Monza vs Bari 1908 Preview, Predictions, Analysis & Tips

2025/2026 Serie B, Italy

U-Power Stadium Sat, 11 Apr - 5:30 PM

Serie B

Monza MON

Bari 1908 BAR

Full Time Sat, 11 Apr 5:30 PM

Round 34 Regular Season

Matteo Pessina - 79'

Pedro Obiang - 50'

CONTEXT

The match between Monza and Bari 1908 is finished, ending in a 2-0 victory for the home side. After an even first half with no goals, Monza pulled clear in the second period to secure the win, dominating possession with 65 percent of the ball against Bari 1908’s 35 percent. Pre-match expectations strongly favored Monza as the stronger team, and the result showed only minimal deviation in their favor. The efficiency shift stayed in line with those projections, producing an outcome that aligned fully with the anticipated result. No red cards were shown, and the lack of major disciplinary events allowed the contest to flow toward the expected home success without disruption. Overall, Monza’s control and clinical finishing confirmed their status, delivering a straightforward result that matched pre-match assessments of the relative quality between the sides.

TL;DR

Structural deviation: Monza showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
Event impact: No major event distortion.
Red card distortion: None.

No standings statistics available.

No head-to-head records found.

0.5+ goals: 85%

1.5+ goals: 70%

2.5+ goals: 50%

3.5+ goals: 25%

Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15

Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%

Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

Team	xPts
Home	1.8
Away	1.2

Match referee

F. La Penna

25 matches in sample

Avg. cards

0.12

Fouls / match 0.52

Yellow cards / match 0.12

Red cards / match 0

Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

A. Zezza

2nd Assistant

M. Passeri

1st Assistant

F. Ramondino

4th Official

P. Bianco

M. Longo

2.12

Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)

1.08

Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)

Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)

1 - 1 - 0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)

Monza

97.86%

Draw

1.92%

Bari 1908

0.22%

Team Power Ranking

32.67

20.79

0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)

Metric

Monza

Bari 1908

Power Score

32.67

20.79

League Position

Global Rank

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

Monza — Opponent-weighted form score

Bari 1908 — Opponent-weighted form score

Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Monza Bari 1908

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

Monza

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Bari 1908

Left / Center / Right —

Opposition half density —

vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Monza ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Bari 1908

Attacking Efficiency

Higher is better

Attacking Efficiency

32.08

23.00

Defensive Efficiency

Lower is better

Defensive Efficiency

23.00

32.08

Combined Efficiency Index

-3 0 3

Monza +0.86 Efficiency Index

Bari 1908 -0.86 Efficiency Index

xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.

Monza

Bari 1908

AttackEff = xG ÷ pos

DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Monza ⚠ Proxy

⚠ Proxy Bari 1908

Created Set-piece attacking threat

Monza Bari 1908

Set-piece xG Share

—

Goals per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xG)

— vs —

Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure

Monza Bari 1908

Set-piece xGA Share

—

Conceded per Match

0.00 0.00

vs Expected (xGA)

— vs —

xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.

Monza

Bari 1908

xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG

vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Monza

Bari 1908

Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence

Monza Bari 1908

Goals per Match ↑ better

—

Shots per Match ↑ better

—

Dangerous Attacks ↑ better

—

Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure

Monza Bari 1908

Goals Conceded ↓ better

—

Shots Conceded ↓ better

—

Dangerous Attacks Conceded ↓ better

—

Monza

Bari 1908

Window = 15s post-possession change

Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

MON had peak pressure around 21'.
MON started the game with stronger pressure.

MON Pressure BAR Pressure

⚡

Pressure Index: MON reached the top pressure at 21' (93.69).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Monza MON Home

2 matches

Bari 1908 BAR Away

Match Record

Wins

Draws

Losses

Goals

Goals Scored

Goals Conceded

Goal Difference

-1

Data last updated: 2026-04-12T03:04:08+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1

20 D. Thiam

13 L. Ravanelli

15 F. Delli Carri

3 L. Lucchesi

19 S. Birindelli

14 P. Mba Obiang Avomo

32 M. Pessina

7 P. Dentello Azzi

28 A. Colpani

47 D. Carvalho

37 A. Petagna

1 M. Pissardo

13 V. Mantovani

26 C. Odenthal

51 A. Cistana

28 K. Piscopo

80 F. Artioli

18 G. Maggiore

30 B. Manè

17 E. Rao

19 T. Pontes Esteves

11 G. Moncini

General Information

Date & Time :

Apr 11, 2026, 05:30 PM

Competition :

2025/2026 Serie B, Italy · Round 34 · Regular Season

Stadium :

U-Power Stadium

Capacity :

18568

Pitch Surface :

Grass

Weather :

☀️ 12°C, Fair

Referees :

Federico La Penna

Andrea Zezza

Matteo Passeri

Fabrizio Ramondino

Statistics

Possession

MON

63%

BAR

37%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0

5 Big Chances Created 0

4 Shots 4

57 Dangerous attacks 21

65 Possession 35

7 Corners 1

9 Free kicks 8

1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

6 Goal Kicks 7

79 Ball Safe 67

11 Goal Attempts 3

17 Throwins 14

12 Dribble Attempts 11

33 Successful Dribbles Percentage 0

4 Successful Dribbles 0

2 Assists 0

5 Substitutions 5

1 Injuries 0

1 Hit Woodwork 0

Attacking

99 Attacks 79

4 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

14 Key Passes 5

23 Successful Long Passes 19

479 Successful Passes 240

87 Successful Passes Percentage 80

552 Passes 301

51 Long Passes 44

45 Successful Long Passes Percentage 43

Defensive

16 Tackles 17

0 Saves 5

1 Interceptions 5

Build-up

18 Total Crosses 10

6 Accurate Crosses 1

Discipline

6 Fouls 8

2 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Federico La Penna

Manager ▼

P. Bianco Coach

Starting XI ▼

Demba Thiam Goalkeeper

Lorenzo Lucchesi Defender

Andrea Carboni

Defender89'

Luca Ravanelli Defender

Filippo Delli Carri Defender

Paulo Daniel Dentello Azzi Midfielder

Pedro Obiang Midfielder

Leonardo Colombo

Midfielder66'

Samuele Birindelli Midfielder

Adam Bakoune

Defender67'

Matteo Pessina Midfielder

Andrea Colpani Attacker

Andrea Petagna Attacker

Agustín Álvarez

Attacker83'

Dany Mota Attacker

Giuseppe Caso

Midfielder67'

Substitutes ▼

Leonardo Colombo

Midfielder66'

Adam Bakoune

Defender67'

Giuseppe Caso

Midfielder67'

Agustín Álvarez

Attacker83'

Andrea Carboni

Defender89'

Bench ▼

Semuel Pizzignacco Goalkeeper

A. Strajnar Goalkeeper

Arvid Brorsson Defender

Samuele Capolupo Defender

Hernani Midfielder

Patrick Ciurria Attacker

Mathis Mout Attacker

Referee : Federico La Penna