Mallorca vs Villarreal Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
La Liga
Villarreal VILSTANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Mallorca hosted Villarreal in a tightly contested La Liga encounter that ended in a 1-1 draw. The home side took the lead in the first half and held it at halftime with the scoreline reflecting 1-1. Mallorca dominated possession with 56% compared to Villarreal's 44%, yet the visitors, considered the stronger team, managed to equalize. No red cards were shown, allowing both teams to maintain full squads throughout. The match featured no significant second-half adjustments, resulting in a balanced affair. Structural deviation was moderate at 8.9% towards Villarreal, indicating some unpredictability. With xG data unavailable, performance metrics relied on possession and efficiency trends. The draw aligned with market expectations, underscoring a fair outcome despite Villarreal's pre-match favoritism.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: Moderate 8.9% deviation favored Villarreal in the 1-1 draw.
- Efficiency shift: Efficiency stayed in line with expectations for both teams.
- xG alignment: xG data unavailable, preventing alignment assessment.
- Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with pre-match market views.
- xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated due to missing data.
- Event impact: No major events like red cards influenced the 1-1 result.
- Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion in match dynamics.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Match referee
V. García Verdura
Other match officials
E. Fernández González
1st Assistant
J. Villaseñor Julián
2nd Assistant
G. Brull Acerete
4th Official
League averages
La Liga Based on last 100 matches


Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Mallorca
VillarrealMovement
Changes since opening
Mallorca
VillarrealTeam Power Ranking
i
76.71
83.89
Mallorca
VillarrealForm Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.


Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Mallorca
Villarreal

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Mallorca ⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency 
Defensive Efficiency 
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)




Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Mallorca ⚠ Proxy
Mallorca Villarreal
Mallorca Villarreal
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Mallorca
Mallorca Villarreal


Mallorca Villarreal


PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- MLL had peak pressure around 47'.
- MLL started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 25 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.


Match Record 
Goals 
Data last updated: 2026-05-11T00:02:17+00:00
STARTING XI
Mallorca
Villarreal






















































General Information
Next Match

Mallorca
vs

Getafe
League: La Liga
Kickoff: Wed, 13 May - 7:30 PM
Venue: Coliseum Alfonso Pérez

Villarreal
vs

Sevilla
League: La Liga
Kickoff: Wed, 13 May - 5:00 PM
Venue: Estadio de la Cerámica
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
MallorcaManager ▼

Starting XI ▼















Substitutes ▼




Bench ▼








VillarrealManager ▼

Starting XI ▼
















Substitutes ▼





Bench ▼







Events
CONCLUSION
Mallorca vs Villarreal preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.
How We Build This Analysis
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Match Commentary