New England vs Toronto Prediction, Preview and Stats

United States flag 2026 Major League Soccer, United States
Boston Stadium Wed, 22 Jul - 11:30 PM
Major League Soccer
New England NER
Versus
Toronto TOR
KICKOFF : Wed, 22 Jul - 11:30 PM
Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the 2026 Major League Soccer regular season New England welcomes Toronto to Boston Stadium for a standard league fixture. New England sits fourth in the domestic standings and carries a power score of 59.77 while Toronto occupies eleventh place with a rating of 57.39. The home side therefore enjoys a modest 2.4-point advantage and is regarded as the stronger team overall. Form metrics further favor New England which posts a score of 22.39 against Toronto's 5.78. Both clubs operate without recent outing data yet the structural gap in league position and power suggests New England will control territory and tempo. Toronto must find ways to disrupt that rhythm and capitalize on any lapses in concentration from the hosts. The encounter offers a clear test of current momentum versus positional ambition.

TL;DR

  • Structural: New England occupies fourth place domestically while Toronto ranks eleventh.
  • Form: New England enters with a form score of 22.39 against Toronto's 5.78.
  • Squad: New England is identified as the stronger squad with a power score of 59.77.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are not available in the current dataset for either team.
  • Transition: Transition play details remain unspecified in the provided information.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis relies on proxy data with low confidence levels for both clubs.
  • xVariable: New England holds a power advantage of 2.4 points over Toronto.
  • Market: Projection split: New England 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Toronto 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
New England M. Mitrovic
M. Mitrovic
VS
Toronto R. Fraser
R. Fraser
1.79
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Charlotte Rank: 63 L
Minnesota United Rank: 65 W
Nashville SC Rank: 71 L
Philadelphia Union Rank: 61 W
Charlotte Rank: 63 W
Inter Miami Rank: 76 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
CF Montréal Rank: 57 D
Chicago Fire Rank: 65 L
Charlotte Rank: 63 L
Inter Miami Rank: 76 L
SJ Earthquakes Rank: 66 D
Atlanta United Rank: 55 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 2
2
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home New England
0%
Draw
0%
Away Toronto
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
59.77
57.39
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
New England
Toronto
Power Score
59.77
57.39
League Position
4
11
Global Rank
531
603

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
New England — Opponent-weighted form score
Toronto — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) New England Toronto

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

New England NER Home
4 matches
Toronto TOR Away
Match Record
1
Wins
2
1
Draws
1
2
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
3
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-16T00:12:36+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

Official lineups and formations are usually announced 60–90 minutes before kickoff. Check back closer to the match to see the starting XIs here.

General Information

Date & Time :
Jul 22, 2026, 11:30 PM
Competition :
2026 Major League Soccer, United States · Regular Season
Stadium :
Boston Stadium
Capacity :
66829
Pitch Surface :
Artificial turf
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

—
Matt Turner
Matt Turner Goalkeeper
73
John David Gunn
John David Gunn Goalkeeper
33
Donovan Parisian
Donovan Parisian Goalkeeper
2
Mamadou Fofana
Mamadou Fofana Defender
88
Andrew Farrell
Andrew Farrell Defender
3
Brayan Andrés Ceballos Jiménez
Brayan Andrés Ceballos Jiménez Defender
4
Tanner Beason
Tanner Beason Defender
12
Ilay Feingold
Ilay Feingold Defender
23
William Sands
William Sands Defender
22
Ethan Kohler
Ethan Kohler Defender
19
Damario McIntosh
Damario McIntosh Defender
25
Peyton Miller
Peyton Miller Defender
38
Eric Klein
Eric Klein Defender
10
Carles Gil de Pareja Vicent
Carles Gil de Pareja Vicent Midfielder
8
Matt Polster
Matt Polster Midfielder
14
Jackson Yueill
Jackson Yueill Midfielder
80
Alhassan Yusuf
Alhassan Yusuf Midfielder
21
Brooklyn Raines
Brooklyn Raines Midfielder
35
Cristiano Oliveira
Cristiano Oliveira Midfielder
18
Allan Oyirwoth
Allan Oyirwoth Midfielder
77
Diego Santiago Fagúndez Pepe
Diego Santiago Fagúndez Pepe Attacker
—
Wilson Harris
Wilson Harris Attacker
9
Leonardo Campana Romero
Leonardo Campana Romero Attacker
7
Griffin Yow
Griffin Yow Attacker
11
Dor Turgeman
Dor Turgeman Attacker
32
Malcolm Fry
Malcolm Fry Attacker
41
Luca Daniel Langoni
Luca Daniel Langoni Attacker
17
Marcos Zambrano-Delgado
Marcos Zambrano-Delgado Attacker

Squad ▼

23
William Paul Yarbrough Story
William Paul Yarbrough Story Goalkeeper
1
Luka Gavran
Luka Gavran Goalkeeper
77
Adisa De Rosario
Adisa De Rosario Goalkeeper
25
Walker Zimmerman
Walker Zimmerman Defender
22
Richie Laryea
Richie Laryea Defender
44
Raheem Edwards
Raheem Edwards Defender
13
Benjamín Kuscevic Jaramillo
Benjamín Kuscevic Jaramillo Defender
2
Henry Wingo
Henry Wingo Defender
3
Matheus Pereira de Souza
Matheus Pereira de Souza Defender
12
Zane Monlouis
Zane Monlouis Defender
19
Kobe Franklin
Kobe Franklin Defender
15
Nickseon Gomis
Nickseon Gomis Defender
38
Jackson Gilman
Jackson Gilman Defender
76
Lazar Stefanovic
Lazar Stefanovic Defender
98
Stefan Kapor
Stefan Kapor Defender
21
Jonathan Osorio
Jonathan Osorio Midfielder
10
Djordje Mihailovic
Djordje Mihailovic Midfielder
14
Alonso Coello Camarero
Alonso Coello Camarero Midfielder
71
Markus Cimermancic
Markus Cimermancic Midfielder
78
Malik Henry
Malik Henry Midfielder
20
Daniel Salloi
Daniel Salloi Attacker
11
Derrick Etienne Jr.
Derrick Etienne Jr. Attacker
9
Joshua Sargent
Joshua Sargent Attacker
7
Theo Corbeanu
Theo Corbeanu Attacker
29
Deandre Kerr
Deandre Kerr Attacker
99
Jules-Anthony Vilsaint
Jules-Anthony Vilsaint Attacker
17
Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga
Emilio Aristizábal Chavarriaga Attacker

CONCLUSION

New England enters this fixture with clear edges in league standing, overall power and recent form that should translate into territorial control at Boston Stadium. Toronto will need disciplined organization to limit space and look for counter opportunities against a side that has shown greater consistency. The absence of detailed efficiency and transition metrics leaves some uncertainty yet the positional and rating differentials point toward a measured home approach. Both teams face the task of converting structural strengths into tangible results on the day. Expect New England to dictate early patterns while Toronto searches for openings that exploit any overcommitment from the hosts.

New England vs Toronto preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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