Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Hajduk Split Prediction, Preview and Stats

Croatia flag 2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia
Stadion Kranjčevićeva Sat, 16 May - 4:15 PM
1. HNL
Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb
1 – 1
Hajduk Split Hajduk Split
Full Time Sat, 16 May 4:15 PM
Round 35 Regular Season
Jakov-Anton Vasilj - 18'
Goal
|
Goal
Iker Almena - 4'

CONTEXT

Lokomotiva Zagreb hosted Hajduk Split in a competitive league match that ended in a 1-1 draw. The game saw both teams find the net before the halftime whistle, leaving the score level at 1-1 after the first period. Hajduk Split, identified as the stronger side, enjoyed greater possession with 58 percent compared to the home team's 42 percent. Despite their dominance in ball control, they were unable to break down the defense sufficiently to claim victory. The second half produced no further goals, maintaining the deadlock. No red cards were shown to players from either side, allowing for a full complement of players throughout the ninety minutes. This result reflects a balanced performance where neither team could assert complete superiority.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Lokomotiva Zagreb and Hajduk Split showed a moderate structural deviation with Hajduk controlling more of the game.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with expectations for both teams.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals alignment could not be determined due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: The final result aligned with market expectations in this encounter.
  • xG expectations: No specific xG expectations were met or missed as data remained null.
  • Event impact: The even halftime score of 1-1 set the tone for the eventual draw.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were present, resulting in no distortion to the match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality

Match referee

A. Škobić

Croatia 25 matches in sample
Avg. cards 0.12
Fouls / match 0.52
Yellow cards / match 0.12
Red cards / match 0
Penalties / match 0

Other match officials

B. Premužaj

2nd Assistant

Croatia

P. Kolarić

4th Official

Croatia

K. Novosel

1st Assistant

Croatia

League averages

1. HNL Based on last 100 matches

Fouls / match 22.92
Yellow cards / match 3.27
Red cards / match 0.08
Penalties / match 0.32
Lokomotiva Zagreb N. Jelavić
N. Jelavić
VS
Hajduk Split G. García García
G. García García
1.19
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.67
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Varaždin Rank: 66 D
Rijeka Rank: 70 L
Osijek Rank: 63 D
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: 62 W
Gorica Rank: 62 W
Istra 1961 Rank: 64 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: 81 L
Varaždin Rank: 66 W
Rijeka Rank: 69 D
Osijek Rank: 61 L
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: 62 D
Gorica Rank: 62 W
12
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
12 - 15 - 33
33

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Lokomotiva Zagreb
4.45%
Draw
90.64%
Away Hajduk Split
4.91%

Movement

Changes since opening
Lokomotiva Zagreb
-1.78%
Draw
+4.07%
Hajduk Split
-2.28%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
62.97
71.72
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Lokomotiva Zagreb
Hajduk Split
Power Score
62.97
71.72
League Position
6
2
Global Rank
390
157

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Lokomotiva Zagreb — Opponent-weighted form score
Hajduk Split — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lokomotiva Zagreb Hajduk Split

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Lokomotiva Zagreb

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Hajduk Split

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Lokomotiva Zagreb ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hajduk Split
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
44.52
36.29
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
36.29
44.52
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Lokomotiva Zagreb +0.82 Efficiency Index
vs
Hajduk Split -0.82 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Lokomotiva Zagreb
Hajduk Split
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Lokomotiva Zagreb ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hajduk Split
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Lokomotiva Zagreb Hajduk Split
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Lokomotiva Zagreb Hajduk Split
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Lokomotiva Zagreb
Hajduk Split
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Lokomotiva Zagreb
vs
Hajduk Split
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Lokomotiva Zagreb Hajduk Split
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Lokomotiva Zagreb 0.20
Hajduk Split 0.30
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Lokomotiva Zagreb Hajduk Split
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Lokomotiva Zagreb 0.02
Hajduk Split 0.01
Lokomotiva Zagreb
Hajduk Split
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Hajduk Split had peak pressure around 58'.
  • Hajduk Split started the game with stronger pressure.
Lokomotiva Zagreb Pressure Hajduk Split Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Hajduk Split reached the top pressure at 58' (75.66).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 60 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb Home
60 matches
Hajduk Split Hajduk Split Away
Match Record
12
Wins
33
15
Draws
15
33
Losses
12
Goals
59
Goals Scored
101
101
Goals Conceded
59
-42
Goal Difference
+42

Data last updated: 2026-05-18T08:57:39+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
L. Savatović
Croatia
32 L. Savatović
M. Lorber
Slovenia
14 M. Lorber
T. Jukić
Germany
5 T. Jukić
L. Dajčer
Croatia
16 L. Dajčer
M. Pajač
Croatia
17 M. Pajač
P. Smiljanić
Substitution
25 P. Smiljanić
M. Subotic
Croatia
10 (C) M. Subotic
D. Vuković
Substitution
Montenegro
30 D. Vuković
J. Vasilj
Substitution
Croatia
29 J. Vasilj
L. Belcar
Croatia
28 L. Belcar
I. Abdallah Sabra
Substitution
Jordan
9 I. Abdallah Sabra
Pitch
T. Silić
Croatia
33 T. Silić
?. Hrgović
Substitution
Croatia
32 ?. Hrgović
R. Raçi
Substitution
Kosovo
14 R. Raçi
D. Maresic
Austria
15 D. Maresic
L. Hodak
Croatia
38 L. Hodak
A. Pajaziti
Albania
4 A. Pajaziti
H. Guillamón Sanmartín
Spain
6 H. Guillamón Sanmartín
A. Rebić
Substitution
Croatia
9 A. Rebić
R. Pukstas
Substitution
United States
21 R. Pukstas
I. Almena Horcajo
Spain
30 I. Almena Horcajo
M. Livaja
Substitution
Croatia
10 (C) M. Livaja

General Information

Date & Time :
May 16, 2026, 04:15 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 35 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadion Kranjčevićeva
Capacity :
8850
Attendance :
960
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees :
Bruno Premužaj
Patrik Kolarić
Antonio Škobić
Kristijan Novosel

Statistics

Possession
Lokomotiva Zagreb
45%
Hajduk Split
55%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
4 Big Chances Created 8
4 Shots 2
74 Dangerous attacks 61
42 Possession 58
8 Corners 4
11 Free kicks 12
0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

4 Substitutions 5
0 Hit Woodwork 1
0 Penalties 1
43 Successful Dribbles Percentage 52
17 Throwins 19
14 Dribble Attempts 23
11 Goal Kicks 8
6 Successful Dribbles 12
1 Assists 0

Attacking

126 Attacks 115
3 Big Chances Missed 7

Possession

45 Successful Long Passes Percentage 39
78 Successful Passes Percentage 84
60 Long Passes 46
27 Successful Long Passes 18
330 Passes 462
258 Successful Passes 388

Defensive

17 Tackles 19
41 Duels Won 57
13 Interceptions 8
4 Saves 3

Build-up

4 Accurate Crosses 6
20 Total Crosses 16

Discipline

13 Fouls 11
2 Offsides 2

Lineup

Referee : Antonio Škobić

Starting XI ▼

32
Luka Savatovic
Luka Savatovic Goalkeeper
7.11
5
Tino Jukic
Tino Jukic Defender
7.28
14
Marcel Lorber
Marcel Lorber Defender
7.25
16
Luka Dajcer
Luka Dajcer Defender
6.38
17
Marko Pajac
Marko Pajac Defender
6.6
10
Matija Subotic
Matija Subotic (C) Midfielder
6.52
25
Pavle Smiljanic
Pavle Smiljanic Midfielder
6.68
6
Blaz Boskovic
Blaz Boskovic
Midfielder63'
6.5
28
Leon Belcar
Leon Belcar Midfielder
6.73
29
Jakov-Anton Vasilj
Jakov-Anton Vasilj Midfielder
6.62
11
Mirko Susak
Mirko Susak
Attacker74'
6.64
30
Dušan Vuković
Dušan Vuković Midfielder
6.2
15
Aleks Stojakovic
Aleks Stojakovic
Attacker73'
6.88
9
Ibrahim Sabra
Ibrahim Sabra Attacker
7.37
2
Teodor Kralevski
Teodor Kralevski
Defender87'
Referee : Antonio Škobić

Starting XI ▼

33
Toni Silic
Toni Silic Goalkeeper
6.98
14
Ron Raci
Ron Raci Defender
6.42
3
Roko Gabrić
Roko Gabrić
Defender46'
6.77
15
Dario Maresic
Dario Maresic Defender
6.96
32
Simun Hrgovic
Simun Hrgovic Defender
6.5
17
Dario Melnjak
Dario Melnjak
Defender88'
38
Luka Hodak
Luka Hodak Defender
6.71
4
Adrion Pajaziti
Adrion Pajaziti Midfielder
7.16
6
Hugo Guillamón
Hugo Guillamón Midfielder
7.55
9
Ante Rebić
Ante Rebić Midfielder
6.79
28
Roko Brajkovic
Roko Brajkovic
Attacker66'
6.88
21
Rokas Pukstas
Rokas Pukstas Midfielder
7.58
24
Abdoulie Sanyang
Abdoulie Sanyang
Attacker66'
6.61
30
Iker Almena
Iker Almena Midfielder
8.24
10
Marko Livaja
Marko Livaja (C) Attacker
5.29
11
Michele Sego
Michele Sego
Attacker66'
6.16

Events

2ND-HALF
88'
Event
Dario Melnjak → Simun Hrgovic
9th Substitution
Event
Teodor Kralevski → Ibrahim Sabra
8th Substitution
87'
Event
Mirko Susak → Jakov-Anton Vasilj
7th Substitution
74'
Event
Aleks Stojakovic → Dušan Vuković
6th Substitution
73'
66'
Event
Roko Brajkovic → Ante Rebić
3rd Substitution
66'
Event
Abdoulie Sanyang → Rokas Pukstas
4th Substitution
66'
Event
Michele Sego → Marko Livaja
5th Substitution
Event
Blaz Boskovic → Pavle Smiljanic
2nd Substitution
63'
61'
Event
Marko Livaja
OffTarget
59'
Event
Rokas Pukstas
Penalty awarded
46'
Event
Roko Gabrić → Ron Raci
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
40'
Event
Marko Livaja
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
30'
Event
Marko Livaja
Goal disallowed
Event
Jakov-Anton Vasilj
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
18'
4'
Event
Iker Almena
Left foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Dario Melnjak takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Adrion Pajaziti takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
88
Update Update
Dario Melnjak comes on for Simun Hrgovic.
86
Attempt Attempt
Ibrahim Sabra takes a left-footed shot but misses.
86
Update Update
Teodor Kralevski replaces Ibrahim Sabra.
84
Attempt Attempt
Roko Brajkovic takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
83
Attempt Attempt
Iker Almena takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
82
Attempt Attempt
Abdoulie Sanyang takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
80
Attempt Attempt
Ibrahim Sabra takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
78
Update Update
Michele Sego attempts a header but misses the target.
73
Update Update
Aleks Stojakovic is on, and Dusan Vukovic is off.
73
Update Update
Mirko Susak comes on for Jakov-Anton Vasilj.
72
Attempt Attempt
Marko Pajac takes a left-footed shot but misses.
72
Attempt Attempt
Marko Pajac takes a left-footed shot but misses.
71
Attempt Attempt
Michele Sego takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
71
Attempt Attempt
Marko Pajac takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
66
Update Update
Michele Sego comes on for Marko Livaja.
65
Update Update
Roko Brajkovic comes on for Ante Rebic.
65
Update Update
Abdoulie Sanyang is on, and Rokas Pukstas is off.
63
Update Update
Blaz Boskovic takes a header, but it misses the target.
62
Update Update
Blaz Boskovic comes on for Pavle Smiljanic.
62
Attempt Attempt
Pavle Smiljanic takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
61
Attempt Attempt
Ante Rebic takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
55
Attempt Attempt
Rokas Pukstas takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
53
Update Update
Marko Livaja's header hits the post.
50
Attempt Attempt
Iker Almena takes a left-footed shot but misses.
46
Update Update
Roko Gabric comes on for Ron Raci.
38
Attempt Attempt
Marko Livaja takes a right-footed shot but misses.
34
Attempt Attempt
Pavle Smiljanic takes a right-footed shot, but it misses the target.
28
Update Update
VAR review results in a disallowed goal for Marko Livaja due to offside.
28
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Marko Livaja scores, making it 1-2.
27
Update Update
Marko Livaja scores with a header.
25
Attempt Attempt
Ante Rebic takes a left-footed shot, but it misses the target.
24
Attempt Attempt
Rokas Pukstas takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
21
Attempt Attempt
Dusan Vukovic's left-footed shot is saved.
20
Attempt Attempt
Marko Livaja takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
18
Attempt Attempt
Adrion Pajaziti's right-footed shot is blocked.
18
Attempt Attempt
Jakov-Anton Vasilj scores with a left-footed shot.
18
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Jakov-Anton Vasilj scores, making it 1-1.
17
Attempt Attempt
Jakov-Anton Vasilj takes a right-footed shot but misses.
16
Attempt Attempt
Dusan Vukovic's right-footed shot is blocked.
13
Attempt Attempt
Marko Pajac takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
12
Attempt Attempt
Leon Belcar's right-footed shot is blocked.
8
Attempt Attempt
Marcel Lorber takes a left-footed shot but misses.

CONCLUSION

The draw between Lokomotiva Zagreb and Hajduk Split highlights the challenges faced by the away side in converting possession into goals. With the halftime score tied at 1-1, both teams adjusted their approaches in the second half but failed to create decisive opportunities. The absence of any red cards ensured a fair contest without numerical disadvantages. Hajduk Split's higher possession did not translate into a winning margin, suggesting defensive resilience from Lokomotiva. Overall, the match demonstrated tactical discipline from both sides, resulting in a point each. This outcome underscores the competitive nature of the fixture and the difficulty in overcoming well-organized opponents.

Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Hajduk Split preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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