Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Polissya Zhytomyr Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Tsentralnyi Stadion Sun, 3 May - 12:30 PM
Premier League Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 
0 
1
1
Polissya Zhytomyr Polissya Zhytomyr Full Time Sun, 3 May 12:30 PM
Round 26 · Regular Season
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Maksym Bragaru - 20'
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
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Promotion Promotion Playoffs Relegation
Data last checked: May 15
CONTEXT
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv faced Polissya Zhytomyr at home in the Ukrainian Premier League, ending in a narrow 0-1 defeat despite holding 60% possession. Polissya, pre-identified as the stronger team, scored the decisive goal in the first half to lead 1-0 at halftime and maintained defensive solidity thereafter. Metalist dominated territory but lacked cutting edge in attack, failing to register a goal. The match displayed a significant 62.6% structural deviation favoring Polissya, with efficiency metrics remaining in line with expectations for both sides. Market assessments aligned with the outcome, as Polissya's pre-match edge at 37.4% translated into victory. No red cards or major events disrupted proceedings, allowing the game to follow its structural path without distortions. This result underscores Polissya's pragmatic approach prevailing over Metalist's possession-based play.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: The match showed a significant 62.6% structural deviation favoring Polissya Zhytomyr.
- Efficiency shift: Efficiency for both teams stayed in line with expectations.
- xG alignment: xG alignment assessment unavailable due to missing data.
- Market alignment: Outcome aligned with pre-match market evaluations.
- xG expectations: xG expectations unevaluable without available data.
- Event impact: No significant events altered match dynamics.
- Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, causing zero distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Match referee
A. Kovalenko
• 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 
0.12
0.12 Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0
Other match officials
V. Vysotsky
1st Assistant
O. Kogut
4th Official
M. Bartulović
VS
R. Rotan
1.93
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
LNZ Cherkasy Rank: 58 D
Kudrivka Rank: 41 W
Veres Rank: 47 W
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: 66 W
Kolos Kovalivka Rank: 55 D
SK Poltava Rank: 34 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Obolon'-Brovar Rank: 41 W
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: 74 L
SK Poltava Rank: 33 W
Veres Rank: 48 D
Kudrivka Rank: 41 W
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Rank: 56 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 2 - 1
1
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min) Metalist 1925 Kharkiv31.02%
Draw
31.54%
Polissya Zhytomyr37.44%
Movement
Changes since opening Metalist 1925 Kharkiv+30.38%
Draw
+27.82%
Polissya Zhytomyr-58.2%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
48.77 62.37 0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Polissya ZhytomyrPower Score
48.77
62.37
League Position
5
3
Global Rank
730
415
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv — Opponent-weighted form score
Polissya Zhytomyr — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Polissya Zhytomyr
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
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Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Polissya Zhytomyr
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv ⚠ Proxyvs
⚠ Proxy Polissya Zhytomyr
Attacking Efficiency Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
10.42
27.88
Defensive Efficiency Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
27.88
10.42
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv -1.79 Efficiency Index
vs
Polissya Zhytomyr +1.79 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Polissya Zhytomyr
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv ⚠ Proxyvs
⚠ Proxy Polissya Zhytomyr
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Polissya Zhytomyr Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Polissya Zhytomyr Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Polissya Zhytomyr
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Metalist 1925 Kharkivvs
Polissya Zhytomyr
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Polissya Zhytomyr Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 0.05
Polissya Zhytomyr 0.21
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Polissya Zhytomyr Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 0.02
Polissya Zhytomyr 0.00
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Polissya Zhytomyr
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- Metalist 1925 Kharkiv had peak pressure around 41'.
- Polissya Zhytomyr started the game with stronger pressure.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Pressure Polissya Zhytomyr Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Metalist 1925 Kharkiv reached the top pressure at 41' (63.62).
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Home
3 matches
Polissya Zhytomyr Polissya Zhytomyr Away
Match Record 0
Wins
1
2
Draws
2
1
Losses
0
Goals 4
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
4
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Data last updated: 2026-05-04T00:03:13+00:00
STARTING XI
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Polissya Zhytomyr Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
30 D. Varakuta
27 I. Krupskyi
18 Y. Pavliuk
31 A. Shabanov
V. Salyuk
#1378'
24 O. Martynyuk
5 I. Kaliuzhnyi
A. Moura Vieira Filho
#766'
15 D. Antyukh
S. Castillo Pérez
#866'
45 V. Kalitvintsev
B. Zabergja
#2678'
16 J. Árevalo Chaparro
C. Mba
#9978'
19 E. Rashica
98 P. Itodo
23 E. Volynets
15 B. Mykhaylichenko
5 E. Sarapiy
44 S. Chobotenko
K. Koberniuk
#3588'
31 G. Maisuradze
8 R. Babenko
O. Nazarenko
#761'
45 M. Bragaru
O. Fedor
#2761'
14 L. Emërllahu
V. Shepelev
#1979'
18 O. Andrievsky
11 O. Hutsuliak
M. Gayduchyk
#8961'
95 I. Krasnopir
General Information
📅 Date & Time :
May 03, 2026, 12:30 PM
🏆 Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 26 · Regular Season
🏟️ Stadium :
Tsentralnyi Stadion
👥 Capacity :
5928
🌱 Pitch Surface :
Grass
🌤️ Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
🧑⚖️ Referees :
Andriy Kovalenko
Volodymyr Vysotsky
Oleg Kogut
Next Match
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
vs
Zorya Luhansk
League: Premier League
Kickoff: Sat, 9 May - 3:00 PM
Venue: Stadion Dynamo im. Valery Lobanovsky (Kyjiv (Kiev))
Polissya Zhytomyr
vs
Oleksandria
League: Premier League
Kickoff: Fri, 8 May - 3:00 PM
Venue: Tsentralnyi Stadion
Statistics
Possession
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
57%
Polissya Zhytomyr
43%
Top Statistics
0 Goals 1
3 Shots 6
65 Dangerous attacks 43
60 Possession 40
7 Corners 4
14 Free kicks 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
Match Overview
0 Assists 1
5 Substitutions 5
Attacking
121 Attacks 88
Defensive
2 Saves 0
Lineup
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Referee : Andriy Kovalenko
Manager ▼
M. Bartulović Coach
Starting XI ▼
30 Danylo Varakuta Goalkeeper
6.4518 Yevgen Pavlyuk Defender
6.6324 Oleksandr Martynyuk Defender
6.4413Volodymyr Salyuk
6.61Defender78'
27 Ilya Krupskyi Defender
6.5831 Artem Shabanov Defender
6.55 Ivan Kalyuzhnyi Midfielder
6.6715 Denys Antyukh Midfielder
6.77Ari Moura
6.75Midfielder66'
16 Nicolás Arévalo Midfielder
6.7326Baton Zabergja
6.59Midfielder78'
19 Ermir Rashica Midfielder
6.4799Christian Mba
6.55Attacker78'
45 Vladyslav Kalitvintsev Midfielder
6.628Sebastian Castillo
6.65Attacker66'
98 Peter Mandela Itodo Attacker
6.76Substitutes ▼
8Sebastian Castillo
6.65Attacker66'
7Ari Moura
6.75Midfielder66'
13Volodymyr Salyuk
6.61Defender78'
99Christian Mba
6.55Attacker78'
26Baton Zabergja
6.59Midfielder78'
Bench ▼
23 Yaroslav Protsenko Goalkeeper
2
Dmytro Kapinus Defender
6.537
Valeriy Dubko Defender
6.1411
Vyacheslav Churko Midfielder
6.5814
Ramik Gadzhyev Midfielder
6.6517
Igor Kogut Midfielder
6.5577 Cauan Matteo Baptistella Midfielder
6.87 Polissya Zhytomyr Referee : Andriy Kovalenko
Manager ▼
R. Rotan Coach
Starting XI ▼
23 Yevgen Volynets Goalkeeper
6.555 Eduard Sarapiy Defender
6.7515 Bogdan Mykhaylichenko Defender
6.5731 Giorgi Maisuradze Defender
6.7235Kiril Kobernyuk
6.23Defender88'
44 Sergiy Chobotenko Defender
6.558 Ruslan Babenko Midfielder
6.5911 Oleksiy Gutsulyak Midfielder
7.0514 Lindon Emërllahu Midfielder
6.6327Oleg Fedor
6.42Midfielder61'
18 Oleksandr Andriyevskyi Midfielder
6.6919Volodymyr Shepelev
Midfielder79'
6.47
45 Maksym Bragaru Midfielder
7Oleksandr Nazarenko
6.59Midfielder61'
95 Igor Krasnopir Attacker
6.5789Mykola Gayduchyk
6.76Attacker61'
Substitutes ▼
7Oleksandr Nazarenko
6.59Midfielder61'
27Oleg Fedor
6.42Midfielder61'
89Mykola Gayduchyk
6.76Attacker61'
19Volodymyr Shepelev
Midfielder79'
6.47
35Kiril Kobernyuk
6.23Defender88'
Bench ▼
1
Oleg Kudryk Goalkeeper
621
Georgiy Bushchan Goalkeeper
4
Mykyta Kravchenko Defender
6.3560 Maksym Melnychenko Defender
6.3129 Borel Tomandzoto Midfielder
6.4930
Bogdan Lednev Midfielder
6.59
Oleksandr Filippov Attacker
6.5Events
2ND-HALF
89'
Volodymyr Shepelev
1st Yellowcard
88'
Kiril Kobernyuk → Giorgi Maisuradze
10th Substitution
79'
Volodymyr Shepelev → Oleksandr Andriyevskyi
9th Substitution
Volodymyr Salyuk → Oleksandr Martynyuk
7th Substitution
78'
Christian Mba → Ermir Rashica
6th Substitution
78'
Baton Zabergja → Nicolás Arévalo
8th Substitution
78'
Sebastian Castillo → Vladyslav Kalitvintsev
4th Substitution
66'
Ari Moura → Denys Antyukh
5th Substitution
66'
61'
Oleksandr Nazarenko → Maksym Bragaru
3rd Substitution
61'
Oleg Fedor → Lindon Emërllahu
2nd Substitution
61'
Mykola Gayduchyk → Igor Krasnopir
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
20'
Maksym Bragaru
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
CONCLUSION
Polissya Zhytomyr's 1-0 victory over Metalist 1925 Kharkiv validates their pre-designated stronger status, achieved through first-half efficiency despite 40% possession. Metalist's 60% control yielded no goals, exposing conversion issues. The significant 62.6% structural deviation amplified Polissya's edge, while market alignment confirmed the result's consistency. With efficiency in line and no red cards or events distorting play, the match reflected expected patterns. Metalist must refine finishing, whereas Polissya's resilience bolsters their campaign. This outcome highlights tactical discipline trumping possession in compact fixtures.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Polissya Zhytomyr preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
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Match Commentary