Monaco vs Olympique Marseille Prediction, Preview and Stats

France flag 2025/2026 Ligue 1, France
Stade Louis II. Sun, 5 Apr - 6:45 PM
Ligue 1
Monaco ASM
2 Winner 1
Olympique Marseille OM
Full Time Sun, 5 Apr 6:45 PM
Round 28 Regular Season
Folarin Balogun - 74'
Aleksandr Golovin - 59'
Goal
|
Goal
Amine Gouiri - 85'

CONTEXT

The match between Monaco and Olympique Marseille has finished, with Monaco securing a 2-1 victory at full-time. After a scoreless opening half left the teams perfectly even at the break, the hosts managed to break the deadlock and clinch the win in the second period. This outcome aligned cleanly with the pre-match market, which favored Monaco with a 46% implied win probability against Marseille's 28.6% and a 25.3% chance of a draw. Despite this anticipated result, the underlying performance showed a significant deviation of 54% leaning toward the victorious Monaco side. On the pitch, Olympique Marseille actually edged the ball control with 52% possession compared to Monaco's 48%. Expected goals (xG) metrics were not available for this fixture, making an xG alignment assessment impossible, though the overall efficiency shift was entirely in line with expectations. Furthermore, the match flowed smoothly based on 11-v-11 play, as there were no red cards issued to either team to impact the final result.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Monaco showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

C. Turpin

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

N. Danos

1st Assistant

B. Pages

2nd Assistant

S. Ben El Hadj

4th Official

Monaco S. Pocognoli
S. Pocognoli
VS
Olympique Marseille H. Beye
H. Beye
1.62
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.7
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Olympique Lyonnais Rank: 81 W
Brest Rank: 76 W
Paris Saint Germain Rank: 94 W
Angers SCO Rank: 67 W
Lens Rank: 81 W
Nantes Rank: 64 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
LOSC Lille Rank: 77 L
Auxerre Rank: 67 W
Toulouse Rank: 74 W
Olympique Lyonnais Rank: 80 W
Brest Rank: 73 L
Strasbourg Rank: 80 D
13
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
13 - 8 - 15
15

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Monaco
46.04%
Draw
25.34%
Away Olympique Marseille
28.62%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
81.49
80.77
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Monaco
Olympique Marseille
Power Score
81.49
80.77
League Position
5
4
Global Rank
50
56

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Monaco — Opponent-weighted form score
Olympique Marseille — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Monaco Olympique Marseille

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Monaco

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Olympique Marseille

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Monaco ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Olympique Marseille
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
18.54
40.58
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
40.58
18.54
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Monaco -2.16 Efficiency Index
vs
Olympique Marseille +2.16 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Monaco
Olympique Marseille
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Monaco ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Olympique Marseille
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Monaco Olympique Marseille
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Monaco Olympique Marseille
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Monaco
Olympique Marseille
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Monaco
vs
Olympique Marseille
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Monaco Olympique Marseille
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Monaco 0.18
Olympique Marseille 0.45
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Monaco Olympique Marseille
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Monaco 0.02
Olympique Marseille 0.05
Monaco
Olympique Marseille
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 36 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Monaco ASM Home
36 matches
Olympique Marseille OM Away
Match Record
13
Wins
15
8
Draws
8
15
Losses
13
Goals
61
Goals Scored
52
52
Goals Conceded
61
+9
Goal Difference
-9

Data last updated: 2026-04-06T00:06:21+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 3-4-1-2
Pitch
L. Hradecký
Finland
1 L. Hradecký
T. Kehrer
Germany
5 T. Kehrer
D. Zakaria Lako Lado
Switzerland
6 D. Zakaria Lako Lado
W. Faes
Belgium
25 W. Faes
J. Teze
Netherlands
4 J. Teze
M. Coulibaly
Substitution
France
28 M. Coulibaly
L. Camara
Senegal
15 L. Camara
C. Mawissa Elebi
Substitution
France
13 C. Mawissa Elebi
M. Akliouche
Substitution
France
11 M. Akliouche
A. Golovin
Substitution
Russia
10 A. Golovin
F. Balogun
Substitution
England
9 F. Balogun
Pitch
G. Rulli
Argentina
1 G. Rulli
F. Medina
Argentina
32 F. Medina
C. Egan Riley
Substitution
England
4 C. Egan Riley
B. Pavard
France
28 B. Pavard
I. Barbosa da Paixão
Brazil
14 I. Barbosa da Paixão
P. Højbjerg
Substitution
Denmark
23 P. Højbjerg
Q. Timber
Netherlands
27 Q. Timber
T. Weah
Substitution
United States
22 T. Weah
H. Traorè
Substitution
Ivory Coast
20 H. Traorè
A. Gouiri
Algeria
9 A. Gouiri
P. Aubameyang
Gabon
17 P. Aubameyang

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 05, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Ligue 1, France · Round 28 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stade Louis II.
Capacity :
18523
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Clément Turpin
Nicolas Danos
Benjamin Pages
Salem Zyed Ben El Hadj

Statistics

Possession
ASM
48%
OM
52%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
4 Big Chances Created 5
3 Shots 5
38 Dangerous attacks 42
48 Possession 52
0 Corners 8
9 Free kicks 14
2 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

1 Injuries 0
1 Assists 1
5 Substitutions 4
14 Throwins 13
81 Ball Safe 80
60 Successful Dribbles Percentage 57
15 Dribble Attempts 23
9 Successful Dribbles 13
6 Successful Headers 5
10 Goal Kicks 8
7 Goal Attempts 11

Attacking

97 Attacks 100
3 Big Chances Missed 4

Possession

44 Long Passes 42
83 Successful Passes Percentage 84
344 Successful Passes 371
412 Passes 443
6 Key Passes 14
20 Successful Long Passes 25
45 Successful Long Passes Percentage 60

Defensive

46 Duels Won 43
22 Tackles 12
7 Saves 1
7 Interceptions 6

Build-up

7 Total Crosses 21
2 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

14 Fouls 9
2 Offsides 4

Lineup

Referee : Clément Turpin

Starting XI ▼

1
Lukas Hradecky
Lukas Hradecky Goalkeeper
5
Thilo Kehrer
Thilo Kehrer Defender
6
Denis Zakaria
Denis Zakaria Defender
25
Wout Faes
Wout Faes Defender
4
J. Teze
J. Teze Midfielder
13
Christian Mawissa
Christian Mawissa Midfielder
27
Krépin Diatta
Krépin Diatta
Midfielder65'
15
Lamine Camara
Lamine Camara Midfielder
28
Mamadou Coulibaly
Mamadou Coulibaly Midfielder
23
Aladji Bamba
Aladji Bamba
Midfielder65'
9
Folarin Balogun
Folarin Balogun Attacker
14
Mika Biereth
Mika Biereth
Attacker84'
10
Aleksandr Golovin
Aleksandr Golovin Attacker
31
Ansu Fati
Ansu Fati
Attacker75'
11
Maghnes Akliouche
Maghnes Akliouche Attacker
24
Simon Adingra
Simon Adingra
Attacker84'
Referee : Clément Turpin

Starting XI ▼

1
Gerónimo Rulli
Gerónimo Rulli Goalkeeper
4
CJ Egan-Riley
CJ Egan-Riley Defender
5
Leonardo Balerdi
Leonardo Balerdi
Defender77'
28
Benjamin Pavard
Benjamin Pavard Defender
32
Facundo Medina
Facundo Medina Defender
14
Igor Paixão
Igor Paixão Midfielder
22
Timothy Weah
Timothy Weah Midfielder
33
Emerson
Emerson
Defender89'
23
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg Midfielder
8
Himad Abdelli
Himad Abdelli
Midfielder89'
27
Quinten Timber
Quinten Timber Midfielder
9
Amine Gouiri
Amine Gouiri Attacker
17
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang Attacker
20
Hamed Junior Traoré
Hamed Junior Traoré Attacker
11
Ethan Nwaneri
Ethan Nwaneri
Midfielder73'

Events

2ND-HALF
89'
Event
Himad Abdelli → Pierre-Emile Højbjerg
8th Substitution
89'
Event
Emerson → Timothy Weah
9th Substitution
87'
Event
Leonardo Balerdi
4th Yellowcard
85'
Event
Amine Gouiri
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
Event
Mika Biereth → Folarin Balogun
7th Substitution
84'
Event
Simon Adingra → Maghnes Akliouche
6th Substitution
84'
77'
Event
Leonardo Balerdi → CJ Egan-Riley
5th Substitution
Event
Ansu Fati → Aleksandr Golovin
4th Substitution
75'
Event
Folarin Balogun
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
74'
73'
Event
Ethan Nwaneri → Hamed Junior Traoré
3rd Substitution
Event
Thilo Kehrer
3rd Yellowcard
71'
Event
Aladji Bamba → Mamadou Coulibaly
1st Substitution
65'
Event
Krépin Diatta → Christian Mawissa
2nd Substitution
65'
Event
Aleksandr Golovin
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
59'
1ST-HALF
34'
Event
Facundo Medina
2nd Yellowcard
Event
Lamine Camara
1st Yellowcard
8'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
The second half ends with Monaco winning 2-1 against Marseille.
90
Update Update
Foul committed by Wout Faes against Monaco.
90
Update Update
Wout Faes commits a handball for Monaco.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 6 minutes of added time.
90
Update Update
New attacking attempt. Facundo Medina of Marseille heads the ball from the center of the box, but Lukás Hrádecky of Monaco saves it in the top center of the goal. The assist was provided by Amine Gouiri.
90
Attempt Attempt
Simon Adingra from Monaco had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from the right side of the box, just missing the target. Ansu Fati provided the assist.
90
Update Update
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang of Marseille won a free kick in the attacking position.
90
Corner Corner
Marseille wins a corner after Lukás Hrádecky concedes.
90
Attempt Attempt
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang's shot from close range is blocked. The assist came from Facundo Medina's cross.
89
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Marseille: Emerson replaces Timothy Weah.
89
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Marseille: Himad Abdelli replaces Pierre-Emile Højbjerg.
87
Update Update
Foul committed by Leonardo Balerdi of Marseille.
87
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Leonardo Balerdi of Marseille receives a yellow card for a foul.
87
Update Update
Krépin Diatta of Monaco won a free kick on the left wing.
86
Update Update
Offside called against Marseille. Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is offside.
85
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Amine Gouiri scores for Marseille with a right-footed shot from a few meters into the left corner. The match score is now Monaco 2, Marseille 1, with an assist from Facundo Medina.
84
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Monaco: Simon Adingra replaces Maghnes Akliouche.
84
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Monaco: Mika Biereth replaces Folarin Balogun.
83
Update Update
Denis Zakaria from Monaco misses a chance, shooting with his right foot from the right side of the box, but the ball goes high. Jordan Teze provided the assist after a fast break.
83
Update Update
Foul committed by Aladji Bamba of Monaco.
83
Update Update
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg from Marseille won a free kick in the attacking zone.
77
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Folarin Balogun from Monaco.
77
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Marseille: Leonardo Balerdi replaces CJ Egan-Riley due to injury.
76
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to CJ Egan-Riley of Marseille.
75
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Monaco: Ansu Fati replaces Aleksandr Golovin.
74
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Folarin Balogun scores for Monaco with a right-footed shot from the right side of the box into the top left corner. The score is now Monaco 2, Marseille 0.
73
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Marseille: Ethan Nwaneri replaces Hamed Traoré.
72
Update Update
Quinten Timber from Marseille misses a chance, shooting with his right foot from outside the box, sending the ball high. The assist came from Timothy Weah.
72
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Quinten Timber from Marseille has a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved in the top center of the goal by Lukás Hrádecky from Monaco. The assist came from Amine Gouiri.
71
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Thilo Kehrer of Monaco receives a yellow card for a foul.
70
Update Update
Igor Paixão from Marseille won a free kick on the left wing.
70
Update Update
Foul committed by Thilo Kehrer - Monaco.
70
Update Update
Folarin Balogun from Monaco commits a foul.
70
Update Update
CJ Egan-Riley from Marseille won a free kick in defense.
69
Update Update
Hamed Traoré fouled a Marseille player.
69
Update Update
Aladji Bamba from Monaco won a free kick on the left wing.
68
Update Update
Amine Gouiri from Marseille committed a foul.
68
Update Update
Aladji Bamba from Monaco won a free kick in defense.
67
Corner Corner
Missed chance. Pierre-Emile Højbjerg of Marseille heads the ball from the center of the box, and it goes very close to the goal. The assist comes from Amine Gouiri, who delivered a cross after a corner.
66
Corner Corner
Marseille is awarded a corner after Thilo Kehrer concedes it.
66
Attempt Attempt
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang's shot for Marseille from the left side of the box is blocked.
66
Corner Corner
Marseille wins a corner, conceded by Lukás Hrádecky.
66
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Pierre-Emile Højbjerg of Marseille takes a right-footed shot from the center of the box, but Lukás Hrádecky of Monaco saves it in the top right corner. The assist was made by Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang.
65
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Monaco: Aladji Bamba replaces Mamadou Coulibaly.
65
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Monaco: Krépin Diatta replaces Christian Mawissa.
63
Update Update
Foul committed by Benjamin Pavard - Marseille.
63
Update Update
Aleksandr Golovin from Monaco won a free kick on the left wing.
62
Corner Corner
Igor Paixão from Marseille attempts an attack with a right-footed shot from the left side of the box, but Lukás Hrádecky from Monaco saves it in the top right corner. The assist was provided by Quinten Timber.
59
Update Update
Foul committed by CJ Egan-Riley against Marseille.
59
Update Update
Folarin Balogun from Monaco won a free kick on the left wing.
59
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Monaco leads 1-0 against Marseille. Aleksandr Golovin scores for Monaco with a left-footed shot from the center of the box into the top right corner, assisted by Jordan Teze's cross.
57
Attempt Attempt
Quinten Timber's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
56
Update Update
Monaco is called offside. Thilo Kehrer is the player in an offside position.
55
Update Update
Amine Gouiri of Marseille won a free kick on the left wing.
55
Update Update
Lamine Camara from Monaco won a free kick in an attacking position.
55
Update Update
Thilo Kehrer commits a foul on Monaco.
55
Update Update
Foul committed by Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang of Marseille.
53
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Lamine Camara from Monaco.
49
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Igor Paixão of Marseille takes a right-footed shot from outside the box, but Lukás Hrádecky of Monaco saves it in the top right corner. The assist came from Hamed Traoré.
48
Corner Corner
Marseille wins a corner after Wout Faes concedes.
48
Attempt Attempt
Amine Gouiri's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. Igor Paixão provided the assist.
46
Update Update
Folarin Balogun from Monaco commits a foul.
46
Update Update
Benjamin Pavard of Marseille won a free kick in defense.
45
Update Update
The second half begins with the match score at 0-0 between Monaco and Marseille.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with Monaco and Marseille tied at 0-0.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be no added time.
43
Update Update
Offside called against Marseille. Igor Paixão is offside.
41
Update Update
Foul by Aleksandr Golovin of Monaco.
41
Update Update
Quinten Timber of Marseille won a free kick in defense.
40
Update Update
Amine Gouiri from Marseille won a free kick on the left wing.
40
Update Update
Foul committed by Mamadou Coulibaly of Monaco.
36
Corner Corner
Marseille is awarded a corner after Lamine Camara concedes.
36
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Igor Paixão of Marseille has a left-footed shot from the center of the box, but it's saved by goalkeeper Lukás Hrádecky of Monaco. The assist came from Pierre-Emile Højbjerg.
36
Corner Corner
Marseille wins a corner after Lukás Hrádecky concedes.
35
Update Update
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg of Marseille won a free kick in defense.
35
Update Update
Folarin Balogun from Monaco commits a foul.
34
Update Update
Fouled by Facundo Medina of Marseille.
34
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Facundo Medina of Marseille receives a yellow card for a foul.
34
Update Update
Mamadou Coulibaly from Monaco won a free kick on the right wing.
33
Attempt Attempt
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang from Marseille had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from the right side of the box, but it went close and missed. The assist came from Hamed Traoré.
32
Update Update
Foul committed by Wout Faes against Monaco.
32
Update Update
Hamed Traoré from Marseille won a free kick in an attacking position.
32
Attempt Attempt
Timothy Weah from Marseille had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from outside the box, but the ball went high and wide to the right. Amine Gouiri provided the assist.
30
Attempt Attempt
Mamadou Coulibaly's left-footed shot from the right side of the box is blocked. The assist came from Jordan Teze.
28
Attempt Attempt
Benjamin Pavard's shot from the center of the box is blocked. The assist came from Amine Gouiri's cross.
27
Corner Corner
Marseille wins a corner after Lamine Camara concedes.
21
Update Update
Igor Paixão of Marseille won a free kick on the left wing.
21
Update Update
Foul committed by Jordan Teze of Monaco.
20
Update Update
Benjamin Pavard from Marseille won a free kick in an attacking position.
20
Update Update
Foul committed by Aleksandr Golovin of Monaco.
14
Update Update
Monaco is called offside. Folarin Balogun is in an offside position.
13
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Maghnes Akliouche from Monaco takes a right-footed shot from a difficult position on the right, but it's saved in the top left corner by Gerónimo Rulli from Marseille. The assist comes from Thilo Kehrer with a through ball.
13
Update Update
Igor Paixão is flagged for offside for Marseille.
11
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Hamed Traoré from Marseille takes a left-footed shot from inside the six-yard box, but Lukás Hrádecky from Monaco saves it in the left corner. The assist was provided by Timothy Weah.
11
Corner Corner
Marseille is awarded a corner after Lukás Hrádecky concedes.
10
Attempt Attempt
Missed opportunity for Monaco. Maghnes Akliouche's left-footed shot from the center of the box goes high and wide to the left, assisted by Folarin Balogun.
9
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Igor Paixão from Marseille takes a right-footed shot from outside the box after a free kick, but it goes high.
8
Update Update
Lamine Camara fouled by Monaco.
8
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Lamine Camara from Monaco receives a yellow card for a foul.
8
Update Update
Amine Gouiri of Marseille won a free kick in the attacking area.
5
Update Update
Foul committed by Pierre-Emile Højbjerg against Marseille.
5
Update Update
Maghnes Akliouche from Monaco won a free kick in an attacking position.
4
Attempt Attempt
Shot blocked. Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang from Marseille had a right-footed shot from the center of the box that was blocked.
4
Update Update
Fouled by Pierre-Emile Højbjerg of Marseille.
4
Update Update
Mamadou Coulibaly from Monaco won a free kick in defense.
3
Update Update
Offside called against Marseille. Igor Paixão is offside.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Monaco exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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