Manchester City vs Crystal Palace Prediction, Preview and Stats

England flag 2025/2026 Premier League, England
Etihad Stadium Wed, 13 May - 7:00 PM
Premier League
Manchester City MCI
3 Winner 0
Crystal Palace CRY
Full Time Wed, 13 May 7:00 PM
Round 31 Regular Season
Savinho - 84'
Omar Marmoush - 40'
Antoine Semenyo - 32'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Manchester City delivered a commanding performance against Crystal Palace, securing a 3-0 victory at the Etihad Stadium. The hosts took control early, leading 2-0 at halftime through clinical finishing that capitalized on their dominance. City's possession reached 73%, allowing them to dictate the tempo and create numerous chances, while Palace struggled to muster meaningful threats. In the second half, Manchester City added a third goal to seal the win, maintaining pressure without facing significant resistance. No red cards disrupted the flow, and the stronger side prevailed as expected. This result underscores City's structural edge, with a significant deviation highlighting their overperformance relative to pre-match expectations. Palace's low possession reflected their defensive setup, but it couldn't withstand the onslaught. The clean sheet and multi-goal margin affirm City's efficiency in converting opportunities.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Manchester City recorded a significant 28.1% structural deviation in their favor.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with expectations throughout the match.
  • xG alignment: xG data unavailable, preventing alignment assessment.
  • Market alignment: Outcome aligned fully with pre-match market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated due to missing data.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events altered the game's flow.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion to the final scoreline.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

S. Attwell

England 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

C. Hatzidakis

1st Assistant

England

B. Antrobus

2nd Assistant

England

P. Tierney

4th Official

England

League averages

Premier League Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 19.04
Yellow cards / match 3.47
Red cards / match 0.11
Penalties / match 0.18
Manchester City Josep Guardiola
Josep Guardiola
VS
Crystal Palace O. Glasner
O. Glasner
2.17
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.13
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brentford Rank: 89 W
Everton Rank: 87 D
Burnley Rank: 77 W
Arsenal Rank: 98 W
Chelsea Rank: 89 W
West Ham United Rank: 83 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Everton Rank: 88 D
AFC Bournemouth Rank: 89 L
Liverpool Rank: 91 L
West Ham United Rank: 83 D
Newcastle United Rank: 89 W
Leeds United Rank: 87 D
22
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
22 - 5 - 4
4

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Manchester City
71.93%
Draw
16.41%
Away Crystal Palace
11.66%

Movement

Changes since opening
Manchester City
-25.42%
Draw
+14.04%
Crystal Palace
+11.38%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
98.48
70.74
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Manchester City
Crystal Palace
Power Score
98.48
70.74
League Position
2
15
Global Rank
2
30

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Manchester City — Opponent-weighted form score
Crystal Palace — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Manchester City Crystal Palace

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Manchester City

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Crystal Palace

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Manchester City ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Crystal Palace
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Manchester City Crystal Palace
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Manchester City Crystal Palace
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Manchester City
Crystal Palace
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Manchester City
vs
Crystal Palace
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Manchester City Crystal Palace
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Manchester City 0.00
Crystal Palace 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Manchester City Crystal Palace
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Manchester City 0.00
Crystal Palace 0.00
Manchester City
Crystal Palace
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • MCI had peak pressure around 41'.
  • MCI started the game with stronger pressure.
MCI Pressure CRY Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: MCI reached the top pressure at 41' (74.46).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 31 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Manchester City MCI Home
31 matches
Crystal Palace CRY Away
Match Record
22
Wins
4
5
Draws
5
4
Losses
22
Goals
75
Goals Scored
25
25
Goals Conceded
75
+50
Goal Difference
-50

Data last updated: 2026-05-13T19:00:42+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
G. Donnarumma
Italy
25 G. Donnarumma
A. Khusanov
Uzbekistan
45 A. Khusanov
M. Guehi
England
15 M. Guehi
J. Gvardiol
Substitution
Croatia
24 J. Gvardiol
R. Aït Nouri
Algeria
21 R. Aït Nouri
M. Nunes
Substitution
Portugal
27 M. Nunes
B. Silva
Substitution
Portugal
20 B. Silva
S. Moreira de Oliveira
Brazil
26 S. Moreira de Oliveira
P. Foden
Substitution
England
47 P. Foden
A. Semenyo
Ghana
42 A. Semenyo
O. Marmoush
Substitution
Egypt
7 O. Marmoush
Pitch
D. Henderson
England
1 D. Henderson
C. Richards
United States
26 C. Richards
M. Lacroix
France
5 M. Lacroix
J. Canvot
France
23 J. Canvot
T. Mitchell
England
3 T. Mitchell
W. Hughes
Substitution
England
19 W. Hughes
J. Lerma Solís
Colombia
8 J. Lerma Solís
D. Muñoz Mejía
Substitution
Colombia
2 D. Muñoz Mejía
B. Johnson
Substitution
Wales
11 B. Johnson
Y. Jesús Pino Santos
Substitution
Spain
10 Y. Jesús Pino Santos
J. Mateta
Substitution
France
14 J. Mateta

General Information

Date & Time :
May 13, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Premier League, England · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Etihad Stadium
Capacity :
53400
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Stuart Attwell
Constantine Hatzidakis
Black Antrobus
Paul Tierney

Statistics

Possession
MCI
69%
CRY
31%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 0
3 Big Chances Created 0
10 Shots 5
97 Dangerous attacks 12
73 Possession 27
9 Corners 3
11 Free kicks 9
0 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

19 Throwins 13
11 Successful Dribbles 0
8 Successful Headers 10
52 Successful Dribbles Percentage 0
21 Dribble Attempts 5
6 Goal Kicks 8
3 Assists 0
36 Ball Safe 35
7 Goal Attempts 2
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

130 Attacks 44

Possession

42 Long Passes 53
50 Successful Long Passes Percentage 42
723 Passes 277
89 Successful Passes Percentage 78
645 Successful Passes 215
21 Successful Long Passes 22
11 Key Passes 4

Defensive

7 Interceptions 4
11 Tackles 25
2 Saves 1
35 Duels Won 45

Build-up

18 Total Crosses 6
4 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

0 Offsides 4
10 Fouls 7

Lineup

Referee : Stuart Attwell

Starting XI ▼

25
Gianluigi Donnarumma
Gianluigi Donnarumma Goalkeeper
6.89
15
Marc Guéhi
Marc Guéhi Defender
7.04
21
Rayan Aït-Nouri
Rayan Aït-Nouri Defender
6.89
24
Josko Gvardiol
Josko Gvardiol Defender
7.02
11
Jérémy Doku
Jérémy Doku
Attacker58'
7.24
45
Abdukodir Khusanov
Abdukodir Khusanov Defender
6.9
20
Bernardo Silva
Bernardo Silva Midfielder
6.96
8
Mateo Kovacic
Mateo Kovacic
Midfielder79'
6.98
26
Savinho
Savinho Midfielder
6.6
27
Matheus Nunes
Matheus Nunes Midfielder
7.08
6
Nathan Aké
Nathan Aké
Defender58'
6.71
42
Antoine Semenyo
Antoine Semenyo Midfielder
7
47
Phil Foden
Phil Foden Midfielder
7.25
5
John Stones
John Stones
Defender82'
6.58
7
Omar Marmoush
Omar Marmoush Attacker
6.89
10
Rayan Cherki
Rayan Cherki
Midfielder79'
7.32
Referee : Stuart Attwell

Starting XI ▼

1
Dean Henderson
Dean Henderson Goalkeeper
6.82
5
Maxence Lacroix
Maxence Lacroix Defender
6.96
23
Jaydee Canvot
Jaydee Canvot Defender
6.83
26
Chris Richards
Chris Richards Defender
6.84
2
Daniel Muñoz
Daniel Muñoz Midfielder
7.02
17
Nathaniel Clyne
Nathaniel Clyne
Defender82'
6.72
3
Tyrick Mitchell
Tyrick Mitchell Midfielder
6.83
8
Jefferson Lerma
Jefferson Lerma Midfielder
6.71
19
Will Hughes
Will Hughes Midfielder
6.69
20
Adam Wharton
Adam Wharton
Midfielder60'
6.96
10
Yéremy Pino
Yéremy Pino Attacker
6.86
7
Ismaïla Sarr
Ismaïla Sarr
Attacker60'
6.88
11
Brennan Johnson
Brennan Johnson Attacker
6.6
18
Daichi Kamada
Daichi Kamada
Midfielder75'
6.82
14
Jean-Philippe Mateta
Jean-Philippe Mateta Attacker
6.77
22
Jørgen Strand Larsen
Jørgen Strand Larsen
Attacker60'
6.77

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Savinho
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
84'
Event
John Stones → Phil Foden
10th Substitution
82'
82'
Event
Nathaniel Clyne → Daniel Muñoz
9th Substitution
81'
Event
Daichi Kamada
Simulation / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Rayan Cherki → Omar Marmoush
7th Substitution
79'
Event
Mateo Kovacic  → Bernardo Silva
8th Substitution
79'
75'
Event
Daichi Kamada → Brennan Johnson
6th Substitution
60'
Event
Adam Wharton → Will Hughes
5th Substitution
60'
Event
Ismaïla Sarr → Yéremy Pino
4th Substitution
60'
Event
Jørgen Strand Larsen → Jean-Philippe Mateta
3rd Substitution
Event
Nathan Aké → Matheus Nunes
1st Substitution
58'
Event
Jérémy Doku → Josko Gvardiol 
2nd Substitution
58'
52'
Event
Tyrick Mitchell
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
Event
Omar Marmoush
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
40'
Event
Antoine Semenyo
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
32'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Jeremy Doku takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
86
Attempt Attempt
Savio Moreira de Oliveira takes a left-footed shot but misses.
84
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Savio Moreira de Oliveira scores to make it 3-0, assisted by Mathis Ryan Cherki.
84
Attempt Attempt
Savio Moreira de Oliveira scores with a left-footed shot.
83
Attempt Attempt
Jorgen Strand Larsen takes a right-footed shot but misses.
82
Update Update
Nathaniel Clyne comes on for Daniel Munoz.
82
Update Update
John Stones comes on for Phil Foden.
81
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Daichi Kamada receives a yellow card.
79
Update Update
Mateo Kovacic comes on for Bernardo Mota Veiga de Carvalho e Silva.
79
Update Update
Mathis Ryan Cherki comes on for Omar Marmoush.
75
Update Update
Daichi Kamada comes on for Brennan Johnson.
63
Attempt Attempt
Ismaila Sarr takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
60
Update Update
Adam Wharton is on, and Will Hughes is off.
60
Update Update
Ismaila Sarr comes on, and Yeremi Pino goes off.
60
Update Update
Jorgen Strand Larsen comes on for Jean Philippe Mateta.
59
Attempt Attempt
Omar Marmoush takes a right-footed shot but misses.
59
Attempt Attempt
Omar Marmoush takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
58
Update Update
Nathan Ake is on, and Matheus Luiz Nunes is off.
58
Update Update
Jeremy Doku is on, and Josko Gvardiol is off.
52
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Tyrick Mitchell receives a yellow card.
44
Attempt Attempt
Phil Foden takes a left-footed shot but misses.
43
Attempt Attempt
Josko Gvardiol's header is saved.
43
Attempt Attempt
Bernardo Mota Veiga de Carvalho e Silva takes a left-footed shot but misses.
40
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Omar Marmoush scores to make it 2-0, assisted by Phil Foden.
40
Attempt Attempt
Omar Marmoush takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
33
Attempt Attempt
Tyrick Mitchell takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
32
Attempt Attempt
Antoine Semenyo takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
32
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Antoine Semenyo scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Phil Foden.
20
Attempt Attempt
Rayan Ait Nouri takes a right-footed shot but misses.
19
Attempt Attempt
Bernardo Mota Veiga de Carvalho e Silva has a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
17
Attempt Attempt
Abdukodir Khusanov takes a right-footed shot but misses.
15
Attempt Attempt
Marc Guehi takes a right-footed shot but misses.
13
Update Update
Chris Richards takes a header, but it goes wide.
12
Attempt Attempt
Yeremi Pino's right-footed shot is blocked.
7
Attempt Attempt
Marc Guehi attempts a header but misses the shot.

CONCLUSION

Manchester City's 3-0 triumph over Crystal Palace was a textbook display of superiority, blending high possession with ruthless efficiency. The 2-0 halftime lead set the tone, and the second half's additional goal ensured a comfortable margin. With market alignment confirmed and no disruptive events, this result reinforces City's status as the stronger outfit. Palace's efforts were commendable but overwhelmed by the hosts' control. Looking ahead, this performance boosts City's momentum, highlighting their ability to exceed expectations significantly while maintaining clean sheets against mid-table opposition.

Manchester City vs Crystal Palace preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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