Luzern vs Servette Prediction, Preview and Stats

Switzerland flag 2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland
swissporarena Sat, 9 May - 6:30 PM
Super League
Luzern LUZ
3 – 3
Servette Servette
Full Time Sat, 9 May 6:30 PM
Round 36 Relegation Round
Oscar Kabwit - 81'
Adrian Bajrami - 73'
Levin Winkler - 67'
Goal
|
Goal
Lilian Njoh - 79'
Thomas Lopes - 39'
Miroslav Stevanovic - 11'

CONTEXT

In an exhilarating Swiss Super League clash at Swissporarena, Luzern and Servette played out a dramatic 3-3 draw. Servette dominated the first half, surging to a 2-0 lead by halftime with clinical finishing, while possession remained perfectly balanced at 50% each. Luzern, trailing but undeterred, unleashed a stunning second-half comeback, netting three goals to salvage a point against the stronger visitors. No red cards marred the contest, allowing uninterrupted end-to-end football that thrilled spectators. Servette entered as the form team, yet Luzern's resilience flipped the script, resulting in a significant structural deviation of 75% linked to Servette's performance. Even possession highlighted the tactical parity, with both sides pushing hard until the final whistle. This outcome underscores Luzern's fighting spirit and Servette's inability to hold their advantage.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: The match recorded a significant 75% structural deviation attributed to Servette.
  • Efficiency shift: Team efficiencies aligned in line with established metrics.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment assessment unavailable due to missing data.
  • Market alignment: Pre-match market expectations failed to align with the draw result.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unmeasurable without available metrics.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events altered the game's trajectory.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured no distortion to match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

H. Sanli

Switzerland 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

M. Turkes

4th Official

Switzerland

P. Hirzel

1st Assistant

Switzerland

N. Lötscher

2nd Assistant

Switzerland

League averages

Super League Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 19.74
Yellow cards / match 3.56
Red cards / match 0.18
Penalties / match 0.39
Luzern M. Frick
M. Frick
VS
Servette J. Gourvennec
J. Gourvennec
1.32
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.45
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lausanne Sport Rank: 57 W
Grasshopper Rank: 49 W
St. Gallen Rank: 64 D
Servette Rank: 63 L
Lausanne Sport Rank: 55 W
Winterthur Rank: 45 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Grasshopper Rank: 49 W
Winterthur Rank: 44 W
Young Boys Rank: 62 D
Luzern Rank: 60 W
Grasshopper Rank: 48 W
Basel Rank: 64 L
10
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
10 - 9 - 15
15

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Luzern
42.64%
Draw
25.02%
Away Servette
32.35%

Movement

Changes since opening
Luzern
+38.21%
Draw
-66.13%
Servette
+27.92%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
59.91
62.76
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Luzern
Servette
Power Score
59.91
62.76
League Position
7
8
Global Rank
489
406

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Luzern — Opponent-weighted form score
Servette — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Luzern Servette

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Luzern

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Servette

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Luzern ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Servette
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
31.20
34.50
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
34.50
31.20
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Luzern -0.30 Efficiency Index
vs
Servette +0.30 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Luzern
Servette
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Luzern ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Servette
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Luzern Servette
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Luzern Servette
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Luzern
Servette
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Luzern
vs
Servette
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Luzern Servette
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Luzern 0.25
Servette 0.33
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Luzern Servette
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Luzern 0.07
Servette 0.06
Luzern
Servette
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Servette had peak pressure around 90'.
  • LUZ started the game with stronger pressure.
LUZ Pressure Servette Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Servette reached the top pressure at 90' (77.61).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 34 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Luzern LUZ Home
34 matches
Servette Servette Away
Match Record
10
Wins
15
9
Draws
9
15
Losses
10
Goals
54
Goals Scored
56
56
Goals Conceded
54
-2
Goal Difference
+2

Data last updated: 2026-05-10T00:05:19+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-1-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
P. Loretz
Switzerland
1 P. Loretz
S. Ottiger
Substitution
Switzerland
2 S. Ottiger
B. Freimann
46 B. Freimann
A. Bajrami
Albania
4 A. Bajrami
R. Fernandes
Substitution
Switzerland
22 R. Fernandes
O. Kabwit tshikomb
DR Congo
16 O. Kabwit tshikomb
T. Owusu
Switzerland
24 T. Owusu
L. Winkler
29 L. Winkler
M. Di Giusto
Substitution
Switzerland
11 M. Di Giusto
S. Meyer
Substitution
Switzerland
71 S. Meyer
A. Vasovic
Substitution
Switzerland
19 A. Vasovic
Pitch
J. Frick
Switzerland
32 J. Frick
B. Mazikou
France
18 B. Mazikou
M. Burch
Switzerland
15 M. Burch
S. Rouiller
Switzerland
4 S. Rouiller
H. Mendes
Guinea-Bissau
17 H. Mendes
D. Douline
France
28 D. Douline
L. Fomba
Substitution
France
11 L. Fomba
J. Kadile
France
10 J. Kadile
M. Stevanović
Bosnia and Herzegovina
9 M. Stevanović
T. Lopes
Substitution
France
36 T. Lopes
S. Mráz
Substitution
Slovakia
90 S. Mráz

General Information

Date & Time :
May 09, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Super League, Switzerland · Round 36 · Relegation Round
Stadium :
swissporarena
Capacity :
16800
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Mirel Turkes
Pascal Hirzel
Noël Lötscher
Hüseyin Sanli

Statistics

Possession
LUZ
50%
Servette
50%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 3
0 Big Chances Created 2
6 Shots 8
52 Dangerous attacks 45
50 Possession 50
6 Corners 2
12 Free kicks 16
1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

8 Successful Dribbles 9
57 Successful Dribbles Percentage 43
14 Dribble Attempts 21
2 Injuries 1
3 Goal Kicks 8
20 Throwins 22
3 Assists 3
5 Substitutions 2
76 Ball Safe 70
9 Goal Attempts 12

Attacking

90 Attacks 98
0 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

38 Long Passes 39
397 Passes 396
328 Successful Passes 323
83 Successful Passes Percentage 82
12 Key Passes 13
47 Successful Long Passes Percentage 49
18 Successful Long Passes 19

Defensive

17 Tackles 16
9 Interceptions 15
5 Saves 3

Build-up

25 Total Crosses 19
4 Accurate Crosses 7

Discipline

16 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 0

Lineup

Referee : Hüseyin Sanli

Starting XI ▼

1
Pascal Loretz
Pascal Loretz Goalkeeper
2
Severin Ottiger
Severin Ottiger Defender
10
Sinan Karweina
Sinan Karweina
Attacker86'
4
Adrian Bajrami
Adrian Bajrami Defender
22
Rúben Dantas Fernandes
Rúben Dantas Fernandes Defender
14
Andrejs Ciganiks
Andrejs Ciganiks
Defender63'
46
Bung Meng Freimann
Bung Meng Freimann Defender
11
Matteo Di Giusto
Matteo Di Giusto Midfielder
73
Lucas Manuel Silva Ferreira
Lucas Manuel Silva Ferreira
Midfielder63'
16
Oscar Kabwit
Oscar Kabwit Midfielder
24
Tyron Owusu
Tyron Owusu Midfielder
29
Levin Winkler
Levin Winkler Midfielder
19
Andrej Vasovic
Andrej Vasovic Attacker
27
Lars Villiger
Lars Villiger
Attacker63'
71
Sascha Meyer
Sascha Meyer Attacker
7
Kevin Spadanuda
Kevin Spadanuda
Midfielder46'
Referee : Hüseyin Sanli

Starting XI ▼

32
Jérémy Frick
Jérémy Frick Goalkeeper
4
Steve Rouiller
Steve Rouiller Defender
15
Marco Burch
Marco Burch Defender
17
Houboulang Mendes
Houboulang Mendes Defender
18
Bradley Mazikou
Bradley Mazikou Defender
9
Miroslav Stevanovic
Miroslav Stevanovic Midfielder
10
Junior Kadile
Junior Kadile Midfielder
11
Lamine Fomba
Lamine Fomba Midfielder
5
Gaël Ondoua
Gaël Ondoua
Midfielder81'
28
David Douline
David Douline Midfielder
36
Thomas Lopes
Thomas Lopes Midfielder
14
Lilian Njoh
Lilian Njoh
Defender65'
90
Samuel Mraz
Samuel Mraz Attacker
21
Jérémy Guillemenot
Jérémy Guillemenot
Attacker65'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Sinan Karweina → Severin Ottiger
8th Substitution
86'
Event
Oscar Kabwit
Left foot shot / 6th Goal
81'
81'
Event
Gaël Ondoua → Lamine Fomba
7th Substitution
79'
Event
Lilian Njoh
Right foot shot / 5th Goal
76'
Event
Jérémy Guillemenot
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Adrian Bajrami
Header / 4th Goal
73'
Event
Levin Winkler
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
67'
65'
Event
Jérémy Guillemenot → Samuel Mraz
5th Substitution
65'
Event
Lilian Njoh → Thomas Lopes
6th Substitution
Event
Andrejs Ciganiks → Rúben Dantas Fernandes
2nd Substitution
63'
Event
Lucas Manuel Silva Ferreira → Matteo Di Giusto
3rd Substitution
63'
Event
Lars Villiger → Andrej Vasovic
4th Substitution
63'
57'
Event
Junior Kadile
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Severin Ottiger
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
54'
48'
Event
Thomas Lopes
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Kevin Spadanuda → Sascha Meyer
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
39'
Event
Thomas Lopes
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
11'
Event
Miroslav Stevanovic
Left foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Miroslav Stevanovic takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Oscar Tshikomb takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Junior Kadile's right-footed shot is blocked.
87
Attempt Attempt
David Douline's right-footed shot is blocked.
87
Attempt Attempt
Lilian Njoh takes a left-footed shot, but it misses the target.
86
Update Update
Sinan Karweina is on, and Severin Ottiger is off.
83
Attempt Attempt
Lars Villiger's right-footed shot is blocked.
83
Update Update
Gael Ondoua is replaced by Lamine Fomba.
81
Attempt Attempt
Oscar Tshikomb scores with a left-footed shot.
79
Attempt Attempt
Lilian Njoh scores with a right-footed shot.
79
Attempt Attempt
Lilian Njoh takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
73
Update Update
Adrian Bajrami scores with a header.
71
Attempt Attempt
Kevin Spadanuda takes a shot with his right foot, but it's saved.
67
Attempt Attempt
Levin Winkler scores with a right-footed shot.
65
Update Update
Lilian Njoh is on, and Thomas Lopes is off.
65
Update Update
Jérémy Guillemenot comes on for Samuel Mraz.
64
Attempt Attempt
David Douline takes a left-footed shot but misses.
63
Update Update
Lucas Manuel Silva Ferreira is on, and Matteo Di Giusto is off.
63
Substitution Substitution
Andrejs Ciganiks is substituted off for Ruben Dantas.
63
Update Update
Lars Villiger replaces Andrej Vasovic.
62
Attempt Attempt
Matteo Di Giusto takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
61
Attempt Attempt
Samuel Mraz takes a right-footed shot but misses.
60
Attempt Attempt
Lamine Fomba's right-footed shot is saved.
57
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Junior Kadile receives a yellow card.
50
Attempt Attempt
Junior Kadile takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
49
Attempt Attempt
Andrej Vasovic takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
48
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Thomas Lopes receives a yellow card.
46
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Kevin Spadanuda comes on for Sascha Meyer.
42
Attempt Attempt
Sascha Meyer takes a header shot but misses.
39
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Thomas Lopes scores, making it 0-2.
39
Attempt Attempt
Thomas Lopes scores with a left-footed shot.
33
Attempt Attempt
Bung Meng Freimann takes a right-footed shot but misses.
33
Attempt Attempt
Junior Kadile takes a right-footed shot but misses.
30
Attempt Attempt
Andrej Vasovic attempts a header but misses the shot.
29
Attempt Attempt
Samuel Mraz takes a shot, but it's saved.
15
Attempt Attempt
Sascha Meyer takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
15
Attempt Attempt
Sascha Meyer takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
11
Attempt Attempt
Miroslav Stevanovic scores with a left-footed shot.
5
Attempt Attempt
Lamine Fomba's left-footed shot is blocked.

CONCLUSION

Structural assessment: Servette exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.

Luzern vs Servette preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

About BestPreviews Methodology & FAQ More Match Reports

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

Related Football Previews

Explore League Previews

Super League, Switzerland View all league clusters View methodology and FAQ