker
45
Noah Markmann
Noah Markmann
Defender70'
37
Mamadou Sadio
Mamadou Sadio Attacker
40
Hjalte Boe Rasmussen
Hjalte Boe Rasmussen
Attacker83'
Referee : Jacob Karlsen

Starting XI ▼

16
Elías Ólafsson
Elías Ólafsson Goalkeeper
3
Han-beom Lee
Han-beom Lee Defender
4
Ousmane Diao
Ousmane Diao Defender
22
Mads Bech Sørensen
Mads Bech Sørensen Defender
8
Philip Billing
Philip Billing Midfielder
19
Pedro Bravo
Pedro Bravo Midfielder
43
Kevin Mbabu
Kevin Mbabu Midfielder
10
Gue-sung Cho
Gue-sung Cho
Attacker74'
55
Victor Bak
Victor Bak Midfielder
29
Paulinho
Paulinho
Defender80'
14
Edward Chilufya
Edward Chilufya Attacker
74
Júnior Brumado
Júnior Brumado
Attacker46'
21
Denil Castillo
Denil Castillo Attacker
41
Mikel Gogorza
Mikel Gogorza
Attacker57'
58
Aral Şimşir
Aral Şimşir Attacker
20
Valdemar Byskov
Valdemar Byskov
Midfielder46'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Victor Gustafsen → Juho Lähteenmäki
10th Substitution
89'
84'
Event
Ousmane Diao
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Malte Heyde → Runar Norheim
8th Substitution
83'
Event
Hjalte Boe Rasmussen → Mamadou Sadio
9th Substitution
83'
80'
Event
Paulinho → Victor Bak
7th Substitution
74'
Event
Gue-sung Cho → Kevin Mbabu
6th Substitution
Event
Levy Nene → Mark Brink
5th Substitution
70'
Event
Noah Markmann → Ibrahim Adel
4th Substitution
70'
57'
Event
Mikel Gogorza → Denil Castillo
3rd Substitution
51'
Event
Kevin Mbabu
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
46'
Event
Júnior Brumado → Edward Chilufya
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Valdemar Byskov → Aral Şimşir
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Mark Brink
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
40'
4'
Event
Edward Chilufya
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Paulo Victor da Silva takes a left-footed shot, but it misses the target.
90
Attempt Attempt
Malte Heyde's right-footed shot is blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Malte Heyde takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Prince Amoako Junior takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Paulo Victor da Silva takes a shot with his left foot, but it misses the target.
90
Attempt Attempt
Paulo Victor da Silva takes a left-footed shot, but it misses the target.
89
Substitution Substitution
Victor Gustafsen is substituted for Juho Lahteenmaki.
88
Update Update
Phillip Billing attempts a header but misses the target.
83
Update Update
Hjalte Rasmussen is on, and Lamine Sadio is off.
83
Update Update
Malte Heyde is on, and Runar Norheim is off.
82
Attempt Attempt
Runar Norheim takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
80
Attempt Attempt
Runar Norheim takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
80
Substitution Substitution
Paulo Victor da Silva comes on for Paulinho, and Victor Bak Jensen is substituted off.
75
Attempt Attempt
Jose Francisco Dos Santos Junior takes a right-footed shot, but it hits the post.
74
Update Update
On comes Cho Gue-sung, off goes Kevin Mbabu.
72
Attempt Attempt
Ousmane Diao takes a right-footed shot but misses.
70
Update Update
Noah Markmann comes on for Ibrahim Adel.
70
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Levy Nene comes on for Mark Brink.
68
Attempt Attempt
Juho Lahteenmaki takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
68
Attempt Attempt
Ibrahim Adel takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
64
Attempt Attempt
Lamine Sadio's left-footed shot is saved.
61
Attempt Attempt
Gogorza takes a left-footed shot but misses.
61
Attempt Attempt
Gogorza takes a left-footed shot but misses.
60
Attempt Attempt
Ibrahim Adel takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
58
Attempt Attempt
Prince Amoako Junior takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
57
Update Update
On comes Gogorza, off goes Denil Castillo.
53
Attempt Attempt
Caleb Yirenkyi takes a right-footed shot but misses.
50
Attempt Attempt
Jose Francisco Dos Santos Junior takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
46
Update Update
Jose Francisco Dos Santos Junior comes on for Edward Chilufya.
46
Update Update
Valdemar Andreasen is on, and Aral Simsir is off.
45
Attempt Attempt
Prince Amoako Junior takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
42
Attempt Attempt
Prince Amoako Junior takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
34
Attempt Attempt
Lamine Sadio's left-footed shot is saved.
33
Attempt Attempt
Ibrahim Adel takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
32
Attempt Attempt
Edward Chilufya takes a right-footed shot but misses.
31
Attempt Attempt
Runar Norheim's right-footed shot is blocked.
19
Attempt Attempt
Caleb Yirenkyi attempts a header but misses the shot.
16
Attempt Attempt
Lamine Sadio takes a left-footed shot but misses.
16
Attempt Attempt
Lamine Sadio takes a left-footed shot but misses.
15
Attempt Attempt
Ibrahim Adel takes a right-footed shot but misses.
14
Attempt Attempt
Ibrahim Adel takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
8
Attempt Attempt
Phillip Billing takes a left-footed shot but misses.

CONCLUSION

The 0-0 stalemate leaves FC Nordsjælland ruing missed opportunities despite overwhelming possession, as FC Midtjylland's stout defense secured a hard-fought point for the stronger side. This draw maintains Midtjylland's competitive edge in the standings, while Nordsjælland must sharpen their conversion rate moving forward. With no disruptions from cards or tactical overhauls, the game reflected balanced preparations, though the hosts' dominance went unrewarded. Expect Nordsjælland to regroup with renewed focus on finishing, as Midtjylland builds momentum from this resilient display. Overall, a fair result underscoring defensive solidity over attacking flair.

Nordsjælland vs FC Midtjylland preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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