Newcastle United vs West Ham United Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
St. James' Park Sun, 17 May - 4:30 PM
Premier League
Newcastle United NEW
Versus
West Ham United WHU
KICKOFF : Sun, 17 May - 4:30 PM
Round 37 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Newcastle United host West Ham United at St. James' Park in a Premier League regular season fixture from the 2025/2026 campaign. The Magpies hold a clear structural edge with a power score of 89.05 against the Hammers' 83.33, translating to a 5.7-point advantage and positioning Newcastle as the stronger team overall. Currently 13th in the table, Newcastle benefit from home advantage, while West Ham sit 18th and face an uphill battle. Recent form tilts toward West Ham, who score 12.61 compared to Newcastle's 10.39, suggesting momentum on their side. Lacking detailed efficiency, transition, and set-piece data, analysis hinges on power ratings and league standings. Newcastle's home form could exploit West Ham's struggles, but the visitors' sharper recent performances add intrigue to this mid-table tussle.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Newcastle United possesses a structural advantage with a 89.05 power score over West Ham United's 83.33.
  • Form: West Ham United holds a higher form score of 12.61 compared to Newcastle United's 10.39.
  • Squad: Newcastle United ranks 13th and West Ham United 18th in the Premier League table.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition play data is unavailable.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to lack of xG.
  • xVariable: Advanced xG variable data not available.
  • Market: Newcastle United 43.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25% (Δ+0%) | West Ham United 31.4% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Newcastle United E. Howe
E. Howe
VS
West Ham United N. Simões Espírito Santo
N. Simões Espírito Santo
1.36
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.04
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Nottingham Forest Rank: 88 D
Brighton & Hove Albion Rank: 90 W
Arsenal Rank: 97 L
AFC Bournemouth Rank: 90 L
Crystal Palace Rank: 86 L
Sunderland Rank: 81 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Arsenal Rank: 98 L
Brentford Rank: 88 L
Everton Rank: 87 W
Crystal Palace Rank: 86 D
Wolverhampton Wanderers Rank: 79 W
Aston Villa Rank: 91 L
19
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
19 - 11 - 11
11
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Newcastle United
43.56%
Draw
25.04%
Away West Ham United
31.4%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
89.05
83.33
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Newcastle United
West Ham United
Power Score
89.05
83.33
League Position
13
18
Global Rank
15
43

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Newcastle United — Opponent-weighted form score
West Ham United — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Newcastle United West Ham United

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 41 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Newcastle United NEW Home
41 matches
West Ham United WHU Away
Match Record
19
Wins
11
11
Draws
11
11
Losses
19
Goals
74
Goals Scored
57
57
Goals Conceded
74
+17
Goal Difference
-17

Data last updated: 2026-05-15T01:06:44+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
N. Pope
England
1 N. Pope
L. Hall
England
3 L. Hall
M. Thiaw
Germany
12 M. Thiaw
S. Botman
Netherlands
4 S. Botman
D. Burn
England
33 D. Burn
S. Tonali
Italy
8 S. Tonali
B. Guimarães Rodriguez Moura
Brazil
39 B. Guimarães Rodriguez Moura
J. Murphy
England
23 J. Murphy
N. Woltemade
Germany
27 N. Woltemade
J. Apolinário de Lira
Brazil
7 J. Apolinário de Lira
W. Osula
Denmark
18 W. Osula
Pitch
M. Hermansen
Denmark
1 M. Hermansen
A. Disasi
France
4 A. Disasi
K. Mavropanos
Greece
15 K. Mavropanos
J. Todibo
France
25 J. Todibo
E. Diouf
Senegal
12 E. Diouf
M. Espanha Fernandes
Portugal
18 M. Espanha Fernandes
T. Souček
Czech Republic
28 T. Souček
A. Wan-Bissaka
England
29 A. Wan-Bissaka
C. Summerville
Netherlands
7 C. Summerville
J. Bowen
England
20 J. Bowen
V. Castellanos Giménez
Argentina
11 V. Castellanos Giménez

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 37 · Regular Season
Stadium :
St. James' Park
Capacity :
52409
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Lewis Smith
Jarred Gillett
Neil Davies
Scott Ledger

Lineup

Referee : Jarred Gillett

Starting XI ▼

1
Nick Pope
Nick Pope Goalkeeper
6.83
3
Lewis Hall
Lewis Hall Defender
6.91
4
Sven Botman
Sven Botman Defender
6.97
12
Malick Thiaw
Malick Thiaw Defender
6.97
33
Dan Burn
Dan Burn Defender
6.69
8
Sandro Tonali
Sandro Tonali Midfielder
6.95
27
Nick Woltemade
Nick Woltemade Midfielder
6.72
39
Bruno Guimarães
Bruno Guimarães Midfielder
7.33
7
Joelinton
Joelinton Attacker
6.84
18
William Osula
William Osula Attacker
6.68
23
Jacob Murphy
Jacob Murphy Attacker
6.76
Referee : Jarred Gillett

Starting XI ▼

1
Mads Hermansen
Mads Hermansen Goalkeeper
6.77
4
Axel Disasi
Axel Disasi Defender
6.75
12
El Hadji Malick Diouf
El Hadji Malick Diouf Defender
6.72
15
Konstantinos Mavropanos
Konstantinos Mavropanos Defender
6.99
25
Jean-Clair Todibo
Jean-Clair Todibo Defender
6.6
29
Aaron Wan-Bissaka
Aaron Wan-Bissaka Defender
6.74
7
Crysencio Summerville
Crysencio Summerville Midfielder
6.86
18
Mateus Fernandes
Mateus Fernandes Midfielder
7.03
20
Jarrod Bowen
Jarrod Bowen Midfielder
7
28
Tomáš Souček
Tomáš Souček Midfielder
6.76
11
Taty Castellanos
Taty Castellanos Attacker
6.78

CONCLUSION

Newcastle United's power superiority and home venue at St. James' Park position them favorably against a struggling West Ham United side. Despite West Ham's edge in recent form, Newcastle's 5.7-point advantage and higher league standing suggest they can control the game. Without granular stats on efficiency or set pieces, the focus remains on overarching strengths, where the Magpies excel. West Ham must disrupt transitions to counter, but Newcastle's structural depth likely prevails in a competitive encounter. Expect the hosts to edge a tightly contested match.

Newcastle United vs West Ham United preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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