Mallorca vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, Preview and Stats

Spain flag 2025/2026 La Liga, Spain
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix Sun, 12 Apr - 2:15 PM
La Liga
Mallorca MLL
3 Winner 0
Rayo Vallecano RAY
Full Time Sun, 12 Apr 2:15 PM
Round 31 Regular Season
Jan Virgili - 65'
Vedat Muriqi - 40', 36'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

The match between Mallorca and Rayo Vallecano is now finished, ending with a full-time score of 1-0 to the home side. Mallorca secured a narrow victory despite Rayo Vallecano enjoying more of the ball, registering 55 percent possession to the hosts’ 45 percent. No expected goals data was available to measure chance quality, but the result showed only minimal deviation from pre-match expectations, with Mallorca proving the side that exceeded projections. Rayo Vallecano had been viewed as the stronger team heading into the contest, yet Mallorca’s efficiency remained in line with expectations across the full 90 minutes. The outcome aligned with the pre-match projection and was not shaped by any red cards or major disruptive events. Both sides avoided disciplinary trouble, allowing the game to be decided by a single goal and steady home resilience rather than external factors.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Mallorca showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

J. Gil Manzano

25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

?. Nevado Rodríguez

1st Assistant

J. Martínez Nicolás

2nd Assistant

N. Holgueras Castellanos

4th Official

Mallorca M. Demichelis
M. Demichelis
VS
Rayo Vallecano I. Pérez Soto
I. Pérez Soto
1.18
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.23
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Real Madrid Rank: W
Elche Rank: L
Espanyol Rank: W
Osasuna Rank: D
Real Sociedad Rank: L
Celta de Vigo Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Elche Rank: W
FC Barcelona Rank: L
Levante Rank: D
Sevilla Rank: D
Real Oviedo Rank: W
Athletic Club Rank: D
10
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
10 - 3 - 7
7

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Mallorca
97.6%
Draw
1.91%
Away Rayo Vallecano
0.49%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
22.82
28.24
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano
Power Score
22.82
28.24
League Position
15
13
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Mallorca — Opponent-weighted form score
Rayo Vallecano — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Mallorca Rayo Vallecano

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Mallorca

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Rayo Vallecano

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Mallorca ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Rayo Vallecano
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
30.78
35.64
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
35.64
30.78
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Mallorca -0.44 Efficiency Index
vs
Rayo Vallecano +0.44 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Mallorca ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Rayo Vallecano
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Mallorca Rayo Vallecano
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Mallorca Rayo Vallecano
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Mallorca
vs
Rayo Vallecano
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Mallorca Rayo Vallecano
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Mallorca 0.32
Rayo Vallecano 0.33
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Mallorca Rayo Vallecano
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Mallorca 0.00
Rayo Vallecano 0.08
Mallorca
Rayo Vallecano
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • RAY had peak pressure around 52'.
  • MLL started the game with stronger pressure.
MLL Pressure RAY Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: RAY reached the top pressure at 52' (97.08).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 20 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Mallorca MLL Home
20 matches
Rayo Vallecano RAY Away
Match Record
10
Wins
7
3
Draws
3
7
Losses
10
Goals
26
Goals Scored
20
20
Goals Conceded
26
+6
Goal Difference
-6

Data last updated: 2026-04-13T00:06:25+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-1-2
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
L. Román Riquelme
Spain
1 L. Román Riquelme
P. Maffeo Becerra
Substitution
Argentina
23 P. Maffeo Becerra
D. López Guijarro
Spain
27 D. López Guijarro
O. Mascarell González
Spain
5 O. Mascarell González
J. Mojica Palacio
Colombia
22 J. Mojica Palacio
S. Costa
Substitution
Portugal
12 S. Costa
S. Darder Moll
Spain
10 S. Darder Moll
M. Morlanes
Substitution
Spain
8 M. Morlanes
P. Torre Carral
Substitution
Spain
20 P. Torre Carral
Z. Sebastiao Luvumbo
Substitution
Angola
15 Z. Sebastiao Luvumbo
V. Muriqi
Kosovo
7 V. Muriqi
Pitch
D. Cárdenas Lindez
Spain
1 D. Cárdenas Lindez
L. Espino García
Uruguay
22 L. Espino García
N. Mendy
Substitution
France
32 N. Mendy
F. Lejeune
France
24 F. Lejeune
A. Ratiu
Romania
2 A. Ratiu
G. Gumbau Garriga
Spain
15 G. Gumbau Garriga
Ó. Martín Luengo
Substitution
Spain
23 Ó. Martín Luengo
P. Díaz Fanjul
Spain
4 P. Díaz Fanjul
Á. García Rivera
Substitution
Spain
18 Á. García Rivera
R. Ntekja
Substitution
France
11 R. Ntekja
Ilias Chakkour
Substitution
Morocco
12 Ilias Chakkour

General Information

Date & Time :
Apr 12, 2026, 02:15 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 La Liga, Spain · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Estadi Mallorca Son Moix
Capacity :
26020
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Jesús Gil Manzano
Ángel Nevado Rodríguez
Javier Martínez Nicolás
Néstor Holgueras Castellanos

Statistics

Possession
MLL
46%
RAY
54%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 0
6 Big Chances Created 4
0 Shots 5
37 Dangerous attacks 52
45 Possession 55
6 Corners 7
11 Free kicks 13
1 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

1 Injuries 0
3 Assists 0
5 Substitutions 5
10 Goal Attempts 12
59 Ball Safe 71
1 Hit Woodwork 0
11 Goal Kicks 6
6 Successful Dribbles 4
14 Throwins 21
17 Dribble Attempts 7
35 Successful Dribbles Percentage 57
13 Successful Headers 6

Attacking

3 Big Chances Missed 4
97 Attacks 99

Possession

350 Passes 430
11 Key Passes 15
30 Successful Long Passes 25
48 Successful Long Passes Percentage 54
79 Successful Passes Percentage 85
276 Successful Passes 367
62 Long Passes 46

Defensive

3 Saves 1
14 Tackles 18
9 Interceptions 10

Build-up

26 Total Crosses 32
7 Accurate Crosses 8

Discipline

13 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 6

Lineup

Referee : Jesús Gil Manzano

Starting XI ▼

1
Leo Román
Leo Román Goalkeeper
5
Omar Mascarell
Omar Mascarell Defender
22
Johan Mojica
Johan Mojica Defender
23
Pablo Maffeo
Pablo Maffeo Defender
9
Abdón Prats
Abdón Prats
Attacker81'
27
David López
David López Defender
8
Manu Morlanes
Manu Morlanes Midfielder
6
Antonio Sánchez
Antonio Sánchez
Midfielder81'
10
Sergi Darder
Sergi Darder Midfielder
12
Samú Costa
Samú Costa Midfielder
4
Marash Kumbulla
Marash Kumbulla
Defender72'
20
Pablo Torre
Pablo Torre Midfielder
11
Takuma Asano
Takuma Asano
Attacker72'
7
Vedat Muriqi
Vedat Muriqi Attacker
2
15
Zito Luvumbo
Zito Luvumbo Attacker
17
Jan Virgili
Jan Virgili
Attacker62'
Referee : Jesús Gil Manzano

Starting XI ▼

1
Dani Cárdenas
Dani Cárdenas Goalkeeper
2
Andrei Rațiu
Andrei Rațiu Defender
22
Alfonso Espino
Alfonso Espino Defender
24
Florian Lejeune
Florian Lejeune Defender
32
Nobel Mendy
Nobel Mendy Defender
19
Jorge de Frutos
Jorge de Frutos
Attacker46'
4
Pedro Díaz
Pedro Díaz Midfielder
15
Gerard Gumbau
Gerard Gumbau Midfielder
23
Óscar Valentín
Óscar Valentín Midfielder
6
Pathé Ciss
Pathé Ciss
Midfielder46'
11
Randy Nteka
Randy Nteka Attacker
9
Alexandre Zurawski
Alexandre Zurawski
Attacker81'
12
Ilias Akhomach
Ilias Akhomach Attacker
3
Pep Chavarría
Pep Chavarría
Defender67'
18
Álvaro García
Álvaro García Attacker
10
Sergio Camello
Sergio Camello
Attacker77'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Abdón Prats → Pablo Maffeo
9th Substitution
81'
Event
Antonio Sánchez → Manu Morlanes
10th Substitution
81'
81'
Event
Alexandre Zurawski → Randy Nteka
8th Substitution
Event
David López
Argument / 5th Yellowcard
80'
77'
Event
Sergio Camello → Álvaro García
7th Substitution
Event
Marash Kumbulla → Samú Costa
6th Substitution
72'
Event
Takuma Asano → Pablo Torre
5th Substitution
72'
67'
Event
Pep Chavarría → Ilias Akhomach
4th Substitution
Event
Jan Virgili
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
65'
65'
Event
Andrei Rațiu
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Jan Virgili → Zito Luvumbo
3rd Substitution
62'
53'
Event
Randy Nteka
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
46'
Event
Jorge de Frutos → Nobel Mendy
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Pathé Ciss → Óscar Valentín
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Vedat Muriqi
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
40'
Event
Vedat Muriqi
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
36'
32'
Event
Florian Lejeune
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
23'
Event
Nobel Mendy
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Rayo Vallecano after Leo Román concedes.
90
Attempt Attempt
Pep Chavarría's left-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The assist was provided by Pedro Díaz.
90
Attempt Attempt
Sergio Camello's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The assist was made by Pacha Espino.
90
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Pacha Espino of Rayo Vallecano takes a left-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved in the left corner by Leo Román of Mallorca. The assist comes from Pedro Díaz.
90
Update Update
Handball by Pedro Díaz of Rayo Vallecano.
90
Attempt Attempt
Pedro Díaz from Rayo Vallecano had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from outside the box, but it went high and wide to the right. Pacha Espino provided the assist.
90
Update Update
Jorge de Frutos from Rayo Vallecano won a free kick on the right wing.
90
Update Update
The second half ends with Mallorca winning 3-0 against Rayo Vallecano.
90
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated there will be 4 minutes of added time.
86
Attempt Attempt
Pedro Díaz from Rayo Vallecano had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from outside the box, but the ball went high and wide to the right. The assist was from Pacha Espino.
86
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 4 minutes of added time.
85
Update Update
Omar Mascarell fouled a player from Mallorca.
83
Update Update
Alemão from Rayo Vallecano won a free kick in defense.
82
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Mallorca after Gerard Gumbau concedes.
81
Attempt Attempt
Gerard Gumbau's right-footed shot from outside the box is blocked. The assist came from Pathé Ciss.
81
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
David López from Mallorca receives a yellow card for a foul.
81
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Jorge de Frutos - Rayo Vallecano - shot with left foot from the centre of the box missed. Assist - Sergio Camello.
80
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Mallorca: Antonio Sánchez replaces Manu Morlanes.
80
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Mallorca: Antonio Sánchez replaces Manu Morlanes.
80
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Alemão replaces Randy Nteka.
78
Update Update
Rayo Vallecano is called offside. Randy Nteka is the player in an offside position.
77
Attempt Attempt
Sergio Camello's left-footed shot from the left side of the box is blocked. The assist came from Pep Chavarría, who set him up with a header.
76
Corner Corner
Rayo Vallecano wins a corner after Pablo Maffeo concedes.
76
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Sergio Camello replaces Álvaro García.
75
Update Update
Omar Mascarell fouled a player from Mallorca.
75
Update Update
Jorge de Frutos from Rayo Vallecano won a free kick in defense.
72
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Mallorca: Marash Kumbulla replaces Samú Costa.
72
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Mallorca: Takuma Asano replaces Pablo Torre.
70
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Jorge de Frutos from Rayo Vallecano takes a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved in the left corner by Leo Román from Mallorca. The assist comes from Andrei Ratiu.
70
Update Update
Pacha Espino from Rayo Vallecano misses a chance, shooting left-footed from the left side of the box, but it's high and wide to the right. Álvaro García provided the assist.
69
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Gerard Gumbau of Rayo Vallecano takes a left-footed shot from outside the box that goes close but misses. The assist was provided by Randy Nteka.
68
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Rayo Vallecano after Pablo Torre concedes.
67
Update Update
Pacha Espino from Rayo Vallecano won a free kick in the attacking zone.
67
Update Update
Foul committed by Samú Costa of Mallorca.
67
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Pep Chavarría replaces Ilias Akhomach.
65
Update Update
Andrei Ratiu of Rayo Vallecano commits a foul.
65
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Mallorca leads Rayo Vallecano 3-0. Jan Virgili scores for Mallorca with a right-footed shot from the center of the box into the right corner, assisted by Pablo Torre's cross.
65
Update Update
Samú Costa from Mallorca won a free kick on the left wing.
65
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Andrei Ratiu of Rayo Vallecano receives a yellow card for a foul.
64
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Johan Mojica from Mallorca took a left-footed shot from the left side of the box.
62
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Mallorca: Jan Virgili comes on for Zito Luvumbo.
61
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Zito Luvumbo from Mallorca.
59
Update Update
There is a delay in the match due to an injury to Zito Luvumbo from Mallorca.
58
Attempt Attempt
Randy Nteka from Rayo Vallecano had a missed chance, heading the ball from the center of the box just close to the goal. The assist came from Pacha Espino with a cross.
57
Update Update
Offside called against Rayo Vallecano. Jorge de Frutos is offside.
57
Attempt Attempt
Jorge de Frutos from Rayo Vallecano missed a header from the center of the box, shooting to the left. The assist came from Andrei Ratiu, who provided the cross.
56
Attempt Attempt
Pablo Torre from Mallorca hits the left post with a left-footed shot from a difficult position on the left. The assist was provided by Zito Luvumbo.
54
Corner Corner
Mallorca is awarded a corner after Andrei Ratiu concedes.
53
Update Update
Randy Nteka from Rayo Vallecano committed a foul.
53
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Randy Nteka of Rayo Vallecano receives a yellow card for a foul.
53
Update Update
Sergi Darder from Mallorca won a free kick in defense.
52
Corner Corner
Missed chance. Pacha Espino from Rayo Vallecano took a left-footed shot from outside the box after a corner, but it missed the target.
52
Corner Corner
Rayo Vallecano wins a corner after David López concedes.
50
Attempt Attempt
Pedro Díaz's shot from outside the box is blocked. Randy Nteka provided the assist.
49
Update Update
Pathé Ciss of Rayo Vallecano won a free kick in defense.
49
Update Update
Foul committed by Manu Morlanes of Mallorca.
48
Update Update
Omar Mascarell of Mallorca won a free kick in defense.
48
Update Update
Omar Mascarell from Mallorca won a free kick in defense.
47
Attempt Attempt
Jorge de Frutos from Rayo Vallecano missed a chance, shooting with his right foot from the center of the box after a fast break.
47
Update Update
Pacha Espino of Rayo Vallecano won a free kick in defense.
47
Update Update
Foul committed by Vedat Muriqi of Mallorca.
45
Corner Corner
Rayo Vallecano wins a corner after David López concedes.
45
Update Update
The fourth official has indicated that there will be 3 minutes of added time.
45
Attempt Attempt
Randy Nteka of Rayo Vallecano missed a header from close range after an assist from Álvaro García's cross.
45
Update Update
Pacha Espino from Rayo Vallecano won a free kick in the attacking area.
45
Update Update
The first half ends with Mallorca leading Rayo Vallecano 2-0.
45
Corner Corner
Rayo Vallecano wins a corner after Leo Román concedes.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Rayo Vallecano after Leo Román concedes.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Pathé Ciss replaces Óscar Valentín.
45
Substitution Substitution
Substitution for Rayo Vallecano: Jorge de Frutos replaces Nobel Mendy.
45
Update Update
The second half begins with Mallorca leading Rayo Vallecano 2-0.
45
Update Update
Foul committed by Zito Luvumbo of Mallorca.
43
Attempt Attempt
Pablo Torre from Mallorca had a missed chance, shooting with his left foot from the left side of the box. The assist was provided by Manu Morlanes.
43
Attempt Attempt
Pablo Maffeo from Mallorca had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from a difficult position on the right. The assist came from Pablo Torre.
40
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Vedat Muriqi scores for Mallorca with a left-footed shot from the center of the box into the high center of the goal, assisted by Zito Luvumbo's cross. The score is now Mallorca 2, Rayo Vallecano 0.
39
Attempt Attempt
Missed chance. Samú Costa from Mallorca shot with his left foot from the center of the box.
36
Update Update
Samú Costa from Mallorca won a free kick in an attacking position.
36
Update Update
Andrei Ratiu from Rayo Vallecano committed a foul.
36
Corner Corner
Mallorca wins a corner after Nobel Mendy concedes.
36
Corner Corner
Goal! Mallorca leads Rayo Vallecano 1-0. Vedat Muriqi scores for Mallorca with a left-footed shot from close range into the top right corner, assisted by Samú Costa following a corner.
36
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Mallorca leads Rayo Vallecano 1-0. Vedat Muriqi scores for Mallorca with a left-footed shot from close range into the top right corner, assisted by Samú Costa after a corner.
32
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Florian Lejeune of Rayo Vallecano receives a yellow card for a foul.
32
Update Update
Fouled by Florian Lejeune of Rayo Vallecano.
32
Update Update
Vedat Muriqi from Mallorca won a free kick on the left wing.
31
Update Update
Álvaro García of Rayo Vallecano is flagged for offside.
31
Update Update
Offside called against Mallorca. Zito Luvumbo is offside.
30
Update Update
Pablo Torre from Mallorca committed a foul.
30
Update Update
Óscar Valentín of Rayo Vallecano won a free kick in defense.
30
Update Update
Álvaro García from Rayo Vallecano was awarded a free kick in defense.
28
Update Update
Pablo Maffeo of Mallorca misses a chance, heading the ball from the center of the box high and wide to the left. The assist came from Johan Mojica's cross.
24
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Mallorca after Dani Cárdenas concedes.
24
Corner Corner
New attacking attempt. Pablo Torre from Mallorca takes a right-footed shot from outside the box, but it's saved in the right corner by Dani Cárdenas from Rayo Vallecano.
23
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Nobel Mendy of Rayo Vallecano receives a yellow card for a foul.
23
Update Update
Nobel Mendy of Rayo Vallecano committed a foul.
23
Update Update
Zito Luvumbo of Mallorca won a free kick in an attacking position.
20
Update Update
Vedat Muriqi of Mallorca won a free kick on the left wing.
20
Update Update
Samú Costa from Mallorca won a free kick on the right wing.
20
Update Update
Gerard Gumbau of Rayo Vallecano committed a foul.
20
Update Update
Fouled by Florian Lejeune of Rayo Vallecano.
19
Update Update
Gerard Gumbau from Rayo Vallecano won a free kick in defense.
19
Update Update
Pablo Torre fouled a player from Mallorca.
18
Update Update
Offside - Mallorca. Zito Luvumbo is in offside.
16
Update Update
Randy Nteka from Rayo Vallecano won a free kick on the left wing.
16
Update Update
Foul committed by David López of Mallorca.
16
Attempt Attempt
Manu Morlanes from Mallorca had a missed chance, shooting with his right foot from the center of the box but missing to the left. The assist came from Sergi Darder with a cross.
12
Update Update
Offside called against Rayo Vallecano. Pacha Espino is offside.
11
Update Update
Foul committed by Johan Mojica of Mallorca.
11
Update Update
Nobel Mendy of Rayo Vallecano is flagged for offside.
11
Update Update
Ilias Akhomach from Rayo Vallecano won a free kick on the right wing.
10
Update Update
Andrei Ratiu of Rayo Vallecano won a free kick in defense.
10
Update Update
Zito Luvumbo fouled a player from Mallorca.
9
Corner Corner
Rayo Vallecano wins a corner after Manu Morlanes concedes.
9
Corner Corner
Rayo Vallecano wins a corner after Samú Costa concedes.
7
Update Update
Pablo Maffeo of Mallorca won a free kick in defense.
7
Update Update
Gerard Gumbau from Rayo Vallecano committed a foul.
6
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Mallorca after Álvaro García concedes.
4
Corner Corner
Corner awarded to Mallorca after a concession by Nobel Mendy.
2
Update Update
Rayo Vallecano is called offside. Randy Nteka is the player in an offside position.
1
Update Update
Zito Luvumbo from Mallorca won a free kick on the right wing.
1
Update Update
Nobel Mendy from Rayo Vallecano commits a foul.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Mallorca exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

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Alf Indseth

Alf Indseth writes football-focused analysis that looks beyond match results to explore form, value, and market context.