Mondorf-les-Bains vs Dinamo Tbilisi Prediction, Preview and Stats

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Stade Achille Hammerel Today - 5:15 PM
Europa Conference League
Mondorf-les-Bains Mondorf-les-Bains
1 Winner 2
Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi
Full Time Today 5:15 PM
1st Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Hatim Far - 71'
Goal
|
Goal
Mate Vatsadze - 19'
Algassime Bah - 2'

CONTEXT

In a tightly contested first leg encounter, Mondorf-les-Bains welcomed Dinamo Tbilisi to their home ground. The match unfolded with Dinamo Tbilisi establishing early dominance by netting two goals before the interval, resulting in a halftime score of 0-2. Mondorf-les-Bains responded in the latter stages, securing a consolation goal to make the final score 1-2. Although designated as the stronger side, the home team was unable to overcome the deficit created in the opening period. Ball possession statistics reflected a balanced game, with the hosts controlling 48 percent compared to the visitors' 52 percent. The absence of any dismissals ensured both teams played with full squads throughout the ninety minutes. This narrow away victory positions Dinamo Tbilisi favorably for the return fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: A minimal 4.4 percent deviation showed Dinamo Tbilisi performed close to pre-match expectations.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the overall pre-match assessment.
  • xG alignment: No expected goals data was available to determine alignment.
  • Market alignment: The final result proved aligned with market expectations.
  • xG expectations: Expected goals expectations could not be assessed due to absent data.
  • Event impact: Dinamo Tbilisi led 2-0 at halftime before holding on for a 2-1 win.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were issued to distort the match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

H. Vidoy

Faroe Islands 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 4 0.36
Fouls / match 30.4
Yellow cards / match 4
Red cards / match 0.36
Penalties / match 0.36

Other match officials

J. Djurhuus

1st Assistant

Faroe Islands

J. Breckman

2nd Assistant

Faroe Islands

?. Hansen

4th Official

Faroe Islands

League averages

Europa Conference League Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 13.04
Yellow cards / match 2.62
Red cards / match 0.09
Penalties / match 0.15
Mondorf-les-Bains D. Zitelli
D. Zitelli
VS
Dinamo Tbilisi T. Ketsbaia
T. Ketsbaia
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Mondorf-les-Bains
0.64%
Draw
3.72%
Away Dinamo Tbilisi
95.64%

Movement

Changes since opening
Mondorf-les-Bains
0%
Draw
-0.46%
Dinamo Tbilisi
+0.46%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Mondorf-les-Bains
Dinamo Tbilisi
Power Score
50
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Mondorf-les-Bains — Opponent-weighted form score
Dinamo Tbilisi — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Mondorf-les-Bains Dinamo Tbilisi

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Mondorf-les-Bains

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Dinamo Tbilisi

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Mondorf-les-Bains ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Dinamo Tbilisi
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Mondorf-les-Bains Dinamo Tbilisi
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Mondorf-les-Bains Dinamo Tbilisi
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Mondorf-les-Bains
Dinamo Tbilisi
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Mondorf-les-Bains
vs
Dinamo Tbilisi
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Mondorf-les-Bains Dinamo Tbilisi
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Mondorf-les-Bains 0.00
Dinamo Tbilisi 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Mondorf-les-Bains Dinamo Tbilisi
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Mondorf-les-Bains 0.00
Dinamo Tbilisi 0.00
Mondorf-les-Bains
Dinamo Tbilisi
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Dinamo Tbilisi had peak pressure around 22'.
  • Mondorf-les-Bains started the game with stronger pressure.
Mondorf-les-Bains Pressure Dinamo Tbilisi Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Dinamo Tbilisi reached the top pressure at 22' (59.32).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 0 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Mondorf-les-Bains Mondorf-les-Bains Home
0 matches
Dinamo Tbilisi Dinamo Tbilisi Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-06T00:04:54+00:00

TEAM FORMATION

No team formation data available.

General Information

Date & Time :
Jul 09, 2026, 05:15 PM
Competition :
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium :
Stade Achille Hammerel
Capacity :
5814
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Heini Ziskason Vidoy
Jørleif Djurhuus
Jógvan Breckman
Áki Hansen

Statistics

Possession
Mondorf-les-Bains
53%
Dinamo Tbilisi
47%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2
5 Shots 6
70 Dangerous attacks 70
48 Possession 52
4 Corners 6
12 Free kicks 12
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

80 Ball Safe 59
2 Goal Attempts 2
5 Substitutions 5
23 Throwins 18
0 Assists 2

Attacking

122 Attacks 94

Discipline

1 Offsides 2
12 Fouls 10

Squad

Referee : Heini Ziskason Vidoy

Squad ▼

—
Mehdi Kirch
Mehdi Kirch Defender
20
Gérard Mersch
Gérard Mersch Defender
—
Jacques Antoine Pelletier
Jacques Antoine Pelletier Defender
19
Yann Godart
Yann Godart Defender
27
Dwayn Holter
Dwayn Holter Midfielder
23
Loïc Baal
Loïc Baal Midfielder
14
Sofiane Daham
Sofiane Daham Midfielder
—
Gianni Filipe Medina da Mata
Gianni Filipe Medina da Mata Midfielder
33
Lilian Clausse
Lilian Clausse Midfielder
72
Loris Tinelli
Loris Tinelli Attacker
99
Marco Ludivin Majouga
Marco Ludivin Majouga Attacker
18
Lenny Stoltz
Lenny Stoltz Attacker
—
Hatim Far
Hatim Far Attacker
Referee : Heini Ziskason Vidoy

Squad ▼

1
Giorgi Loria
Giorgi Loria Goalkeeper
37
Mikheil Makatsaria
Mikheil Makatsaria Goalkeeper
38
Dachi Chochoshvili
Dachi Chochoshvili Goalkeeper
17
Paris Psaltis
Paris Psaltis Defender
31
Levan Kharabadze
Levan Kharabadze Defender
27
Numan Kurdić
Numan Kurdić Defender
3
Aleksandre Kalandadze
Aleksandre Kalandadze Defender
4
Nikoloz Ugrekhelidze
Nikoloz Ugrekhelidze Defender
6
Leonardo dos Santos Lopes da Silva
Leonardo dos Santos Lopes da Silva Defender
2
Giorgi Gvasalia
Giorgi Gvasalia Defender
25
Josh Onomah
Josh Onomah Midfielder
23
Jaba Kankava
Jaba Kankava Midfielder
10
Giorgi Kharaishvili
Giorgi Kharaishvili Midfielder
22
Nika Ninua
Nika Ninua Midfielder
24
Barnes Osei
Barnes Osei Midfielder
13
Rodrigo Silva Ramos
Rodrigo Silva Ramos Midfielder
29
Rezi Danelia
Rezi Danelia Midfielder
32
Luca Tsikolia
Luca Tsikolia Midfielder
11
Mate Vatsadze
Mate Vatsadze Attacker
14
Maxime Do Couto Teixeira
Maxime Do Couto Teixeira Attacker
12
Algassime Bah
Algassime Bah Attacker
20
Rui Barbosa Monteiro
Rui Barbosa Monteiro Attacker
21
Daniel Kvartskhava
Daniel Kvartskhava Attacker
7
Halid Doltmourziev
Halid Doltmourziev Attacker
18
Tornike Kvaratskhelia
Tornike Kvaratskhelia Attacker

Events

2ND-HALF
89'
Event
Reziko Danelia → Maxime Do Couto
9th Substitution
Event
J. Kumbi → Loris Tinelli
8th Substitution
81'
Event
Mehdi Kirch → Almir Klica
6th Substitution
72'
Event
S. Rocha → Lenny Stoltz
7th Substitution
72'
Event
Hatim Far
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
71'
66'
Event
Tornike Kvaratskhelia → Paris Psaltis
5th Substitution
Event
Clément Couturier → G. Monteiro
3rd Substitution
61'
61'
Event
Daniel Kvartskhava → Mate Vatsadze
4th Substitution
Event
Cédric Steinmetz
2nd Substitution
46'
46'
Event
Koba Kakashvili → Luca Tsikolia
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Paris Psaltis
1st Yellowcard
24'
Event
Jacques Antoine Pelletier
2nd Yellowcard
24'
19'
Event
Mate Vatsadze
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
2'
Event
Algassime Bah
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Jean-Paul Kumbi.
89
Substitution Substitution
Rezi Danelia is substituted on for Maxime Do Couto Teixeira.
81
Update Update
Jean-Paul Kumbi comes on for Loris Tinelli.
76
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
72
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Stefan Lopes Rocha comes on for Lenny Stoltz.
72
Update Update
Mehdi Kirch replaces Almir Klica.
71
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-2.
66
Substitution Substitution
Tornike Kvaratskhelia is substituted off for Paris Psaltis.
61
Update Update
Daniel Kvartskhava is on, and Mate Vatsadze is off.
60
Update Update
Clément Couturier comes on for Gianni Medina.
58
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
54
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
49
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Update Update
Cedric Steinmetz replaces Jacques Antoine Pelletier.
46
Update Update
Koba Kakashvili is on, and Luca Tsikolia is off.
29
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
24
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card.
22
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
22
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown.
19
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
19
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-2.
12
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
2
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
2
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Heini Vidoy.
1
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Mondorf-les-Bains 1-2 Dinamo Tbilisi. Structural assessment: Dinamo Tbilisi exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

Mondorf-les-Bains vs Dinamo Tbilisi preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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