Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Kudrivka Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
KSK Nika Sat, 18 Apr - 12:30 PM
Premier League
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1 Winner 0
Kudrivka Kudrivka
Full Time Sat, 18 Apr 12:30 PM
Round 24 Regular Season
Christian Mba - 90+1'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv claimed a narrow 1-0 win against Kudrivka, maintaining control throughout with 65% possession but facing a stubborn defense that kept the first half goalless. The breakthrough came in the second period, securing victory for the home side without any disruptions from red cards. As the pre-designated stronger team, Metalist delivered on expectations, though the match exhibited a significant 34.9% structural deviation in their favor, underscoring Kudrivka's resilience in thwarting chances. Possession dominance translated into efficiency in line with projections, and the final score aligned seamlessly with market anticipations. This result bolsters Metalist's standing, highlighting their ability to grind out results against lower-possession opponents in a tactical affair.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Match featured a significant 34.9% structural deviation favoring Metalist 1925 Kharkiv.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with overall expectations.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment undetermined due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with pre-match market positioning.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unassessable without performance metrics.
  • Event impact: No notable events or adjustments impacted the second half flow.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, avoiding any distortion to game dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

D. Yevtukhov

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

E. Petrakov

1st Assistant

M. Chos

2nd Assistant

D. Osaulenko

4th Official

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv M. Bartulović
M. Bartulović
VS
Kudrivka V. Baranov
V. Baranov
1.73
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.73
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Veres Rank: W
Dynamo Kyiv Rank: W
Kolos Kovalivka Rank: D
SK Poltava Rank: W
Shakhtar Donetsk Rank: L
Rukh Vynnyky Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Rank: L
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Rank: L
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: L
Veres Rank: D
Karpaty Rank: D
SK Poltava Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
65.13%
Draw
22.2%
Away Kudrivka
12.67%

Movement

Changes since opening
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
-29.17%
Draw
+17.14%
Kudrivka
+12.03%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
28.3
14.66
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Kudrivka
Power Score
28.3
14.66
League Position
4
13
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv — Opponent-weighted form score
Kudrivka — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Kudrivka

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Kudrivka

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Kudrivka
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
8.38
2.57
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
2.57
8.38
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv +0.59 Efficiency Index
vs
Kudrivka -0.59 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Kudrivka
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Kudrivka
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Kudrivka
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Kudrivka
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Kudrivka
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
vs
Kudrivka
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Kudrivka
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 0.06
Kudrivka 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Kudrivka
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 0.00
Kudrivka 0.02
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Kudrivka
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Metalist 1925 Kharkiv had peak pressure around 75'.
  • Metalist 1925 Kharkiv started the game with stronger pressure.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Pressure Kudrivka Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Metalist 1925 Kharkiv reached the top pressure at 75' (68.79).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Home
1 matches
Kudrivka Kudrivka Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
1
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-19T00:02:20+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
D. Varakuta
Ukraine
30 D. Varakuta
V. Salyuk
Ukraine
13 V. Salyuk
Y. Pavliuk
Ukraine
18 Y. Pavliuk
V. Dubko
Ukraine
37 V. Dubko
O. Martynyuk
Substitution
Ukraine
24 O. Martynyuk
I. Kaliuzhnyi
Ukraine
5 I. Kaliuzhnyi
A. Moura Vieira Filho
Substitution
Brazil
7 A. Moura Vieira Filho
I. Kogut
Substitution
Ukraine
17 I. Kogut
I. Lytvynenko
Substitution
Ukraine
25 I. Lytvynenko
D. Antyukh
Substitution
Ukraine
15 D. Antyukh
P. Itodo
Nigeria
98 P. Itodo
Pitch
I. Karavashenko
Ukraine
44 I. Karavashenko
M. Farina
Substitution
Ukraine
74 M. Farina
J. Collahuazo Vaca
Ecuador
55 J. Collahuazo Vaca
Y. Potimkov
Ukraine
69 Y. Potimkov
O. Gusev
Ukraine
30 O. Gusev
K. Makosso Faites Prevu
Substitution
Brazil
14 K. Makosso Faites Prevu
A. Dumanyuk
Ukraine
19 A. Dumanyuk
A. Hlushchenko
Substitution
Ukraine
21 A. Hlushchenko
A. Storchous
Substitution
Ukraine
8 A. Storchous
E. Morozko
Ukraine
33 E. Morozko
A. Taipi
Substitution
Macedonia
9 A. Taipi

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 18, 2026, 12:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 24 · Regular Season
Stadium :
KSK Nika
Capacity :
7000
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ , Clear
Referees :
Evgen Petrakov
Maksim Chos
Dmytro Osaulenko
Dmytro Yuriyovych Yevtukhov

Statistics

Possession
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
62%
Kudrivka
38%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
1 Shots 2
49 Dangerous attacks 18
65 Possession 35
6 Corners 3
15 Free kicks 11
4 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

5 Substitutions 5
3 Goal Kicks 5
1 Assists 0

Attacking

74 Attacks 56

Discipline

1 Offsides 0
2 Fouls 4

Lineup

Referee : Dmytro Yuriyovych Yevtukhov

Starting XI ▼

30
Danylo Varakuta
Danylo Varakuta Goalkeeper
6.43
13
Volodymyr Salyuk
Volodymyr Salyuk Defender
6.6
18
Yevgen Pavlyuk
Yevgen Pavlyuk Defender
6.61
24
Oleksandr Martynyuk
Oleksandr Martynyuk Defender
6.38
27
Ilya Krupskyi
Ilya Krupskyi
Defender60'
6.56
37
Valeriy Dubko
Valeriy Dubko Defender
6.16
5
Ivan Kalyuzhnyi
Ivan Kalyuzhnyi Midfielder
6.64
7
Ari Moura
Ari Moura Midfielder
6.77
99
Christian Mba
Christian Mba
Attacker86'
6.49
15
Denys Antyukh
Denys Antyukh Midfielder
6.65
19
Ermir Rashica
Ermir Rashica
Midfielder60'
6.47
17
Igor Kogut
Igor Kogut Midfielder
6.51
77
Cauan Matteo Baptistella
Cauan Matteo Baptistella
Midfielder67'
7
25
Ivan Lytvynenko
Ivan Lytvynenko Midfielder
6.52
16
Nicolás Arévalo
Nicolás Arévalo
Midfielder60'
6.66
98
Peter Mandela Itodo
Peter Mandela Itodo Attacker
6.72
Referee : Dmytro Yuriyovych Yevtukhov

Starting XI ▼

44
Illia Karavashchenko
Illia Karavashchenko Goalkeeper
6.63
30
Oleksiy Gusev
Oleksiy Gusev Defender
6.51
55
Jair Collahuazo
Jair Collahuazo Defender
6.59
69
Yuriy Potimkov
Yuriy Potimkov Defender
6.49
74
Maryan Faryna
Maryan Faryna Defender
6.54
20
Denys Svityukha
Denys Svityukha
Midfielder77'
6.5
8
Andriy Storchous
Andriy Storchous Midfielder
6.54
7
Oleksandr Belyaev
Oleksandr Belyaev
Midfielder76'
6.56
14
Kaya Makosso
Kaya Makosso Midfielder
6.43
23
Victor Adeoye
Victor Adeoye
Defender69'
6.14
19
Artur Dumanyuk
Artur Dumanyuk Midfielder
6.45
21
Anton Glushchenko
Anton Glushchenko Midfielder
6.63
10
Oleksandr Kozak
Oleksandr Kozak
Midfielder61'
6.53
33
Yevgeniy Morozko
Yevgeniy Morozko Midfielder
6.39
9
Alban Taipi
Alban Taipi Attacker
6.33
77
Artem Liehostaiev
Artem Liehostaiev
Attacker69'
6.48

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Ilya Krupskyi
6th Yellowcard
90+3'
Event
Christian Mba
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
90+1'
90'
Event
Yevgeniy Morozko
5th Yellowcard
Event
Mladen Bartulovic
misses next match / 8th Yellowcard
89'
Event
Cauan Matteo Baptistella
4th Yellowcard
89'
Event
Christian Mba → Ari Moura
10th Substitution
86'
Event
Valeriy Dubko
3rd Yellowcard
81'
78'
Event
7th Yellowcard
77'
Event
Denys Svityukha → Maryan Faryna
9th Substitution
77'
Event
Jair Collahuazo
2nd Yellowcard
76'
Event
Oleksandr Belyaev → Andriy Storchous
8th Substitution
69'
Event
Victor Adeoye → Kaya Makosso
6th Substitution
69'
Event
Artem Liehostaiev → Alban Taipi
7th Substitution
Event
Cauan Matteo Baptistella → Igor Kogut
5th Substitution
67'
61'
Event
Oleksandr Kozak → Anton Glushchenko
4th Substitution
Event
Ilya Krupskyi → Oleksandr Martynyuk
2nd Substitution
60'
Event
Ermir Rashica → Denys Antyukh
3rd Substitution
60'
Event
Nicolás Arévalo → Ivan Lytvynenko
1st Substitution
60'
1ST-HALF
Event
Oleksandr Martynyuk
1st Yellowcard
38'

CONCLUSION

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv's 1-0 triumph over Kudrivka validates their status as the stronger outfit, converting possession superiority into a clean-sheet victory despite a scoreless first half. The significant structural deviation of 34.9% reflects Kudrivka's defensive grit, yet Metalist's efficiency and market alignment ensured the deserved result. Without red cards or major events, the game proceeded predictably, reinforcing the home team's tactical discipline. This performance signals positive momentum for Metalist, potentially elevating their campaign trajectory.

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Kudrivka preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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