Mallorca vs Real Madrid Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix Sat, 4 Apr - 2:15 PM
La Liga
Mallorca MLL
2 Winner 1
Real Madrid RMA
Full Time Sat, 4 Apr 2:15 PM
Round 30 Regular Season
Vedat Muriqi - 90+1'
Manu Morlanes - 41'
Goal
|
Goal
Éder Militão  - 88'

CONTEXT

The match between Mallorca and Real Madrid has finished with a full-time score of 1-1. Mallorca surprisingly took a 1-0 lead into the halftime break, but the visitors eventually leveled the match to secure a point in the second half. This draw represents a significant deviation from pre-match expectations, frustrating the favored Real Madrid. Before kickoff, the betting market gave Real Madrid a commanding 61.4% implied probability of victory, compared to just 21.7% for a draw and 16.9% for a Mallorca win. Consequently, the final outcome failed to align with the pre-match market predictions. On the pitch, Real Madrid dictated the tempo with 64% possession, leaving Mallorca with just 36% of the ball. Expected goals (xG) data was unavailable for this fixture, so it cannot be determined if the final score was consistent with the actual scoring chances created by either side. Regardless, the overall efficiency shift for both teams was in line with standard performance metrics. The match was also contested evenly without any major disciplinary disruptions, as neither side received a red card.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Real Madrid showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

J. Sánchez Martínez

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

R. Cabañero Martínez

1st Assistant

J. López Mir

2nd Assistant

F. Expósito Jaramillo

4th Official

Mallorca M. Demichelis
M. Demichelis
VS
Real Madrid Á. Arbeloa Coca
Á. Arbeloa Coca
1.05
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.32
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Elche Rank: 72 L
Espanyol Rank: 74 W
Osasuna Rank: 78 D
Real Sociedad Rank: 82 L
Celta de Vigo Rank: 82 L
Real Betis Rank: 82 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Atlético Madrid Rank: 90 W
Elche Rank: 72 W
Celta de Vigo Rank: 82 W
Getafe Rank: 76 L
Osasuna Rank: 78 L
Real Sociedad Rank: 82 W
6
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
6 - 3 - 20
20

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Mallorca
16.92%
Draw
21.68%
Away Real Madrid
61.4%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
75.28
94.04
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Mallorca
Real Madrid
Power Score
75.28
94.04
League Position
16
2
Global Rank
99
5

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Mallorca — Opponent-weighted form score
Real Madrid — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Mallorca Real Madrid

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Mallorca

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Real Madrid

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Mallorca ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Real Madrid
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
20.97
28.59
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
28.59
20.97
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Mallorca -0.69 Efficiency Index
vs
Real Madrid +0.69 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Mallorca
Real Madrid
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Mallorca ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Real Madrid
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Mallorca Real Madrid
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Mallorca Real Madrid
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Mallorca
Real Madrid
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Mallorca
vs
Real Madrid
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Mallorca Real Madrid
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Mallorca 0.19
Real Madrid 0.23
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Mallorca Real Madrid
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Mallorca 0.02
Real Madrid 0.06
Mallorca
Real Madrid
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
Pressure Index data not available for this match.

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 29 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Mallorca MLL Home
29 matches
Real Madrid RMA Away
Match Record
6
Wins
20
3
Draws
3
20
Losses
6
Goals
25
Goals Scored
64
64
Goals Conceded
25
-39
Goal Difference
+39

Data last updated: 2026-04-05T00:03:59+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-1-2
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
L. Román Riquelme
Spain
1 L. Román Riquelme
P. Maffeo Becerra
Argentina
23 P. Maffeo Becerra
M. Valjent
Slovakia
24 M. Valjent
O. Mascarell González
Spain
5 O. Mascarell González
J. Mojica Palacio
Colombia
22 J. Mojica Palacio
S. Costa
Substitution
Portugal
12 S. Costa
S. Darder Moll
Spain
10 S. Darder Moll
M. Morlanes
Substitution
Spain
8 M. Morlanes
P. Torre Carral
Substitution
Spain
20 P. Torre Carral
V. Muriqi
Kosovo
7 V. Muriqi
Z. Sebastiao Luvumbo
Substitution
Angola
15 Z. Sebastiao Luvumbo
Pitch
A. Lunin
Ukraine
13 A. Lunin
A. Carreras
Spain
18 A. Carreras
D. Huijsen
Substitution
Spain
24 D. Huijsen
A. Rüdiger
Germany
22 A. Rüdiger
T. Alexander-Arnold
England
12 T. Alexander-Arnold
A. Guler
Substitution
Turkey
15 A. Guler
E. Camavinga
Substitution
France
6 E. Camavinga
A. Tchouaméni
France
14 A. Tchouaméni
Manuel Ibanez
Substitution
Spain
37 Manuel Ibanez
K. Mbappé
France
10 K. Mbappé
B. Abdelkader Diaz
Substitution
Spain
21 B. Abdelkader Diaz

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 04, 2026, 02:15 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 30 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
Capacity :
26020
Attendance :
23015
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
José María Sánchez Martínez
Raúl Cabañero Martínez
Juan José López Mir
Francisco Javier Expósito Jaramillo

Statistics

Possession
MLL
39%
RMA
61%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
2 Big Chances Created 2
1 Shots 2
31 Dangerous attacks 66
36 Possession 64
6 Corners 4
13 Free kicks 16
3 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

4 Substitutions 5
2 Assists 1
4 Goal Attempts 11
44 Successful Dribbles Percentage 55
4 Successful Dribbles 6
14 Goal Kicks 2
22 Throwins 29
75 Ball Safe 79
3 Successful Headers 13
1 Injuries 0
9 Dribble Attempts 11

Attacking

71 Attacks 110
1 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

79 Successful Passes Percentage 88
309 Passes 568
4 Key Passes 14
244 Successful Passes 499
65 Long Passes 53
30 Successful Long Passes 36
46 Successful Long Passes Percentage 68

Defensive

15 Interceptions 3
5 Saves 0
13 Tackles 16
32 Duels Won 51

Build-up

16 Total Crosses 15
2 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

1 Offsides 5
16 Fouls 13

Lineup

Referee : José María Sánchez Martínez

Starting XI ▼

1
Leo Román
Leo Román Goalkeeper
5
Omar Mascarell
Omar Mascarell Defender
22
Johan Mojica
Johan Mojica Defender
23
Pablo Maffeo
Pablo Maffeo Defender
24
Martin Valjent
Martin Valjent Defender
8
Manu Morlanes
Manu Morlanes Midfielder
18
Mateo Joseph
Mateo Joseph
Attacker70'
10
Sergi Darder
Sergi Darder Midfielder
12
Samú Costa
Samú Costa Midfielder
27
David López
David López
Defender70'
20
Pablo Torre
Pablo Torre Midfielder
17
Jan Virgili
Jan Virgili
Attacker70'
7
Vedat Muriqi
Vedat Muriqi Attacker
15
Zito Luvumbo
Zito Luvumbo Attacker
6
Antonio Sánchez
Antonio Sánchez
Midfielder81'
Referee : José María Sánchez Martínez

Starting XI ▼

13
Andriy Lunin
Andriy Lunin Goalkeeper
12
Trent Alexander-Arnold
Trent Alexander-Arnold Defender
18
Álvaro Carreras
Álvaro Carreras Defender
22
Antonio Rüdiger
Antonio Rüdiger Defender
24
Dean Huijsen
Dean Huijsen Defender
3
Éder Militão
Éder Militão
Defender59'
6
Eduardo Camavinga
Eduardo Camavinga Midfielder
5
Jude Bellingham
Jude Bellingham
Midfielder59'
14
Aurélien Tchouaméni
Aurélien Tchouaméni Midfielder
15
Arda Güler
Arda Güler Midfielder
45
Thiago Pitarch
Thiago Pitarch
Midfielder72'
37
Manuel Ángel Morán
Manuel Ángel Morán Midfielder
7
Vinicius Junior
Vinicius Junior
Attacker59'
10
Kylian Mbappé
Kylian Mbappé Attacker
21
Brahim Díaz
Brahim Díaz Attacker
30
Franco Mastantuono
Franco Mastantuono
Attacker76'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Pablo Maffeo
Argument / 5th Yellowcard
90+5'
Event
Vedat Muriqi
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
90+1'
90'
Event
Franco Mastantuono
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
88'
Event
Éder Militão 
Header / 2nd Goal
Event
Martin Valjent
Time wasting / 3rd Yellowcard
84'
Event
Antonio Sánchez → Zito Luvumbo
9th Substitution
81'
76'
Event
Franco Mastantuono → Brahim Díaz
8th Substitution
72'
Event
Thiago Pitarch → Arda Güler
7th Substitution
Event
David López → Samú Costa
5th Substitution
70'
Event
Jan Virgili → Pablo Torre
6th Substitution
70'
Event
Mateo Joseph → Manu Morlanes
4th Substitution
70'
Event
Leo Román
Time wasting / 2nd Yellowcard
66'
59'
Event
Vinicius Junior → Manuel Ángel Morán
2nd Substitution
59'
Event
Éder Militão  → Dean Huijsen
3rd Substitution
59'
Event
Jude Bellingham → Eduardo Camavinga
1st Substitution
47'
Event
Dean Huijsen
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
Event
Manu Morlanes
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
41'

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Pablo Maffeo of Mallorca receives a yellow card.
90
Update Update
The second half ends with Mallorca leading 2-1 against Real Madrid.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Franco Mastantuono of Real Madrid receives a yellow card for a foul.
90
Update Update
Fouled by Franco Mastantuono of Real Madrid.
90
Update Update
Sergi Darder from Mallorca won a free kick in defense.
90
Update Update
Aurélien Tchouaméni of Real Madrid won a free kick in defense.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Mallorca takes the lead 2-1 with Vedat Muriqi scoring from the center of the box with a right-footed shot.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 5 minutes of added time.
90
Attempt Attempt
Franco Mastantuono's left-footed shot from the right side of the box is blocked. Kylian Mbappé provided the assist.
90
Update Update
Offside called against Real Madrid. Thiago Pitarch is offside.
90
Update Update
Handball by Thiago Pitarch for Real Madrid.
90
Update Update
Omar Mascarell fouled a player from Mallorca.
88
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Éder Militão scores for Real Madrid with a header from the center of the box into the top right corner. The match is now 1-1, with an assist from Trent Alexander-Arnold's cross after a corner.
87
Update Update
Foul committed by Pablo Maffeo of Mallorca.
87
Update Update
Vinícius Júnior from Real Madrid won a free kick on the left wing.
87
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Real Madrid after David López concedes.
86
Update Update
Éder Militão of Real Madrid won a free kick in defense.
86
Update Update
Fouled by Vedat Muriqi of Mallorca.
84
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Martin Valjent of Mallorca receives a yellow card.
83
Update Update
Sergi Darder from Mallorca won a free kick on the left wing.
83
Update Update
Foul committed by Franco Mastantuono - Real Madrid.
83
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Sergi Darder from Mallorca.
81
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Mallorca: Antonio Sánchez replaces Zito Luvumbo.
80
Update Update
Foul committed by David López of Mallorca.
80
Update Update
Álvaro Carreras of Real Madrid won a free kick on the left wing.
80
Attempt Attempt
Éder Militão of Real Madrid missed a chance, heading the ball from the center of the box over the goal. The assist came from Trent Alexander-Arnold's cross.
78
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Aurélien Tchouaméni of Real Madrid took a right-footed shot from outside the box.
76
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: Franco Mastantuono replaces Brahim Díaz.
74
Attempt Attempt
Sergi Darder from Mallorca misses a chance as his right-footed shot from the right side of the box goes over the bar. Johan Mojica provided the assist.
73
Corner Corner
Mallorca wins a corner after Trent Alexander-Arnold concedes.
73
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Mallorca after a concession by Aurélien Tchouaméni.
72
Update Update
Foul committed by Aurélien Tchouaméni of Real Madrid.
72
Update Update
Zito Luvumbo of Mallorca won a free kick in defense.
72
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: Thiago Pitarch replaces Arda Güler.
70
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Mallorca: Mateo Joseph replaces Manu Morlanes.
70
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Mallorca: Jan Virgili replaces Pablo Torre.
70
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Mallorca: David López replaces Samú Costa.
69
Update Update
Foul committed by Brahim Díaz of Real Madrid.
69
Update Update
Johan Mojica from Mallorca won a free kick on the left wing.
67
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Mallorca after a concession by Antonio Rüdiger.
66
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Leo Román from Mallorca receives a yellow card.
65
Update Update
Vinícius Júnior from Real Madrid won a free kick on the left wing.
65
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Kylian Mbappé from Real Madrid shot with his right foot from outside the box.
65
Update Update
Foul committed by Martin Valjent of Mallorca.
62
Update Update
Vedat Muriqi of Mallorca won a free kick in defense.
62
Update Update
Vedat Muriqi of Mallorca won a free kick in defense.
60
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: Jude Bellingham replaces Eduardo Camavinga.
59
Attempt Attempt
Kylian Mbappé's shot for Real Madrid from the left side of the box is blocked. Eduardo Camavinga provided the assist.
59
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: Éder Militão replaces Dean Huijsen.
59
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Real Madrid: Vinícius Júnior replaces Manuel Ángel.
59
Update Update
Offside called against Real Madrid. Kylian Mbappé is offside.
56
Update Update
Offside called against Real Madrid. Álvaro Carreras is in an offside position.
55
Attempt Attempt
Kylian Mbappé of Real Madrid makes an attacking attempt with a left-footed shot from the left side of the box, but it is saved by Mallorca's goalkeeper Leo Román, positioned in the center of the goal. The assist comes from Álvaro Carreras.
52
Update Update
Manuel Ángel fouled a player from Real Madrid.
52
Update Update
Vedat Muriqi from Mallorca won a free kick on the left wing.
48
Attempt Attempt
Johan Mojica's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked.
48
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Mallorca after a foul by Eduardo Camavinga.
47
Update Update
Foul committed by Dean Huijsen of Real Madrid.
47
Update Update
Zito Luvumbo of Mallorca won a free kick in an attacking position.
47
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Dean Huijsen of Real Madrid receives a yellow card for a foul.
46
Update Update
Offside called against Mallorca. Zito Luvumbo is in an offside position.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with Mallorca leading 1-0 against Real Madrid.
45
Update Update
The second half begins with Mallorca leading 1-0 against Real Madrid.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Samú Costa of Mallorca.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 1 minute of added time.
45
Update Update
Omar Mascarell fouled a player from Mallorca.
45
Update Update
Álvaro Carreras from Real Madrid won a free kick in defense.
45
Update Update
Kylian Mbappé of Real Madrid won a free kick in an attacking position.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with Mallorca leading 1-0 against Real Madrid.
41
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Mallorca takes the lead 1-0 against Real Madrid. Manu Morlanes scores with a right-footed shot from the center of the box into the right corner, assisted by Pablo Maffeo's cross.
39
Attempt Attempt
Kylian Mbappé's right-footed shot from the left side of the box is blocked. The assist came from Álvaro Carreras.
37
Update Update
Eduardo Camavinga of Real Madrid commits a foul.
37
Update Update
Samú Costa from Mallorca won a free kick in defense.
36
Update Update
Foul committed by Zito Luvumbo of Mallorca.
36
Update Update
Aurélien Tchouaméni from Real Madrid won a free kick in defense.
35
Update Update
Manu Morlanes of Mallorca misses a close-range header, just missing the goal.
34
Update Update
Zito Luvumbo from Mallorca won a free kick on the left wing.
34
Update Update
Foul committed by Dean Huijsen of Real Madrid.
33
Attempt Attempt
New attacking attempt. Arda Güler from Real Madrid takes a left-footed shot from the center of the box, but it's saved.
31
Update Update
Brahim Díaz from Real Madrid won a free kick on the right wing.
31
Update Update
Omar Mascarell fouled a player from Mallorca.
30
Update Update
Foul committed by Zito Luvumbo of Mallorca.
30
Update Update
Foul committed by Zito Luvumbo against Mallorca.
29
Update Update
Foul by Sergi Darder of Mallorca.
29
Update Update
Brahim Díaz from Real Madrid won a free kick in defense.
27
Update Update
Pablo Torre from Mallorca won a free kick in the attacking area.
27
Update Update
Foul committed by Álvaro Carreras of Real Madrid.
25
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Real Madrid after Leo Román concedes.
25
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Kylian Mbappé of Real Madrid takes a right-footed shot from the left side of the box, but it's saved in the top right corner by Leo Román of Mallorca. The assist comes from Eduardo Camavinga with a through ball.
25
Corner Corner
Antonio Rüdiger of Real Madrid had a missed chance, heading the ball from a few meters out but missing to the left. The assist came from Arda Güler, who delivered a cross following a corner.
23
Corner Corner
Aurélien Tchouaméni of Real Madrid misses a chance as his header from the center of the box goes over the bar. The assist came from Arda Güler, who delivered a cross following a corner.
22
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Real Madrid after Leo Román concedes.
22
Attempt Attempt
Kylian Mbappé of Real Madrid attempts a shot with his right foot from the center of the box, but it is saved.
19
Update Update
Foul committed by Manuel Ángel of Real Madrid.
19
Update Update
Vedat Muriqi of Mallorca won a free kick in the attacking area.
17
Update Update
Manuel Ángel from Real Madrid won a free kick in defense.
16
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Manuel Ángel of Real Madrid heads the ball from the center of the box, but it's saved in the right corner by Leo Román of Mallorca. The assist was by Kylian Mbappé.
16
Attempt Attempt
Kylian Mbappé's right-footed shot from the left side of the box is blocked. The assist came from Antonio Rüdiger.
15
Update Update
Kylian Mbappé of Real Madrid won a free kick in an attacking position.
15
Corner Corner
Missed chance. Vedat Muriqi of Mallorca headed the ball from the center of the box after a corner.
15
Update Update
Pablo Torre commits a foul for Mallorca.
14
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Mallorca after Eduardo Camavinga concedes.
12
Corner Corner
Mallorca wins a corner after Aurélien Tchouaméni concedes.
9
Update Update
Foul committed by Brahim Díaz of Real Madrid.
9
Update Update
Sergi Darder from Mallorca won a free kick in defense.
6
Update Update
Foul committed by Zito Luvumbo from Mallorca.
6
Update Update
Álvaro Carreras of Real Madrid won a free kick in defense.
6
Update Update
Manuel Ángel of Real Madrid earned a free kick in defense.
5
Update Update
Offside called against Real Madrid. Dean Huijsen is in an offside position.
4
Corner Corner
Real Madrid wins a corner after Pablo Torre concedes.
3
Update Update
Foul committed by Samú Costa of Mallorca.
3
Update Update
Brahim Díaz from Real Madrid won a free kick in defense.
2
Update Update
Offside called against Real Madrid. Kylian Mbappé is offside.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Real Madrid exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

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BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

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