Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Hajduk Split Prediction, Preview and Stats

Croatia flag 2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia
Stadion Kranjčevićeva Tomorrow - 4:15 PM
1. HNL
Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb
Versus
Hajduk Split Hajduk Split
KICKOFF : Tomorrow - 4:15 PM
Round 35 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Lokomotiva Zagreb host Hajduk Split in 1. HNL (Regular Season) at Stadion Kranjčevićeva. Domestically, Lokomotiva Zagreb sit 6th in the table while Hajduk Split are 2th. Power ranking favours Hajduk Split by 9.2 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Hajduk Split enjoy a 9.2-point power advantage and second-place standing over Lokomotiva Zagreb's sixth position.
  • Form: Lokomotiva Zagreb lead in recent form with a 24.17 score against Hajduk Split's 18.94.
  • Squad: Hajduk Split possess a stronger squad rating of 72.35 compared to Lokomotiva Zagreb's 63.19.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data available for either team in this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable due to lack of detailed performance data.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data unavailable as xG information is not enabled for both teams.
  • xVariable: No xG variable data provided for Lokomotiva Zagreb or Hajduk Split.
  • Market: Lokomotiva Zagreb 24.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 26.2% (Δ+0%) | Hajduk Split 49.1% (Δ-0.1%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Lokomotiva Zagreb N. Jelavić
N. Jelavić
VS
Hajduk Split G. García García
G. García García
1.19
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.67
1.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Varaždin Rank: 66 D
Rijeka Rank: 70 L
Osijek Rank: 63 D
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: 63 W
Gorica Rank: 62 W
Istra 1961 Rank: 64 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dinamo Zagreb Rank: 81 L
Varaždin Rank: 66 W
Rijeka Rank: 69 D
Osijek Rank: 63 L
Slaven Koprivnica Rank: 62 D
Gorica Rank: 62 W
12
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
12 - 15 - 33
33
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Lokomotiva Zagreb
24.74%
Draw
26.17%
Away Hajduk Split
49.08%

Movement

Changes since opening
Lokomotiva Zagreb
+0.03%
Draw
+0.03%
Hajduk Split
-0.07%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
63.19
72.35
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Lokomotiva Zagreb
Hajduk Split
Power Score
63.19
72.35
League Position
6
2
Global Rank
398
156

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Lokomotiva Zagreb — Opponent-weighted form score
Hajduk Split — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lokomotiva Zagreb Hajduk Split

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 60 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Lokomotiva Zagreb Lokomotiva Zagreb Home
60 matches
Hajduk Split Hajduk Split Away
Match Record
12
Wins
33
15
Draws
15
33
Losses
12
Goals
59
Goals Scored
101
101
Goals Conceded
59
-42
Goal Difference
+42

Data last updated: 2026-05-13T00:08:18+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
L. Savatović
32 L. Savatović
T. Jukić
5 T. Jukić
D. Kamenović
33 D. Kamenović
L. Dajčer
16 L. Dajčer
M. Pajač
17 M. Pajač
M. Subotic
10 M. Subotic
B. Bošković
6 B. Bošković
M. Šušak
11 M. Šušak
P. Smiljanić
25 P. Smiljanić
J. Vasilj
29 J. Vasilj
I. Abdallah Sabra
9 I. Abdallah Sabra
Pitch
T. Silić
33 T. Silić
D. Melnjak
17 D. Melnjak
D. Maresic
15 D. Maresic
R. Raçi
14 R. Raçi
R. Brajković
28 R. Brajković
A. Pajaziti
4 A. Pajaziti
H. Guillamón Sanmartín
6 H. Guillamón Sanmartín
A. Sanyang
24 A. Sanyang
R. Pukstas
21 R. Pukstas
I. Almena Horcajo
30 I. Almena Horcajo
M. Livaja
10 M. Livaja

General Information

Date & Time :
May 16, 2026, 04:15 PM
Competition :
2025/2026 1. HNL, Croatia · Round 35 · Regular Season
Stadium :
Stadion Kranjčevićeva
Capacity :
8850
Pitch Surface :
Grass
Weather :
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

32
Luka Savatovic
Luka Savatovic Goalkeeper
6.44
9
Ibrahim Sabra
Ibrahim Sabra Centre Forward
6.6
5
Tino Jukic
Tino Jukic Right Back
6.73
10
Matija Subotic
Matija Subotic Defensive Midfield
6.65
6
Blaz Boskovic
Blaz Boskovic Defensive Midfield
6.91
33
Dimitrije Kamenovic
Dimitrije Kamenovic Right Back
6.44
16
Luka Dajcer
Luka Dajcer Left Back
6.58
17
Marko Pajac
Marko Pajac Left Back
7.11
11
Mirko Susak
Mirko Susak Right Wing
6.65
25
Pavle Smiljanic
Pavle Smiljanic Attacking Midfield
6.8
29
Jakov-Anton Vasilj
Jakov-Anton Vasilj Left Wing
6.68

Starting XI ▼

33
Toni Silic
Toni Silic Goalkeeper
6.92
10
Marko Livaja
Marko Livaja Centre Forward
7.13
14
Ron Raci
Ron Raci Right Back
6.87
15
Dario Maresic
Dario Maresic Left Back
7.01
28
Roko Brajkovic
Roko Brajkovic Right Back
6.84
17
Dario Melnjak
Dario Melnjak Left Back
6.78
4
Adrion Pajaziti
Adrion Pajaziti Defensive Midfield
6.86
24
Abdoulie Sanyang
Abdoulie Sanyang Left Wing
6.78
6
Hugo Guillamón
Hugo Guillamón Defensive Midfield
6.93
30
Iker Almena
Iker Almena Right Wing
6.97
21
Rokas Pukstas
Rokas Pukstas Attacking Midfield
7.28

CONCLUSION

Hajduk Split's squad superiority and higher league standing make them the team to beat, but Lokomotiva Zagreb's superior form and home turf introduce real upset potential in this 1. HNL encounter. Without granular efficiency or set-piece insights, the focus narrows to execution in open play and transitions. Hajduk must convert their power edge into dominance, while Lokomotiva rely on defensive grit and counter threats. Expect a competitive affair where midfield mastery tips the scales, with Hajduk's baseline edge suggesting control but room for home resistance.

Lokomotiva Zagreb vs Hajduk Split preview with tactical analysis, xG context, lineup signals, and data-backed betting insights for faster decisions.

Use this page as a quick-read snapshot first, then continue to deep stats and methodology references below.

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