Nantes vs Toulouse Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Ligue 1, France
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
Sun, 17 May - 7:00 PM
Ligue 1
Nantes
NAN
Toulouse
TOU
Suspended
Sun, 17 May
7:00 PM
Round 34 ·
Regular Season
STANDINGS
Loading standings...
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Jul 10
CONTEXT
Ligue 1 action returns as Nantes prepare to host Toulouse at the Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau during the 2025/2026 regular season. The home side currently sits in 17th position domestically while the visitors hold 10th place. Power ratings give Toulouse a clear edge with a score of 74.2 against Nantes at 66.41, creating an advantage of 7.8 points for the away team. Form scores further highlight the difference, with Toulouse posting 21.61 compared to the hosts' 13.28. Both clubs enter without recent outing details available, leaving analysts to focus on season-long trends. The match promises an intriguing battle between mid-table aspirations and survival instincts.
TL;DR
-
Structural: Nantes occupy 17th place domestically while Toulouse sit in 10th.
-
Form: Toulouse post a stronger form score of 21.61 against Nantes at 13.28.
-
Squad: Squad depth details stay limited ahead of this regular season fixture.
-
Efficiency: Efficiency data remains unavailable for both participating sides.
-
Transition: Transition play metrics receive no specific reporting in available figures.
-
Set pieces: Set piece analysis carries low confidence and relies on proxy values.
-
xVariable: Power advantage reaches 7.8 points in favor of the away side.
-
Market: Nantes 31.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 31.3% (Δ+0%) | Toulouse 37.5% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25
vs Team A
Feb 1
vs Team B
Feb 8
vs Team C
V. Halilhodžić
VS
C. Martínez Novell
0.62
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.33
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lens
Rank: 82
L
Olympique Marseille
Rank: 80
W
Rennes
Rank: 79
L
Paris Saint Germain
Rank: 95
L
Brest
Rank: 72
D
Auxerre
Rank: 71
D
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Olympique Lyonnais
Rank: 83
W
Strasbourg
Rank: 79
W
Monaco
Rank: 79
D
Lens
Rank: 82
L
LOSC Lille
Rank: 81
L
Paris Saint Germain
Rank: 95
L
8
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
8 - 12 - 6
6
No sidelined player data available.
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Nantes
33.51%
Draw
27.68%
Toulouse
38.81%
Movement
Changes since opening
Nantes
+2.26%
Draw
-3.57%
Toulouse
+1.31%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
66.41
74.2
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Nantes
Toulouse
Power Score
66.41
74.2
League Position
17
10
Global Rank
288
127
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Nantes
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Toulouse
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Nantes Toulouse
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 26 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Nantes
NAN
Home
26
matches
Toulouse
TOU
Away
Match Record
8
Wins
6
12
Draws
12
6
Losses
8
Goals
31
Goals Scored
21
21
Goals Conceded
31
+10
Goal Difference
-10
Data last updated: 2026-05-17T18:45:43+00:00
STARTING XI
Nantes
Toulouse
Match Formation
4-2-3-1
Match Formation
3-4-2-1
1 A. Lopes
22 M. Acapandié
6 C. Collins Awaziem
3 N. Cozza
72 S. Doucouré
8 J. Lepenant
28 I. Sissoko
10 M. Abline
21 M. Kaba
20 R. Cabella
37 I. Kpene Ganago
1 G. Restes
2 R. Nicolaisen
35 S. Koumbassa
3 M. McKenzie
24 D. Methalie
23 C. Cásseres Yepes
18 P. Diop
19 D. Sidibé
10 Y. Gboho
11 S. Hidalgo Massa
20 E. Correia da Silva
General Information
📅
Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 07:00 PM
🏆
Competition :
2025/2026 Ligue 1, France · Round 34 · Regular Season
🏟️
Stadium :
Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
👥
Capacity :
37473
🌱
Pitch Surface :
Grass
🌤️
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
🧑⚖️
Referees :
Youssef El Hamzaoui
Steven Torregrossa
Aurélien Petit
Stéphanie Frappart
Statistics
Possession
NAN
51%
TOU
49%
Top Statistics
0
Big Chances Created
1
1
Shots
1
9
Dangerous attacks
7
57
Possession
43
2
Corners
2
5
Free kicks
3
Match Overview
4
Dribble Attempts
1
1
Successful Dribbles
1
25
Successful Dribbles Percentage
100
3
Successful Headers
4
6
Throwins
4
0
Goal Kicks
1
0
Injuries
1
1
Goal Attempts
1
17
Ball Safe
15
Attacking
19
Attacks
23
0
Big Chances Missed
1
Possession
84
Successful Passes Percentage
74
38
Successful Long Passes Percentage
58
13
Long Passes
12
146
Passes
108
122
Successful Passes
80
5
Successful Long Passes
7
2
Key Passes
2
Defensive
3
Tackles
5
11
Duels Won
11
7
Interceptions
2
1
Saves
1
Build-up
3
Total Crosses
3
2
Accurate Crosses
0
Discipline
3
Fouls
5
Lineup
Nantes
Referee :
Stéphanie Frappart
Manager ▼
V. Halilhodžić
Coach
Starting XI ▼
1
Anthony Lopes
Goalkeeper
6.93 3
Nicolas Cozza
Defender
6.61 6
Chidozie Awaziem
Defender
6.86 22
Mathieu Acapandié
Defender
6.43 72
Sékou Doucoure
Defender
6.77 8
Johann Lepenant
Midfielder
6.88 10
Matthis Abline
Midfielder
6.84 20
Rémy Cabella
Midfielder
6.97 21
Mohamed Kaba
Midfielder
6.98 28
Ibrahima Sissoko
Midfielder
6.59 37
Ignatius Ganago
Attacker
6.9 Bench ▼
30
Patrik Carlgren
Goalkeeper
7.89 2
Ali Youssef
Defender
6.75 46
Enzo Mongo
Defender
6.83 65
Hugo Lamy
Defender
17
Dehmaine Tabibou
Midfielder
6.67 66
Louis Leroux
Midfielder
6.6 11
Herba Guirassy
Attacker
6.67 19
Youssef El Arabi
Attacker
6.66 31
Mostafa Mohamed
Attacker
6.73
Toulouse
Referee :
Stéphanie Frappart
Manager ▼
C. Martínez Novell
Coach
Starting XI ▼
1
Guillaume Restes
Goalkeeper
6.77 2
Rasmus Nicolaisen
Defender
6.72 3
Mark McKenzie
Defender
6.74 35
Seny Koumbassa
Defender
6.47 18
Pape Demba Diop
Midfielder
7.1 19
Djibril Sidibé
Midfielder
6.71 23
Cristian Cásseres Jr.
Midfielder
7.09 24
Dayann Methalie
Midfielder
6.5 10
Yann Gboho
Attacker
7.04 11
Santiago Hidalgo
Attacker
6.78 20
Emersonn
Attacker
6.77 Bench ▼
16
Kjetil Haug
Goalkeeper
6.27 40
S. Mchindra
Goalkeeper
12
Warren Kamanzi
Defender
6.59 44
Gaëtan Bakhouche
Defender
17
Abu Francis
Midfielder
6.66 45
Alexis Vossah
Midfielder
6.45 77
Mario Sauer
Midfielder
6.52 7
Julián Vignolo
Attacker
6.7 13
Jacen Russell-Rowe
Attacker
6.57 CONCLUSION
Toulouse arrive as the stronger unit on paper with superior power ratings and league standing. Nantes must leverage home support at their familiar venue to offset these deficits. Limited recent form records leave room for unexpected shifts once play begins. Both teams show minimal set piece emphasis according to current proxies. Overall balance tilts toward the visitors yet home advantage could narrow the gap substantially. Expect a competitive encounter shaped by positional discipline and opportunistic moments rather than dominant displays.
Nantes vs Toulouse preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
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