Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Prediction, Preview and Stats

Ukraine flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine
Tsentralnyi Stadion Sat, 16 May - 10:00 AM
Premier League
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1 – 1
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Full Time Sat, 16 May 10:00 AM
Round 29 Regular Season
Baton Zabergja - 22'
Goal
|
Goal
Vadym Sydun - 73'

CONTEXT

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv hosted Epitsentr Dunayivtsi in a match that concluded with a 1-1 draw. The home side took the lead before halftime with a score of 1-0. Metalist controlled 60 percent of possession compared to 40 percent for the visitors. No red cards were shown to either team throughout the contest. The stronger side according to available indicators was Metalist 1925 Kharkiv yet the outcome finished level. Pre-match indicators showed a significant deviation level of 74.7 percent associated with the home team. The result proved inconsistent with certain market alignments while efficiency metrics stayed in line with expectations. Second half adjustments remained minimal and no knockout tie implications arose from the fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Metalist 1925 Kharkiv exhibited a significant deviation of 74.7 percent from pre-match indicators.
  • Efficiency shift: Team efficiency remained in line with pre-match projections for both sides.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable so alignment could not be assessed.
  • Market alignment: The 1-1 draw did not align with pre-match market expectations.
  • xG expectations: No expected goals figures were recorded for either Metalist or Epitsentr.
  • Event impact: The halftime score of 1-0 shaped the second half approach for both teams.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so match dynamics experienced no related distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

A. Mykhaylyuk

Ukraine 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Striletska

1st Assistant

Ukraine

T. Chopilko

2nd Assistant

Ukraine

O. Kogut

4th Official

Ukraine

League averages

Premier League Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 16.84
Yellow cards / match 3.18
Red cards / match 0.15
Penalties / match 0.27
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv M. Bartulović
M. Bartulović
VS
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi S. Nahornyak
S. Nahornyak
1.88
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.31
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Karpaty Rank: 55 D
Zorya Luhansk Rank: 54 D
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: 62 L
LNZ Cherkasy Rank: 58 D
Kudrivka Rank: 41 W
Veres Rank: 46 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Polissya Zhytomyr Rank: 63 W
Obolon'-Brovar Rank: 41 D
Veres Rank: 48 D
Oleksandria Rank: 44 D
Karpaty Rank: 55 D
Zorya Luhansk Rank: 54 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
57.99%
Draw
25.28%
Away Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
16.73%

Movement

Changes since opening
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
+46.64%
Draw
-55.8%
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
+9.16%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
48.58
45.81
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Power Score
48.58
45.81
League Position
5
12
Global Rank
732
842

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv — Opponent-weighted form score
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Epitsentr Dunayivtsi

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
28.67
24.75
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
24.75
28.67
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv +0.40 Efficiency Index
vs
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi -0.40 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
vs
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 0.34
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 0.21
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 0.03
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 0.02
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Metalist 1925 Kharkiv had peak pressure around 46'.
  • Metalist 1925 Kharkiv started the game with stronger pressure.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Pressure Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Metalist 1925 Kharkiv reached the top pressure at 46' (66.94).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Home
1 matches
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Epitsentr Dunayivtsi Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-18T08:54:52+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
Y. Protsenko
Ukraine
23 Y. Protsenko
I. Krupskyi
Ukraine
27 I. Krupskyi
V. Dubko
Ukraine
37 V. Dubko
A. Shabanov
Ukraine
31 (C) A. Shabanov
O. Martynyuk
Ukraine
24 O. Martynyuk
Y. Pavliuk
Ukraine
18 Y. Pavliuk
J. Árevalo Chaparro
Substitution
Colombia
16 J. Árevalo Chaparro
V. Kalitvintsev
Substitution
Ukraine
45 V. Kalitvintsev
S. Castillo Pérez
Substitution
Venezuela
8 S. Castillo Pérez
B. Zabergja
Substitution
Kosovo
26 B. Zabergja
C. Mba
Substitution
Nigeria
99 C. Mba
Pitch
N. Fedotov
Ukraine
71 N. Fedotov
A. Oliveira Diaw
Spain
2 A. Oliveira Diaw
N. Coch Montaña
Spain
77 N. Coch Montaña
S. Grygorashchuk
Ukraine
3 S. Grygorashchuk
V. Tanchyk
Substitution
Ukraine
34 V. Tanchyk
A. Matkevych
Substitution
Ukraine
7 A. Matkevych
E. Zaporozhets
Substitution
Ukraine
5 (C) E. Zaporozhets
M. Myronyuk
Ukraine
8 M. Myronyuk
V. Supriaha
Substitution
Ukraine
21 V. Supriaha
E. Demchenko
Ukraine
17 E. Demchenko
K. Kovalets
Substitution
Ukraine
6 K. Kovalets

General Information

Date & Time :
May 16, 2026, 10:00 AM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, Ukraine · Round 29 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Tsentralnyi Stadion
Capacity :
5928
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Artem Mykhaylyuk
Maryna Striletska
Taras Chopilko
Oleg Kogut

Statistics

Possession
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
55%
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
45%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
4 Shots 5
44 Dangerous attacks 38
60 Possession 40
4 Corners 8
1 Free kicks 1

Match Overview

9 Goal Kicks 9
28 Throwins 20
27 Dribble Attempts 13
17 Successful Dribbles 9
63 Successful Dribbles Percentage 69
1 Assists 1

Attacking

69 Attacks 59

Possession

438 Passes 359
41 Long Passes 49
81 Successful Passes Percentage 72
26 Successful Long Passes 23
63 Successful Long Passes Percentage 47
354 Successful Passes 259

Defensive

0 Tackles 4
13 Interceptions 10
2 Saves 7

Build-up

8 Total Crosses 9
2 Accurate Crosses 0

Discipline

3 Offsides 1
11 Fouls 11

Lineup

Referee : Artem Mykhaylyuk

Starting XI ▼

23
Yaroslav Protsenko
Yaroslav Protsenko Goalkeeper
6.69
24
Oleksandr Martynyuk
Oleksandr Martynyuk Defender
6.97
27
Ilya Krupskyi
Ilya Krupskyi Defender
6.49
31
Artem Shabanov
Artem Shabanov (C) Defender
6.72
37
Valeriy Dubko
Valeriy Dubko Defender
6.93
8
Sebastian Castillo
Sebastian Castillo Midfielder
6.79
14
Ramik Gadzhyev
Ramik Gadzhyev
Midfielder61'
6.74
16
Nicolás Arévalo
Nicolás Arévalo Midfielder
6.92
25
Ivan Lytvynenko
Ivan Lytvynenko
Midfielder61'
6.63
18
Yevgen Pavlyuk
Yevgen Pavlyuk Midfielder
6.2
26
Baton Zabergja
Baton Zabergja Midfielder
7.32
77
Cauan Matteo Baptistella
Cauan Matteo Baptistella
Midfielder80'
6.49
45
Vladyslav Kalitvintsev
Vladyslav Kalitvintsev Midfielder
6.52
19
Ermir Rashica
Ermir Rashica
Midfielder46'
6.67
99
Christian Mba
Christian Mba Attacker
6.7
17
Igor Kogut
Igor Kogut
Attacker46'
6.46
Referee : Artem Mykhaylyuk

Starting XI ▼

71
Nikita Fedotov
Nikita Fedotov Goalkeeper
7.62
2
Alagy Oliveira
Alagy Oliveira Defender
6.12
3
Stepan Grigorashchuk
Stepan Grigorashchuk Defender
6.58
34
Volodymyr Tanchyk
Volodymyr Tanchyk Defender
6.36
70
Ihor Kyriukhantsev
Ihor Kyriukhantsev
Midfielder80'
6.52
77
Nil Coch
Nil Coch Defender
7.07
5
Yevhen Zaporozhets
Yevhen Zaporozhets (C) Midfielder
6.43
97
Oleksandr Klymets
Oleksandr Klymets
Defender64'
6.85
7
Andriy Matkevych
Andriy Matkevych Midfielder
6.28
39
Jon Ceberio
Jon Ceberio
Midfielder56'
6.35
8
Mykola Myronyuk
Mykola Myronyuk Midfielder
6.98
21
Vladyslav Supryaga
Vladyslav Supryaga Midfielder
6.18
20
Vadym Sydun
Vadym Sydun
Attacker46'
7.3
6
Kyrylo Kovalets
Kyrylo Kovalets Attacker
6.84
9
Joaquinete
Joaquinete
Midfielder46'
6.78
17
Yehor Demchenko
Yehor Demchenko Attacker
6.51

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Cauan Matteo Baptistella → Baton Zabergja
9th Substitution
80'
80'
Event
Ihor Kyriukhantsev → Volodymyr Tanchyk
10th Substitution
73'
Event
Vadym Sydun
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
64'
Event
Oleksandr Klymets → Yevhen Zaporozhets
8th Substitution
Event
Ivan Lytvynenko → Nicolás Arévalo
7th Substitution
61'
Event
Ramik Gadzhyev → Sebastian Castillo
6th Substitution
61'
56'
Event
Jon Ceberio → Andriy Matkevych
5th Substitution
Event
Igor Kogut → Christian Mba
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Ermir Rashica → Vladyslav Kalitvintsev
3rd Substitution
46'
46'
Event
Vadym Sydun → Vladyslav Supryaga
4th Substitution
46'
Event
Joaquinete → Kyrylo Kovalets
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Baton Zabergja
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
22'

Match Commentary

80
Update Update
Igor Kiryukhantsev comes on for Volodymyr Tanchyk.
80
Substitution Substitution
Cauan Baptistella is substituted off for Baton Zabergja.
74
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Vadim Sydun scores, making it 1-1.
64
Update Update
Oleksandr Klymets comes on for Yevgen Zaporozhets.
61
Update Update
Ivan Lytvynenko is on, and Nicolas Arevalo is off.
61
Update Update
Ivan Lytvynenko is on, and Nicolas Arevalo is off.
56
Update Update
Jon Ceberio is on, and Andrii Matkevych is off.
46
Update Update
Vadim Sydun is on, and Vladyslav Supriaga is off.
46
Update Update
Vadim Sydun is on, and Vladyslav Supriaga is off.
46
Update Update
Joaquin Cifuentes comes on for Kyrylo Kovalets.
46
Update Update
Vadim Sydun is on, and Vladyslav Supriaga is off.

CONCLUSION

The 1-1 draw between Metalist 1925 Kharkiv and Epitsentr Dunayivtsi reflected a competitive encounter where the home side held possession advantages yet could not secure victory. Halftime lead of 1-0 set the tone before the visitors equalized later. Absence of red cards allowed both teams to maintain full squads and tactical options until the end. Efficiency metrics aligned closely with available projections while market indicators showed notable deviation. Limited second half adjustments kept the contest balanced without major swings. Overall the result highlighted the challenges faced by the stronger designated side in converting control into a win. This outcome leaves both teams with points but underscores areas for refinement in finishing and defensive organization moving forward.

Metalist 1925 Kharkiv vs Epitsentr Dunayivtsi preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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Alf Indseth

Alf Indseth writes football-focused analysis that looks beyond match results to explore form, value, and market context.