Monza vs Juve Stabia Prediction, Preview and Stats

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie B, Italy
U-Power Stadium Tue, 19 May - 6:00 PM
Serie B
Monza MON
Versus
Juve Stabia JUV
KICKOFF : Tue, 19 May - 6:00 PM
Semi Finals Leg 2 of 2

CONTEXT

Monza hosts Juve Stabia in the second leg of the Serie B Promotion Play-offs Semi-finals at U-Power Stadium, with both clubs vying for a promotion spot in the 2025/2026 season. Ranked 3rd domestically, Monza holds a power score of 60.04, surpassing the 7th-placed visitors' 57.12 by a 2.9-point margin, marking them as the stronger side overall. Form metrics further favor the hosts at 24.83 against 18.39, highlighting recent momentum. This playoff clash demands tactical precision, especially without detailed recent outings or advanced stats like efficiency and set pieces, where data confidence remains low due to unavailable xG. Monza's home venue could prove decisive in Leg 2, as they seek to capitalize on superior league standing and power metrics in a high-stakes encounter.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Monza occupies 3rd in the league, ahead of 7th-placed Juve Stabia.
  • Form: Monza's form score of 24.83 exceeds Juve Stabia's 18.39.
  • Squad: Monza possesses a higher squad power score of 60.04 versus 57.12.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams.
  • Transition: Transition statistics are not provided in available metrics.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance shows low confidence with no xG data accessible.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables unavailable due to proxy usage and low confidence.
  • Market: Projection split: Monza 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Juve Stabia 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Monza P. Bianco
P. Bianco
VS
Juve Stabia I. Abate
I. Abate
1.89
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.31
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Juve Stabia Rank: 57 D
Empoli Rank: 55 D
Mantova Rank: 54 L
Modena Rank: 57 W
Sampdoria Rank: 53 W
Bari 1908 Rank: 51 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Monza Rank: 66 D
Modena Rank: 57 W
Südtirol Rank: 51 D
Frosinone Rank: 67 L
Pescara Rank: 48 D
Catanzaro Rank: 60 D
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Monza
0%
Draw
0%
Away Juve Stabia
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
60.04
57.12
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Monza
Juve Stabia
Power Score
60.04
57.12
League Position
3
7
Global Rank
305
581

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Monza Opponent-weighted form score
Juve Stabia Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Monza Juve Stabia

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Monza MON Home
2 matches
Juve Stabia JUV Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
1
Goals
4
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
4
+1
Goal Difference
-1

Data last updated: 2026-05-15T01:11:12+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

Official lineups and formations are usually announced 60–90 minutes before kickoff. Check back closer to the match to see the starting XIs here.

General Information

Date & Time :
May 19, 2026, 06:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Semi Finals · Leg 2 of 2
Stadium :
U-Power Stadium
Capacity :
18568
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

20
Demba Thiam
Demba Thiam Goalkeeper
1
Semuel Pizzignacco
Semuel Pizzignacco Goalkeeper
43
Aljaž Strajnar
Aljaž Strajnar Goalkeeper
19
Samuele Birindelli
Samuele Birindelli Defender
13
Luca Ravanelli
Luca Ravanelli Defender
15
Filippo Delli Carri
Filippo Delli Carri Defender
2
Arvid Brorsson
Arvid Brorsson Defender
6
Valentin Ivaylov Antov
Valentin Ivaylov Antov Defender
44
Andrea Carboni
Andrea Carboni Defender
3
Lorenzo Lucchesi
Lorenzo Lucchesi Defender
24
Adam Bakoune
Adam Bakoune Defender
27
Samuele Capolupo
Samuele Capolupo Defender
14
Pedro Mba Obiang Avomo
Pedro Mba Obiang Avomo Midfielder
26
Patrick Ciurria
Patrick Ciurria Midfielder
7
Paulo Daniel Dentello Azzi
Paulo Daniel Dentello Azzi Midfielder
8
Hernani Azevedo Júnior
Hernani Azevedo Júnior Midfielder
32
Matteo Pessina
Matteo Pessina Midfielder
28
Andrea Colpani
Andrea Colpani Midfielder
30
Giuseppe Caso
Giuseppe Caso Midfielder
23
Nicolas Galazzi
Nicolas Galazzi Midfielder
21
Leonardo Colombo
Leonardo Colombo Midfielder
9
Mirko Marić
Mirko Marić Attacker
17
Keita Baldé Diao
Keita Baldé Diao Attacker
37
Andrea Petagna
Andrea Petagna Attacker
47
Dany Mota Carvalho
Dany Mota Carvalho Attacker
10
Patrick Cutrone
Patrick Cutrone Attacker
11
Omari Forson
Omari Forson Attacker
25
Agustín Álvarez Martínez
Agustín Álvarez Martínez Attacker

Squad

1
Alessandro Confente
Alessandro Confente Goalkeeper
23
Pietro Boer
Pietro Boer Goalkeeper
16
Alessandro Signorini
Alessandro Signorini Goalkeeper
24
Lorenzo Carissoni
Lorenzo Carissoni Defender
13
Marco Varnier
Marco Varnier Defender
6
Marco Bellich
Marco Bellich Defender
14
Christian Dalle Mura
Christian Dalle Mura Defender
46
Salim Diakite
Salim Diakite Defender
2
Manuel Ricciardi
Manuel Ricciardi Defender
33
Andrea Giorgini
Andrea Giorgini Defender
76
Mattia Mannini
Mattia Mannini Defender
21
Sheriff Kassama
Sheriff Kassama Defender
37
Fabio Maistro
Fabio Maistro Midfielder
98
Nicola Mosti
Nicola Mosti Midfielder
55
Giuseppe Leone
Giuseppe Leone Midfielder
28
Emanuele Torrasi
Emanuele Torrasi Midfielder
5
Thomas Battistella
Thomas Battistella Midfielder
10
Christian Pierobon
Christian Pierobon Midfielder
29
Omar Correia
Omar Correia Midfielder
8
Kevin Zeroli
Kevin Zeroli Midfielder
17
Aaron Ciammaglichella
Aaron Ciammaglichella Midfielder
27
Leonardo Candellone
Leonardo Candellone Attacker
9
Alessandro Gabrielloni
Alessandro Gabrielloni Attacker
18
Gregorio Morachioli
Gregorio Morachioli Attacker
7
Rares Catalin Burnete
Rares Catalin Burnete Attacker
90
Alvin Obinna Okoro
Alvin Obinna Okoro Attacker
77
Alessio Cacciamani
Alessio Cacciamani Attacker
70
Matheus Luz Priveato Dos Santos
Matheus Luz Priveato Dos Santos Attacker

CONCLUSION

Monza enters Leg 2 with clear edges in power, form, and positioning, positioning them favorably against Juve Stabia. The U-Power Stadium atmosphere should amplify the hosts' 2.9-point advantage, potentially dictating tempo and chances. Visitors face an uphill battle, relying on resilience amid sparse advanced data. Playoff pressure tests depth, where Monza's metrics suggest control in key phases. Expect a focused home push to secure progression, though Stabia's grit could force extra drama. Superior standings underscore Monza's promotion pedigree in this semifinal showdown.

Monza vs Juve Stabia preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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