Moreirense vs AVS Prediction, Preview and Stats

Portugal flag 2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas Tomorrow - 2:30 PM
Liga Portugal
Moreirense MFC
Versus
AVS AFS
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 2:30 PM
Round 34 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Moreirense faces AVS at the Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas in a Liga Portugal regular season encounter during the 2025/2026 campaign. Positioned 8th in the standings, Moreirense enjoys a clear structural advantage with a power score of 67 compared to AVS's 60, translating to a 7-point edge that underscores their overall quality. The home side's mid-table solidity contrasts sharply with AVS's 18th-place struggle, highlighting a mismatch in league standing. Yet, form tells a different story: AVS boasts a superior recent score of 28.28 against Moreirense's 14.44, suggesting momentum on the visitors' side. Lacking detailed efficiency or set-piece metrics due to unavailable xG data, the preview relies on broader indicators. Moreirense's home familiarity and power tilt could prove decisive, but AVS's form might spark an upset in this uneven contest.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Moreirense possesses a 67 power score versus AVS's 60, granting a 7-point advantage.
  • Form: AVS holds a stronger form score of 28.28 compared to Moreirense's 14.44.
  • Squad: Moreirense ranks 8th in the league while AVS sits 18th.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data is available for this matchup.
  • Transition: No transition metrics provided in the available data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data unavailable due to lack of xG information for both teams.
  • xVariable: No xG variable metrics available as xG data is absent.
  • Market: Moreirense 51.8% (Δ+0%) | Draw 25.1% (Δ+0%) | AVS 23.1% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Moreirense V. de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa
V. de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa
VS
AVS J. Oliveira Nunes Henriques
J. Oliveira Nunes Henriques
1.09
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.77
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Tondela Rank: 61 L
Estrela Amadora Rank: 59 W
Benfica Rank: 87 L
Estoril Rank: 68 W
Famalicão Rank: 74 D
Sporting Braga Rank: 81 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Porto Rank: 87 W
Nacional Rank: 65 W
Sporting CP Rank: 88 D
Rio Ave Rank: 64 D
Vitória Guimarães Rank: 71 D
Gil Vicente Rank: 69 L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 1 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Moreirense
51.82%
Draw
25.11%
Away AVS
23.07%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
67
60
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Moreirense
AVS
Power Score
67
60
League Position
8
18
Global Rank
278
497

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Moreirense — Opponent-weighted form score
AVS — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Moreirense AVS

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Moreirense MFC Home
3 matches
AVS AFS Away
Match Record
2
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
2
Goals
6
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
6
+5
Goal Difference
-5

Data last updated: 2026-05-13T00:07:53+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
C. Gobbo Secco
22 C. Gobbo Secco
F. de Souza Silva
70 F. de Souza Silva
?. Martínez Navarro
17 ?. Martínez Navarro
K. Monteiro de Souza
4 K. Monteiro de Souza
F. Teixeira Domingues
27 F. Teixeira Domingues
M. Stjepanovic
8 M. Stjepanovic
A. Cunha Almeida
25 A. Cunha Almeida
D. Martins Travassos
2 D. Martins Travassos
N. John
23 N. John
F. Ribeiro Tomé Tavares Bondoso
10 F. Ribeiro Tomé Tavares Bondoso
A. de Souza Guimarães
11 A. de Souza Guimarães
Pitch
A. Vasconcelos Ramos
1 A. Vasconcelos Ramos
L. Rivas
12 L. Rivas
P. Leal Sousa Lima
3 P. Leal Sousa Lima
C. Castro
42 C. Castro
M. Cardoso Francisco
97 M. Cardoso Francisco
R. Medeiros de Moura
70 R. Medeiros de Moura
G. Mendonça
23 G. Mendonça
G. Neiva Silva
21 G. Neiva Silva
P. Lima Barros
8 P. Lima Barros
B. Akinsola
11 B. Akinsola
D. Duarte Garcete
20 D. Duarte Garcete

General Information

Date & Time :
May 16, 2026, 02:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Liga Portugal, Portugal · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Capacity :
2000
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

22
Caio Gobbo Secco
Caio Gobbo Secco Goalkeeper
6.77
11
Alan de Souza Guimarães
Alan de Souza Guimarães Centre Forward
7
2
Travassos
Travassos Right Wing
6.88
4
Kevyn Monteiro
Kevyn Monteiro Left Back
6.83
10
Francisco Miguel Ribeiro Tomé Tavares Bondoso
Francisco Miguel Ribeiro Tomé Tavares Bondoso Left Wing
6.66
17
Álvaro Martínez Navarro
Álvaro Martínez Navarro Right Back
6.49
23
Nile John
Nile John Attacking Midfield
6.54
25
Afonso Assis Cunha Almeida
Afonso Assis Cunha Almeida Defensive Midfield
6.6
8
Mateja Stjepanović
Mateja Stjepanović Defensive Midfield
6.64
27
Francisco Miguel Teixeira Domingues
Francisco Miguel Teixeira Domingues Left Back
6.66
70
Fabiano Josué de Souza Silva
Fabiano Josué de Souza Silva Right Back
6.39

Starting XI ▼

1
Adriel
Adriel Goalkeeper
7.03
20
Diego Ariel Duarte Gárcete
Diego Ariel Duarte Gárcete Centre Forward
6.68
8
Pedro Lima Barros
Pedro Lima Barros Attacking Midfield
6.78
11
Babatunde Jimoh Akinsola
Babatunde Jimoh Akinsola Right Wing
6.62
12
Leonardo Rivas
Leonardo Rivas Left Back
6.64
21
Guilherme Neiva Silva
Guilherme Neiva Silva Left Wing
6.64
23
Gustavo Pinto Mendonça
Gustavo Pinto Mendonça Defensive Midfield
6.71
3
Paulo Vitor
Paulo Vitor Left Back
6.56
42
Cristian David Castro Devenish
Cristian David Castro Devenish Right Back
6.57
70
Roni
Roni Defensive Midfield
6.9
97
Mateus Pivô
Mateus Pivô Right Back
6.57

CONCLUSION

Moreirense enters as the stronger outfit, bolstered by home advantage, superior power rating, and higher league position against a faltering AVS. While the visitors' recent form provides a glimmer of hope, their bottom-table status and lower power score suggest vulnerability. Without granular efficiency or set-piece insights, the focus remains on Moreirense's structural edge to secure vital points in the regular season grind. Expect the hosts to leverage their quality for a controlled performance, potentially overcoming AVS's momentum in a match tilted toward the Parque Desportivo faithful.

Moreirense vs AVS preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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