Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Slaven Koprivnica Prediction, Preview and Stats
2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia
Stadion Kranjčevićeva Tue, 21 Apr - 2:00 PM
1. HNL Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb 
2 
1
1
Slaven Koprivnica Slaven Koprivnica Full Time Tue, 21 Apr 2:00 PM
Round 31 · Regular Season
Blaz Boskovic - 84'
Mirko Susak - 34'
|
Ljuban Crepulja - 32' (P)
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion Promotion Playoffs Relegation
Data last checked: May 15
CONTEXT
Lokomotiva Zagreb claimed a 2-1 victory over Slaven Koprivnica in a competitive Croatian league encounter. The match was evenly poised at 1-1 at halftime, with both sides scoring once in the opening period. Lokomotiva, identified as the stronger team, controlled possession at 55% to Slaven's 45%, maintaining pressure throughout. The home side's second-half goal proved decisive, securing the win without any red cards disrupting play. No major tactical adjustments were noted in the second half. Pre-match evaluations placed Lokomotiva's win probability at 47.9%, with the outcome showing a significant 52.1% deviation in their favor, though overall aligned with market expectations. Efficiency metrics stayed in line with projections, highlighting Lokomotiva's clinical edge despite the close scoreline.
TL;DR
- Structural deviation: Lokomotiva Zagreb's 2-1 win featured a significant 52.1% structural deviation in their favor.
- Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations for both teams.
- xG alignment: xG alignment could not be assessed due to unavailable data.
- Market alignment: The result aligned with pre-match market expectations.
- xG expectations: xG expectations were unavailable for evaluation.
- Event impact: No second-half adjustments or key events altered the match dynamics.
- Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, resulting in zero distortion from dismissals.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Match referee
I. Vukančić
• 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 
0.12
0.12 Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0
Other match officials
V. Đurak
1st Assistant
P. Krmar
2nd Assistant
P. Pavlešić
4th Official
N. Jelavić
VS
M. Gregurina
1.05
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.2
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Gorica Rank: W
Istra 1961 Rank: W
Vukovar Rank: D
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: L
Hajduk Split Rank: L
Varaždin Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hajduk Split Rank: D
Varaždin Rank: L
Rijeka Rank: L
Osijek Rank: D
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: L
Gorica Rank: D
25
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
25 - 19 - 16
16
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min) Lokomotiva Zagreb47.91%
Draw
26.89%
Slaven Koprivnica25.2%
Movement
Changes since opening Lokomotiva Zagreb-48.2%
Draw
+23.19%
Slaven Koprivnica+25.01%
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
20.13 17.08 0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Lokomotiva Zagreb Slaven KoprivnicaPower Score
20.13
17.08
League Position
5
6
Global Rank
-
-
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Lokomotiva Zagreb — Opponent-weighted form score
Slaven Koprivnica — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lokomotiva Zagreb Slaven Koprivnica
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Lokomotiva Zagreb
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Slaven Koprivnica
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Lokomotiva Zagreb ⚠ Proxyvs
⚠ Proxy Slaven Koprivnica
Attacking Efficiency Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
34.45
16.89
Defensive Efficiency Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
16.89
34.45
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Lokomotiva Zagreb +1.79 Efficiency Index
vs
Slaven Koprivnica -1.79 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Lokomotiva Zagreb
Slaven Koprivnica
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Lokomotiva Zagreb ⚠ Proxyvs
⚠ Proxy Slaven Koprivnica
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Lokomotiva Zagreb Slaven Koprivnica Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Lokomotiva Zagreb Slaven Koprivnica Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Lokomotiva Zagreb
Slaven Koprivnica
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Lokomotiva Zagrebvs
Slaven Koprivnica
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Lokomotiva Zagreb Slaven Koprivnica Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Lokomotiva Zagreb 0.27
Slaven Koprivnica 0.10
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Lokomotiva Zagreb Slaven Koprivnica Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Lokomotiva Zagreb 0.02
Slaven Koprivnica 0.03
Lokomotiva Zagreb
Slaven Koprivnica
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- Lokomotiva Zagreb had peak pressure around 84'.
- Lokomotiva Zagreb started the game with stronger pressure.
Lokomotiva Zagreb Pressure Slaven Koprivnica Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Lokomotiva Zagreb reached the top pressure at 84' (100.00).
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 60 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb Home
60 matches
Slaven Koprivnica Slaven Koprivnica Away
Match Record 25
Wins
16
19
Draws
19
16
Losses
25
Goals 93
Goals Scored
68
68
Goals Conceded
93
+25
Goal Difference
-25
Data last updated: 2026-04-22T00:01:05+00:00
STARTING XI
Lokomotiva Zagreb Slaven Koprivnica Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
12 J. Posavec
23 M. Vešović
5 T. Jukić
16 L. Dajčer
17 M. Pajač
6 B. Bošković
M. Lorber
#1490+2'
10 M. Subotic
D. Vuković
#3072'
11 M. Šušak
P. Smiljanić
#2590+2'
29 J. Vasilj
T. Kralevski
#290+2'
28 L. Belcar
A. Stojaković
#1557'
9 I. Abdallah Sabra
31 O. Hadzikic
5 Z. Katalinić
2 V. Međimorec
M. Aščić
#2988'
4 D. Kovačić
20 M. Petrovic
17 F. Mažar
21 L. Crepulja
18 F. Krušelj
L. Bošnjak
#2446'
23 I. Lepinjica
15 I. Ćubelić
I. Božić
#985'
7 M. Dabro
General Information
📅 Date & Time :
Apr 21, 2026, 02:00 PM
🏆 Competition :
2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 31 · Regular Season
🏟️ Stadium :
Stadion Kranjčevićeva
👥 Capacity :
8850
🌱 Pitch Surface :
Grass
🌤️ Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
🧑⚖️ Referees :
Vedran Đurak
Patrik Krmar
Patrik Pavlešić
Ivan Vukančić
Next Match
Lokomotiva Zagreb
vs
Osijek
League: 1. HNL
Kickoff: Sat, 25 Apr - 4:15 PM
Venue: Stadion Gradski vrt
Slaven Koprivnica
vs
Vukovar
League: 1. HNL
Kickoff: Sat, 25 Apr - 2:00 PM
Venue: Gradski Stadion
Statistics
Possession
Lokomotiva Zagreb
55%
Slaven Koprivnica
45%
Top Statistics
2 Goals 1
3 Big Chances Created 1
7 Shots 3
59 Dangerous attacks 52
55 Possession 45
5 Corners 3
9 Free kicks 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
Match Overview
9 Successful Dribbles 4
20 Throwins 18
53 Successful Dribbles Percentage 33
17 Dribble Attempts 12
5 Goal Kicks 8
0 Penalties 1
2 Assists 0
5 Substitutions 3
Attacking
106 Attacks 99
1 Big Chances Missed 0
Possession
87 Successful Passes Percentage 82
497 Passes 402
35 Successful Long Passes 31
63 Successful Long Passes Percentage 54
432 Successful Passes 329
56 Long Passes 57
Defensive
40 Duels Won 37
9 Interceptions 5
14 Tackles 11
0 Saves 4
Build-up
20 Total Crosses 14
5 Accurate Crosses 1
Discipline
13 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 0
Lineup
Lokomotiva Zagreb Referee : Ivan Vukančić
Manager ▼
N. Jelavić Coach
Starting XI ▼
12 Josip Posavec Goalkeeper
6.725 Tino Jukic Defender
6.716 Luka Dajcer Defender
6.5817 Marko Pajac Defender
7.0823 Marko Vesovic Defender
6.896 Blaz Boskovic Midfielder
10 Matija Subotic Midfielder
6.6814Marcel Lorber
6.45Midfielder90+2'
11 Mirko Susak Midfielder
30Dušan Vuković
6.65Attacker72'
28 Leon Belcar Midfielder
6.732Teodor Kralevski
Defender90+2'
29 Jakov-Anton Vasilj Midfielder
6.725Pavle Smiljanic
Midfielder90+2'
9 Ibrahim Sabra Attacker
6.7515Aleks Stojakovic
6.8Attacker57'
Substitutes ▼
15Aleks Stojakovic
6.8Attacker57'
30Dušan Vuković
6.65Attacker72'
14Marcel Lorber
6.45Midfielder90+2'
2Teodor Kralevski
Defender90+2'
25Pavle Smiljanic
Midfielder90+2'
Bench ▼
32
Luka Savatovic Goalkeeper
33
Dimitrije Kamenovic Defender
6.443 Petar Zvonimir Kostelac Midfielder
7
Aleksandar Trajkovski Attacker
6.73 Slaven Koprivnica Referee : Ivan Vukančić
Manager ▼
M. Gregurina Coach
Starting XI ▼
31 Osman Hadzikic Goalkeeper
6.652 Vinko Medjimorec Defender
6.544 Dominik Kovacic Defender
6.7729Marko Aščić
6.87Attacker88'
5 Zvonimir Katalinic Defender
6.3917 Filip Mažar Midfielder
6.7718 Filip Kruselj Midfielder
6.7820 Marko Petrovic Midfielder
6.521 Ljuban Crepulja Midfielder
7 Marko Dabro Attacker
6.549Ivan Bozic
6.8Attacker85'
15 Ivan Cubelic Attacker
6.7323 Igor Lepinjica Attacker
6.5124Leon Bošnjak
6.16Midfielder46'
Substitutes ▼
24Leon Bošnjak
6.16Midfielder46'
9Ivan Bozic
6.8Attacker85'
29Marko Aščić
6.87Attacker88'
Bench ▼
1 Teo Kolar Goalkeeper
32 Mateusz Stolarski Goalkeeper
6.7916 Luka Curkovic Defender
22
Filip Jovic Defender
6.3199 Filip Kutlesa Defender
8 Leon Geci Midfielder
14 Losika Ratshukudu Midfielder
19 Ernis Qestaj Attacker
6.4426 Gabrijel Sivalec Attacker
6.46Events
2ND-HALF
Marcel Lorber → Matija Subotic
7th Substitution
90+2'
Teodor Kralevski → Leon Belcar
6th Substitution
90+2'
Pavle Smiljanic → Jakov-Anton Vasilj
8th Substitution
90+2'
88'
Marko Aščić → Dominik Kovacic
5th Substitution
85'
Ivan Bozic → Marko Dabro
4th Substitution
Blaz Boskovic
Header / 2nd Goal
84'
Dušan Vuković → Mirko Susak
3rd Substitution
72'
Aleks Stojakovic → Ibrahim Sabra
2nd Substitution
57'
46'
Leon Bošnjak → Igor Lepinjica
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Mirko Susak
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
36'
Mirko Susak
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
34'
32'
Ljuban Crepulja
Left foot shot / 1st Penalty
CONCLUSION
Lokomotiva Zagreb's 2-1 triumph over Slaven Koprivnica validated their status as the stronger side, overcoming a level halftime score through superior possession and a crucial second-half strike. The absence of red cards and tactical shifts kept the focus on fundamental execution, with the home team's 55% possession translating into victory. Market alignment held true despite the notable deviation, underscoring reliable performance under pressure. This result reinforces Lokomotiva's consistency, setting a positive tone for future fixtures in the league.
Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Slaven Koprivnica preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.
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