Mirandés vs Cultural Leonesa Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain
Estadio Municipal de Anduva Sun, 26 Apr - 2:15 PM
La Liga 2
Mirandés MIR
2 Winner 1
Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa
Full Time Sun, 26 Apr 2:15 PM
Round 37 Regular Season
Rafa Tresaco - 90' (Own Goal)
Carlos Fernández - 29'
Goal
|
Goal
Luis Chacón - 53'
|
Second yellow card Matia Barzic 54'

CONTEXT

Mirandés claimed a hard-fought 2-1 win against Cultural Leonesa in this Segunda B encounter, solidifying their status as the stronger side. The hosts opened the scoring to lead 1-0 at halftime, dominating possession with 52% throughout the match. Cultural Leonesa mounted pressure in the second half but were reduced to ten men after a red card, which shifted momentum decisively. Mirandés capitalized efficiently, adding a second goal while conceding once. The final score reflected a significant structural deviation of 51.2% in Mirandés' favor, with the outcome aligning pre-match assessments despite the away side's resilience. No xG data was available to further dissect chance quality. This victory underscores Mirandés' control and adaptability under pressure.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Mirandés posted a significant 51.2% structural deviation as 2-1 winners.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency for both teams remained in line with assessments.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable, preventing alignment assessment.
  • Market alignment: 2-1 result aligned with pre-match market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations undetermined due to lack of data.
  • Event impact: Cultural Leonesa's red card altered second-half flow.
  • Red card distortion: Away red card introduced second-half distortion favoring Mirandés.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

D. Palencia Caballero

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

J. Méndez Mateo

1st Assistant

M. Ortuño Sierra

2nd Assistant

P. Arenas Mora

4th Official

Mirandés A. Muneta Beldarrain
A. Muneta Beldarrain
VS
Cultural Leonesa R. De La Barrera Fernández
R. De La Barrera Fernández
0.96
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.84
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Deportivo La Coruña Rank: L
Castellón Rank: D
Real Zaragoza Rank: W
Albacete Rank: D
Córdoba Rank: D
Real Valladolid Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Córdoba Rank: L
Granada Rank: L
Real Valladolid Rank: W
Huesca Rank: D
FC Andorra Rank: L
Castellón Rank: D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Mirandés
48.83%
Draw
26.38%
Away Cultural Leonesa
24.78%

Movement

Changes since opening
Mirandés
-47.24%
Draw
+22.65%
Cultural Leonesa
+24.59%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
21.98
16.59
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Mirandés
Cultural Leonesa
Power Score
21.98
16.59
League Position
20
22
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Mirandés — Opponent-weighted form score
Cultural Leonesa — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Mirandés Cultural Leonesa

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Mirandés

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Cultural Leonesa

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Mirandés ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Cultural Leonesa
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
41.35
25.31
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
25.31
41.35
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Mirandés +1.63 Efficiency Index
vs
Cultural Leonesa -1.63 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Mirandés
Cultural Leonesa
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Mirandés ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Cultural Leonesa
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Mirandés Cultural Leonesa
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Mirandés Cultural Leonesa
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Mirandés
Cultural Leonesa
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Mirandés
vs
Cultural Leonesa
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Mirandés Cultural Leonesa
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Mirandés 0.38
Cultural Leonesa 0.23
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Mirandés Cultural Leonesa
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Mirandés 0.02
Cultural Leonesa 0.04
Mirandés
Cultural Leonesa
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • MIR had peak pressure around 93'.
  • MIR started the game with stronger pressure.
MIR Pressure Cultural Leonesa Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: MIR reached the top pressure at 93' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Mirandés MIR Home
1 matches
Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
2
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
2
-1
Goal Difference
+1

Data last updated: 2026-04-27T00:05:23+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
J. Palomares Pulpillo
Spain
13 J. Palomares Pulpillo
H. Novoa Ramos
Substitution
Spain
2 H. Novoa Ramos
J. Gutiérrez Martínez
Spain
22 J. Gutiérrez Martínez
J. Cabello Trujillo
Spain
15 J. Cabello Trujillo
F. Medrano Gastañaga
Spain
3 F. Medrano Gastañaga
T. Helguera Merello Volante
Substitution
Uruguay
6 T. Helguera Merello Volante
R. Bauzà Sureda
Substitution
Spain
18 R. Bauzà Sureda
F. Hernandez Coarasa
Spain
28 F. Hernandez Coarasa
C. Fernández Luna
Spain
10 C. Fernández Luna
S. El Jebari El Hannouni
Substitution
Morocco
30 S. El Jebari El Hannouni
U. del Cura Urra
Spain
48 U. del Cura Urra
Pitch
E. Badía Guardiola
Spain
13 E. Badía Guardiola
H. Ahmed
Qatar
12 H. Ahmed
M. Barzic Gutiérrez
Spain
36 M. Barzic Gutiérrez
R. Suárez Marcos
Spain
4 R. Suárez Marcos
V. García Hernández
Venezuela
24 V. García Hernández
S. Maestre García
Substitution
Spain
6 S. Maestre García
J. Fernández Abruñedo
Substitution
Spain
14 J. Fernández Abruñedo
V. Moreno Alcalá
Substitution
Spain
11 V. Moreno Alcalá
L. Rodríguez Chacón
Spain
10 L. Rodríguez Chacón
I. Calero Ruiz
Substitution
Spain
17 I. Calero Ruiz
M. Justo Román
Substitution
Spain
9 M. Justo Román

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 26, 2026, 02:15 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga 2, Spain · Round 37 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadio Municipal de Anduva
Capacity :
5759
Attendance :
3462
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Daniel Palencia Caballero
Joan Méndez Mateo
Miguel Ortuño Sierra
Pol Arenas Mora

Statistics

Possession
MIR
52%
Cultural Leonesa
48%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
4 Big Chances Created 1
19 Shots 10
50 Dangerous attacks 43
52 Possession 48
6 Corners 2
19 Free kicks 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

0 Injuries 1
0 Hit Woodwork 1
52 Successful Dribbles Percentage 67
21 Dribble Attempts 9
7 Goal Kicks 12
11 Successful Dribbles 6
9 Throwins 16
69 Ball Safe 61
14 Goal Attempts 8
1 Assists 1
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

82 Attacks 70
4 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

12 Key Passes 10
16 Successful Long Passes 17
342 Passes 339
48 Long Passes 57
33 Successful Long Passes Percentage 30
276 Successful Passes 268
81 Successful Passes Percentage 79

Defensive

6 Tackles 17
8 Interceptions 6
4 Saves 6
57 Duels Won 43

Build-up

26 Total Crosses 9
8 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

6 Fouls 19
4 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Daniel Palencia Caballero

Starting XI ▼

13
Juanpa Palomares
Juanpa Palomares Goalkeeper
6.74
2
Hugo Novoa
Hugo Novoa Defender
6.54
27
Toni Tamarit
Toni Tamarit
Attacker87'
6.69
3
Fernando Medrano
Fernando Medrano Defender
6.79
15
Jorge Cabello
Jorge Cabello Defender
6.76
22
Juan Gutiérrez
Juan Gutiérrez Defender
6.73
6
Thiago Helguera
Thiago Helguera Midfielder
6.64
29
Ali Houary
Ali Houary
Attacker66'
6.82
10
Carlos Fernández
Carlos Fernández Midfielder
6.96
18
Rafel Bauzà
Rafel Bauzà Midfielder
6.86
20
Diego Sia
Diego Sia
Attacker87'
6.47
28
Javi Hernández
Javi Hernández Midfielder
7.22
30
Salim El Jebari
Salim El Jebari Midfielder
6.69
17
Pablo Pérez
Pablo Pérez
Defender46'
6.66
48
Unax del Cura
Unax del Cura Attacker
6.97
Referee : Daniel Palencia Caballero

Starting XI ▼

13
Edgar Badia
Edgar Badia Goalkeeper
6.82
4
Rodri Suárez
Rodri Suárez Defender
6.84
12
Homam Al-Amin
Homam Al-Amin Defender
6.58
24
Víctor García
Víctor García Defender
6.56
36
Matia Barzic
Matia Barzic Defender
6.74
6
Sergi Maestre
Sergi Maestre Midfielder
6.55
22
Nemanja Radoja
Nemanja Radoja
Midfielder83'
6.73
10
Luis Chacón
Luis Chacón Midfielder
7.12
11
Víctor Moreno
Víctor Moreno Midfielder
6.54
7
Diego Collado
Diego Collado
Attacker59'
6.6
14
Bicho
Bicho Midfielder
6.87
23
Selu Diallo
Selu Diallo
Midfielder82'
6.51
17
Iván Calero
Iván Calero Midfielder
6.71
20
Rafa Tresaco
Rafa Tresaco
Attacker53'
6.58
9
Manu Justo
Manu Justo Attacker
6.73
5
Quique Fornos
Quique Fornos
Defender59'
6.36

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Rafa Tresaco
Own Goal / 1st Own Goal
90'
Event
Diego Sia → Rafel Bauzà
8th Substitution
87'
Event
Toni Tamarit → Hugo Novoa
9th Substitution
87'
83'
Event
Nemanja Radoja → Sergi Maestre
7th Substitution
82'
Event
Selu Diallo → Bicho
6th Substitution
Event
Ali Houary → Thiago Helguera
5th Substitution
66'
59'
Event
Quique Fornos → Manu Justo
4th Substitution
59'
Event
Diego Collado → Víctor Moreno
3rd Substitution
54'
Event
Matia Barzic
Foul / 1st Yellow/red Card
53'
Event
Luis Chacón
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
53'
Event
Rafa Tresaco → Iván Calero
2nd Substitution
49'
Event
4th Yellowcard
49'
Event
Matia Barzic
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Pablo Pérez → Salim El Jebari
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
39'
Event
Sergi Maestre
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Carlos Fernández
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
34'
Event
Carlos Fernández
Header / 1st Goal
29'

CONCLUSION

Mirandés' 2-1 triumph over Cultural Leonesa highlighted their edge as the stronger team, overcoming a gritty away performance disrupted by a red card. Leading 1-0 at halftime, they managed 52% possession and converted opportunities amid the numerical advantage. The significant deviation underscores their outperformance, with efficiency holding steady. Without xG, deeper insights into chance creation are limited, but the market-aligned result reinforces pre-match views. This win boosts Mirandés' momentum in the league.

Mirandés vs Cultural Leonesa preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

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