NEC Nijmegen vs SC Heerenveen Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Eredivisie, Netherlands
Eredivisie
SC Heerenveen HEESTANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Match is finished. NEC Nijmegen 1–0 SC Heerenveen. The result saw NEC Nijmegen take the points. NEC Nijmegen showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. xG finished NEC Nijmegen 2.1 – 1.7 SC Heerenveen. Possession was 55%–45%.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: NEC Nijmegen showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
- Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
- xG alignment: The final outcome was consistent with expected goal differential.
- Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
- xG expectations: Aligned with xG expectations (Classify).
- Event impact: No major event distortion.
- Red card distortion: None.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |


Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
NEC Nijmegen
SC HeerenveenTeam Power Ranking
i
75.04
69.68
NEC Nijmegen
SC HeerenveenForm Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.


Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
NEC Nijmegen
SC Heerenveen

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
NEC Nijmegen ⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency 
Defensive Efficiency 
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)




Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen SC Heerenveen
NEC Nijmegen SC Heerenveen
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 31 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.


Match Record 
Goals 
Data last updated: 2026-03-27T12:23:45+00:00
STARTING XI
NEC Nijmegen
SC Heerenveen






















































General Information
Next Match

NEC Nijmegen
vs

Excelsior
League: Eredivisie
Kickoff: Sat, 4 Apr - 7:00 PM
Venue: Away

SC Heerenveen
vs

Heracles Almelo
League: Eredivisie
Kickoff: Sun, 5 Apr - 12:30 PM
Venue: Home
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
NEC NijmegenManager ▼

Starting XI ▼















Substitutes ▼




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SC HeerenveenManager ▼

Starting XI ▼
















Substitutes ▼





Bench ▼





Events
CONCLUSION
NEC Nijmegen vs SC Heerenveen preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
How We Build This Analysis
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Match Commentary