LOSC Lille vs Auxerre Prediction, Preview and Stats

France flag 2025/2026 Ligue 1, France
Stade Pierre-Mauroy Sun, 17 May - 7:00 PM
Ligue 1
LOSC Lille LOSC
0 Winner 2
Auxerre AUX
Full Time Sun, 17 May 7:00 PM
Round 34 Regular Season
|
Goal
Lassine Sinayoko - 90', 32'

CONTEXT

Auxerre secured a 0-2 victory over LOSC Lille in a match where the home side held 73 percent possession yet failed to score. The visitors took the lead before halftime and maintained their advantage through disciplined defending. Lille entered as the stronger team but could not overcome Auxerre's compact structure or convert territorial dominance into clear opportunities. No red cards were shown to either side and the game proceeded without major interruptions. The second half saw Lille push forward but Auxerre remained organized and clinical on the counter. This result highlights how possession statistics alone do not determine outcomes when efficiency and timing differ between teams. The final scoreline reflected Auxerre's ability to capitalize on key moments despite lower ball control.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: LOSC Lille 0-2 Auxerre. Auxerre showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift stayed in line with the match dynamics throughout both halves.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data remained unavailable for both teams in this fixture.
  • Market alignment: The outcome proved consistent with pre-match performance projections for the winner.
  • xG expectations: No concrete xG expectations could be assessed given the absence of metrics.
  • Event impact: The away goal before halftime shaped the result and limited Lille's recovery options.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards for either team produced no distortion to overall match flow.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

W. Delajod

France 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

E. Finjean

1st Assistant

France

V. Evrard

2nd Assistant

France

T. Léonard

4th Official

France

League averages

Ligue 1 Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 20.86
Yellow cards / match 3.2
Red cards / match 0.17
Penalties / match 0.28
LOSC Lille B. Génésio
B. Génésio
VS
Auxerre C. Pélissier
C. Pélissier
1.95
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.14
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Monaco Rank: 80 W
Le Havre Rank: 67 D
Paris Rank: 71 W
Nice Rank: 72 D
Toulouse Rank: 74 W
Lens Rank: 82 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Nice Rank: 73 W
Angers SCO Rank: 68 W
Olympique Lyonnais Rank: 81 L
Monaco Rank: 79 D
Nantes Rank: 66 D
Le Havre Rank: 67 D
7
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
7 - 7 - 7
7

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home LOSC Lille
0.2%
Draw
1.92%
Away Auxerre
97.89%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
81.06
70.74
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
LOSC Lille
Auxerre
Power Score
81.06
70.74
League Position
3
15
Global Rank
52
185

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
LOSC Lille — Opponent-weighted form score
Auxerre — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) LOSC Lille Auxerre

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

LOSC Lille

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Auxerre

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

LOSC Lille ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Auxerre
Created Set-piece attacking threat
LOSC Lille Auxerre
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
LOSC Lille Auxerre
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
LOSC Lille
Auxerre
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
LOSC Lille
vs
Auxerre
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
LOSC Lille Auxerre
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
LOSC Lille 0.00
Auxerre 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
LOSC Lille Auxerre
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
LOSC Lille 0.00
Auxerre 0.00
LOSC Lille
Auxerre
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • AUX had peak pressure around 25'.
  • LOSC started the game with stronger pressure.
LOSC Pressure AUX Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: AUX reached the top pressure at 25' (77.22).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 21 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

LOSC Lille LOSC Home
21 matches
Auxerre AUX Away
Match Record
7
Wins
7
7
Draws
7
7
Losses
7
Goals
31
Goals Scored
29
29
Goals Conceded
31
+2
Goal Difference
-2

Data last updated: 2026-05-17T18:45:14+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-5-1-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch
B. Özer
Türkiye
1 B. Özer
N. Ngoy
Belgium
3 N. Ngoy
A. Mandi
Algeria
23 A. Mandi
R. Perraud
Substitution
France
15 R. Perraud
N. Mukau
Substitution
Belgium
17 N. Mukau
A. Bouaddi
France
32 A. Bouaddi
N. Bentaleb
Substitution
Algeria
6 N. Bentaleb
B. André
France
21 B. André
F. Sanches Correia
Substitution
Portugal
27 F. Sanches Correia
H. Haraldsson
Substitution
Iceland
10 H. Haraldsson
M. Fernandez Pardo
Belgium
7 M. Fernandez Pardo
Pitch
D. Léon
French Guiana
16 D. Léon
G. Mensah
Ghana
14 G. Mensah
T. Siwe
France
13 T. Siwe
S. Diomande
Ivory Coast
20 S. Diomande
L. Sy
France
27 L. Sy
K. Danois
France
5 K. Danois
E. Owusu
Ghana
42 E. Owusu
N. Ahamada
France
8 N. Ahamada
D. Loader
Substitution
Cameroon
19 D. Loader
S. Mara
Substitution
France
9 S. Mara
L. Sinayoko
Mali
10 L. Sinayoko

General Information

Date & Time :
May 17, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 Ligue 1, France · Round 34 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Capacity :
50186
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Erwan Finjean
Valentin Evrard
Thomas Léonard
Willy Delajod

Statistics

Possession
LOSC
68%
AUX
32%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 2
2 Big Chances Created 1
3 Shots 4
90 Dangerous attacks 20
73 Possession 27
4 Corners 2
16 Free kicks 9
3 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

11 Successful Dribbles 7
22 Throwins 16
23 Dribble Attempts 14
10 Successful Headers 9
48 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50
7 Goal Kicks 11
4 Goal Attempts 3
47 Ball Safe 38
5 Substitutions 2

Attacking

135 Attacks 71
2 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

89 Successful Passes Percentage 67
66 Successful Long Passes Percentage 26
545 Successful Passes 155
38 Long Passes 65
613 Passes 232
9 Key Passes 3
25 Successful Long Passes 17

Defensive

2 Saves 3
15 Tackles 17
51 Duels Won 40
7 Interceptions 12

Build-up

26 Total Crosses 9
7 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

9 Fouls 16
3 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Willy Delajod

Starting XI ▼

1
Berke Özer
Berke Özer Goalkeeper
6.85
3
Nathan Ngoy
Nathan Ngoy Defender
6.85
15
Romain Perraud
Romain Perraud Defender
7.05
24
Calvin Verdonk
Calvin Verdonk
Defender46'
6.61
23
Aïssa Mandi
Aïssa Mandi Defender
7.09
6
Nabil Bentaleb
Nabil Bentaleb Midfielder
6.89
8
Ethan Mbappé
Ethan Mbappé
Midfielder46'
6.72
17
Ngal'ayel Mukau
Ngal'ayel Mukau Midfielder
6.64
9
Olivier Giroud
Olivier Giroud
Attacker46'
6.83
21
Benjamin André
Benjamin André Midfielder
7.17
27
Félix Correia
Félix Correia Midfielder
6.9
11
Osame Sahraoui
Osame Sahraoui
Attacker62'
6.68
32
Ayyoub Bouaddi
Ayyoub Bouaddi Midfielder
6.8
7
Matías Fernández-Pardo
Matías Fernández-Pardo Attacker
7.03
10
Hákon Arnar Haraldsson
Hákon Arnar Haraldsson Attacker
7.08
28
Gaëtan Perrin
Gaëtan Perrin
Attacker82'
6.86
Referee : Willy Delajod

Starting XI ▼

16
Donovan Léon
Donovan Léon Goalkeeper
6.82
13
T. Siwe
T. Siwe Defender
6.42
14
Gideon Mensah
Gideon Mensah Defender
6.69
20
Sinaly Diomandé
Sinaly Diomandé Defender
6.84
27
Lamine Sy
Lamine Sy Defender
6.64
5
Kévin Danois
Kévin Danois Midfielder
7.09
8
Naouirou Ahamada
Naouirou Ahamada Midfielder
6.71
42
Elisha Owusu
Elisha Owusu Midfielder
6.73
9
Sékou Mara
Sékou Mara Attacker
6.84
29
Marvin Senaya
Marvin Senaya
Defender82'
6.8
10
Lassine Sinayoko
Lassine Sinayoko Attacker
2
7.15
19
Danny Namaso
Danny Namaso Attacker
6.79
7
Josué Casimir
Josué Casimir
Attacker72'
6.67

Events

2ND-HALF
90'
Event
Lassine Sinayoko
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Gaëtan Perrin → Hákon Arnar Haraldsson
6th Substitution
82'
82'
Event
Marvin Senaya → Sékou Mara
7th Substitution
81'
Event
Donovan Léon
Time wasting / 5th Yellowcard
72'
Event
Josué Casimir → Danny Namaso
5th Substitution
67'
Event
Danny Namaso
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Osame Sahraoui → Félix Correia
4th Substitution
62'
Event
Benjamin André
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
60'
Event
Ethan Mbappé → Nabil Bentaleb
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Olivier Giroud → Ngal'ayel Mukau
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Calvin Verdonk → Romain Perraud
3rd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
Event
Nathan Ngoy
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
43'
Event
Hákon Arnar Haraldsson
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
40'
32'
Event
Lassine Sinayoko
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
24'
Event
Sinaly Diomandé
Goal disallowed

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Lassine Sinayoko takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Lassine Sinayoko scores, making it 0-2.
82
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Donovan Leon receives a yellow card.
82
Update Update
Gaetan Perrin comes on for Hakon Arnar Haraldsson.
82
Update Update
Marvin Senaya is on, and Sekou Mara is off.
80
Attempt Attempt
Naouirou Ahamada takes a right-footed shot but misses.
80
Attempt Attempt
Naouirou Ahamada takes a right-footed shot but misses.
80
Attempt Attempt
Naouirou Ahamada takes a right-footed shot but misses.
72
Update Update
Josue Casimir replaces Danny Loader.
67
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Danny Loader receives a yellow card.
66
Attempt Attempt
Benjamin Andre's right-footed shot is blocked.
62
Update Update
Osame Sahraoui replaces Felix Correia.
60
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Benjamin Andre receives a yellow card.
54
Attempt Attempt
Felix Correia takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
54
Attempt Attempt
Nathan Ngoy attempts a header but misses the shot.
53
Attempt Attempt
Matias Fernandez Pardo takes a right-footed shot but misses.
50
Attempt Attempt
Sekou Mara takes a right-footed shot but misses.
46
Update Update
Ethan Mbappe comes on for Nabil Bentaleb.
46
Update Update
Olivier Giroud comes on for Ngal Ayel Mukau.
46
Update Update
Calvin Verdonk replaces Romain Perraud.
45
Attempt Attempt
Romain Perraud takes a right-footed shot but misses.
43
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Nathan Ngoy receives a yellow card.
40
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Hakon Arnar Haraldsson receives a yellow card.
35
Attempt Attempt
Felix Correia takes a right-footed shot but misses.
33
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Lassine Sinayoko scores, making it 1-0.
32
Attempt Attempt
Lassine Sinayoko takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
32
Attempt Attempt
Lassine Sinayoko takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
31
Attempt Attempt
Felix Correia takes a left-footed shot but misses.
23
Update Update
VAR decision: Goal disallowed for offside against Sinaly Diomande.
23
Attempt Attempt
Telli Siwe takes a shot, but it's saved.
20
Attempt Attempt
Kevin Danois takes a right-footed shot but misses.
12
Attempt Attempt
Nabil Bentaleb takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
4
Attempt Attempt
Matias Fernandez Pardo takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Willy Delajod.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: LOSC Lille 0-2 Auxerre. Structural assessment: Auxerre exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.

LOSC Lille vs Auxerre preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

About BestPreviews Methodology & FAQ More Match Reports

How We Build This Analysis

BestPreviews combines tactical context, lineup quality, xG trends, and form data across competitions. Read the full methodology and FAQ.

Related Football Previews

Explore League Previews

Ligue 1, France View all league clusters View methodology and FAQ

Author

Alf Indseth

Alf Indseth writes football-focused analysis that looks beyond match results to explore form, value, and market context.