New Zealand vs Egypt Prediction, Preview and Stats

2026 World Cup, World
Vancouver Stadium Mon, 22 Jun - 1:00 AM
World Cup
New Zealand NZL
1 Winner 3
Egypt EGY
Full Time Mon, 22 Jun 1:00 AM
Round 2 Group Stage
Finn Surman - 15'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

New Zealand hosted Egypt in a match that finished 1-3 to the visitors after a 1-0 halftime lead for the home side. Egypt controlled 56 percent possession against New Zealand's 44 percent and created superior chances throughout the contest. Expected goals stood at 0.91 for New Zealand and 1.95 for Egypt, producing a differential of minus 1.04 that aligned with the final outcome. The stronger team prevailed after overturning the early deficit with three second-half goals. A significant deviation of 42.3 percent was recorded for Egypt relative to initial projections. No red cards occurred and the result remained consistent with underlying performance metrics. The match illustrated clear second-half adjustments by the away side that shifted momentum decisively.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: New Zealand 1-3 Egypt. Egypt showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with expectations across both teams.
  • xG alignment: The outcome proved consistent with the xG differential of minus 1.04.
  • Market alignment: The final result aligned with market projections for the stronger side.
  • xG expectations: Egypt surpassed xG expectations while New Zealand fell short at 0.91.
  • Event impact: Egypt's three second-half goals produced the decisive event impact on the scoreline.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards created no distortion to overall match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

O. Al Ali

United Arab Emirates 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 4 0.36
Fouls / match 30.4
Yellow cards / match 4
Red cards / match 0.36
Penalties / match 0.36

Other match officials

M. Al Hammadi

1st Assistant

United Arab Emirates

T. Al Marri

2nd Assistant

Qatar

K. Ortega

4th Official

Peru

League averages

World Cup Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 12.03
Yellow cards / match 1.36
Red cards / match 0.11
Penalties / match 0.09
New Zealand D. Bazeley
D. Bazeley
VS
Egypt H. Hussein
H. Hussein
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Iran Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Belgium Rank: D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home New Zealand
17.53%
Draw
24.75%
Away Egypt
57.72%

Movement

Changes since opening
New Zealand
+17.31%
Draw
+22.83%
Egypt
-40.14%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
16.67
20
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
New Zealand
Egypt
Power Score
16.67
20
League Position
4
1
Global Rank
85
29

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
New Zealand Opponent-weighted form score
Egypt Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) New Zealand Egypt

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

New Zealand

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Egypt

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

New Zealand ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Egypt
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
29.89
38.48
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
38.48
29.89
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
New Zealand -0.77 Efficiency Index
vs
Egypt +0.77 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
New Zealand
Egypt
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

New Zealand
vs
Egypt
Created Set-piece attacking threat
New Zealand Egypt
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
48%
12%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.43 vs -0.23
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
New Zealand Egypt
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
12%
48%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.23 vs -0.43
New Zealand
Egypt
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

New Zealand
vs
Egypt
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
New Zealand Egypt
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
New Zealand Egypt
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
New Zealand
Egypt
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • EGY had peak pressure around 64'.
  • NZL started the game with stronger pressure.
NZL Pressure EGY Pressure
Pressure Index: EGY reached the top pressure at 64' (90.77).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

New Zealand NZL Home
0 matches
Egypt EGY Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-06-23T00:00:19+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
M. Crocombe
New Zealand
1 M. Crocombe
T. Payne
Substitution
New Zealand
2 T. Payne
F. Surman
New Zealand
16 F. Surman
M. Boxall
New Zealand
5 M. Boxall
L. Cacace
Substitution
New Zealand
13 L. Cacace
J. Bell
New Zealand
6 J. Bell
M. Stamenic
New Zealand
8 M. Stamenic
C. McCowatt
Substitution
New Zealand
20 C. McCowatt
S. Singh
Substitution
New Zealand
10 S. Singh
E. Just
Substitution
New Zealand
11 E. Just
C. Wood
New Zealand
9 (C) C. Wood

General Information

Date & Time :
Jun 22, 2026, 01:00 AM
Competition :
2026 World Cup, World · Round 2 · Group Stage
Stadium :
Vancouver Stadium
Capacity :
54500
Attendance :
52497
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Omar Mohamed Al Ali
Mohamed Ahmed Yousuf Al Hammadi
Taleb Salem Al Marri
Kevin Ortega

Statistics

Possession
NZL
45%
EGY
55%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 3
3 Big Chances Created 3
7 Shots 12
43 Dangerous attacks 51
44 Possession 56
4 Corners 3
8 Free kicks 18
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

96 Ball Safe 90
10 Goal Kicks 3
7 Goal Attempts 13
5 Substitutions 6
21 Throwins 23
15 Successful Headers 19
1 Assists 3
0 Injuries 2
15 Dribble Attempts 12
7 Successful Dribbles 7
47 Successful Dribbles Percentage 58

Attacking

91 Attacks 119
2 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

50 Long Passes 48
421 Passes 526
337 Successful Passes 460
80 Successful Passes Percentage 87
8 Key Passes 16
20 Successful Long Passes 22
40 Successful Long Passes Percentage 46

Defensive

4 Saves 4
12 Tackles 16
4 Interceptions 6
43 Duels Won 54

Build-up

15 Total Crosses 22
3 Accurate Crosses 7

Discipline

3 Offsides 0
14 Fouls 8

Lineup

Referee : Omar Mohamed Al Ali

Starting XI

1
Max Crocombe
Max Crocombe Goalkeeper
6.47
2
Tim Payne
Tim Payne Defender
6.71
4
Tyler Bindon
Tyler Bindon
Defender85'
6.58
5
Michael Boxall
Michael Boxall Defender
6.17
13
Liberato Cacace
Liberato Cacace Defender
6.71
21
Jesse Randall
Jesse Randall
Attacker76'
6.54
16
Finn Surman
Finn Surman Defender
7.36
6
Joe Bell
Joe Bell Midfielder
6.68
8
Marko Stamenić
Marko Stamenić Midfielder
7.01
10
Sarpreet Singh
Sarpreet Singh Midfielder
6.1
23
Ryan Thomas
Ryan Thomas
Midfielder76'
6.6
11
Elijah Just
Elijah Just Midfielder
6.47
3
Francis de Vries
Francis de Vries
Defender85'
6.13
20
Callum McCowatt
Callum McCowatt Midfielder
6.35
19
Ben Old
Ben Old
Attacker66'
6.38
9
Chris Wood
Chris Wood (C) Attacker
6.53
Referee : Omar Mohamed Al Ali

Starting XI

23
Oufa Shobeir
Oufa Shobeir Goalkeeper
7.91
2
Yasser Ibrahim
Yasser Ibrahim Defender
6.56
3
Mohamed Hany
Mohamed Hany Defender
7.16
13
Ahmed Fatouh
Ahmed Fatouh Defender
7.4
14
Hamdy Fathy
Hamdy Fathy Defender
6.7
5
Ramy Rabia
Ramy Rabia
Defender41'
6.6
8
Emam Ashour
Emam Ashour Midfielder
7.06
25
Zizo
Zizo
Attacker85'
6.48
10
Mohamed Salah
Mohamed Salah (C) Midfielder
8.57
4
Hossam Abdelmaguid
6.85
11
Mostafa Mohamed Zaki Abdelraouf
8.17
9
Hamza Abdelkarim
Hamza Abdelkarim
Attacker76'
6.45
17
Mohanad Lasheen
Mohanad Lasheen Midfielder
7.03
19
Marwan Ateya
Marwan Ateya Midfielder
7.33
22
Omar Marmoush
Omar Marmoush Attacker
7.17
7
Mahmoud Trezeguet
7.21

Events

2ND-HALF
90+9'
Event
Mohamed Abdelmonem  Hossam Abdelmaguid
11th Substitution
Event
Tyler Bindon Tim Payne
8th Substitution
85'
Event
Francis de Vries Elijah Just
9th Substitution
85'
85'
Event
Hossam Abdelmaguid Mohamed Salah
7th Substitution
85'
Event
Zizo Emam Ashour
10th Substitution
82'
Event
Header / 4th Goal
Event
Jesse Randall Liberato Cacace
4th Substitution
76'
Event
Ryan Thomas Sarpreet Singh
5th Substitution
76'
76'
Event
Hamza Abdelkarim Mostafa Mohamed Zaki Abdelraouf
3rd Substitution
76'
Event
Mahmoud Trezeguet Omar Marmoush
6th Substitution
67'
Event
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
Ben Old Callum McCowatt
2nd Substitution
66'
1ST-HALF
41'
Event
Ramy Rabia Hamdy Fathy
1st Substitution
Event
Callum McCowatt
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
34'
Event
Sarpreet Singh
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
20'
17'
Event
Mohanad Lasheen
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Finn Surman
Header / 1st Goal
15'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 7 minutes of added time.
90
Update Update
Mostafa Shobeir from Egypt is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Tyler Bindon of New Zealand.
90
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Zizo from Egypt has a right-footed shot from the left side of the six-yard box, but it's saved.
90
Corner Corner
New Zealand wins a corner after Ramy Rabia concedes.
90
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Hossam Abdelmaguid from Egypt.
90
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
90
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Marko Stamenic from New Zealand takes a right-footed shot from outside the box.
90
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Tyler Bindon's left-footed shot from the left side of the six-yard box is saved in the center of the goal by Mostafa Shobeir. The assist comes from Marko Stamenic.
90
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Egypt: Mohamed Abdelmonem comes on for Hossam Abdelmaguid due to an injury.
90
Update Update
The second half ends with New Zealand losing 1-3 to Egypt.
89
Update Update
Chris Wood is caught offside for New Zealand.
88
Corner Corner
New Zealand is awarded a corner after Mohanad Lasheen concedes.
85
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Egypt: Zizo comes on for Emam Ashour.
85
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Egypt: Hossam Abdelmaguid comes on for Mohamed Salah.
85
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for New Zealand: Francis de Vries comes on for Elijah Just.
85
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for New Zealand: Tyler Bindon comes on for Tim Payne.
84
Update Update
Hamza Abdelkarim commits a foul for Egypt.
84
Update Update
Michael Boxall from New Zealand is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
82
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Egypt takes the lead 3-1 with a header from Trezeguet in the center of the box after a corner.
81
Corner Corner
Egypt wins a corner after Joe Bell concedes.
81
Attempt Attempt
Attempt blocked. Mohamed Salah's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. Emam Ashour provided the assist.
80
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Ahmed Fatouh from Egypt has his right-footed shot from the left side of the box saved.
79
Update Update
Ryan Thomas from New Zealand is awarded a free kick in the attacking half.
79
Update Update
Yasser Ibrahim from Egypt is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
79
Update Update
Foul committed by Chris Wood of New Zealand.
79
Update Update
Foul committed by Trezeguet of Egypt.
78
Update Update
Emam Ashour commits a foul for Egypt.
78
Update Update
Ben Old from New Zealand is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
76
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for New Zealand: Jesse Randall comes on for Liberato Cacace.
76
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Egypt: Hamza Abdelkarim comes on for Mostafa Zico.
76
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Egypt: Trezeguet comes on for Omar Marmoush.
76
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for New Zealand: Ryan Thomas comes on for Sarpreet Singh.
75
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
72
Update Update
The match is currently delayed for a drinks break.
67
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Mohamed Salah scores for Egypt with a left-footed shot from the center of the box. The score is now New Zealand 1, Egypt 2.
66
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for New Zealand: Ben Old comes on for Callum McCowatt.
65
Update Update
Foul committed by Ramy Rabia of Egypt.
65
Update Update
Sarpreet Singh from New Zealand is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
65
Attempt Attempt
Marko Stamenic's right-footed shot from outside the box for New Zealand is blocked. Joe Bell provided the assist.
62
Update Update
Liberato Cacace from New Zealand is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
62
Update Update
Foul committed by Ramy Rabia of Egypt.
61
Update Update
Emam Ashour from Egypt is awarded a free kick on the right wing.
61
Update Update
Liberato Cacace from New Zealand commits a foul.
58
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Mostafa Zico scores for Egypt with a header from the center of the box, bringing the match to 1-1 against New Zealand.
57
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Egypt after Liberato Cacace concedes.
55
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Emam Ashour from Egypt takes a right-footed shot from the center of the box but misses to the right.
55
Attempt Attempt
Mostafa Zico's left-footed shot from the center of the box is blocked. He was assisted by Ahmed Fatouh's cross.
53
Update Update
Mostafa Shobeir from Egypt is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
53
Update Update
Michael Boxall commits a foul for New Zealand.
52
Corner Corner
New Zealand wins a corner after Mostafa Shobeir concedes.
52
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Callum McCowatt's header from close range is saved in the top center of the goal by Mostafa Shobeir. The assist came from Marko Stamenic.
50
Attempt Attempt
Omar Marmoush's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. Mohamed Salah provided the assist.
50
Attempt Attempt
Emam Ashour from Egypt attempts a left-footed shot from outside the box, but it goes close and misses to the right. Marwan Attia provided the assist.
49
Attempt Attempt
Omar Marmoush's right-footed shot from outside the box for Egypt is blocked.
49
Update Update
Mostafa Zico commits a foul for Egypt.
49
Update Update
Liberato Cacace from New Zealand wins a free kick in the defensive half.
47
Update Update
Omar Marmoush wins a free kick for Egypt in the attacking half.
47
Update Update
Callum McCowatt from New Zealand commits a foul.
47
Attempt Attempt
Omar Marmoush from Egypt misses a right-footed shot from outside the box, sending it close but to the left. He was assisted by Mohamed Salah after a set piece situation.
46
Update Update
The second half begins with the score at New Zealand 1, Egypt 0.
46
Corner Corner
Attempt saved. Mohamed Salah's right-footed shot from the center of the box is saved in the bottom right corner by Max Crocombe. The shot was assisted by Mohamed Hany's cross.
45
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed by Emam Ashour from Egypt, who took a left-footed shot from very close range.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 4 minutes of added time.
45
Update Update
Omar Marmoush from Egypt is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Finn Surman of New Zealand.
44
Update Update
Omar Marmoush from Egypt is awarded a free kick on the left wing.
44
Update Update
Joe Bell from New Zealand commits a foul.
43
Update Update
Ahmed Fatouh from Egypt is awarded a free kick on the left wing.
43
Update Update
Tim Payne from New Zealand commits a foul.
42
Update Update
Chris Wood is caught offside for New Zealand.
41
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
41
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Egypt: Ramy Rabia comes on for Hamdi Fathy due to an injury.
40
Update Update
The match is delayed due to an injury to Hamdi Fathy from Egypt.
38
Update Update
New Zealand is called offside. Chris Wood is the player caught in the offside position.
35
Corner Corner
Attempt missed. Mohamed Salah (Egypt) took a left-footed shot from outside the box after a corner.
34
Update Update
Emam Ashour from Egypt is awarded a free kick in the attacking half.
34
Update Update
Callum McCowatt from New Zealand commits a foul.
34
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Callum McCowatt from New Zealand receives a yellow card for a foul.
30
Update Update
Michael Boxall from New Zealand commits a foul.
30
Update Update
Mohamed Salah wins a free kick for Egypt in the attacking half.
27
Update Update
Chris Wood from New Zealand misses a header from the center of the box, sending it to the right. He was assisted by Liberato Cacace's cross.
27
Corner Corner
Attempt saved. Omar Marmoush from Egypt has his right-footed shot from outside the box saved in the bottom right corner by Max Crocombe of New Zealand. The shot was assisted by Emam Ashour.
26
Attempt Attempt
Joe Bell's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The attempt was assisted by Chris Wood.
25
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
22
Update Update
The match is currently paused for a drinks break.
21
Update Update
VAR decision: the previous decision has been cancelled.
21
Attempt Attempt
Mostafa Zico from Egypt misses the attempt, sending a right-footed shot from the center of the box just a bit too high.
20
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Sarpreet Singh of New Zealand receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
20
Update Update
Foul committed by Sarpreet Singh of New Zealand.
20
Update Update
Mostafa Zico from Egypt is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
20
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Egypt after a concession by Marko Stamenic.
20
Attempt Attempt
Attempt blocked. Mohamed Hany's right-footed shot from the right side of the box is blocked.
19
Attempt Attempt
Attempt saved. Callum McCowatt from New Zealand has his left-footed shot from the left side of the box saved.
19
Attempt Attempt
Elijah Just's left-footed shot from outside the box for New Zealand is blocked.
17
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Mohanad Lasheen from Egypt receives a yellow card for a bad foul.
17
Update Update
Foul committed by Mohanad Lasheen of Egypt.
17
Update Update
Sarpreet Singh from New Zealand wins a free kick in the defensive half.
15
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! New Zealand leads 1-0 against Egypt. Finn Surman scores for New Zealand with a header from the center of the box after a corner.
14
Update Update
Mostafa Zico commits a foul for Egypt.
14
Update Update
Liberato Cacace from New Zealand wins a free kick in the defensive half.
14
Corner Corner
New Zealand wins a corner after Mostafa Shobeir concedes.
14
Corner Corner
Elijah Just's left-footed shot from the left side of the box is saved in the bottom left corner by Mostafa Shobeir. The attempt was assisted by Marko Stamenic.
12
Update Update
Elijah Just from New Zealand commits a handball.
8
Update Update
Delay in the match in New Zealand.
8
Update Update
Delay is over, and they are ready to continue.
7
Attempt Attempt
Attempt missed. Sarpreet Singh (New Zealand) takes a left-footed shot from outside the box, but it goes to the right. He was assisted by Liberato Cacace.
6
Attempt Attempt
Attempt blocked. Mohamed Salah's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. Mohanad Lasheen provided the assist.
3
Update Update
Emam Ashour from Egypt is awarded a free kick in the defensive half.
3
Update Update
Foul committed by Joe Bell of New Zealand.
2
Attempt Attempt
Mohamed Salah takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
2
Attempt Attempt
Sarpreet Singh takes a left-footed shot but misses.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Omar Mohamed Al Ali.

CONCLUSION

Egypt overturned an early deficit to claim a 1-3 victory that reflected their underlying dominance. After trailing 1-0 at halftime the visitors improved markedly and converted their chance creation into three second-half goals. Possession and expected goals both favored Egypt throughout the contest and the absence of disciplinary incidents allowed the stronger side to impose its style without interruption. New Zealand's initial lead proved unsustainable once Egypt adjusted its approach after the break. The performance metrics confirmed the outcome as a logical progression from the data rather than an anomaly. This result leaves Egypt with a clear demonstration of second-half control and attacking efficiency against a side that started brightly but faded.

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